Moderated JFK conspiracy theories: it never ends III

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I see cracked.com is repeating the Oswald-couldn't-have-fired-all-the-shots-in-that-amount-of-time silliness, accompanied by a photo, distorted to make Dealey Plaza look huge and the cars traveling it look tiny.

But "lol," right, Cracked?
 
I see cracked.com is repeating the Oswald-couldn't-have-fired-all-the-shots-in-that-amount-of-time silliness, accompanied by a photo, distorted to make Dealey Plaza look huge and the cars traveling it look tiny.

But "lol," right, Cracked?


They're making fun of Mortal Error, the book that says a Secret Service agent accidentally fired the fatal shot, but they really should, uh, refresh their page:

"given the type of weapon he was using, there's no way he could've gotten off three shots in the 5.6 second window of time he had to work with."
 
Sandy's Answers

These are the answers to the question that Sandy and every other person in this forum have evaded. I also posted it in McAdams nutter forum, and every person there, evaded it as well.

I expected that in McAdams forum, where there is no concern at all with being truthful. I didn't expect it here.

Mrs Connally testified that she heard one shot and then looked back and saw JFK with his hand raised up to his face.

She said that some time after that she heard the shot which she thought, wounded her husband and that she immediately turned to him and pulled him back to her.

1. When do you see her look back at JFK?

A. Frame 257

2. When do you see her turn to her husband as she said she did, in reaction to the second shot?

A: Frame 291-292

3. Do you see anyone else reacting then?

A: Yes, everyone except JFK

This very slow motion Zapruder segment should be helpful to you.

http://jfkhistory.com/nellie2.gif



Any arguments?



Robert Harris
 
These are the answers to the question that Sandy and every other person in this forum have evaded. I also posted it in McAdams nutter forum, and every person there, evaded it as well.

I expected that in McAdams forum, where there is no concern at all with being truthful. I didn't expect it here.

Mrs Connally testified that she heard one shot and then looked back and saw JFK with his hand raised up to his face.

She said that some time after that she heard the shot which she thought, wounded her husband and that she immediately turned to him and pulled him back to her.

1. When do you see her look back at JFK?

A. Frame 257

2. When do you see her turn to her husband as she said she did, in reaction to the second shot?

A: Frame 291-292

3. Do you see anyone else reacting then?

A: Yes, everyone except JFK

This very slow motion Zapruder segment should be helpful to you.

http://jfkhistory.com/nellie2.gif



Any arguments?



Robert Harris

What is it you think these three subjective interpretations prove?
Why are these interpretations more reliable or convincing than others?

You seem to believe people have dodged these questions. What I seem to see are people rightly asking why you are placing so much importance upon reactions that could (as have been mentioned many times before) been to other noises, or events.

You seem to think your interpretations are 'proven' but all you are offering is 'it looks like this to me'.

It should come as no surprise that people point out that the reactions may have other causes, meanings, or fall within the much wider spectrum of human behaviours.
 
My understanding is that the mafia had very few rules, beyond the one that said the last man standing is in charge.

Is that how you view this forum?

True enough. In fact, Marcello told Laningham that Oswald was crazy. But they didn't want him for his shooting skills. They wanted him for his communist/Castro legend. There is nothing the mob wanted more than to regain the lucrative casino business in Cuba, which Castro took from them.
That's not answering the question asked which was
Quote:
Seriously, given Oswald's well known instabilities and anti-social tendencies, how could Carlos Marcello know that Oswald wouldn't crack like an egg once taken into custody and immediately declare who put him up to it and throw himself to the mercy of the authorities by telling them everything he knew

for those who came in late:
Oswald arrested 2PM Friday
Oswald silenced 1PM Sunday

2 days to spill his guts. Would any competent conspiracy leave such a plothole?
 
These are the answers to the question that Sandy and every other person in this forum have evaded. I also posted it in McAdams nutter forum, and every person there, evaded it as well.

I expected that in McAdams forum, where there is no concern at all with being truthful. I didn't expect it here.

Mrs Connally testified that she heard one shot and then looked back and saw JFK with his hand raised up to his face.

