People who actually study it for a living seem less sure than you do on this point.
People like who?
Because their pseudo-science priests looking for a pay-check.
How have you worked that out?
Simple Reasoning, it took less than a Planck Time.
To refute, Please list the Choices
other than: "Nature"(unguided) vs Intelligent Design/GOD (Guided)...?
Ergo you have a problem. Even if what you say is true the 1st Law applies to the Universe. It's not a given that it applies to whatever it is that wasn't the Universe before the Universe existed and there was no space, no time, etc.
Then you
MUST BELIEVE "Something came from Absolutely Nothing", Naturally. If so, welcome to Nonsensical Blind Faith Religion.
The truth is we don't know if and how the Universe came into existence.
So we don't know
IF the Universe came into existence??

Where are you ??
Yes,
WE DO KNOW "The Cause", it's called Logic. Nothing can be The Cause of itself because that would mean it Existed prior to it's Existence...Logical Seppuku.
For finite things to EXIST (Universe/Us), there must be ("Necessary Condition") an Eternal Un-Caused Cause...The "
Ontological Primitive".
but we do no there is no positive evidence in favour of a creator
Save for all I've posted.
Everything is natural so far.
Factually Incorrect: "Information" isn't...
Norbert Wiener Professor Mathematics MIT...
“Information is information, neither matter nor energy.”
Wiener, N., Cybernetics, or Control and Communication in the Animal and the Machine, Hermann et Cie, The Technology Press, Paris, 1948.
Neither are: Truth, Knowledge, Logic, Mathematics, Ideas/Thoughts, et al. Post the
Natural Laws that govern each...?
What's the Chemical Formula for TRUTH??
Shake up a can of Pepsi and Sprite...which one is TRUE or are they both False??
And you're the authority on that are you?
Yes, I surely am.
regards