I was talking to a junior lawyer (civil not criminal so not an expert but with an international law interest) who thought AK case was like to be taken by ECHR because it addressed a broader issue.
In essence it is accepted that AK and RS were denied access to legal counsel until immediately before the preliminary court hearing on the eighth. Mach says this is legal under Italian law as the PM has the authority to restrict access of suspects to legal counsel.
The ECHR takes the view (as referenced cases show) that access to legal counsel should usually be at the first opportunity.
So the first question the ECHR will address is whether Italian law is compliant with European Human rights law in allowing the PM to restrict access to legal counsel arbitrarily. (There appears to be no clear argument made for why this was done.)
I think that Italy will lose this. The ECHR will say that Italy has to be clear that the grounds for restriction of access have to be specific and exceptional (and documented and challengeable).
The second question leading from the first is at what point did AK and RS transit from witness to suspect. There are clearly a series of progressive indications.
1) Interview late at night - witnesses are normally interviewed during working hours when they and the police are clearest in memory. Excluding the immediate aftermath of the crime late night interviews are not witness interviews.
2) Sollecito withdrawing Knox alibi. This should clearly be a trigger for transitioning of Knox to being a suspect.
3) Calling in an interpreter in the middle of the night again not something that would be done for a witness statement.
4) Knox verbal statement of being present at the time of the crime.
There are an escalating series of indicators that the Police were regarding AK as a suspect. So the ECHR will need to decide when the transition occurred.
The argument from Italy is that they followed the letter of the law in restricting access to legal counsel, the ECHR will say that justice requires early access to legal counsel.
The second question is as Mach might put it; is the Callunia any different from if AK assaulted a cop during the interview. The answer is that it is, because the callunia is a direct product of the interview directed by the police. A particular vulnerability is the lack of contemporaneous record in the absence of a lawyer and the mediation of the interpreter who asked Knox something that was not asked by the interviewing police (to try to recall something that trauma may have caused her to suppress). This intervention by a third party whilst Knox lacked the protection of a lawyer will I think be the critical argument. The police should have realised this was inappropriate but got lost in the perceived success of Knox imagining the scenario as she had been asked.
The out come is likely to be Italy being told to tighten up administrative safeguards around PM restrictions to legal counsel. All the Knox interview post Sollecito withdrawal of alibi being rendered unusable callunia being thus void and the need to retry murder excluding the interviews / statements.
Planigale,
Thank you for this excellent post. And your friend the civil lawyer was accurate in saying that ECHR will take up Amanda Knox's application claiming her rights were violated due to the interrogation without a lawyer followed by the conviction for calunnia that occurred in the interrogation. There is some uniqueness to this case, in terms of the violation of human rights, so ECHR is likely give it extra emphasis.
One element of uniqueness is that the conviction is not for what the police had been investigating directly, the murder/rape of Meredith Kercher, but for another crime (under Italian law) committed allegedly by Amanda Knox solely be means of her verbalization in speech or writing while she was interrogated and in police custody without access to a lawyer. As you stated in your post, the accusation against Patrick Lumumba was a direct consequence of the police interrogation and the methods that they used in the interrogation.
There have been other cases where the ECHR has been aware that police interrogation elicited false accusations from a suspect against one or more other individuals, but AFAIK the false accusations were never treated as a crime by the domestic state responsible. (Instead, the false accusations were used to prosecute the falsely accused - a more straightforward situation.) So this uniqueness will demand ECHR special attention.