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Parapsychologists admit 98% of paranormal phemomena does not exist

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Parapsychologists admit the majority of paranormal is bunk

Now I have got your attention, let me show you some parapsychologists who have written that 98% or around that figure of paranormal phenomena does not exist. When I say "does not exist" I mean in the sense that they are not "paranormal". These parapsychologists have admitted the majority of paranormal cases turn out to have naturalistic explanations (fraud, hoaxes, naturalistic explanations, explained by psychological processes etc). They are admitting only 2% (or around that) of the phenomena is genuine.

Please do take note that all the names on the following list were believers. They were believers in paranormal phenomena yet they admit 98% of the paranormal phenomena does not exist and only 2% of the phenomena is genuine! None of these believers can be accused of being mean bad skeptics! Yes that's right, we have believers admitting 98% of the alleged paranormal phenomena has entirely naturalistic explanation. Us mean skeptics only have 2% to work with :rolleyes:

None of this has been widely reported. I won't invoke conspiracy theories ;) but it's well known that full blown believer modern parapsychologists such as Dean Radin ignore most of these older parapsychologists work.

Hereward Carrington

Carrington a leading expert in his day on the topic of mediumship in his book The Physical Phenomena of Spiritualism (1907) wrote:

There may be much fraud in modern spiritualism, in fact, I am disposed to believe that fully 98 per cent, of the phenomena, both mental and physical, are fraudulently produced, but a careful study of the evidence, contemporary and historic, has convinced me that there must have been some genuine phenomena at the commencement of this movement, in order that the first mediums may have copied them by fraudulent means, and that a certain percentage of the phenomena occurring to-day is genuine.

So Carrington was a believer in mediumship, but was honest enough to admit 98% of the phenomena is fraudulent.

Peter Underwood

Underwood is a leading author on the topic of ghosts. He has been studying the field for over sixty years.

In his book No Common Task: The Autobiography of a Ghost-Hunter (1983) he writes 98% of ghosts and hauntings have naturalistic explanations such as misidentification/misinterpretation, hallucination, pranks etc and he is interested in the 2% of the phenomena that may be genuine.

E. Clephan Palmer

Palmer was a journalist turned psychical researcher who began to attend séances to see if the phenomena was genuine or not. In his book The Riddle of Spiritualism (1927) he came to the conclusion that 92% of mediumship and spiritualistic phenomena are fraudulent.

C. E. Bechhofer Roberts

The psychical researcher C. E. Bechhofer Roberts in his book The Truth About Spiritualism came to the conclusion after years investigation that 98% of mediumship phenomena is fraudulent. Roberts also wrote an introduction to Helena Normanton. (1945). The Trial of Mrs. Duncan claiming Duncan was a fraud who had used a secret accomplice to hide her ectoplasm. This was later proven correct as Duncan's maid and husband had confessed to hiding on her ectoplasm on different occasions.

Simeon Edmunds

Edmunds was a hypnotist, secretary of the College of Psychic Science, London, 1956-62 and a member of the Society for Psychical Research (SPR). His book Spiritualism: A Critical Survey (1966) comes to the conclusion that the majority of mediums in spiritualism have been fraudulent. Again basically supporting the 98% figure of other researchers.

Alfred Douglas

The parapsychologist and SPR member Alfred Douglas in his book Extra-Sensory Powers: A Century of Psychical Research (1982) admits that after a century of research in ESP, the verdict is non-proven!

Tony Cornell

Cornell spent over 50 years investigating the paranormal and came to the conclusion that most paranormal cases turn out to have natural explanations such as the result of fraud, pranks and misidentification. He believed after all the years into investigating paranormal phenomena only 2% may of been genuine. He discusses this in his book Investigating the Paranormal (2002). The book is also useful as it is the only book to document the fraud of the medium Alec Harris.

Ronald Pearsall

Pearsall in his book The Table-Rappers (1972) documented the fraud of mediums, but Pearsall was not a complete skeptic as he believed in telepathy. Again, his book supports the 98% of the other writers.

Henry Ridgely Evans

Henry Ridgely Evans also known as Henry R. Evans was an amateur magician and psychical researcher. His two books Hours with the Ghosts, Or, Nineteenth Century Witchcraft (1897) and The Spirit World Unmasked (1902) documented the fraud of mediums and psychics but similar to other writes he believed 2% of the phenomena (telepathy) was genuine.

Frank Podmore

Podmore a famous member of the Society for Psychical Research, known as a skeptical researcher but was not a full blown skeptic. He admitted in his books paranormal phenomena have naturalistic explanations. He debunked fraudulent mediums in his books, but in his book Telepathic Hallucinations: The New View of Ghosts (1909) he accepted telepathy may exist. Reading his books and you realise the majority of parapsychological experiments have contained flaws and he makes it clear many paranormal cases are in fact not paranormal and have rather simple explanations.