She said that some time after that she heard the shot which she thought, wounded her husband and that she immediately turned to him and pulled him back to her.

1. When do you see her look back at JFK?

A. Frame 257

2. When do you see her turn to her husband as she said she did, in reaction to the second shot?

A: Frame 291-292

3. Do you see anyone else reacting then?

A: Yes, everyone except JFK

This very slow motion Zapruder segment should be helpful to you.

http://jfkhistory.com/nellie2.gif



Any arguments?



What is it you think these three subjective interpretations prove?

That Mrs. Connally reacted at frame 291-292, to a gunshot.

And that the reaction is clear enough that no one will dispute that fact.

Why are these interpretations more reliable or convincing than others?

Because they are the interpretations of my adversaries, who confirm that by unanimously refusing to answer the questions.

You seem to believe people have dodged these questions.

Yes, based on the minor detail that not one of them will answer them.

What I seem to see are people rightly asking why you are placing so much importance upon reactions that could (as have been mentioned many times before) been to other noises, or events.

Mrs. Connally was quite specific that she was reacting to a gunshot then, which she mistakenly believed, wounded her husband.

It is the combination of what she said, with what we see her do, that settles the issue.

You seem to think your interpretations are 'proven' but all you are offering is 'it looks like this to me'.

Well, don't be bashful. Let's hear your answers to the questions.

It should come as no surprise that people point out that the reactions may have other causes, meanings, or fall within the much wider spectrum of human behaviours.

Kellerman said he heard one shot, a delay and then a "flurry" of at least two closely spaced shots at the end.

Greer heard one shot, a delay and then near simultaneous shots at the end. He also felt the "concussion" of the second shot, which is exactly what he would have felt if he was exposed to the shock wave of a passing bullet.

Jackie heard one shot, a delay and then two shots after Connally began to shout, circa app. 238.

And the large consensus of other witnesses reported the same thing the limo passengers did.

Perhaps you have a better explanation for what they heard than they did.
 
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So I asked what Robert wanted to prove. His answer was:
That Mrs. Connally reacted at frame 291-292, to a gunshot.

And that the reaction is clear enough that no one will dispute that fact.

The reason this is being ignored is because it can not be proven and is not a fact.

Conally can be seen to move in the frames.

But to claim it is a reaction is a subjective interpretation. Any suggestion of what she is reacting to, can not be claimed to be a fact, and can not be assumed to be beyond dispute.

It is a subjective interpretation.

The rest of the post, discussing subject interpretations of subjective testimony, builds upon the foundation of a fact not in evidence. A 'fact' that is beyond the realms of the evidence.

Pointing out, as many have, that the conceit is flawed, is not refusing to answer the conceit. It is addressing the weakness of the conceit and offering the only viable answer: We can not 'prove' or even assume, that the reaction was to a gunshot.

The question is not if others have a better explanation. It is if you know what the words 'prove' and 'proof' mean.
 


2. When do you see her turn to her husband as she said she did, in reaction to the second shot?

A: Frame 291-292

3. Do you see anyone else reacting then?

A: Yes, everyone except JFK


Any arguments?



...That Mrs. Connally reacted at frame 291-292, to a gunshot.

And that the reaction is clear enough that no one will dispute that fact.

I most assuredly do not accept your phantom gunshot as "fact". Cherry picking the witness statements that can be made to fit your pet theory doesn't constitute the creation of "facts".

Here's what I see in that brief film: Mrs Connally, realising that something is wrong, looks back and forth and then leans in toward her husband to find out what the matter is. Mrs Kennedy, seemingly confused by her husband's raised elbow, places her hand on it, perhaps instinctively thinking he was offering her his arm, but then as she in turn realises something is wrong, she leans in to see why he is grasping at his throat.

As both ladies move, the driver lifts his foot off the gas. This slight lurch assists Jackie by helping lift her from a sitting-back position to leaning forward as she turns to look at her husband. Similarly, as Mrs Connally leans toward her husband, her head is carried forward slightly too. At the same time, both secret service agents in the front also sway forwards. Precisely which frame the slight lurch begins is not quite clear to me, but the end is much clearer as you can see both agent's shoulders sway back into their seats in synchrony.

