A couple of thoughts on how the ISC is going to walk this whole thing back in the motivations report:
1. The "Confession". This one is easy. The ISC already said, in a 2008 (or 2009?) opinion that the statements could not be used. Yet, by joinder of the civil matters, those statements were used. It's easy now for the ISC to say that by virtue of its prior opinion, the Lumumba case was misjoined and the statements never should have been used. Villians here: Massei, Kerchers, Lumumba.
2. The Rudy Guede case. This one is easy, too. Everyone knows that you can't use some other guy's trial to convict someone. ISC will say the the defendants should have had a fair opportunity to litigate all issues, thus "multiple attackers" and "staging" are not proved. The judges probably saw the wall-climbing video on youtube. Villians here: Chieffi, Nencini, Mignini, Kerchers.
3. DNA. This one is simple, too. Berti and Barni proved that for LCN you have to amplify multiple times, and Stefanoni never did that--ever. Given this failure of basic protocol, and the questionable circumstances around collection, the knife and clasp results are not usable, and we have a new test for scientific evidence in Italy. No other DNA results are meaningful. I think that Gill's appearance on TV was helpful. It's possible that the ISC wants to make a point about the dual issues of (i) defense has to prove contamination (even when the prosecution failed to authenticate the results), and (ii) refusal to hand over raw data. Villians here: Stefanoni, Commodi, Nencini.
4. Alibi: The alibi will be held to be feasible. The fact that it can't be proved with certainty is a function of Nencini's evasion of TOD and the cops' spoilation of the computers. Given the spoilation, defendants should have been given the benefit of the doubt on alibi, and the prosecution should have been made to come up with some concrete "anti-alibi" evidence. Villians: Massei, cops, Nencini, Kerchers.
5. Anti-Alibi witnesses: Curatalo was on drugs and Nencini never heard from him so had no standing to adjudge him credible. Quintavalle is besides the point, and full of it. Villians: Chieffi, Nencini.
6. The "Scream". Who cares? Irrelevant. Villians: Nencini.
7. Other stuff--112 Call, "behavior", "I was there", "she knew how Meredith died", etc. All rubbish. Villians: Mignini, Kerchers, Nencini.
Actually, I don't think that this Motivation report has to be that long or is very difficult to write. The Florence cabal of Castiglioni(?), Nencini and Chieffi are going to come out looking very bad. Why did they do it?