Harriet Miers: A prediction

[Nyarlathotep]

Okay, here is my prediction for Harriet Miers and the aftermath.

First the facts as they stand. No one likes this woman. Liberals don't like her because she won't stand on the rooftops pldging to support Roe V. Wade, conservatives don't like her because she refuses to stand on the rooftops proclaiming that she will overturn Roe V. Wade. Pundits on both sides attack her, and politicians on both sides sound like they will vote against her. Heck the White house 're-launched' her nomination which is the political equivalent of marrying off two characters with sexual tension in a TV sit-com, a sign of shark jumpage.

So I think her nomination is deader than David Caruso's film career. If opposition to her is the one thing in this world that the moonbats and the psycho-cons can agree on, she doesn't stand a chance.

But it's the fallout of her failed nomination that interests me, and here is my prediction for it. Come the 2008 presidential elections, the Republicans will will use Democrat opposition to the Miers nomination of what obstructionists Democrats are. Conservative Pundits will pin her failed nomination on liberals hating her for her religion. They will whitewash and/or completely deny their own opposition to it. In fact it wouldn't surprise me to find out that some conservative opposition to her is strategic, to enable that stratagem to be played in a few years.

So should I apply for the million?

 

[hgc]

...

But it's the fallout of her failed nomination that interests me, and here is my prediction for it. Come the 2008 presidential elections, the Republicans will will use Democrat opposition to the Miers nomination of what obstructionists Democrats are. Conservative Pundits will pin her failed nomination on liberals hating her for her religion. They will whitewash and/or completely deny their own opposition to it. In fact it wouldn't surprise me to find out that some conservative opposition to her is strategic, to enable that stratagem to be played in a few years.

So should I apply for the million?

Wow, that's a stretch. Considering that about 90% of the opposition is coming from conservative quarters, the Republicans would have to be selling this line to a pack of rubes and morons in order for it to go over.

I think you get the million. Congrats.

 

[Bikewer]

To date, the opposition has said little about Miers. They seem content to let thier opponents beat themselves to death without interference.

 

[Ed]

To date, the opposition has said little about Miers. They seem content to let thier opponents beat themselves to death without interference.

You ever see the movie "The Producers" by Mel (Sainted) Brooks?

There was a scene, the chorus started singing Springtime for Hitler and the camera pans to the audience.

There, in front of you, the entire audience of say 500 people are sitting with mouths literally agape. Slack jawed disbelief etched on their faces.

A masterpiece of comedic filmmaking.

Imagine them as Democrats.

Actually, imagine them as Republicans.

That is what happened.

 

[CapelDodger]

But it's the fallout of her failed nomination that interests me, and here is my prediction for it. Come the 2008 presidential elections, the Republicans will will use Democrat opposition to the Miers nomination of what obstructionists Democrats are. Conservative Pundits will pin her failed nomination on liberals hating her for her religion. They will whitewash and/or completely deny their own opposition to it. In fact it wouldn't surprise me to find out that some conservative opposition to her is strategic, to enable that stratagem to be played in a few years.

I can see exactly where you're coming from. The "rubes and morons" will have a couple of years to edit their memories, which is way more than enough. However, I doubt this ploy will feature.

Miers's rejection (if it comes) will be associated with this darkest of periods in Republican history - Iraq, Katrina, DeLay, L'Affaire Plame, now Miers - and there will be no desire to summon up such an image in three years time. I think davefoc made a good point (on another thread) when he suggested that the Party may simulate a clean break, sweep out some old and sweep in some new, and try to create a New Morning in America feel. References to these times will be left to Democrats, and dismissed as partisan dredging up of old history.

 

[CapelDodger]

You ever see the movie "The Producers" by Mel (Sainted) Brooks?

I laughed so much the tears ran down my trouser-leg.

 

[Magyar]

Just forgetting the politics for a minute;
Are we really saying that the "best" we can come up with or expect is a
political hack who is incapable of writting a paragraph that would pass her
own adminstations educational standards!
I mean basically SCOTUS's job is to WRITE clear opinions that will give instructions and clarifications to 100 if not 1000 of other judges! This hack couldn't write a 5 sentence paragraph and maintain tense!

and can't get the BASICS of constitutional issues? I mean I can't stand Roberts for his politics but at least he was co-herrant (on the few things he answered)

 

[CapelDodger]

I mean basically SCOTUS's job is to WRITE clear opinions that will give instructions and clarifications to 100 if not 1000 of other judges! This hack couldn't write a 5 sentence paragraph and maintain tense!

I feel your outrage. I suspect she may withdraw before she's rejected. Presumably one can do that?

 

[Manny]

My prediction: Bernie Kerik. Find a decent excuse to withdraw the nomination (playing "principled" on releasing her papers is perfect -- the President is in the right to refuse to do it, but since the papers represent about, oh, 99 44/100% of her known work product it's also reasonable to demand the stuff), bring out (ohpleaseohpleaseohplease) Janice Rogers Brown and watch the Senators on both sides sigh with relief that there's going to be an actual judge on the Supreme Court. Two months later start pretending that it was a master stroke to nominate Miers as part of the process of easing the controversial Brown in. Six months later, start denying that Miers was nominated at all and see who bites.

 

[CapelDodger]

Six months later, start denying that Miers was nominated at all and see who bites.

Have you applied for Uncle Karl's job yet? You should.

 

[hgc]

I heard an interesting idea. The Republicans, the puppet-master wing of the party, not the mouth-breathing wing, would never let Roe be overturned. Legal abortion is the rallying point of religious conservatives to the cause. If were Roe were overturned, non-religious people would vote Democratic in droves in order to make sure that the right to choose is legislatively preserved. Hence Roberts and Miers.

Thoughts?

 

[Manny]

Ixnay on the oweray, leasepay

 

[peptoabysmal]

I heard an interesting idea. The Republicans, the puppet-master wing of the party, not the mouth-breathing wing, would never let Roe be overturned. Legal abortion is the rallying point of religious conservatives to the cause. If were Roe were overturned, non-religious people would vote Democratic in droves in order to make sure that the right to choose is legislatively preserved. Hence Roberts and Miers.

Thoughts?

er. um...

Just because you're paranoid, it doesn't mean that they aren't after you.

 

[Ed]

I heard an interesting idea. The Republicans, the puppet-master wing of the party, not the mouth-breathing wing, would never let Roe be overturned. Legal abortion is the rallying point of religious conservatives to the cause. If were Roe were overturned, non-religious people would vote Democratic in droves in order to make sure that the right to choose is legislatively preserved. Hence Roberts and Miers.

Thoughts?

They must have a war to divert attention and keep power. Sounds reasonable to me.