Moderated JFK conspiracy theories: it never ends III

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Jim, there seems to be an epidemic around here, of vague and ambiguous accusations.

Why can't you be specific about exactly what evidence you think has been dismantled?

Come on! Do you really think that any post that makes this observation of a salient fact should be required to enumerate all the (many) rebuttals you have received (which just about equals the number you have ignored)?
 
Just to be absolutely clear, people have been outright explaining the standard of evidence they want to be convinced.

If somebody won't supply that, and shows no interest in convincing anybody, then we have to ask why they are telling us. Other than trying to convince somebody of the CT there are no flattering reasons to advocate it.
 
That's exactly the response I get from evangelists who declare that there is no valid evidence for evolution, but then refuse to examine the evidence I link - EXACTLY THE SAME RESPONSE.

Evaluate the evidence as objectively as you can. Earn the right to demean my analysis, instead of doing what everyone else around here does.
Trying the hard sell on that pencil now? Do you find that those caps and an Ad Hom stimulate debate?
 
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Seems like some goalposts are moving there.

On both sides of the argument.

Robert Harris moves the goal posts so if he shanks it, it's still a score.
And moves it so if we kick it right down the middle, it's always a miss.

That, along with his varying standards (when he needs some evidence, 30-year-old hearsay recollections will do just fine for him, but first-day hard evidence like rifle shells and photos of the crime scene aren't sufficient for us), pretty much ensures he can't lose.

At least, in his view.

We've all been around long enough to see through that.

It's pretty much CT-101.

Hank
 
It's always a great idea to misrepresent your adversaries and then attack your own misrepresentation.

What you prove is, that your arguments are a helluva lot easier to refute than mine:-)
Uh huh, I think the irony meter just 'sploded again.:rolleyes:

I'll just let the readers decide who's arguments are more credible.
 
Yeah, well, I think they were probably getting paid for their public appearances.

Paid or not, a public debate of that ilk is more entertainment than science. Real knowledge cannot generally be probed and discovered effectively in sound bites punctuated by commercial breaks. Hence there are celebrity skeptics, and then there are the more ordinary sort. Commensurately there are celebrity fringe theories, and then there are the more ordinary sort. I don't intend to sit in judgment on their individual characteristics, personalities, or other ad hominem qualities, but I do intend to judge the role of those high-profile exercises in actually testing the relevant ideas.

What would Jay get...when he knows from experience with you...

This is really it. There seems to be some sort of disconnect over how many opportunities a proponent will be given to be attentive and reasonable. That number is not infinite, nor is it particularly high for some of us. That is especially true when a proponent comes to the forum dragging a lot of "history" that's easily discovered. While the forum rules prevent us from drawing in those previous conversations from other forums, no rule keeps us from drawing conclusions on that basis regarding how profitable it will be to continue engaging the proponent in a similar mode, if he employs it here.

Proponents facing dismissal will sometimes fall over themselves promising to be reasonable going forward. But a critic can decide for himself how many chances to give.

Sadly it's all part of the game. An entrenched proponent well-girded in denial will inevitably alienate reasonable discussion after a time, and that alienation nearly always takes the form of the critic's explicit withdrawal. And despite the reasons given, the spurned proponent almost always suggests that withdrawal was "really" because the proponent's case was so insurmountable.
 
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And to be fair, the supposed sniper(s) in the Dal-Tex building, assisted by those unicorn spotter(s). We know both were there because that's what snipers and unicorns do - leave no evidence behind and remain unseen.

Hank
Well okay, I stand corrected ;)
 
Kellerman stated that the time between the first noise/shot he heard and the second, was about 5 seconds.

"Mr. SPECTER. Was there any timespan which you could discern between the first and second shots and what you have described as the flurry?

Mr. KELLERMAN. I will estimate 5 seconds, if that. "

He described the final shots like this, "a flurry of shells come into the car" and "..it was like a double bang--bang, bang."

Let's ignore for a second that you've totally ignored a better explanation for the double-bang Kellerman described and look at a separate timing issue you're ignoring now.

