• Security incident: ISF was recently accessed by intruders. Please change your password, and change it anywhere else you used it. Read more

Global warming discussion III

Status
Not open for further replies.
No links from Arnold Martin, I see. Referencing the Journal of Political Psychology is pretty revealing, and of course there are quotes from Roy Spencer and Lindzen. If you want to know something ask an old right-wing white guy, preferably a creationist but any port in a storm.

The denialist belief that the atmosphere is just getting wetter, for no reason, and that's why the world is warming was one of the earliest to emerge. Of course the atmosphere is getting wetter because the world is warming, and the reason the world is warming is the enhanced greenhouse effect due to increased CO2; the increased CO2 is due to the burning of fossil-fuels, contrary to the beliefs of quite a few old right-wing white guys who think it comes from invisible volcanoes or possibly god-flatulence.

One thing that can be said for Spencer : he's on record rubbishing the RSS Lower Tropical Temperature series which the Pause faithful rely on to prop up their crumbling worldview. Of course he's wedded to his own mysterious UAH LTT series (produced in partnership with another of the Cornwall Alliance faithful, Christy) so he's far from disinterested, but all the same there it is. Heck, even the guy in charge of the RSS series thinks it's undependable and less informative than surface temperature series.

Naturally denialists self-report an understanding of climate science since they tend to spend a lot of time in their comfort-zones being fed simplistic errors by ignoramuses.

To quote Lindzen (a multi-purpose denialist) claiming that science is a religious cult in the same post as Roy Spencer,a signatory to the Cornwall Alliance statement of fundamental belief, is unintentional irony at it's best.
 
Dan M. Kahan, "Elizabeth K. Dollard Professor of Law and Professor of Psychology at Yale Law School."

No mentioned date of publication for that study, either. Can't wait to see the questions that were asked.

ETA: Here's the article: Global-warming Skeptics Know More Climate Science, Study Shows. The New American seems to be the source of this story, and the only one currently reporting it.
 
Last edited:
AM took most of his post verbatim from the article that Cl1mh4224rd found. I believe the article is referring to a paper title 'Climate-Science Communication and the Measurement Problem' (doi: 10.1111/pops.12244).

I've not had a chance to go into it in much detail, but it concerns the way the different groups in the climate arguments view themselves and the science involved and how it is affected by political and religious beliefs.

I've certainly not seen anything that suggests what New American or AM contend... (quelle surprise)
 
After reading The New American article more closely, I have to correct some things about my previous post.

The New American seems to be the source of this story, and the only one currently reporting it.


The source actually seems to be Fox News, in the article Study: Global warming skeptics know more about climate science.

Can't wait to see the questions that were asked.


One of the questions was actually mentioned in both The New American and Fox News articles:

Maxim Lott said:
One question, for instance, asked if scientists believe that warming would “increase the risk of skin cancer.” Skeptics were more likely than believers to know that is false.


OK. Kudos to the deniers on that point, but... the results of this study don't call into question the validity of the actual climate research.

And if you want to use the level of knowledge about climate change to determine whose claims about the seriousness of climate change to believe... well... climatologists win. And we already know what they have to say about it.

ETA: And the study isn't even measuring the participants' knowledge of climate change itself; it's only measuring the participants' knowledge of what climatologists are saying about climate change. It's pretty useless as anti-AGW ammunition.
 
Last edited:
The denialist belief that the atmosphere is just getting wetter, for no reason, and that's why the world is warming was one of the earliest to emerge.

This really deserves more focus and attention considering the nature of the forum we're on. This whole notion that it's just "natural" without any kind of alternative hypothesis is essentially an appeal to the supernatural. It's like say "god wotdiddit". Dana wrote a good piece on the topic in The Guardian a few months back:

http://www.theguardian.com/environm...-science-magical-thinking-debunked-by-science

Any valid climate research has to work within that known framework. When you throw out everything we know about the Earth's climate, you're stuck making unphysical arguments based on nothing more than correlations and curve fitting, as Akasofu did. The problem for climate contrarians is that our existing climate framework is very solid. We understand the fundamentals about how the climate operates well enough to accurately reproduce the observed changes, based on solid, well-understood physical mechanisms like the increased greenhouse effect. That's not about to get overturned by magical thinking.
 