I leave it as an exercise for the reader to put frame numbers to that if they wish, and to decide whether Jackie actually starts her movement a little earlier than the others, just before the lurch begins (as it seems to me she may do).


So that's what the film looks like to me, and that doesn't require me to imagine any extra shooters, silent shots or any other complications which follow.
 
I most assuredly do not accept your phantom gunshot as "fact". Cherry picking the witness statements that can be made to fit your pet theory doesn't constitute the creation of "facts".

Here's what I see in that brief film: Mrs Connally, realising that something is wrong, looks back and forth and then leans in toward her husband to find out what the matter is. Mrs Kennedy, seemingly confused by her husband's raised elbow, places her hand on it, perhaps instinctively thinking he was offering her his arm, but then as she in turn realises something is wrong, she leans in to see why he is grasping at his throat.

As both ladies move, the driver lifts his foot off the gas. This slight lurch assists Jackie by helping lift her from a sitting-back position to leaning forward as she turns to look at her husband. Similarly, as Mrs Connally leans toward her husband, her head is carried forward slightly too. At the same time, both secret service agents in the front also sway forwards. Precisely which frame the slight lurch begins is not quite clear to me, but the end is much clearer as you can see both agent's shoulders sway back into their seats in synchrony.

I leave it as an exercise for the reader to put frame numbers to that if they wish, and to decide whether Jackie actually starts her movement a little earlier than the others, just before the lurch begins (as it seems to me she may do).


So that's what the film looks like to me, and that doesn't require me to imagine any extra shooters, silent shots or any other complications which follow.
Not that any of that is 'proved' but it is a logical account of what is seen in the film that requires no special suppositions.
 
Any arguments?



Robert Harris

What is your complete and coherent alternative hypothesis for how JFK was assassinated?

Please be as specific as possible as to who your alternate assassins were, where specifically they fired from, with what weapons and where did those bullets go?
 
Kellerman said he heard one shot, a delay and then a "flurry" of at least two closely spaced shots at the end.

Asked and answered. Kellerman *surmised* a flurry based on the number of wounds the two limo passengers suffered:
== QUOTE ==
Mr. KELLERMAN. I am going to say that I have, from the firecracker report and the two other shots that I know, those were three shots. But, Mr. Specter, if President Kennedy had from all reports four wounds, Governor Connally three, there have got to be more than three shots, gentlemen.
Senator COOPER. What is that answer? What did he say?
Mr. SPECTER. Will you repeat that, Mr. Kellerman?
Mr. KELLERMAN. President Kennedy had four wounds, two in the head and shoulder and the neck. Governor Connally, from our reports, had three. There have got to be more than three shots.
Representative FORD. Is that why you have described--
Mr. KELLERMAN. The flurry.
Representative FORD. The noise as a flurry?
Mr. KELLERMAN. That is right, sir.

== UNQUOTE ==



Greer heard one shot, a delay and then near simultaneous shots at the end. He also felt the "concussion" of the second shot, which is exactly what he would have felt if he was exposed to the shock wave of a passing bullet.

Asked and answered. Greer could have been hearing the impact of the bullet on the skull, and then the arrival of the sound of the bullet being fired.

Concussion: a violent shock as from a heavy blow. "the ground shuddered with the concussion of the blast"

Greer could have felt the impact of a piece of brain matter or skull upon his person. All the other passengers in the car described how the car was pelted with brain matter after the shot that struck JFK in the head.

For example, Governor Connally not only described the brain matter, he clearly differentiated between the sound of the final bullet being fired and the sound of the impact on the head.
== QUOTE ==
Governor CONNALLY. ... and then, of course, the third shot sounded, and I heard the shot very clearly. I heard it hit him. I heard the shot hit something, and I assumed again--it never entered my mind that it ever hit anybody but the President. I heard it hit. It was a very loud noise,just that audible, very clear.
Immediately I could see on my clothes, my clothing, I could see on the interior of the car which, as I recall, was a pale blue, brain tissue, which I immediately recognized, and I recall very well, on my trousers there was one chunk of brain tissue as big as almost my thumb, thumbnail, and again I did not see the President at any time either after the first, second, or third shots, but I assumed always that it was he who was hit and no one else.

