Miracle of the Shroud II: The Second Coming

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In previous posts, you have noted how Jabba has accused those doing the dating of fraud. It's worth pointing out that this objection implies not fraud, but complete incompetence!
[respectful snip]
They would have to be complete morons to make these mistakes, that is what he is suggesting.

Very true. Nothing about the shroud is any different, in terms of radiometric dating, from any other sample of ancient cloth--which they demonstrably COULD date (that's what standards are for, to ensure the machine is calibrated and operating properly).

Pam Moon said:
I have done some extensive reading on the issue and from what I have understood, testing of the Shroud material would be a nightmare to C14 technicians, due to it’s ‘extreme’ contamination.
When reading comments like this, it's useful to bear in mind what the word "contamination" means. First, it DOES NOT mean that someone spiked the sample, which would of course invalidate the sample. Natural contamination is a common occurance in geology.

Second, it's contextual--you could cover the shroud in pulverized lead and it wouldn't count in this case, despite lead being a major environmental contaminant. Contamination means the introduction of some foreign component that alters the results of the analysis. In this case, additional C14, or additional C12/C13/N14, would be contamination. Anything that doesn't have an impact on those ratios is not, by definition, a contaminant. Water isn't--while there is a certain amount of fractionation involved in dissolution, the shroud isn't old enough (even if the authenticists are correct) for that to become significant. Bacteria can be, but not always--depends on what they eat, and what comes out of them. Same with fungus. But if you remove the upper portion of the material (of the strands, in other words), that contamination is gone. Soot and ash are contamination, but so superficial as to be worthy of mention only for the sake of completeness. Radiation is a contaminant, but no source has been proposed by either side.

My point is, in order for someone to say there is "extreme" contamination, one must demonstrate that there is contamination in the first place--and nothing thus far presented suggests that any contamination is anything but superficial in nature, the kind of stuff that carbon dating labs that do much archaeological work aren't familiar with. So we can only conclude that the contamination did not make it into the sample that went into the reactor.

Third, the presence of contamination IN NO WAY automatically invalidates ANY radiometric date. It CAN invalidate the dates--I've worked with such data, where the contamination was actually so extreme that it rendered the date useless (lake sediments--they took multiple samples in the same layer, and found that certain areas were just screwy). But contamination can be addressed by removal (as in this case), or by assessing the amount of contamination (usually involving isotopic ratios) and running some mixing equations. Ironically, to folks who do this stuff for a living contamination makes the data more informative. I remember my isotopic geochem final included radiometric dates for some igneous rocks. The rocks were your standard fine-grained stuff with xenoliths--but once you got into the isotopic geochem, a whole story unfolded before you, of unimaginable violence over a billion years, with pieces passing through the mantle and curst multiple times. All thanks to contamination.

Saying "it's contaminated" and dismissing it is, in this type of discussion, the sign of someone looking for an excuse. Real scientists involved in this work look at contamination as an opportunity, not a cause for dismissal.
 
Two technical points.
1) The horribly contaminated water left behind a nasty stain, fringed with piles of anomalous C14. Unfortunately for the contamination hypothesists, however, even a cursory glance at the relevant corner shows that this water stain fringe went through the 'riserva' section of the sample cut from the shroud, and completely missed the radiocarbon sample altogether.
2) The entire shroud being thickly coated with bacteria and fungi, one can only wonder where these non-photosynthetic organisms acquired their organic content. The answer of course, is from the shroud itself, so all they did was reorganise the carbon, not add or remove any, thus making no difference to the overall C14/C12 proportion.
 
hugh farey said:
1) The horribly contaminated water left behind a nasty stain, fringed with piles of anomalous C14.
Not sufficient amounts. remember, for the authenticists to be right the soot would have to weigh more than the thread.

Second, soot--and therefore the anomalous C14--can be removed. That's why they cleaned it. In order for the C14 contamination to be relevant, it would have to have replaced carbon in the fibers. That's what happened in the study I worked on: dead carbon was bubbling up and replacing C14 in the sediments in question.

2) The entire shroud being thickly coated with bacteria and fungi, one can only wonder where these non-photosynthetic organisms acquired their organic content. The answer of course, is from the shroud itself, so all they did was reorganise the carbon, not add or remove any, thus making no difference to the overall C14/C12 proportion.
Not actually true. These organisms may be obtaining nutrients from the shroud (though other sources are possible). If that's happening, they will VERY slightly alter the C12/C13/C14 ratios. Metabolism will preferentially select certain isotopes, selectively removing them from the shroud and exporting them (via the metabolic biproducts of CO2, methane, and others) into the atmosphere. This would leave the shroud enriched in the heavy isotopes, I think (it's been a long day, but the logic is lighter isotopes are easier to remove from their molecules and therefore easier to consume, thermodynamically). This would make it appear SLIGHTLY younger--and by "slightly" I mean "if you're able to detect it you have one of the best instruments in the world".
 