Sure there is evidence ... it's just nature/history repeating itself

Heinrich and Dansgaard-Oeschger events


There is a big difference between regional changes and global ones. D-O events have very rapids warming in some locations but not all parts of the globe warm. D-O and Heinrich events are generally believed to be energy exchanges and not the massive increase in energy the atmosphere and oceans are currently experiencing.
 
After reading The New American article more closely, I have to correct some things about my previous post.




The source actually seems to be Fox News, in the article Study: Global warming skeptics know more about climate science.




One of the questions was actually mentioned in both The New American and Fox News articles:




OK. Kudos to the deniers on that point, but... the results of this study don't call into question the validity of the actual climate research.

And if you want to use the level of knowledge about climate change to determine whose claims about the seriousness of climate change to believe... well... climatologists win. And we already know what they have to say about it.

ETA: And the study isn't even measuring the participants' knowledge of climate change itself; it's only measuring the participants' knowledge of what climatologists are saying about climate change. It's pretty useless as anti-AGW ammunition.

I'm calling BS on Faux News as well. What Dan Kahan found was that the more that libertarians learned about climate science the more they rejected the science due to cognitive bias.
We see the same cognitive bias here repeatedly and I'm so glad that I learned that no amount of peer-reviewed data will change deniers minds as their worldview forces them to reject the science.

It was bizarre in the video to hear that the more a libertarian learns about climate science the more they reject it. I also loved the stat that only about 14% of professors are Republicans.

Here is a video by Chris Mooney which presents Dan Kahan's work.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ANeW7U0qRKo
 
lol
Is that why more oil is being used everyday?

You have zero control over the climate or people who use fossil fuels, I will lend my vote and money to keep it that way.

Logger is coming from an entirely wrong set of facts, but he's reached the same conclusion I have. It doesn't matter what America does anymore. The developing world (mainly India and China) are going to use fossil fuels, and a lot of them. It's just too cheap and easy for them to not use oil and coal.

And there's too much money to be made in America exporting it to them.

We could reduce our emissions by 50% in the next five years, and it would only postpone the inevitable environmental collapse. I think our efforts now need to focus on geo-engineering our way out of this.
 
I think our efforts now need to focus on geo-engineering our way out of this.

No no. the elite libs can continue to push for a world wide carbon tax that will drive up energy prices, thereby stalling economies. That way they can save the planet and make money at the same time.

There is only one problem, as the world gets colder and colder, energy will be terribly expensive causing the normal people of the world to reject the liberal freaks of the world.
 
Logger is coming from an entirely wrong set of facts, but he's reached the same conclusion I have. It doesn't matter what America does anymore. The developing world (mainly India and China) are going to use fossil fuels, and a lot of them. It's just too cheap and easy for them to not use oil and coal.

And there's too much money to be made in America exporting it to them.

We could reduce our emissions by 50% in the next five years, and it would only postpone the inevitable environmental collapse. I think our efforts now need to focus on geo-engineering our way out of this.

How would we geo-engineer our way out of this?
 
We see the same cognitive bias here repeatedly and I'm so glad that I learned that no amount of peer-reviewed data will change deniers minds as their worldview forces them to reject the science.

Do we ever. Injecting phrases like "elite libs" into science discussions just screams politically motivated cognitive bias from people who clearly have not ever bothered trying to understand the evidence. People coming at an issue like that just aren't worth the effort - life's too short!
 
So you're happy to accept NOAA's conclusions when you erroneously feel it supports your denial but outright reject them when it completely undermines said denial? My. What a strange dissonant position to hold.


Yes, Nature is strange isn't it :D

Friday Funny Bonus: East Coast Frozen Blizzard Edition


Snowmageddon: 17 amazing photos of record-breaking US snow


More Arctic Cold to Flow Across Eastern US Through End of February
Additional rounds of frigid air will continue to drill the Eastern United States into the end of February, riding on the heels of bursts of record-breaking low temperatures.
By way of Siberia, additional waves of cold air will continue to roll into the Eastern states. This cross-polar flow, as it is called, travels thousands of miles across the North Pole, over frozen tundra, seas of ice and/or snow cover. As a result, it experiences little moderation until it reaches the southern U.S.
According to AccuWeather.com Chief Meteorologist Elliot Abrams, "In some cases the cold has been rivaling that of low temperature marks set during the winters of the 1970s, 1980s and 1990s."
"Temperatures will average 20-30 degrees below normal over a huge area from the southern Plains to New England during the first blast and then 10-20 degrees below normal over a similar area during the second blast," Lundberg said.
 
