The problem is that half the damn polls still overwhelmingly rely on home phones. Young people don't have home phones. The polls are therefore meaningless. None of the contests coming up are going to be anywhere near what the polls say. The South was a gimme for Clinton. Everywhere else is not.
Seriously, after Michigan you still think the polls have meaning? They don't.
Shall we visit the discussion again AFTER March 15? I expect this comment to be quite plainly reflected in the results... and I said the same damn things about Michigan. It's the same everywhere else. Bernie didn't win The South partially because he never campaigned there -- and the reason he didn't is because he didn't have much support there to begin with. If you think he didn't know what he was doing... umm... well, you're wrong.
It's sort of like what I heard Robert Reich say in a live feed the other day -- political pollsters are there to make astrologers look good. Nothing they're saying has any bearing on the actual election, particularly in a population that is skeptical of the current press. In the past, perhaps reporting about polls created a self-fulfilling prophecy, but they never really had much meaning to begin with. It's about who shows up, which is information that polling can't provide. Less than 10% of registered party members tend to show up even in a good year.
I think people are starting to realize/point out that it's the wrong damn conversation to be having to begin with... so the usual bandwagonning is losing its power to affect the results. In a "political revolution" such as the one that Sanders is trying to create, turnout favors the outsider (same is true of Trump, BTW). I expect that trend to continue in the general, BTW... which means that we're in a lot of trouble if we go with Hillary.