Donald West

British psychologist and psychical researcher. Known for his book Psychical Research Today (1953, 1962) which accepted psychological explanations for most paranormal phenomena (over 90%) but also endorsed ESP.

Guy Christian Lambert

Lambert a past present of the SPR proposed a geophysical naturalistic explanation for alleged cases of ghosts and poltergeist activity which he believed results from the activity of underground water and other factors possibly causing the house to vibrate and move objects. Did not publish a book, but wrote SPR articles. It's clear he believed 98% or there abouts of paranormal phenomena to have naturalistic explanations. He also wrote a rationalist interpretation of the alleged levitation of D. D. Home (which was exposed as a hoax by other researchers).

Hilary Evans

I have not read all his books but from the description and reviews of some of his books such as Gods, Spirits, Cosmic Guardians (1987) it's clear he takes a psychological interpretation to most paranormal phenomena.

Nandor Fodor

Fodor was a psychologist and author of the book The Haunted Mind: A Psychoanalyst Looks at the Supernatural (1959). Critic of the spiritualists, he became more critical in his later years. Interpreted the majority cases of paranormal phenomena in naturalistic psychological terms.

William McDougall

McDougall was a psychologist most well-known for his neo-Lamarckian experiments on rats. Was a firm believer in ESP, but became more critical in his later years. Did not believe in the majority of paranormal phenomena.

C. D. Broad

Broad a philosopher who took interest in parapsychology. Its clear Broad did not accept the majority of paranormal claims. It's hard to make sense of his views. He wrote psi contradicts science, but elsewhere seems to have embraced some sort of psi hypothesis for consciousness surviving death. I find it strange that Chris Carter and some recent parapsychologists quote mines Broad. I don't see anywhere in his works Broad actually admitting psi has been scientifically proven.

Andrew Lang

Lang was en early SPR member and past president. He was mostly skeptical of paranormal claims and was interested in their folklore but it's clear he did believe in some phenomena. He is most famous to skeptics for actually admitting Leonora Piper was a cold reader. Lang also wrote the book Cock Lane and Common-Sense (1894) a rationalistic look at ghosts. The book has been cited by skeptics such as Daniel Loxton.

Michael Schmicker

Schmicker is a more recent parapsychologist. He is the author of the book Best Evidence: An Investigative Reporter's Three-Year Quest to Uncover the Best Scientific Evidence for ESP, Psychokinesis, Mental Healing, Ghosts and Poltergeists, Dowsing, Mediums, Near Death Experiences, Reincarnation, and Other Impossible Phenomena That Refuse to Disappear (2002) which claims 98% of the paranormal cases turn out to have naturalistic explanations and only 2% of the phenomena is actually genuine.

So you can see from the above list that many parapschologists are not as credulous as the modern ones. Most modern parapsychologists such as Dean Radin and Charles Tart are claiming 98% of the paranormal does exist and that only 2% have naturalistic explanation. As you can see the figures have clearly turned round in parapsychology. Most of the modern pseudo-parapsychologists have not even read their own field.

Please note I have not included Susan Blackmore, Michael Goss, John Taylor or Eric Dingwall on the list, they were past parapsychologists who left the field after realising all paranormal phenomena they studied did not exist.

So skeptics only have 2% of "paranormal" phenomena to debunk, as the believers admit 98% of it is bogus.

We should be celebrating :)

The woo-believers won't like this thread.
 
I think what they really mean is that only 2% of reports remain unexplained.

If all reports have mundane causes, I'd expect a small percentage to remain in doubt. If anything, 2% is less than I'd expect...
 
Does "Ninety-eight percent of the people [psychics other than himself] are kooks." count?

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Joseph_McMoneagle

Thanks for this. I had never heard of this fraud. Brian Dunning has an interesting article on him http://skeptoid.com/episodes/4044

It's not surprising to me that the only supporters of McMoneagle are Dean Radin and Charles Tart. Radin is a pseudoscientist:

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dean_Radin

Radin's books have received negative reviews from skeptics and scientists. A critical review of The Conscious Universe was published by the British mathematician I. J. Good in Nature. Good discovered flaws in Radin's method for evaluating the file-drawer effect and wrote the book avoided to mention evidence of fraud in parapsychology. Victor J. Stenger also made a criticism of the book reflecting Good's arguments, arguing that Radin did not perform the file-drawer analysis correctly, made fundamental errors in his calculations and ignored possible, non-paranormal explanations for the data. Scientists have rejected Radin's paranormal claims and have written he has embraced pseudoscience and misunderstands the nature of science.
 
If one-in-fifty paranormal claims are taken to be 100% paranormal in origin, I remain unimpressed by their 'admission.'
 