== UNQUOTE ==


Nellie Connally also spoke of being pelted with brain matter from the President's head shot.
== QUOTE ==
The third shot that I heard I felt, it felt like spent buckshot falling all over us, and then, of course, I too could see that it was the matter, brain tissue, or whatever, just human matter, all over the car and both of us.
== UNQUOTE ==

Roy Kellerman also described it.
== QUOTE ==
Senator COOPER. One other question: You said the flurry of shots came in the car. You were leaning forward talking to the driver after the first shot. What made you aware of a flurry of shots?
Mr. KELLERMAN. Senator, between all the matter that was--between all the matter that was blown off from an injured person, this stuff all came over.
Senator COOPER. What was that?
Mr. KELLERMAN. Body matter; flesh.
Senator COOPER. When you were speaking of a flurry of shots, was there a longer interval between the first shot and the second shot as compared to the interval between the second shot and the third shot?
Mr. KELLERMAN. Yes, sir.
Mr. SPECTER. When did you first notice the substance which you have described as body matter?
Mr. KELLERMAN. When I got to the hospital, sir, it was all over my coat.
Mr. SPECTER. Did you notice it flying past you at any time prior to your arrival at the hospital?
Mr. KELLERMAN. Yes; I know there was something in the air.
Mr. SPECTER. When, in relation to the shots, Mr. Kellerman, did you notice the substance in the air?
Mr. KELLERMAN. Fine. When I have given the orders to Mr. Lawson, this is when it all came between the driver and myself.
Mr. SPECTER. Can you describe what it was in a little more detail as it appeared to you at that time?
Mr. KELLERMAN. This is a rather poor comparison, but let's say you take a little handful of matter--I am going to use sawdust for want of a better item--and just throw it.

== UNQUOTE==


Jackie heard one shot, a delay and then two shots after Connally began to shout, circa app. 238.

Jackie said she heard two shots total. She was quite clear about that. She said she read about a third.
She also said there was always noise in the motorcade, and she heard terrible noises (plural) while facing to her left, then turned and saw her husband receiving a bullet. Her testimony doesn't support your argument, unless you have a special interpretative device no one else has.

== QUOTE ==
Mrs. KENNEDY. You know, there is always noise in a motorcade and there are always motorcycles, besides us, a lot of them backfiring. So I was looking to the left. I guess there was a noise, but it didn't seem like any different noise really because there is so much noise, motorcycles and things. But then suddenly Governor Connally was yelling, "Oh, no, no, no."
Mr. RANKIN. Did he turn toward you?
Mrs. KENNEDY. No; I was looking this way, to the left, and I heard these terrible noises. You know. And my husband never made any sound. So I turned to the right. And all I remember is seeing my husband, he had this sort of quizzical look on his face, and his hand was up, it must have been his left hand. And just as I turned and looked at him, I could see a piece of his skull and I remember it was flesh colored. I remember thinking he just looked as if he had a slight headache. And I just remember seeing that. No blood or anything.
...
Mrs. KENNEDY. Well, there must have been two because the one that made me turn around was Governor Connally yelling. And it used to confuse me because first I remembered there were three and I used to think my husband didn't make any sound when he was shot. And Governor Connally screamed. And then I read the other day that it was the same shot that hit them both. But I used to think if I only had been looking to the right I would have seen the first shot hit him, then I could have pulled him down, and then the second shot would not have hit him. But I heard Governor Connally yelling and that made me turn around, and as I turned to the right my husband was doing this [indicating with hand at neck]. He was receiving a bullet. And those are the only two I remember. And I read there was a third shot. But I don't know. Just those two.

== UNQUOTE ==



And the large consensus of other witnesses reported the same thing the limo passengers did.

No, we examined a large subset of those witness claims, and found they are unclear, or susceptible of other interpretations. You are simply shoehorning the eyewitness statements into your theory, forcing pegs of various shapes into round holes.



Perhaps you have a better explanation for what they heard than they did.

Yes, I do. I offered the bulk of this before, but you simply hand-waved it away, or ignored it entirely.

