Nonpareil
The Terrible Trivium
- I estimated them. Have you estimated them?
"Estimated" does not mean "made up", Jabba.
You made up those numbers.
- I estimated them. Have you estimated them?
- OK.
- I'll start with P(NR)=.99, so P(R)=.01. So far, I assume that most physicists would accept that the prior probability of R is at least .01.
- But then, as long as it's more than .6*10-100*.99, given my current existence (and, my other numbers are correct) , the posterior probability of R is greater than the posterior probability of NR.
No physicist would agree with you because it is IMPOSSIBLE for your hypothesis about souls to have a higher probability than materialism.
A has a likelihood.
B has a likelihood.
A+B cannot have a likelihood greater than either A or B (whichever is less).
A = People's bodies develop out of matter after a long series of circumstances.
B = souls exist
A+B = People are composed of bodies developed out of matter after a long series of circumstances AND souls exist.
You are claiming that A+B is more likely than the smaller of A or B.
That is wrong. It's completely wrong. It cannot be made right. Effectively, your debate is over.
Joe,"Potential selves" isn't a valid concept.
"Me" is a begged after the fact Texas Sharpshooter.
Therefore "Me" out of "Potential Shelves" isn't an estimate, it's a guess with theatrics.
Joe,
- Wouldn't you agree that most combinations of your Dad's sperm cells and your Mom's ovum were only potential selves?
Joe,"Potential selves" isn't a valid concept. "Me" is a begged after the fact Texas Sharpshooter.
Therefore "Me" out of "Potential Shelves" isn't an estimate, it's a guess with theatrics.
- Wouldn't you agree that most combinations of your Dad's sperm cells and your Mom's ovum were only potential selves?
Joe,
- Wouldn't you agree that most combinations of your Dad's sperm cells and your Mom's ovum were only potential selves?
Wouldn't you agree that most combinations of your Dad's sperm cells and your Mom's ovum were only potential selves?
Joe,
- Wouldn't you agree that most combinations of your Dad's sperm cells and your Mom's ovum were only potential selves?
Joe,
- Wouldn't you agree that most combinations of your Dad's sperm cells and your Mom's ovum were only potential selves?
No, I don't agree.
First, as others have already noticed, you're relying upon ambiguous, general words such as "selves" in hopes you can swap definitions after someone expresses some sort of agreement. Second, you insist on treating human reproduction and genetic development as some sort of special cases in materialism. That's special pleading. Third, you're trying to conjure up a new philosophical notion out of "combinations" of things that are not, in fact, combined.
Most importantly, materialism has no concept of potentiality as you're trying to invent here by imagining combinations that don't exist, and which you previously agreed don't exist in any operative way. It just doesn't. Just because material exists doesn't mean there is an infinite number of "potential" anythings that gives rise to the role of a discrete quantization that you're trying to foist. By your same line of reasoning I can construe every chunk of iron ore as a "potential" Volkswagen and then assert that since most ore doesn't become a Volkswagen, any given Volkswagen has a very small probability of existing. That such an argument would be absurd for Volkswagens under the materialist hypothesis is why it's absurd for babies under the same hypothesis.
No, Jabba, you don't get to wave your hands and tack onto materialism the very thing you say you need it to have in order to falsify it. That is exactly begging the question.
Joe,
- Wouldn't you agree that most combinations of your Dad's sperm cells and your Mom's ovum were only potential selves?
You know he's laughing at us right?
Further, furthermore I already answered this before, making up some widely hypothetical combination of variables...
Joe,
- Wouldn't you agree that most combinations of your Dad's sperm cells and your Mom's ovum were only potential selves?
The problem is not the numbers you have guessed. The problem is that you are guessing at the numbers.
Joe,
- Wouldn't you agree that most combinations of your Dad's sperm cells and your Mom's ovum were only potential selves?
Joe,
- Wouldn't you agree that most combinations of your Dad's sperm cells and your Mom's ovum were only potential selves?