Ah, precision indeed, Dinwar, and I'm sure you're correct. My real point is that a) the water contamination (if any) actually missed the radiocarbon sample altogether, and that b) fungus and mould wouldn't make a pennyworth of difference, let alone count as 'extreme' contamination.
 
Hugh and Charles,
- It just seems to me that there is plenty of reasonable doubt about the carbon dating. For instance, why should we not accept Pamela Moon's research and argument as providing some reasonable doubt?

http://www.shroudofturinexhibition.com/Shroud_of_Turin_exhibition/MIssing_corners_theory.html.

- From her conclusion: The missing corner hypothesis suggests that the sample taken for radiocarbon date was impossibly contaminated. There is evidence of [1] douse water staining, [2] bacteria and fungi on the fibres, [3] disinfectant, cotton and possibly linen fibres and [4] a different weave pattern on the Shroud. Understanding the reason for the missing corner is central to understanding the nature of the sample taken for radiocarbon date.
Because your "reasonable doubt" doesn't exist, it's utter rubbish promulgated by a shroudie desperate to cling to the cloth as a crutch to her faith.

As I've pointed out previously, and you've willfully ignored, the shroud samples were extensively and professionally decontaminated prior to their testing.
If you, or any other believer, have actual evidence (and not just opinions based on a desperate and pathetic need to cling to the supposed authenticity of the cloth) please state them, giving details of the supposed contaminants, their origin, their effect on the dating and why such contaminants would not be removed by the extensive and careful decontamination.

Otherwise you have nothing. Again.

The cleaning would eliminate the contamination. If you believe otherwise, please present data on the specific cleaning methods and contamination. Water staining wouldn't cause any alteration to C14; even if it carried smoke with it, that would be superficial and easily removed by any cleaning method, even just soap and water (speaking from experience here--my father is a fire fighter, and I've learned how to remove smoke from clothing through extensive experience). As for the weave, that's a lie, pure and simple. There's no demonstrable difference between the weave in the sample area and the rest of the cloth on any photograph.

So thus far there is no justifiable excuse for not accepting the carbon dating. Got anything else?
Exactly.
 
In previous posts, you have noted how Jabba has accused those doing the dating of fraud. It's worth pointing out that this objection implies not fraud, but complete incompetence!
In the previous incarnation of this thread Jabba made similarly slanderous accusations against Walter McCrone because he dared to tell the truth about the shroud and STURP.
 
Carbon Dating Doubts

Hugh or Charles,
- Do either of you guys think that there is any reasonable doubt as to the accuracy of the carbon dating?
 
Hugh or Charles,
- Do either of you guys think that there is any reasonable doubt as to the accuracy of the carbon dating?

Good afternoon, Mr. Savage!

I wonder if you would be so kind as to explain what you mean by "reasonable" doubt (Remember, "reasonable doubt" is "doubt that is reasonable"...).

What, in your mind, is "reasonable" about rejecting three independent dates provided by three independent labs, under unusually stringent conditions and protocols, while accepting a single test done on fibers of dubious provenance, a test that has not ever been used to date a verified artifact?

What, in your mind, has changed, since the last time you tried this?
 
Carbon Dating Doubts

From http://www.shroud.com/pdfs/stlschneiderpaper.pdf, a 2013 article by
Raymond J. Schneider: The Flawed Carbon Dating Process
The problem with the samples did not originate with the carbon labs however. William Meachum had warned in a submission to Archbishop
Ballestrero: "It is a very serious error indeed to proceed with C14 dating
on the assumption that it is an infallible method." [2] A protocol had been
recommended by the Turin conference held in September 1986. It was advanced
as a recommendation and not a binding agreement. None the less the
recommendations involved more than three labs, a mix of both counter labs
and AMS (Accelerator Mass Spectrometry) labs, and most importantly samples
from multiple sites. The decision to limit the dating to three labs, using
only the AMS method and restricting the sampling to a single highly
contaminated site were all outcomes determined by a politicized and highly
bureaucratic process of Byzantine proportions. Mix in a lot of backbiting
and intrigue as thoroughly documented by Harry Gove [3] and William Meacham
[4] and you have a recipe for disaster.

