X 2."Since science doesn't know everything this woo could be true."
X 2."Since science doesn't know everything this woo could be true."
I think this is a good explanation for why your neighbors want nothing to do with you.If there are women present I will say who is the hot chick that wants me too much![]()
Does this mean that you wouldn't try to stop someone from jumping off a bridge? They might be able to fly, or their guardian angel might save them.If it interests you, sure.
I am not against adopting heuristics to shape how I spend my time, but neither would I accept the point of view that "most," or "nearly all," or "with a very high probability," or "every one I've checked so far," could ever substitute for "certain."
"Since science doesn't know everything this woo could be true."
X 2.![]()
I (and, I think, tsig and PixyMisa) agree, WHEN the hi-lighted part is true. Dowsing isn't there yet, and everything we know about physics says that it won't be.It's even worse than that. More like: "If this thing I think is woo isn't, science has to yield."
Remember, we don't want to win so much as end up closer to correct than we were before. But I do agree that skipping the trial altogether, and going from the squad car right to prison is more efficient.
If I read this correctly, you are claiming the rods can actually hear your voice. Is that your claim?I asked the rods out loud to show me the water line and they pointed in the opposite direction to what he had indicated. I found the water line. It then occurred to me that I was being tested, and asked him if that was the case. He begrudgingly admitted it was.
In your very first post in this thread, you claimed to be a long time skeptic. If that is so, then you most certainly know about testing protocols, blinding of tests, null hypothesis, etc. With that knowledge, you don't need a bleedin chance to start testing - you would have done so at the first inkling of a dowsing capability.FFS AdMan, I am only just beginning to experiment with dowsing, I am far from the stage of scientifically trying to prove anything. Gimme a bleedin chance for christs sake.
If I read this correctly, you are claiming the rods can actually hear your voice. Is that your claim?
IIn your very first post in this thread, you claimed to be a long time skeptic. If that is so, then you most certainly know about testing protocols, blinding of tests, null hypothesis, etc. With that knowledge, you don't need a bleedin chance to start testing - you would have done so at the first inkling of a dowsing capability.
Why have you failed to do so?
No!
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I know sod all about "testing protocols, blinding of tests, null hypothesis, etc" I don't even know what null hypothesis means. What does it mean ?
I had a very interesting day today. I went to see a long time friend who was interested to see the dowsing we had talked over the phone. I showed him what I could do, then he took over. He can locate all the stuff that I can, AND he can do the remote dowsing too ! It was crazy to watch his rods swing backwards and forwards as I hoped to and fro over a telephone line.
Later on we drew a map of the interior of his house with the idea of doing a test. He went into his office and shut the door while I located two points that gave me a water reading. I marked the two places on the map with an X. He then took the rods and also located two places, placing a cup at each one.
I know sod all about "testing protocols, blinding of tests, null hypothesis, etc"
I don't even know what null hypothesis means. What does it mean ?
His locating matched mine exactly![]()
[ . . . ]
Why not do a very simple experiment today? Have your wife put six empty glasses under some towels or boxes. Let her roll a die and fill the corresponding glass with water. See how often you can find it. It should take about fifteen minutes.
However new you are to dowsing, I'm sure you have six glasses, some towels and fifteen minutes.
Test yourself and report the results.
You'll need to watch this lecture by physicist and skeptic Sean Carroll. It's a better explanation than I can provide.
[ . . . ]
I don't even know what null hypothesis means. What does it mean ?
No, it's not. Since we only have to consider possible explanations, and there aren't any, it's quite easy.
So what you're saying is that dowsing isn't real, but dowsers think it's real because they're smelling something?Here's where we disagree.
I'll even advance a possible explanation: dowsers are reacting to something they smell.
So what you're saying is that dowsing isn't real, but dowsers think it's real because they're smelling something?
So what you're saying is that dowsing isn't real, but dowsers think it's real because they're smelling something?
That doesn't dispute my point, which is that we know for sure that dowsing is baloney. It just offers an explanation for why dowsers might show better results than we'd expect by chance, and mistakenly attribute it to dowsing.
Except - there is no evidence that dowsers have better results than we'd expect by chance. So it's a whole chain of supposition to explain something that doesn't happen.
If this were true, we'd have gold sniffing dogs.I'll even advance a possible explanation: dowsers are reacting to something they smell.
We have corpse sniffing dogs.I think this may have been suggested in a previous thread about dowsing for corpses.
By Jove, I think he's got it!OK, I see the mismatch better now. We are starting at two different places. I'm starting with an activity people do as I observe them doing it, while I think you are starting from what might be claimed about that activity.
Of course, if the root concept - whatever qualifies for the term dowsing - is bollocks from the start, there can, by definition, never be evidence for it since it is impossible right out of the gate. Anything possible wouldn't be dowsing. Dowsing doesn't exist...