Tireseome.
The was a projection made in 1981 - the lurid line is the reality for the next 30 years.
It undershot the mark because it is impossible to predict the release of C02 by unpredictable humans.
This is how the atmosphere works....the physics has been long established - especially in the case of CO2 - why you could even demostrate the principle in your kitchen if you chose to ....12 year old science students do it all the time for the science fairs. Or is it beyond your skill set perhaps since you don't want to answer the key question.
Does CO2 trap IR?
The primary driver of AGW just now is CO2 which has increased to 400 ppm frm 280 during the industrial revolution.
These are the measured results.
Small increases in global temperatures up to 1950
Much greater increases since then.
This is one of the measured outcomes...
this is another
Ocean and air are an interchange surface...ENSO shows up cyclically as changes in ocean temperatures
La Nina engenders some observable cooling by keep the heat trapped.
The last decade has featured La Nina dominated conditions with no major El Nino since that favorite year of the denier crowd 1998
El Nino engenders a warming signal by releasing heat.
This is the heat in the Pacific earlier this year.
This is the anomalous heat which is engendering a El Nino this year.
It is massive by past measurement.
Yet the source is clear....there has been no hiatus in warming in the ocean - in fact as
measurements show it has accelerated.
It has consequences world wide just as the unprecedented one in 1998 did.
El Niño exerts a deadly effect : Nature News & Comment
www.nature.com/news/el-niño-exerts-a-deadly-effect-1.11158
Aug 12, 2012 - El Niño events, which displace warm water into the eastern Pacific ... pollution can account for as many as 15,000 deaths in El Niño years, the study says. ... pollution in El Niño years would exact a heavy toll on the population.
There is a known set of physics driving the change in the energy balance of the planet.
It is the addition of fossil carbon by way of burning fossil fuels which form carbon dioxide.
Even Exxon finally acknowledges it even tho their own scientists informed them of it in 1995 - they denied the connection as you do.
They lied and have now acknowledged the serious risk of climate change as the global science community has been warning about since the 80s.
Verifiable underlying process.
Substantiated by a climate projection in 1981 that tracked the expected increase very well given the always uncertainty of human activity.
Supported by numerous disciplines such as glaciology showning massive loss of glaciers world wide and Arctic Ocean measurements showing almost complete loss of thousands of year old ice shelves and historic lows in ice volume.
Substantiated also by changes in the biome - onset of spring, species moving to the poles - some as far as 700 km out of their historical range.
These are measured outcomes....due to a known mechanism
You have no counter to them.
To deny the reality of the above .....well...
is all that is left for your position...equal in magnitude to the folly to denying evolution.
This is not written for you.....anyone with a shred of sense would understand that we are warming the planet.
This is for the casual reader that might think your position has any validity in science....it has not.
The deniers might get away with promulgating the nonsense on Faux news and right wing talk radio without being challenged.
Not here.