Later on, Schneider talks about other indications that the chemical
composition of the sample does not represent the greater cloth – the age
gradient within the sample, the UV fluorescence evidence, other chemically
sensitive photos.

He goes on to point out how erroneous some carbon dating has been.

Any of these reach the level of reasonable doubt? How about added together?
 
Sorry, Jabba, but for me, the answer is no. Slowvehicle is correct to ask what 'reasonable doubt' consists of, and earlier IanS, I think, said, correctly, that no 'scientific truth' is certain, and that therefore some doubt exists. A year or so ago, I did not realise exactly how much contamination would be required to skew a 1st century date to make it appear 14th century, and I knew very little about invisible weaving. For me, there was reasonable doubt about the medieval date, and I joined in this blog (partially for the fun of the rough-and-tumble I have to admit) in that frame of mind. Having since spent an inordinate amount of time investigating my 'reasonable doubts' I now find that they are insufficient to discredit the radiocarbon date, and so are, for me, now unreasonable.

In short, when a perfectly sensible person whose reliability you trust tells you something, it is not unreasonable to believe him. However, if on further investigation, it appears that he is mistaken, then it becomes unreasonable to believe him just because he is a friend, colleague, or 'expert.' The evidence must speak for itself. He may be able to explain how you have misinterpreted the evidence, in which case you apologise and agree that he was right all along, but in the case of the Shroud and the carbon date, this has not happened to me.
 
He goes on to point out how erroneous some carbon dating has been.

It might be good to ask what Raymond J. Schneider's credentials are, beyond a retired college math teacher from a Church of the Brethren affiliated undergrad school. Why would someone accept his claims over those of experts in carbon dating?
 
From http://www.shroud.com/pdfs/stlschneiderpaper.pdf, a 2013 article by Raymond J. Schneider: The Flawed Carbon Dating Process The problem with the samples did not originate with the carbon labs however. William Meachum had warned in a submission to Archbishop Ballestrero: "It is a very serious error indeed to proceed with C14 dating on the assumption that it is an infallible method." [2] A protocol had been recommended by the Turin conference held in September 1986. It was advanced as a recommendation and not a binding agreement. None the less the recommendations involved more than three labs, a mix of both counter labs and AMS (Accelerator Mass Spectrometry) labs, and most importantly samples from multiple sites. The decision to limit the dating to three labs, using only the AMS method and restricting the sampling to a single highly contaminated site were all outcomes determined by a politicized and highly bureaucratic process of Byzantine proportions. Mix in a lot of backbiting and intrigue as thoroughly documented by Harry Gove [3] and William Meacham [4] and you have a recipe for disaster.

Later on, Schneider talks about other indications that the chemical composition of the sample does not represent the greater cloth – the age gradient within the sample, the UV fluorescence evidence, other chemically sensitive photos.

He goes on to point out how erroneous some carbon dating has been.

Any of these reach the level of reasonable doubt? How about added together?
No, that is an unreasonable doubt. If the method is supposedly open to question, then how did all three labs manage to obtain the similar measurements among all the samples, including correct measurements on the controls, whose true dates were already known?
 
No, that is an unreasonable doubt. If the method is supposedly open to question, then how did all three labs manage to obtain the similar measurements among all the samples, including correct measurements on the controls, whose true dates were already known?

In earlier portions of this thread, and in its progenitor, Mr. Savage was pleased to allege incompetence, bias, collusion, and dishonesty. I wonder if those are to be riffs in his current refrain.
 
Sorry, Jabba, but for me, the answer is no. Slowvehicle is correct to ask what 'reasonable doubt' consists of, and earlier IanS, I think, said, correctly, that no 'scientific truth' is certain, and that therefore some doubt exists. A year or so ago, I did not realise exactly how much contamination would be required to skew a 1st century date to make it appear 14th century, and I knew very little about invisible weaving. For me, there was reasonable doubt about the medieval date, and I joined in this blog (partially for the fun of the rough-and-tumble I have to admit) in that frame of mind. Having since spent an inordinate amount of time investigating my 'reasonable doubts' I now find that they are insufficient to discredit the radiocarbon date, and so are, for me, now unreasonable.

In short, when a perfectly sensible person whose reliability you trust tells you something, it is not unreasonable to believe him. However, if on further investigation, it appears that he is mistaken, then it becomes unreasonable to believe him just because he is a friend, colleague, or 'expert.' The evidence must speak for itself. He may be able to explain how you have misinterpreted the evidence, in which case you apologise and agree that he was right all along, but in the case of the Shroud and the carbon date, this has not happened to me.

