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The Trump Pool

How long will Trump last?

  • Total voters
    38

alfaniner

Penultimate Amazing
alfaniner
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How long do you think he's going to last? Whether he withdraws, gets embroiled in a scandal, or is impeached and removed. Or, he'll serve out the full one (or two) terms.
 
I'm... wait... there's a vast difference between "one year or more" and "full term."
I predict 18 months, but i have spoiled my ballot due to confusion.
 
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Whatever the final results are the opposite will happen. Such is the accuracy of ISF.
 
I say one term. He'll realize it isn't as much fun as he expexted, but stick it out for a full term.
 
Synopsis so far: 80% of early risers on a poll of 83% Democrats, think he'll stay a full term. But there is only a 10% chance of that.
 
alfaniner said:
How long do you think he's going to last? Whether he withdraws, gets embroiled in a scandal, or is impeached and removed. Or, he'll serve out the full one (or two) terms.
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He's apparently impervious to scandal. He'll last his whole term, assuming the country does.
 
NoahFence said:
He's apparently impervious to scandal. He'll last his whole term, assuming the country does.
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I'm not so sure about that. Republicans would be very happy to have Pence as POTUS, and will hang Trump out to dry as soon as they can find a good enough scandal.
 
alfaniner said:
How long do you think he's going to last? Whether he withdraws, gets embroiled in a scandal, or is impeached and removed. Or, he'll serve out the full one (or two) terms.
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Hasn't he already had a dozen scandals or so before the election and his base didn't care one wit?
 
Well, the folks who voted against corrupt Clinton seem to be OK with a President who views the Executive Office as part of his business. It's corruption as an essential part of the Presidency, so thoroughly integrated into the role that you can't see the rotten trees for the forest.

His prospective National Security Adviser's taking classified briefings while representing foreign interests is strictly penny-ante stuff by comparison. (Of course, as an employee of a Federal contractor I'd be bounced out on my ear in a heartbeat for stuff like this, but nobody voted for me.)
 
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A President's assets are supposedly placed in a Blind Trust. He is not supposed to know what he is invested in. That is to make it more difficult to have conflicts of interest. Supposedly.
 
casebro said:
A President's assets are supposedly placed in a Blind Trust. He is not supposed to know what he is invested in. That is to make it more difficult to have conflicts of interest. Supposedly.
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That's done by tradition, rather than by law. Trump doesn't have to put his assets in a blind trust and, in fact, isn't.

Thank goodness his base is so concerned about political corruption, right? Right?
 
you are assuming they even understand what it is, his son certainly didn't seem to...

they probably hear 'blind trust' and think 'that's probably some dumb liberal thing, I don't want my president blindly trusting anything!'
 
I don't think he'll ever quit the role, but I think he'll quit being the actual President quite quickly.

Reports have it that President Obama gave him a tour of the White House and talked him through all the duties the President has. Allegedly, Trump was rather taken aback by just how much work it involves.

I think he probably imagined that being President was mostly about state dinners, flying around on Air Force One, opening things, and giving speeches. Donald likes all of those things, especially giving speeches. You could tell during the campaign that he really loved the adulation the crowds gave him, and I think he's always going to love the feeling of being "the boss".

But I think that after a month or two of the actual workload, he will delegate pretty much all of his Presidential duties to his staff and Pence. He'll rubber stamp whatever they decide whilst taking public credit and concentrate on doing the things he likes.

I also think he'll bilk as much money as he can out of the Presidency, which will lead to various scandals along those lines. But so what? Republicans only care about such things when Democrats do them, so that simply won't be an issue to them. The idea that they will impeach him for any kind of financial corruption is laughable. Donald will probably boast about it when he's caught and say it's because he's smart.

So one full term. Very possibly two; that depends on what the Democrats do in the next few years.
 
Seismosaurus said:
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I completely agree. Trump will do little actual work. If he remains alive he will be unaffected by the numerous minor and major scandals to come.

The next election should be interesting. Have we learned that lying the majority of the time, insulting your opponents, and generally acting like a bratty six-year-old is the way to get elected? Will the candidates four years from now be Trump clones, or pretend to be, in order to get elected?
 
Should have a choice:

[X] One year or more, but less than a full term.

I put 6 months, but really feel 2 years.
 
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