Who will win the Alabama Senate special election?

[William Parcher]

When will we see Jones blow past Moore? Will it be at around 80%?

 

[lobosrul5]

 

[Skeptic Ginger]

When will we see Jones blow past Moore? Will it be at around 80%?

75% in and Jones is closing the gap.

 

[Foolmewunz]

I'd like to third this thought if I may. I've followed them for every election for some time now, and hat little meter thing they have in the bottom I've never seen wind up wrong this late into an election. Jones may actually have this thing.

It appears they've run out of Dark Red counties to report. Jones fell to about a 55,000 vote deficit at about the 64%-Reporting level. That's now dropped to a 21,000 deficit at 73%.

And guess what, conservatives? The largest counties - all running heavily to Jones, have yet to report fully. Coming soon: Jefferson County - which will be Jones +55,000 at least (half the votes are still not tallied). Montgomery: Jones +25,000. Mobile: Jones +25,000

 

[EventHorizon]

When will we see Jones blow past Moore? Will it be at around 80%?

Well, Jefferson and Montgomery counties haven't counted half their precincts yet and Jones has a 54,000 and 21,000 lead respectively in those counties. So I'd say your answer is whenever those counties have counted more of their votes (as long as that ratio holds).

 

[portlandatheist]

A lot of deplorable voters in Alabama.

 

[Puppycow]

Wow, suddenly the margin got a lot closer. About 6-odd thousands.

 

[Skeptic Ginger]

It appears they've run out of Dark Red counties to report. Jones fell to about a 55,000 vote deficit at about the 64%-Reporting level. That's now dropped to a 21,000 deficit at 73%.

And guess what, conservatives? The largest counties - all running heavily to Jones, have yet to report fully. Coming soon: Jefferson County - which will be Jones +55,000 at least (half the votes are still not tallied). Montgomery: Jones +25,000. Mobile: Jones +25,000

Your posts are up-lifting. I was ready to call it for Moore 30 minutes ago.

80% counted and the difference is less than 1% now.

 

[William Parcher]

CNN shows 79%, 49/48.

 

[C_Felix]

I'm hoping that Jones wins, Moore demands a recount, but because the Alabama Supreme Court said "go ahead and destroy the records" a recount is nearly impossible.

One can hope, can't he?

 

[Skeptic Ginger]

85% counted and the gap is less than 1/2 %.

 

[Foolmewunz]

Wow, suddenly the margin got a lot closer. About 6-odd thousands.

Ka-ching! Jefferson County (Birmingham) coming in with big numbers. It's almost over.

 

[Puppycow]

BTW, when does the winner have to stand for election again?

 

[Regnad Kcin]

I’m literally eating popcorn right now.

 

[Hutch]

By the NYT, there are about 340 more precincts to count and a large majority of those are in counties that Jones is leading in. Going to be very interesting...

 

[Beerina]

Down to only 14,000 now!

 

[Stacko]

BTW, when does the winner have to stand for election again?

IIRC, 2020.

 

[William Parcher]

It's like a horse race coming into the final turn.

 

[NoahFence]

BTW, when does the winner have to stand for election again?

2018 i think

 

[EventHorizon]

There are a whopping 6 precincts in red counties in the entire state yet to report (if I'm counting correctly). There are significantly more in the blue counties and Jones only need make up 7,000 more votes. This may not be close. NYTimes has Jones at 73% likely to come out on top.