In this post, http://www.internationalskeptics.com/forums/showthread.php?postid=10748978#post10748978 you admitted there's no evidence of a shooter in the DalTex building, and then tried to make head-scratching meaningless excuses for why not. Like the building was never searched. But that's an excuse, not an explanation for why this weapon was never seen.

My explanation doesn't invoke multiple shooters that arrive unseen, fire unseen weapons, hit the President but leave no damage to the body discernible to the autopsists, leave no fragments behind that are traceable to any weapons but Oswald's, and then vanish into thin air.

Do you have any evidence, for example, of the Dal-Tex shooter and weapon you conjecture? No.

The weapon is never seen brought into the building,
The weapon is never seen fired from the building,
The weapon's bullet(s) cause(s) no discernible damage,
The weapon's bullet(s) leaves(s) no discernible remnants of bullet(s) behind,
The weapon is never seen removed from the building,
The weapon is never found within the building after the shooting.

Gee, almost like the weapon never existed at all.

In fact, exactly like the weapon never existed at all.

That's a better explanation than yours.

Mine doesn't invoke straw man logical fallacies, post hoc logical fallacies, shifting the burden of proof logical fallacies, conjectures, hearsay, and supposition. And imaginary weapons popping up and disappearing.

That's a better explanation than yours.

I expect you'll simply hand-wave this away, or ignore it all again.

Hank
 
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These are the answers to the question that Sandy and every other person in this forum have evaded. I also posted it in McAdams nutter forum, and every person there, evaded it as well.

I expected that in McAdams forum, where there is no concern at all with being truthful. I didn't expect it here.

Mrs Connally testified that she heard one shot and then looked back and saw JFK with his hand raised up to his face.

She said that some time after that she heard the shot which she thought, wounded her husband and that she immediately turned to him and pulled him back to her.

1. When do you see her look back at JFK?

A. Frame 257

2. When do you see her turn to her husband as she said she did, in reaction to the second shot?

A: Frame 291-292

3. Do you see anyone else reacting then?

A: Yes, everyone except JFK

This very slow motion Zapruder segment should be helpful to you.

http://jfkhistory.com/nellie2.gif

So I asked what Robert wanted to prove. His answer was:

That Mrs. Connally reacted at frame 291-292, to a gunshot.

And that the reaction is clear enough that no one will dispute that fact.


The reason this is being ignored is because it can not be proven and is not a fact.

What was being ignored was not the answers I provided. It was the original, unanswered questions, presented to LN advocates. Why don't you take a shot at providing your own answers?

They key question is, when did she turn toward her husband as she described in her testimony, and put herself in position to pull him back to her? She clearly stated that this happened, AFTER looking back and seeing JFK in distress.

Then I don't know how soon, it seems to me it was very soon, that I heard a noise, and not being an expert rifleman, I was not aware that it was a rifle. It was just a frightening noise, and it came from the right. I turned over my right shoulder and looked back, and saw the President as he had both hands at his neck..
Then very soon there was the second shot that hit John..
and I remember that he turned to the right and then just slumped down into the seat, so that I reached over to pull him toward me..
The third shot that I heard I felt, it felt like spent buckshot falling all over us,


Of course, we all know that witnesses aren't infallible, but in this case she was not just telling us what happened; she was showing us. She was unaware that her husband was hit earlier, at 223, because his back was turned toward her, but the instant in which she heard that second shot, and turned back toward him, is crystal clear and indisputable.

And THAT is why none of the LNers would answer the questions.

Conally can be seen to move in the frames.

Yes she can.

But to claim it is a reaction is a subjective interpretation. Any suggestion of what she is reacting to, can not be claimed to be a fact, and can not be assumed to be beyond dispute.

That has nothing to do with the questions. Let's look at them again.

1. When do you see her look back at JFK?

2. When do you see her turn to her husband as she said she did, in reaction to the second shot?

3. Do you see anyone else reacting then?

I repeat - post your own answers. Let's see what you come up with.

It is a subjective interpretation.

Subjective does not always mean unreliable. It depends on how clear the observation is. In the case of Mrs. Connally, there just aren't any alternatives to when she reacted as she testified.