Do the math, Bob. How many seconds between frames 223 and 313 at 18.3 frames per second?

I get 4.9 seconds. What do you get?

You're claiming Kellerman is correct, but his estimate of that gap fits almost exactly with what most LNers believe today -- that Connally was wounded at Z223 and Kennedy was struck 90 frames later.

But you're also arguing Kellerman didn't hear that Z223 shot, he only heard an earlier one, at about Z150-160:

One last point to cover a loose end - one might wonder how we can be sure that the solitary early shot that was audible, was not the one at 223, rather than the one just prior to that, probably circa 150-160.

How can you expect us to believe your contentions when you don't even address obvious timing issues like this?

Especially since you already vouched for Kellerman's accuracy, with him being a federal agent and all:
Roy Kellerman, who rode in the front seat of the presidential limousine is by any standard, a five star witnesses - first, because he was a Secret Service agent whose job was, to keep and eye and an ear out for trouble.

Hank

PS: His five-second estimate fits pretty well with my theory, doesn't it, that there was a shot at Z223, and another at Z313, and Kellerman also heard the sound of the impact of the bullet to JFK's head, and thought that sound was a third shot. And thus, the last shot and the sound of the impact became Kellerman's "flurry". It fits in quite a number of ways, doesn't it? Even down to his estimate of the time between those two shots (4.9 seconds between Z223 and Z313 vs his "5 seconds, if that").
 
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One small correction Hank

CT-101 presumes a freshman first year college course, I would suggest CT-51, a community college prep-course instead

I'm a high school dropout and never attended community college, so I apologize for the error.

Hank
 
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You are aware I presume, that every nonvictim in the limo reported closely bunched shots at the end, or after events that were well after 223.

And do you realize, that according to the Warren Commission, "most" of the witnesses agreed with the passengers, reporting "closely bunched" shots at the end of the attack.

Simply making your same claims over and over doesn't make them better.

Still waiting for you to rebut my arguments here: Two shots, at Z223, Z313, and a sound of impact of the final shot on the skull, exactly as testified to by John Connally and Clint Hill. And as you conceded earlier, that's exactly what Connally said he heard (just a reminder in case you were thinking of backtracking).

Those three sounds would account for the three shots as described by the vast majority of witnesses, AND the bunching the majority described - without invoking multiple unseen shooters who left no evidence (nor any pink unicorns either). I also don't have to believe hearsay that surfaced 30-years-after the fact, nor that much of the first-day evidence was somehow magically replaced by the third day because I can find some memo to take a paragraph out of context.

I think you're seeing where I'm going with this.

Hank
 
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If that were true, you would have no problem refuting me, honestly and based on the verifiable facts and evidence.
Robert, I do believe there is no evidence in this world or any other that you would accept as a debunking of your nonsense.

Have you viewed my articles and presentations?
Unfortunately, yes.

If you have, then when will you be posting your rebuttals?
As they have been rebutted ad nauseum, please refer to my reply to the first paragraph. You will accept no rebuttal.

And if you have not, how can you know that my arguments are insufficient?
You make the same logical fallacies, and engage in the same cherry picking and/or misrepresentation of evidence and testimony in both this thread and your dog-and-pony show presentations. Anyone who chooses not to peruse your nonsense isn't missing a thing they can't see here.
 
Bump for Robert:

(The below originally was posted by me here: http://www.internationalskeptics.com/forums/showthread.php?postid=10743586#post10743586 )

Bob never did respond to this:

== QUOTE ==

It doesn't appear you're taking into account that rifle bullets typically travel faster than sound. That is, in the Warren Commission narrative, Tague could have been wounded by a fragment from the third shot (the head shot) AND have heard that third shot thereafter. That's physics for you. So inconvenient to your theory. Your argument here applies to the convential narrative as well. In fact, according to you, Tague should have heard TWO shots after he was struck by a fragment of that Z285 shot .... the sound of the Z285 shot arriving afterward, and then the sound of the Z313 shot.

