Both sides of most arguments tend to have valid points in there somewhere, and the NRA does, too. They just fly of the rails somewhere along the way.
Which arguments from the NRA do you think are valid?
When I hear people commenting on what the NRA are suggesting, it seems to be things like needing more armed guards, armed teachers, or more checks for illegally held guns etc.
If those are their main responses then I think that's more like a smokescreen to divert the discussion away from facing the fact that the main reason for the vast number of shootings in the US, is such ready access to guns and bullets in so many ordinary family homes.
And I just say “in ordinary family homes” because I think it's obvious that if the USA's 100-million or so gun owners were not able to keep loaded guns so easily available in their own home (e.g. if they had to store their guns at a secure gun club), then that would slash the number of gun deaths down to minimal numbers by that fact alone.
82%+ legal ownership. Agreed. But under the system I have been consistently advocating, virtually none of them would have been legal. What is perfectly legal in most states is utterly unregulated. No licensing, no registration, nada. The very opposite of what I have been suggesting.
OK, well that's actually news to me if "in most states" you can buy guns and bullets without any sort license or permit at all ... do you really mean that? You mean that in most of the USA you just walk into a shop (or go on-line) and just pay for the guns and bullets with no questions asked at all?
However, even if that's true (is it? Is that what you really mean?), as I just pointed out in the previous post – even with the mass/spree shootings, over the past 30 years, across all those shootings the stats apparently show that 82% of those cases were with the attacker using “legally owned” guns. And as I tried to explain – the figure of “legally owned” is almost certain to be much higher (higher even than 82%) for all the other non-mass/non-spree shootings where a gun owner has simply shot at various people in an act of temper or anger etc.
So according those quoted figures, almost all the guns involved in almost all the US deadly shooting figures over the past 30 years, have been what is described as “legally owned”. And Cruz himself was apparently using “legally owned guns” in the Florida School shooting …
… so I think it's impossible upon those figures to make out any case at all for saying the problem of US gun deaths is from “illegally owned guns”.
On your claim that people get drunk or angry and commit impulsive murders- how confident are you that a normal person is just a hairsbreadth from homicide? I think killing is at the far extreme of human behavior, yet you are portraying Americans as a shot-and-a-beer away from mayhem. You may well be right that people teetering on the edge of sanity can be nudged over, and if a gun is handy, it is certainly a recipe for disaster. But I would expect that the vast majority could get reeling pickled and not even think about killing, as I am sure a Brit can tie one on and not carve up his mates with a kitchen knife. Despite what the news might tell ya, we're not a pack of psychos over here.
Of course I did not say that Americans are
“a shot-and-a-beer away from mayhem” and
“just a hairsbreadth from homicide”. And nor of course did I say or imply that people in the US have a dangerous drink problem any more than people in Britain (I said not one word about any such idea). All of that is a 100% misrepresentation of what I said.
What I said was that according to typical figures the US has about 100-million people owning about 300-million guns (that excludes guns held by the military). And from that lot there are typically about 10,000 to 13,000 people shot dead each year (i.e. homicides), plus a further 20,000 or so suicides each year, plus about 70,000 non-fatal shootings each year (see the link below below for those typical stats/figures).
But almost all of those annual homicides are
NOT the mass-spree shooting that naturally hit all the press headlines. The vast majority are instead cases where a gun owner has simply shot and killed one or more people (less than 4 people … since 4 and above is usually considered a “mass” shooting) in a fit of rage or anger or in an argument or dispute of some sort, e.g. family arguments in the family home, or disputes with a neighbour etc. …
… and the point I am making about the role of alcohol and drugs is simply that if you drink to any excess at home (as is absolutely certain to be the case at various times of the year for tens of thousands of US gun owners) and where you also keep loaded guns in your home, than that combination of freely available guns and impaired judgement from excess alcohol or recreational drugs, becomes an absolutely lethal combination.
None of which is a rant against people getting drunk, nor is it even a rant against use/misuse of drugs. And it's not a rant against people in the US vs people in UK either. I am just pointing out that alcohol and guns makes a lethal combination … and one which is also quite certain to be a very common situation for tens of thousands (or hundreds of thousands) of people every year in the US (but not at all common in most homes in the UK, simply because whilst just many get drunk, hardly any of them have guns in their house).
Re. the approximate stats/figure I gave above – here is a Wiki link with extensive stats/figures for gun ownership and gun deaths in USA -
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gun_violence_in_the_United_States
I don't doubt you, living in London. Based on other posters on these very fora, the lowest presented estimate of firearms in the UK is about 150,000. Now, how many of these owners get drunk or argue with the missus and kill with them? According to your statements above, sounds like about none. Poster MikeG recounts shooting (hunting) taking place behind his home while these very threads were being argued- is he mistaken?
Well you are mixing up two different things here. The guns in UK homes are almost entirely shotguns and small calibre rifles owned by farmers and sports shooters in framing areas. As I explained above (with the stats) – hardly anyone else ever keeps a gun in a UK home. But …
… do farmers and sports shooters kill or wound people after drunken disputes? Well, the answer is, I expect, almost certainly, Yes! …. but the numbers are not likely to be anywhere near what they are in the US, simply because we don't have 100 million people with all sorts of much more advanced high-power guns and vast masses of bullets in their homes (not even in the homes of those UK farmers and sports shooters).
