Likely vice president running mates 2016

Here's Flynn writing in the NY Post yesterday: The military fired me for calling our enemies radical jihadis

Michael Flynn said:
[...] We’re in a global war, facing an enemy alliance that runs from Pyongyang, North Korea, to Havana, Cuba, and Caracas, Venezuela. Along the way, the alliance picks up radical Muslim countries and organizations such as Iran, al Qaeda, the Taliban and Islamic State. [...]

We need to denounce them as false prophets, as we insist on the superiority of our own political vision. This applies in equal measure to the radical secular elements of the enemy coalition. Is North Korea some sort of success story? Does anyone this side of a university seminar think the Cuban people prefer the Castros’ tyranny to real freedom? Is Vladimir Putin a model leader for the 21st-century world?

Just as the Muslim world has failed, so the secular tyrants have wrecked their own countries. They hate us in part because they know their own peoples would prefer to live as we do. They hope to destroy us before they have to face the consequences of their many failures. [...]


*sigh* Whack jobs wherever one looks in that circus.
 
I shall be surprised if the only running Hillary will soon be doing is other than for her life .
 
Prediction:

Hillary/Warren

Trump/General Flynn

Odds of winninn should be around picking the trifecta?


I don't think it will be Warren. Clinton needs a Veep that can wrangle congress, and Warren isn't well-liked there. Additionally, the hard leftists don't really need to be appeased. Sanders is going to support Clinton and they'll either come or they won't. Throwing Warren at them will deter more centrists than the leftists it attracts.

I think it will be Castro.
 
I don't think it will be Warren. Clinton needs a Veep that can wrangle congress, and Warren isn't well-liked there. Additionally, the hard leftists don't really need to be appeased. Sanders is going to support Clinton and they'll either come or they won't. Throwing Warren at them will deter more centrists than the leftists it attracts.

I think it will be Castro.

I read an article that she has moved away from Castro as the choice.
 
I don't think it will be Warren. Clinton needs a Veep that can wrangle congress, and Warren isn't well-liked there. Additionally, the hard leftists don't really need to be appeased. Sanders is going to support Clinton and they'll either come or they won't. Throwing Warren at them will deter more centrists than the leftists it attracts.

I think it will be Castro.

I've said it before but I'll just reiterate my own preferred pick here: Cory Booker.
Castro seems a bit too young, a bit too thin on the resume. Booker is on the young side too, but several years older than Castro. And he's a senator.
 
Other than speculation about who it will be, does anyone have an idea about the timing?

The conventions are later this month, so I assume that usually the VP pick is announced prior to the convention, isn't it? Or am I misremembering?
 
I've said it before but I'll just reiterate my own preferred pick here: Cory Booker.
Castro seems a bit too young, a bit too thin on the resume. Booker is on the young side too, but several years older than Castro. And he's a senator.


Here's why it won't be Booker: He's a black first-term senator. There is no way Clinton can pick him without making it look like she's trying to throw an Obama impersonator at America. Now, he was a fantastic mayor and I understand he's doing a good job in the Senate. I think he may actually be President some day. But it won't be as Clinton's Veep (well, maybe Chelsea's).
 
I've said it before but I'll just reiterate my own preferred pick here: Cory Booker.
Castro seems a bit too young, a bit too thin on the resume. Booker is on the young side too, but several years older than Castro. And he's a senator.

That's why it won't be Booker.
 
Other than speculation about who it will be, does anyone have an idea about the timing?

The conventions are later this month, so I assume that usually the VP pick is announced prior to the convention, isn't it? Or am I misremembering?

Usually. Sometimes it is announced during the convention.
 
Take with a grain of salt:

Pence has ‘95 percent’ chance of being Trump’s VP pick

CLEVELAND — Scrambling among Indiana politicians has reached the point where Republican Party insiders are convinced that presumptive presidential nominee Donald Trump will pick Indiana Gov. Mike Pence as his running mate.
The Trump election team boosted the Pence speculation Sunday by suddenly adding a campaign rally in Indianapolis to a fundraiser planned for Tuesday featuring Mr. Trump and Mr. Pence.
Several Republicans close to the campaign and to the governor have told The Times over the last 24 hours that they are now convinced it’ll be Mr. Pence.
Mr. Bopp, also a member of the convention’s rules committee, told The Times that the “rally made it a 95 percent probability it’s Pence.”

We'll see I guess.


As far as Cory Booker goes, I don't see those reasons as particularly persuasive points against him. We can't have a black vice president after a black president? Really?

I know about the objection that if she picks him, the Democrats lose a senate seat, but I still think that's not enough of a reason not to pick him if he would otherwise be her first choice.

We'll find out soon enough I suppose.
 
I think Pence or the crazy general is the way Trump goes.

And I still think Hillary picks a more traditional "fill-the-gaps" demographic pick. She doesn't need someone from the Northeast, particularly NY/NJ. She doesn't need another woman on the ticket. I realize that neither of those is the sole reason for picking Booker or Warren but I don't think their subsidiary bonuses [pleasing the progressive wing and pulling more black votes, respectively] are areas she's concerned about.

I still think she goes for a Hispanic, and probably someone from TX or the West. She's a fairly old school politician and I think the Hispanic aspect is secondary - the appeal is to the western independent-minded voter.... and putting TX/AZ in play.
 
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If Trump picks Christie and Hillary picks Booker, then both tickets would be NY/NJ tickets. It's not totally unlikely.
 
I just read in WSJ that Flynn is pro-choice and made recent statements that women should be able to decide on whether to have an abortion. Naturally, conservative Republican groups are not happy and are stating they will not support Flynn for VP.
 
I think Pence or the crazy general is the way Trump goes.

And I still think Hillary picks a more traditional "fill-the-gaps" demographic pick. She doesn't need someone from the Northeast, particularly NY/NJ. She doesn't need another woman on the ticket. I realize that neither of those is the sole reason for picking Booker or Warren but I don't think their subsidiary bonuses [pleasing the progressive wing and pulling more black votes, respectively] are areas she's concerned about.

I still think she goes for a Hispanic, and probably someone from TX or the West. She's a fairly old school politician and I think the Hispanic aspect is secondary - the appeal is to the western independent-minded voter.... and putting TX/AZ in play.

I don't think Hillary needs to motivate Hispanic voters. Trump has done that for her. I also don't think she can do anything to win Texas. Houston mayor Castro isn't going to change that.
 
I don't think Hillary needs to motivate Hispanic voters. Trump has done that for her. I also don't think she can do anything to win Texas. Houston mayor Castro isn't going to change that.

He has no money. If he has to spend money in Texas it's a major thing. It should be a solid red state but if Cruz gets shunted aside at the convention, Johnson could pick up a lot of votes there - enough to to at least put it in play.

Plus, Texans do love themselves a "native son". I agree that Trump has solidly driven the Hispanic vote to the Dems, but I think he's done that with any sane demographic .
 
I predict that Hillary Climton will announce Bernie Sanders as her running mate at tomorrow's rally thing. If I am wrong, I shalll change my avatar. If I am correct, I might change my avatar anyway.
 
A Donald Trump / Ted Cruz ticket would be hella weird, however, I give it a 5% chance of happening.
 

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