And the relevant part of her testimony becomes more than just subjective opinion. Her testimony then is corroborated by her visible motions and actions in the Zapruder film. We can SEE when she turned back toward JFK and saw him in distress, and we can SEE when she turned back toward her husband, to pull him back to her.

This short presentation covers Nellie's actions/testimony then and looks at other visible witnesses who corroborated her.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ql6VqZDiC6s
 
What was being ignored was not the answers I provided. It was the original, unanswered questions, presented to LN advocates. Why don't you take a shot at providing your own answers?
For the same reason they are ignored by others. The questions are faulty. You ask when somebody looked back at X, or saw Y, or heard Z, etc. These are inferring more information than the film can provide.
They key question is, when did she turn toward her husband as she described in her testimony, and put herself in position to pull him back to her? She clearly stated that this happened, AFTER looking back and seeing JFK in distress.

No. Because again, that ignores the flaws in any testimony, and tries to ascribe more information than the film contains.

Subjective does not always mean unreliable. It depends on how clear the observation is. In the case of Mrs. Connally, there just aren't any alternatives to when she reacted as she testified.

No. Subjective does not mean unreliable.

But I asked what you hoped to prove and you discussed what is fact.

Subjective opinions of a film can be neither of these things.

All you have to offer in any of your presentations is what the film looks like to you. Nobody will find that convincing.

Nobody is going to be convinced of your 'theory' by your challenges to answer flawed questions, and your theories of why people must be ignoring those questions.

Once again: Folks here are telling you how to convince them. But you would rather argue.
 
Clumsy attempt to shift the burden of proof.

Post your complete and coherent alternate hypothesis here and we'll discuss it.

I was blindsided by Robert's initial reconstruction of the event as being four shots, then finding out he felt there was strong evidence of yet another shot to the head that caused damage to the back of the head.

Of course, he also suggested there might be even more shots than five.

Yet most witnesses heard three or fewer shots (and more witnesses heard two or fewer shots than heard four or more).

And still, Robert insists witnesses like Nellie Connally, who said she heard three shots, agree with him, and confirm his observations. Somehow the fact that she heard at least two fewer shots (and maybe more) than he conjectures eludes him. Which *should* make her a poor witness if five, six, or seven shots were fired and she only heard three. But Robert ignores all that.

So yeah, I'd second that call for a complete reconstruction of the event, with the shooters locations specified and what shots they fired. Along with the names of the witnesses who testified to anything close to that.

The problem is, when all you're relying on is the outlier recollections, there's too few data points to pin down anything with surety. Which is why conspiracy theorists never get too specific. They can't. There's not enough data to support their claims - only quotes out of context, and the one in a dozen who remembers stuff differently, and those recollections decades after the fact (like Ellsworth's memory of one rifle being recovered from the Depository, but recalling it being on a different floor than the sixth).

And no hard evidence. No hard evidence whatsoever.

Hank
 
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Don't you think it is disingenuous to demand evidence that you know, has never been found?

Stundie worthy. I think you could be arguing for pink unicorns here as much as a rifle. There's no evidence of pink unicorns found in the Dal-Tex building either. How is your argument for a rifle there any different?


And did you stop to consider that 1. the Daltex was never searched by the authories

Which explains the lack of evidence for those pink unicorns very well, doesn't it?


and 2. the perps were not like Oswald, leaving an evidence trail everywhere he went. They undoubtedly broke their weapons down and temporarily hid them or managed to sneak them out of the building.

Maybe pink unicorns did it! There's as much evidence for pink unicorns being in the building as there is for these assassins you conjecture.


Instead of demanding whatever evidence you think is not available, why don't you just ask for good evidence?

I asked for the evidence, breaking it down by type. Witnesses outside the building should have seen a weapon, shouldn't they? But no one reported that. No one reported any pink unicorns, either. Curiousier and curiousier.


Sure, they found them when they searched the Daltex. Oh wait!!! They didn't search the Daltex, did they:-)

That sure is persuasive that they found no evidence in a building that they never searched, eh?

Your argument above applies equally well to rifles, shells, and pink unicorns.

You may not see that as a problem. Some people here do.

Hank
 
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