Belz...
Fiend God
- How about a fringe reset?!
Of all the dishonest nonsense you've posted, this is the... most recent.
You have no integrity, and no credibility.
- How about a fringe reset?!
- How about a fringe reset?!...
- I was being 'funny.'Unfortunately you fail to realize that the posters here use this as a pejorative when an advocate of a position has been argued into a corner. The cornered poster pretends that it ever happened and returns to the original claim. It is not a positive attribution.
- I just think that we're heading for a bunch of dead ends, and I want to map them for us -- and for others -- to see.See above a fringe reset is a CLEAR indicator that you were in a logical corner and could not see a way out. This is obviously a maneuver to attempt to deny that.
- I was being 'funny.'
- I just think that we're heading for a bunch of dead ends, and I want to map them for us -- and for others -- to see.
- I don't think I'm in a corner -- IMO, you guys either aren't listening, aren't understanding or realize that it's you who's in the corner...
- If I can get a mixed participation on my website, we might get a better indication of who is in the corner.
Incidentally, Jabba, there's a question, first posted a few pages back, that you still haven't answered:
Say we have a six-sided die. We throw it, and it comes up as a 3 (event E). I form the hypothesis (H) that all six sides of the die have a 3 on them. The likelihood of the observed event under this hypothesis is 1, right?
You have an alternative hypothesis (let's call it J), that the six sides are numbered 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, and 6. The likelihood of the observed event under this hypothesis is 1/6.
Then you pick up the die, and demonstrate that the sides are indeed numbered 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, and 6.
What is the likelihood of the the observed event if H is true?
I just think that we're heading for a bunch of dead ends, and I want to map them for us -- and for others -- to see.
IMO, you guys either aren't listening, aren't understanding or realize that it's you who's in the corner...
If I can get a mixed participation on my website, we might get a better indication of who is in the corner.
This might be your funniest post yet!
Clumsily working out his sour-grapes exit strategy, I'll wager.
Indeed. But I love how the guy who ignores every post he can't answer says that we're not listening!
Can anyone understand what Jabba means by the term 'Under the Texas Sharpshooter, we are all targets'.
It's like he doesn't understand the concept of logical fallacies, and just parrots terms he's heard before.
That's a matter of 'opinion'.- I was being 'funny.'
- I just think that we're heading for a bunch of dead ends, and I want to map them for us -- and for others -- to see.
- I don't think I'm in a corner -- IMO, you guys either aren't listening, aren't understanding or realize that it's you who's in the corner...

Why would the result be any different from here, where everyone is already participating?- If I can get a mixed participation on my website, we might get a better indication of who is in the corner.
Why would the result be any different from here, where everyone is already participating?
Because he'll be moderating the debate, not you guys. He can remove posts he deems "unfriendly" or "too complicated." That way none of his audience will be bothered by them.
- H is the popular scientific hypothesis about that identity that we (and they) experience -- and that so many of us suspect is more than mortal. H is not the reasoning behind the hypothesis.
- If I understand what you're saying, you're talking about Bayesian inference. Bayes takes something that has happened and estimates its likelihood to have happened given a specific hypothesis......
You are still mixing up the relationship between the prior probability and post probability. If I roll a die and a number 6 comes up. The prior probability of the number rolled is 1:n based on the number of sides. What is the probability that once the die is rolled and reads 6 what is the probability that the number actually is a 6. 1:1 You can see the 6. How does the number of sides on the die effect that probability that you are now currently looking at a 6.
- I was being 'funny.'
- Anyway, zooming in: underlying that variable are two critical issues: potential selves and Texas Sharpshooters.
- Under potential selves: I claim that they are real, relevant and EXTREMELY NUMEROUS. Actually, I claim that there is an infinity of them.
- Under Texas Sharpshooters, I claim that we are all legitimate targets....
- Potential selves aren't even processes -- they are potential processes -- but, they are still meaningful. One way to try to begin to describe them is to say that they are represented by every combination of every past sperm cell that ever existed and every past ovum that ever existed....
Where are they? You again are abandoning your agreement that they were a process. This is disingenuous...
I fail to see the humor in the fact that you have had a lot of very patient people point out the flaws in your argument for several YEARS and you have yet to learn even the most basic points about the error in your reasoning.- I was being 'funny.'
Yes you have hit SO many dead ends where emotion and feeling are contrary to observed fact and logic. Proving something needs logic and fact. Believing something only requires emotion and feeling. You believe but cannot prove.- I just think that we're heading for a bunch of dead ends, and I want to map them for us -- and for others -- to see.
We are listening and understand where you are arguing from. It is you that does not understand formal logic and application of statistical models. While you might feel strongly that you are right the strength of your feelings does not MAKE you right.- I don't think I'm in a corner -- IMO, you guys either aren't listening, aren't understanding or realize that it's you who's in the corner...
- If I can get a mixed participation on my website, we might get a better indication of who is in the corner.
<sigh> Ok let me admit that I am not an expert on Bayes Theory but I have learned a lot by reading this thread. You are misunderstanding a fundamental principal here.- If I understand what you're saying, you're talking about Bayesian inference. Bayes takes something that has happened and estimates its likelihood to have happened given a specific hypothesis...
...
- Under Texas Sharpshooters, I claim that we are all legitimate targets...
- It has been argued to me ad nauseum. I haven't nswered ad nauseum -- but I have answered more than once....False and this has been explained to you ad nauseum. TEXAS SHARPSHOOTER is the name for a logical fallacy. It is claiming amazing precision when the target is undefined...