And you're insisting on a new bullet at Z285 that nobody sees evidence for (except you) while simultaneously explaining away the evidence of the bullet striking both men at Z223, claiming it was inaudible. So convenient for your theory that the conspirators used a suppressed weapon for only one of the four shots, don't you think? Or maybe you're just assuming what you need to prove - the existence of a suppressed weapon, the existence of a weapon firing subsonic ammo, the existence of other shooters, the existence of a shot at Z285, the existence of the flinching by the occupants of the car...

Hank

== UNQUOTE ==
 
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I'm a high school dropout and never attended community college, so I apologize for the error.

Hank

Well based on the many post of yours I've read here in this thread and elsewhere you write and think far better than many of my former students!
 
No it isn't.

Nothing in the forum rules says anything even remotely like that.

Simply saying no it isn't will not change reality. There isn't a rule that says man landed on the moon either but the null hypothesis is still that it happened.


No sir. There is no evidence of any kind which isolates Oswald as the only shooter.

No evidence of any kind? That's quite an extraordinary claim, I do hope you have the extraordinary proof to support it.

No sir. The burden is on each of us is to defend our favorite theory. And it is hilarious that there are people here who think they can demand that I accept their arbitrary, "null hypothesis", which is one of most ridiculous and long discredited theories in existence.

Except it clearly isn't since you can muster not one other poster here to accept your proposition. There is a de facto null hypothesis, Oswald acted alone, no one demands you accept it, in fact they have been asking you to lay out a plausible alternative for some time and you have failed to do so.

I can only think of one plausible reason that anyone would feel compelled to fabricate "rules" which relieve them of defending their theory. And that is that they know they can't.

The reality of the situation is Robert that the majority of the posters in this thread appear to accept the null hypothesis that Oswald acted alone, your various attempts to dispute this have been consistently rebutted over three threads, that is all the defence that is required, and given how often you repeat the same mistaken assertions posters are being rather generous to you by continuing to do so.
 
Bump for Robert:

(The below originally was posted by me here: http://www.internationalskeptics.com/forums/showthread.php?postid=10743586#post10743586 )

Bob never did respond to this:

== QUOTE ==

It doesn't appear you're taking into account that rifle bullets typically travel faster than sound.

Of course I am. I'm pretty sure I told you that I presumed the early shots to have come from a subsonic weapon.

That is, in the Warren Commission narrative, Tague could have been wounded by a fragment from the third shot (the head shot) AND have heard that third shot thereafter.

I addressed that issue many years ago. The trajectories just don't work. This is from an article I wrote sometime around the turn of the millenium.

The image below illustrates the minimum ascending angle necessary for a bullet fragment to have exited the President's head and flown out over the top of the windshield. Keep in mind that his head was tilted downward and forward at Z312, considerably lower than it is in this picture, which was taken as the limo departed Love Field.

Image3.gif


Had our hypothetical fragment continued at this angle, at a reasonably high velocity, it would have passed nearly 30 feet above the Main St. pavement, leaving the curbing and Mr. Tague completely unscathed. But that presumes a high velocity. Certainly, the fragment might have run out of gas and simply fallen to the area of the curbing. But if that happened, it would have lost most of its velocity and could not have struck the curbing with nearly enough force to have caused the lead to smear. The drawing below illustrates the principle.

Image4.gif


That's physics for you. So inconvenient to your theory.

I guess it's "inconvenient" for Posner and Bugliosi too then, since both of them deny the WC theory and claim the Tague wound was the result of a ricochet from the first shot:-)

But there is one expert who contradicts BOTH the WC and the LN guys. His name was James Tague and his recollection was that it was the second shot that caused his minor wound.

Mr. LIEBELER. Do you have any idea which bullet might have made that mark?

Mr. TAGUE. I would guess it was either the second or third. I wouldn't say definitely on which one.

Mr. LIEBELER. Did you hear any more shots after you felt yourself get hit in the face?

Mr. TAGUE. I believe I did.

Mr. LIEBELER. You think you did?

Mr. TAGUE. I believe I did.

Mr. LIEBELER. How many?

Mr. TAGUE. I believe that it was the second shot, so I heard the third shot afterward.