Haig. Ever thought about what is driving that cold air down towards the East Coast of the US, and why those weather patterns are becoming more persistant, or why there is more precipitation...
 
I don't think its about the money.

I think its about different things for different people.

Why does anyone consciously or inadvertantly try to make things look worse than they really are?

Politics? Power? Fame? A sense of significance? Feeling like the world is in danger and only they have the answer?

Considering that every single word you've uttered on this thread is a lie, I don't think you're in a position to criticise anybody else for why they accurately and truthfully describe the current scientific knowledge on global warming.

Tell me, do you get paid to regurgitate this ****, or are you so imbecilic as to actually believe it? Because your superiors don't, they just find more profit in condemning their children.
 
Haig and Arnold Martin have the same old kind of harmless arguments, a mix of fantasy and ambulance chaser rhetoric in a low level. AM, by copypasta of texts being it really his personal version of the "Like" button disguised as some sort of endorsement; Haig by championing epistemological hedonism and seeing what s/he wants to see, like the failed interpretation of Heinrich and Dansgaard-Oeschger events, as if we hadn't enough contemporary instances of warmed high latitudes along with unusually cold mid latitudes, besides the fact of getting cores from the regions where ice was meant to stay and not to vanish. Is it possible some critical comment about figure 4 in the linked page above? Is it possible to include variations in ice levels and circulation change owing to the very fresh water and iceberg flushes this is supposed to evidence for?

So far, the same old ****, where these would-be "lawyers", inspired by watching Perry Mason reruns, apply the adversarial system logic as if it is related to science and try to deal with each thin individual thread that makes the extremely thick rope which ties AGW to the current climate as if their objections were breaking a link in a chain and making it all fall apart. The fact that they can't even identify a valid objection makes the whole scene even more sad. The last germ of a valid objection that I remember here was an argument sketched by AlBell months ago.

On the other hand, Fudbucker and logger have clearly little, if something, to say about this thread's subject but the intellectual equivalent of a piece of chalk scratching the blackboard. Epistemological hedonism on steroids, as the example of "we're not causing it but we can geo-engineer our way out of it" and Sesame St. economics like "carbon tax makes them get money in a context of higher fuel prices, global cooling and desperate masses rejecting liberalism in the end" -whatever liberalism is in the mind of this person-. Of course, not even the epistemologic level of someone getting 601 in their SAT tests. Let's call my words a strawman if you like, though it was never intended as a counterargument of what was said by them but as a description of decay of quality and off-topicality that permeates this forum.

Let's make it climate science focused for these intellectual powerhouses: You got a nearly exceptional Antarctic sea ice extent and area for the 40 days around and following last solstice.

http://nsidc.org/data/seaice_index/i...timeseries.png

http://arctic.atmos.uiuc.edu/cryosph...teractive.html

What did it mean in terms of the planet's energy budget during those days? What can you infer from the global temperature sets for those days, including the satellite golem built by I. Jones at Huntsville? The 12-month running average was record high by January 2015 (there's always a set that says it isn't so), what do you expect it to be by February 2015?

Let's remind denialists -and some warmers- that the Earth's orbit is not circular.

By the way, I would like an AGW sceptic answering this question (I never got any reply to it from them, here and everywhere. They suddenly become mute when asked this and similar basic questions): Which is warmer, a mass of air at 20°C with relative humidity 50% or the exact same mass of air at 19.3°C with relative humidity 70%? The reply has to be "scientific" and you may use any of them or both if you're doubting about it being a mass of dry air or wet air.
 
Status
Not open for further replies.

ISF - Join now!

Every member here is approved by hand. No bots, no spam, just people who care about evidence and honest debate.

Membership is free!

Create your free account

Back
Top Bottom