Ya think? Shall we do all over again the previous failed arguments? Perhaps you missed it Hugh, but this has been thrashed out several times already. No t your problem, to be sure, but it most certainly is Jabba's problem because Jabba is attempting yet another fringe reset. You will get suckered in, since you have not participated in the preceding years of repeating circular arguments. It is those very years of circularity that have generated a level of cynicism not often seen.
 
Let's be clear here: NO ONE uses multiple labs. Period. It DOES NOT HAPPEN. The fact that they did three is so far over and above what anyone else does for carbon dating that to use it as an excuse to dismiss the dating is insane. There's no other word for it.

The reason for the multiple sites is understandable--it allows for a representative sample. If there are any variations (there's no evidence of it), it'll limit the effect of that variation. That said, an isolated sample works just as well. There's even a term for it--discreet sampling, as opposed to composite sampling. Given the fragility and value of the shroud (it's a Medieval artifact after all), a discreet sample is normally the way to go.

Unless some methodological difference can be demonstrated between the two methods, the use of only one is irrelevant. The fact that we have independent corroboration shows that there's nothing wrong with using one--we have two independent dates anyway.

The phrase "highly contaminated" was slipped in there without discussion or preamble. It's a fallacy unbecoming of a scientist, but perfectly in line with a propagandist.

The rest has been discussed ad nausium. They don't hold up to even casual analysis.

So no, none of this rises to the level of reasonable doubt. These paint the picture of someone grasping at straws. "Reasonable doubt" must necessarily address the specific analytical methods involved, and show that variability in those methods is greater than 1300 years. If those two criteria are not met, the doubt is not reasonable.
 
<snip>
Any of these reach the level of reasonable doubt? How about added together?
No.
This garbage was dealt with in the previous thread yet you parrot it again. :rolleyes:
The contamination issue has been extensively covered; it's a red herring waved around by those unwilling to accept reality.
The decision to use AMS was enforced by the controllers of the shroud, as other techniques would require too much fabric being removed.
Likewise the use of only three labs has been covered in detail.
The idea that the sampled area was somehow "different" from the rest of the shroud has also been dealt with, by those far more knowledgeable than Meachum.
 
Carbon Dating Doubts

Sorry, Jabba, but for me, the answer is no. Slowvehicle is correct to ask what 'reasonable doubt' consists of, and earlier IanS, I think, said, correctly, that no 'scientific truth' is certain, and that therefore some doubt exists. A year or so ago, I did not realise exactly how much contamination would be required to skew a 1st century date to make it appear 14th century, and I knew very little about invisible weaving. For me, there was reasonable doubt about the medieval date, and I joined in this blog (partially for the fun of the rough-and-tumble I have to admit) in that frame of mind. Having since spent an inordinate amount of time investigating my 'reasonable doubts' I now find that they are insufficient to discredit the radiocarbon date, and so are, for me, now unreasonable.

In short, when a perfectly sensible person whose reliability you trust tells you something, it is not unreasonable to believe him. However, if on further investigation, it appears that he is mistaken, then it becomes unreasonable to believe him just because he is a friend, colleague, or 'expert.' The evidence must speak for itself. He may be able to explain how you have misinterpreted the evidence, in which case you apologise and agree that he was right all along, but in the case of the Shroud and the carbon date, this has not happened to me.
Hugh,

- Thanks.

- So far, we disagree -- and with your much greater knowledge about the Shroud, I certainly have to question my own conclusions re the carbon dating...
- And agreed, "reasonable doubt" is certainly a vague term.
- But so far, I still think that there is enough doubt -- especially, when the reservations are added up -- to require further consideration of the other evidence.

- I'll be back.
 
Hugh,

- Thanks.

- So far, we disagree -- and with your much greater knowledge about the Shroud, I certainly have to question my own conclusions re the carbon dating...
- And agreed, "reasonable doubt" is certainly a vague term.
- But so far, I still think that there is enough doubt -- especially, when the reservations are added up -- to require further consideration of the other evidence.

- I'll be back.

Why are you ignoring Dinwar's posts?
 
Hugh,

- Thanks.

- So far, we disagree -- and with your much greater knowledge about the Shroud, I certainly have to question my own conclusions re the carbon dating...
- And agreed, "reasonable doubt" is certainly a vague term.
- But so far, I still think that there is enough doubt -- especially, when the reservations are added up -- to require further consideration of the other evidence.

- I'll be back.
If "reasonable doubt" is a vague term - and it is - are you telling us that "enough doubt - especially when the reservations are added up" is any less vague?
 
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