You just don't understand the math.
Bwahaha! You're actually going to try to play this card when not more than six months ago you were referring to the "Bayesian instructions" for advice on how to formulate your problem, and you were confessing to your critics that you didn't really understand how the formula worked? Heavens, you even challenged your critics to try to find something in "the Bayesian instructions" that specifically forbade the exact error you had made. That's how desperate you were to avoid being called out on your ineptitude. And you're really going to play this card after every statistician you've consulted has told you that you were wrong -- and some in not very unmistakable terms? "Profound ignorance" was thrown about. The statisticians' forum you consulted accused you of trying to completely reinvent probability theory in fanciful terms in order to make your proof work.
The evidence shows you are not a competent mathematician.
And frankly your blatant ego-stroking has gotten out of hand, to the point of destroying any semblance of this thread as a serious discussion of your proof. I'm sure you want some hypothetical "neutral jury" to buy into the bluster that you're an unsung genius mathematician who has single-handedly proven one of the most elusive propositions in all of philosophy. I suspect your "neutral jury" won't have a single mathematician on it, just as your cheering section of sycophantic Shroudies didn't have a single scientist or mathematician among them. You were able to fool them, but you failed to fool anyone who exercised even a modicum of critical thinking. I suppose your continuing to insult your critics in this particular way must be some effort to convince yourself that you are somehow still the imaginary hero you pretended to be for the Shroudies. But in this case you're up against critics who have actual expertise in mathematics and have given you actual, precise reasons why your proof doesn't work. "You just don't understand the math," is an insulting rejoinder when you pointedly decline to put your money where your mouth is and address the mathematical errors.
Likelihood," here, is the probability of an event (the current existence of my self) given reincarnation, and given OOFLam.
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When you talk about evidence for reincarnation, you're talking about the "prior probability" of reincarnation.
And this the error you have specifically committed. You told us P(E|H) had to be very small because you didn't believe in materialism, H. You specifically tried to reckon the likelihood as if it were allowed to incorporate the prior, P(H), and you are still trying to the same thing. And because you formulate your problem incorrectly as a false dilemma, you think you can reckon immortality as 1 minus the likelihood of materialism, when in the best you could ever hope for is relative likelihood between two specific propositions. This is a cardinal rule of statistical inference. Further, the likelihood function P(E|H) in your model is nothing more than some nonsensical pseudo-rationale you just made up, not something actually observed. P(E|~H) is missing in action, assigned a similarly made-up value and based on nothing observed.
You seem to be trying to break out of the false dilemma by choosing "reincarnation" as a singular hypothesis to run against materialism, such that you can present P(E|M)/P(E|R) where M is materialism, R is reincarnation, and E is the observation that you exist as a conscious being. But it's been shown that you don't actually know what reincarnation is, at least as described among those who believe in it. Nor have you shown us any data pertaining to reincarnation, such that P(E|R) would have any toehold in fact -- which it must have, if its probability distribution over some subsequent parameter is to have any meaning. Further, you haven't reconciled that what you really need is animism, and that few if any reincarnationists actually believe in animism, that you have no data for animism, and that animism doesn't inevitably result in immortality.
And in the midst of this mathematical minestrone, you have the temerity to accuse your critics of not understanding the math.