I looked around for the peace prize and there are 193 nominees. I think the list is supposed to be secret but there are some leaks.
Here are some odds from readabet.com
IAEA and/or Mohammed El Baradei 1/1
Hans Blix 5/1
Richard Lugar and/or Sam Nunn 5/1 (For antiproliferation work).
Mordechai Vanunu 8/1 (Jailed Israeli leaker of nuclear secrets)
Vaclav Havel 8/1
Pope John Paul II 12/1
Sergei Kovalyev 14/1 (Russian human rights activist)
Treatment Action Campaign 14/1 (South African AIDS group)
Bono 25/1
Community Of Sant'egidio 25/1 (Catholic Peace Group)
I would bet on an obscure group called:
"The Treatment Action Campaign -- a South African ant-Aids lobby group --and its leader, Zackie Achmat, are joint nominees for the 2004 Nobel Peace Prize, to be announced on Friday."
http://www.mg.co.za/Content/l3.asp?cg=BreakingNews-National&ao=123311
My second bet would be the pope since he is dying.
CBL