You're walking my position around a bit. I am comparing a sporting item that has both a sane and a sinister application- and that is as far as I take the analogy. The NRA does extend it further, to 'therefore, no regulation for anything'. I have repeatedly argued firmly against that extrapolation. Guns are unique in their lethal capacity, no question. And living in one of the most strictly regulated States, I say we need my state's standards and yet more applied nationally.
Well, you are not getting any serious argument from me against that.
Just banning military style weapons, and in fact most semis, would without question reduce overall figures, simply because they can't deliver as many rounds in the same time. Cruz was reported IIRC to have shot for about 90 seconds. With a low capacity bolt action rifle, he would physically not have been able to shoot a fraction of the amount of bullets. But semis are only part of the problem. Handguns are the biggest, and IMO the least necessary of firearms. In NJ, they are allowed in homes and in ranges and nowhere else. Very hard to get a permit to even buy one as well. Jersey has far lower rates of gun crime than the national average as a result. This supports my argument: making access to buying guns a little more stringent correlates to a demonstrable drop in gun crimes.
OK, well I think there is a problem with the above reasoning/logic. Specifically this – yes, of course
“Just banning military style weapons, and in fact most semis, would without question reduce overall figures”; but the difference between what you and I are saying, is that I think it will make such a small difference as to be barely noticeable …
… it would not deter any spree shooter like Cruz for example. All of those spree shootings with mass deaths at schools and cinemas and elsewhere, have afaik been acts where the killer has typically planed the event for months if not years. The fact that any such shooter could no longer get a legal license or permit for something like an AR15, will not mean that a single one of those shooters would just forget the whole idea. Not at all. They will just go right ahead using their choice from hundreds of other extremely potent guns and ammo ..
… true, if Cruz was forced to use something less powerful than an AR15 he might have only been able to kill half the number of people in the same short space of time. And you could argue that was an improvement worth having. But it's absolutely not facing up to the actual problem (which is the free availability of such guns and bullets kept at home), and it still will not stop just as many people like Cruz making just as many spree attacks … because without any AR15's or anything similar at all, they still have a vast overkill-mass-surfeit of deadly guns to choose from.
But even more importantly, where the vast mass of the US shootings each year are
NOT spree shooting such as that in the Florida school, but are instead the sort of incidents I described above where a home owner has simply taken his guns and decided for various reasons to shoot at people … hardly any difference will be made to the numbers of dead and wounded in that vast mass of 99% of the US shootings just by stoping people keeping guns like AR15's at home.
True, you
could make a big a difference to the annual number of gun deaths just by banning various types of guns and banning the amount of bullets kept in peoples homes,
BUT you would need to ban almost all of the guns in order to start making any really big reduction in the death-numbers … and that's really obvious and inescapable, since there will be almost as many deaths if US owners only have a choice of even 20% of the types of guns they can currently get now.
The States need to put a lot in place to get guns under control. With hundreds of millions already out there and unregulated, it's a little late to close the barn door now. Owner regulation via licensing is still implementable now. Beginning registration at the same time will track the existing guns and put the brakes on the black market, which would otherwise blossom with the new customers who can't own legally under licensing. Any weapon holding more than 3 rounds for long guns would require second tier licensing that requires additional qualifications. It can be done without an outright ban on home ownership, as I don't see that happening since DC v Heller.
OK, well I need to know more clearly what you said near the top of this page about “most states” not requiring any license, so please see what I said above in response to that. However, as I pointed out above –
- over the past 30 years, 82% of all spree shootings were apparently using legally owned guns. And if you take all the other 10,000+ homicides each year plus the 70,000 or so woundings, that figure of 82% legally owned is almost certain to rise well into the range over 90%+ … on which basis, it's completely wrong for the NRA or gun-fanatics to claim that illegal ownership is the problem. On those same numbers, it looks like more registration is only going to shift the legally-owned numbers upwards from a current 80%-90% or more to nearer 100%, and that last extra few percent of registration is very unlikely to stop the 100 million people who currently own guns in the US from continuing to kill tens of thousands of people each year.
IOW – I think that will prove to be a set of paperwork form-filling excises, that do little or nothing to stop the actual fact of so many loaded guns in so many homes, from where, for any of numerous reasons, that home gun owner can simply pick up the gun (whether certificated or not) and shoot almost anyone he likes at any time.
If you asked what I think
would actually produce a serious reduction in the number of US gun deaths every year, then the answer is that I think the only way to do that is to have far fewer guns in the homes of ordinary US people. But I think that more certificates, more registration and more background checks etc. will have almost zero impact (for all the reasons explained above). And similarly it's obvious that just banning weapons like the AR15 will not provide any barrier or deterrent at all for all those millions of US citizens who already “legally own” any of scores of other types of completely deadly modern guns along with enough”ammo” to mow-down a small army!