2018 US Senate Elections Thread

Word is the GOP senate committee is about to dump a lot of money into the Missouri Primary to be sure the Courtland Styles, the nutcase endorsed by Moore, does not get near the nomination.
Even they know that out and out saying "Kinden, Kuchen and Kirche" is not a good recipe for success in 2018.
 
Nobody in the Missouri GOP is familiar with Sykes, he is apparently a Carpetbagger from Arizona who moved last fall to Missouri for th express pupose of running for the Senate.
 
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dudalb said:
Word is the GOP senate committee is about to dump a lot of money into the Missouri Primary to be sure the Courtland Styles, the nutcase endorsed by Moore, does not get near the nomination.
Even they know that out and out saying "Kinden, Kuchen and Kirche" is not a good recipe for success in 2018.
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Wow.

https://heavy.com/news/2018/01/courtland-sykes-5-fast-facts-trump-women/

“I want to come home to a home cooked dinner every night at six,” Sykes says in the post. “One that she fixes and one that I expect one day to have daughters learn to fix after they become traditional homemakers and family wives – think Norman Rockwell here and Gloria Steinem be damned.”

Sykes goes on to say that he doesn’t “buy into radical feminism’s crazed definition of modern womanhood,” saying that they “made it up to suit their own nasty, snake-filed heads.”
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Apparently he is one of four candidates. I assume the others are a little more sane?
 
Claire McCaskill could try the same trick as in 2012 and run ads attacking Sykes as "too conservative".
 
Firestone said:
Claire McCaskill could try the same trick as in 2012 and run ads attacking Sykes as "too conservative".
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Didn't McCaskill have to win against "the rape guy", last time? I'm sure she'd love the "get in the kitchen and fix my dinner" guy this round. Any chance the three "mainstream" candidates split the votes and the crazy wins? (It's Mizzoura, you use the word "mainstream" advisedly.)
 
Foolmewunz said:
Didn't McCaskill have to win against "the rape guy", last time? I'm sure she'd love the "get in the kitchen and fix my dinner" guy this round. Any chance the three "mainstream" candidates split the votes and the crazy wins? (It's Mizzoura, you use the word "mainstream" advisedly.)
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Yes, she beat the "rape guy" Todd Akin last time.
But, first, she helped him win the GOP primary: How I Helped Todd Akin Win — So I Could Beat Him Later - By SEN. CLAIRE MCCASKILL
 
Some news out of West Virginia:

GOP fears rise over West Virginia Senate fiasco
Senate Republicans are escalating their attacks on West Virginia Senate GOP candidate Don Blankenship, increasingly worried that the coal baron and ex-prisoner will blow a winnable race against Democratic Sen. Joe Manchin.

Republicans see West Virginia as a prime pickup opportunity in November, given President Donald Trump’s huge popularity there. But they say the multimillionaire Blankenship, running in a tight three-way primary against Rep. Evan Jenkins (R-W.Va.) and state Attorney General Patrick Morrisey, is indefensible as a candidate after serving a year in prison for conspiring to violate mine safety violations. Twenty-nine miners died at his company’s Upper Big Branch mine in 2010.
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GOP launches secret group to attack West Virginia coal baron
The Republican establishment has launched an emergency intervention in the West Virginia Senate primary aimed at stopping recently imprisoned coal baron Don Blankenship from winning the party’s nomination.

Late last week, a newly formed super PAC generically dubbed the “Mountain Families PAC” began airing TV ads targeting Blankenship, who spent one year behind bars following a deadly 2010 explosion at his Upper Big Branch Mine. The national party isn’t promoting its role in the group, but its fingerprints are all over it.
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Don't know if he'll win the primary, but the GOP is concerned enough to spend their own money to defeat him.
 
Corker says Democrat is ahead in race to succeed him

Sen. Bob Corker (R-Tenn.) offered warm words on Wednesday for the Democrat vying to take his seat, estimating that former Gov. Phil Bredesen is six percentage points ahead of GOP rival Rep. Marsha Blackburn.

After reiterating a vow that he would not campaign against Bredesen, Corker also declared that there's "no question" the Democrat would "have crossover appeal" in November's closely watched race to succeed him.

"I think he’s got real appeal," the retiring Corker said of Bredesen, describing the Democrat as "a friend of mine" and a productive partner for more than two decades.

Asked about a poll earlier this month that showed Bredesen 10 percentage points ahead of Blackburn in the race, Corker told reporters at a Christian Science Monitor-sponsored breakfast that he thought that result was "probably a little heavy," adding that Blackburn is likely down "a real six" percentage points in the race.

Even as Corker heaped praise on Bredesen, he said he would vote for Blackburn and contribute to her campaign. He also questioned whether the Democrat's aisle-crossing persona would be enough to put him over the top.
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Meanwhile a Quinnipiac poll puts Ted Cruz's race for reelection closer that one might expect for Texas:
April 18, 2018 - Cruz, O'Rourke Too Close To Call In Texas Senate Race, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; In Governor's Race, Abbott Tops Valdez Or White

The closely watched U.S. Senate race in Texas is too close to call, with 47 percent for Republican incumbent Sen. Ted Cruz and 44 percent for U.S. Rep. Beto O'Rourke, his Democratic challenger, according to a Quinnipiac University Poll released today.
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Normally you wouldn't even think about Texas as a possible win for Democrats.
 
Yay! Fresh poll from Quinnipiac:

Ted Cruz 47% - Beto O'Rourke 44%

Well done, Beto!