Are you starting to see a pattern, Hank? Have you noticed that almost the witnesses support me and contradict you, even your own witnesses:-)

Your argument here applies to the convential narrative as well. In fact, according to you, Tague should have heard TWO shots after he was struck by a fragment of that Z285 shot .... the sound of the Z285 shot arriving afterward, and then the sound of the Z313 shot.

The 285 shot would not have been perceived to have arrived "afterward". I don't think you understand how this stuff works. The sounds associated with that shot would have seemed simultaneous, with no perceptible gaps.

And you're insisting on a new bullet at Z285 that nobody sees evidence for

That's untrue. There is a real world outside these little forums, full of hardcore advocates, in which people actually admit what they see.

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(except you) while simultaneously explaining away the evidence of the bullet striking both men at Z223, claiming it was inaudible.

LOL! It was inaudible. That much is beyond dispute.

John Connally was very clear about that. He heard the 150-160 shot but only "felt" the one that hit him at 223. Nellie, Jackie, Greer, and Kellerman all heard the same thing - one shot, delay and then closely bunched shots at the end - exactly the same thing that most other witnesses heard.

I'm sure you understand Nellie, which you proved by refusing to answer those three little, fatal questions that all of you dodged:-)

And just to keep things straight, the fact that nobody heard that shot does not "explain it away". The shot was quite real and it wounded both JFK and Connally.

So convenient for your theory that the conspirators used a suppressed weapon for only one of the four shots, don't you think?

Wrong again. You know very well, that I explained to you the probable reason why that first shot was audible. It struck the pavement with considerable force, causing sparks to fly upward, causing the "firecracker" sound that many witnesses reported. The next shot only passed through human flesh, so it remained entirely inaudible to most witnesses.

Or maybe you're just assuming what you need to prove

Until you have a better explanation for why those witnesses only heard a single early shot and why there were no reactions then, even remotely similar to the ones following 285 and 313, you have no right to question my motives.

My conclusions are what any sane, objective man would come to. And you will prove that by failing to even try to present a better explanation.
 
Of course I am. I'm pretty sure I told you that I presumed the early shots to have come from a subsonic weapon.

LOGICAL FALLACY known as a RED HERRING.

We were talking about the Tague shot, which you claim was near the end of the shooting, Robert.

Why are you suddenly switching to the early shots?

Hank
 
Simply saying no it isn't will not change reality. There isn't a rule that says man landed on the moon either but the null hypothesis is still that it happened.

But there are a couple of truckloads of evidence that men went to the moon. How much evidence do you have that proves Oswald acted alone?

No evidence of any kind? That's quite an extraordinary claim, I do hope you have the extraordinary proof to support it.

No sir, it's your theory; you bear the burden of proving. And several of your amigos have already admitted that there is no such evidence.

Except it clearly isn't since you can muster not one other poster here to accept your proposition.

You got me there. It's been tough selling my theory to people who refuse to view articles and presentations, and then report me to a LN/moderator who declares my annotated Zapruder segments to be "spam".

But I don't think everybody is like that. There are some who actually have the courage to consider evidence that points to a different conclusion. Of course, they aren't as loud as the hardcore types who refuse to look at the evidence and then claim that I don't have any:-)

There is a de facto null hypothesis, Oswald acted alone, no one demands you accept it, in fact they have been asking you to lay out a plausible alternative for some time and you have failed to do so.

You couldn't be more wrong. I have linked a comprehensive and detailed presentation which lays out my analysis from the start to finish. I have also posted a great deal of evidence in this forum, explaining quite clearly, that Carlos Marcello ordered the assassination, exactly as he said he did.

But thank you for confirming this little problem with people refusing to examine the evidence and then pretending it doesn't exist.

The reality of the situation is Robert that the majority of the posters in this thread appear to accept the null hypothesis that Oswald acted alone

Yes, but that only confirms that I haven't been persuasive enough to get them to look at the evidence. I will try harder.

your various attempts to dispute this have been consistently rebutted

I don't think you believe that, and you will prove it by failing to even try to tell me specifically, how I have been refuted.
 
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