The 95% is "if we called everybody in the USA we would get the same results, +/- 4%". But do you really think phone polls are reality ? But I am not arguing with the poll of "how many gays do you think there are, as a percent of population". It's the poll of "are you LGBT?" that I doubt the 3.8% results. And was that one 95% confidence +/-4% too? so zero to 8, a variable of 100%?
Here's a small poll for you to take among your gay friends- "Would you tell a stranger on the phone that you are gay?". Oh, there are plenty of outed gays here at ISF, but they have anonymity here. Hey, start a poll here, "Are you LGBT? Phone number required" and see what you get.
I don't know the answer, I don't much care. But on my one block long street, it's 20% "partners". So I wonder at the poll methods.