The 3% is just ... Democrats supporting Cruz!

Men: Cruz +11
Women: O'Rourke +4
White voters: Cruz +25
Black voters: O'Rourke +60
Hispanic voters: O'Rourke +18
age +65: Cruz +7
age 18-34: O'Rourke +16

Approve Trump 43% / Disapprove Trump 52%

[O'Rourke is the most "Argentine" candidate of them all: he looks like an Argentine, he is almost called like a High School mate of mine]

Beto! Beto! Beto!
 
Puppycow said:
Some news out of West Virginia:

GOP fears rise over West Virginia Senate fiasco
GOP launches secret group to attack West Virginia coal baron


Don't know if he'll win the primary, but the GOP is concerned enough to spend their own money to defeat him.
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And a Democratic group is apparently launching a false flag operation to try to get Blankenship nominated.
Although I can see the appeal of this tactic, in the end it's destructive, and I do not want to give a creep like Blankenship any more then a minimal chance to get to the Senate. And I am not convicned that beating Blankenship in the general election is the slam dunk some Dems think it.IMHO a really bad move.

And, frankly, a "ends justify the means" philosophy is also destructive. Inevitably the means end up corrupting your original goals. This is an old,old, story, but people never seem to learn from it.
 
dudalb said:
And a Democratic group is apparently launching a false flag operation to try to get Blankenship nominated.
Although I can see the appeal of this tactic, in the end it's destructive, and I do not want to give a creep like Blankenship any more then a minimal chance to get to the Senate. And I am not convicned that beating Blankenship in the general election is the slam dunk some Dems think it.IMHO a really bad move.

And, frankly, a "ends justify the means" philosophy is also destructive. Inevitably the means end up corrupting your original goals. This is an old,old, story, but people never seem to learn from it.
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If true, it is a terrible strategy. They should be going out and very vocally supporting the establishment Republican.

Republican voters will come out a vote for the Republican candidate. No matter how "moderate" said voter claims to be, they will vote for the (R).If this backfires, you just put another right wing lunatic in charge.


But the fringe crazies who are driving a lot of these primaries can be swayed to revolt. If Democrats make it plainly obvious that they selected the establishment candidate in the primaries, the crazies might go and vote third party. You can probably convince Blankenship to run third party. That splits the Republican vote.

And if it doesn't work and the establishment Republican wins in the general, well ,that is the least bad scenario.
 
Puppycow said:
Meanwhile a Quinnipiac poll puts Ted Cruz's race for reelection closer that one might expect for Texas:
April 18, 2018 - Cruz, O'Rourke Too Close To Call In Texas Senate Race, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; In Governor's Race, Abbott Tops Valdez Or White
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Wow, that's amazing.

I still would expect Cruz to win, given the fact that 1) it's texas (a traditionally red state), 2) its a state that Trump handily won last time, and 3) Cruz is an incumbent. But the fact that a state that SHOULD be a slam dunk for the republicans is so close means that maybe the Democrats have a chance at taking the senate after all.

Anyone from Texas who can give more information? Is there some local issue which is helping the Democrats?
 
Donal said:
If true, it is a terrible strategy. They should be going out and very vocally supporting the establishment Republican.

Republican voters will come out a vote for the Republican candidate. No matter how "moderate" said voter claims to be, they will vote for the (R).If this backfires, you just put another right wing lunatic in charge.


But the fringe crazies who are driving a lot of these primaries can be swayed to revolt. If Democrats make it plainly obvious that they selected the establishment candidate in the primaries, the crazies might go and vote third party. You can probably convince Blankenship to run third party. That splits the Republican vote.

And if it doesn't work and the establishment Republican wins in the general, well ,that is the least bad scenario.
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Actually, this kind of strategy often works. I believe it was employed by Nixon in 1972, They sabotaged Muskie and Jackson and the Dems nominated McGovern. In my State of Washington it was used to get Ellen Crasswell to be the GOP nominee for Governor. She was an ultra-religious ultra conservative in a very blue State. Nice woman, but was slaughtered in the General Election.
 
acbytesla said:
Actually, this kind of strategy often works. I believe it was employed by Nixon in 1972, They sabotaged Muskie and Jackson and the Dems nominated McGovern. In my State of Washington it was used to get Ellen Crasswell to be the GOP nominee for Governor. She was an ultra-religious ultra conservative in a very blue State. Nice woman, but was slaughtered in the General Election.
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And it often fails.
I think if you support a creep like Blankenship for ANY reason, you stain yourself.
 
And for the GOP in the AZ Senate race, a video surfaced of Martha McSally at a commencement speech in Rhode Island.

"...Previous times when I’ve been in Saudi Arabia, as most of you know, as a custom the women walk 5 to 10 feet behind the men. And you know, it’s because of their deference and where they stand in society. And you know, that’s just a common practice,” she recounted. “When I went back this time, what I saw was an exact reversal.”

The audience, likely thinking her story was sincere, applauded.

But McSally continued, “The women, when I went off base, were actually walking 5 to 10 feet in front of the men, all of the wives.”

“I couldn’t believe it. I thought, ‘I know we’ve been trying to bring about some change. Could it be that some radical revelation has come?'”

She then joked that she asked one of the women what had changed to cause this. “And she said… landmines,” McSally concluded.
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https://thinkprogress.org/video-ari...di-women-stepping-on-land-mines-76e7f5a89a39/
 
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