Here's another one I missed:

Harry Price in his book Fifty Years of Psychical Research (1939) writes:

Not a single case of materialization, levitation, ectoplasm or teleplasm, telekinesis, apport phenomena, transfiguration, spirit lights, psychic breezes, spirit photographs and paintings, slate-writing, voice or trumpet phenomena, spirit writing, ghosts, spirits, hauntings or Poltergeists, has been observed under conditions that would satisfy orthodox science.

Consequently, orthodox science does not believe in them. Not one of the above phenomena can be produced-or has been produced-at all by any person claiming psychic powers under such conditions of control as would satisfy, say, a panel of Fellows of the Royal Society. Not a single alleged paranormal rap has been heard under such conditions as would satisfy orthodoxy that normality was ruled out.

The same can be said for mental phenomena of the seance room. Telepathy, thought-transference, thought-reading, clairvoyance, psychometry, billet-reading, and the rest of the extra-sensory phenomena simply do not exist - and never have existed - for the scientific orthodoxy.

Telepathy and clairvoyance cannot yet be demonstrated at will in the laboratory and there is no scientific proof for such faculties, in spite of the fact that many thousands of experiments have been made by hundreds of investigators who have been trying to prove the existence of these supposed phenomena.

Excellent quote. Back in the day honest parapsychologists existed :cool:
 
Excellent quote. Back in the day honest parapsychologists existed :cool:

They definitely still exist. In fact, I'd say throughout most of the history of parapsychology/psychical research, most of the best debunking papers have been from other parapsychologists.
 
They definitely still exist. In fact, I'd say throughout most of the history of parapsychology/psychical research, most of the best debunking papers have been from other parapsychologists.

Can you give some examples Ersby? Ray Hyman has an interesting article in which he says Dean Radin has written the results from psi research are as consistent by the same standards as any other scientific discipline but many parapsychologists such as Dick Bierman, Walter Lucadou, J.E. Kennedy, and Robert Jahn disagree with that opinion and openly admit the evidence for psi is "inconsistent, irreproducible, and fails to meet acceptable scientific standards."

Source: Ray Hyman. (2008). Anomalous Cognition? A Second Perspective. Skeptical Inquirer. Volume 32.

Online: http://www.csicop.org/si/show/anomalous_cognition_a_second_perspective/
 
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Well, there you go, there’s four right there. Certainly Beirman and Kennedy are on the list. Kennedy, especially, has some pretty strong arguments against using meta-analysis. Caroline Watt and Betty Markwick (who has a new paper about Soal about to be published) are two others. Beloff, Palmer and Stanford have all written in depth about parapsychology, criticising whenever necessary.

George Hansen, too, even if he did come up with the “Trickster” argument (that states that psi may be actively evasive. Not a theory I have much time for) is still worth listening too. He was the guy who found the problem of sound from the target video leaking through to the subject’s headphones in the PRL Ganzfeld experiments.

Those are the ones off the top of my head.
 
Ersby,

I will give you some opposite examples.

We all known Samuel Soal was a fraud. But when skeptics such as D. H. Rawcliffe author of Illusions and Delusions of the Supernatural and the Occult (1959) and George Price author of the paper Science and the Supernatural (1955) accused Soal of fraud there was an uproar from the parapsychology community who quickly turned to defend Soal and attack Rawcliffe and Price.

Price's paper can be found online here: http://www.psyscape.com/Papers/2 Misc/1955 Science and the supernatural.pdf

It turns out the skeptics were right all a long, Soal indeed was a fraud. But it wasn't until the 1970's that other parapsychologists would accept this.

Markwick, B. (1978). "The Soal-Goldney experiments with Basil Shackleton: new evidence of data manipulation." Proceedings of the Society for Psychical Research, 56, 250-280.

Medhurst, R. G. (1971). "The Origin of the Prepared Random Numbers Used in the Shackleton Experiments." Journal of the Society for Psychical Research. 46: 44-45.

You can read about it here:

http://www.skepdic.com/soalgoldney.html

As for Soal's other fraud, you have covered it on your blog.

http://ersby.blogspot.co.uk/2012/12/soals-other-fraud.html

According to Wikipedia:

In 1925, Samuel Soal claimed to have taken part in a series of séances with the medium Blanche Cooper who contacted the spirit of a soldier Gordon Davis and revealed the house that he had lived in. Researchers later discovered fraud as the séances had taken place in 1922, not 1925. The magician and paranormal investigator Bob Couttie revealed that Davis was alive, Soal lived close to him and had altered the records of the sittings after checking out the house. Soal's co-workers knew that he had fiddled the results but were kept quiet with threats of libel suits.

How many parapsychology books mention Soal's fraud with Blanche Cooper? None. Only skeptic books do. I don't see much evidence of parapsychologists debunking each other's experiments. They have to wait for the skeptics to do the work for them. For example Ray Hyman found all the flaws and issues of sensory leakage in the ganzfeld and autoganzfeld experiments:

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ganzfeld_experiment

If it wasn't for a skeptic like Hyman then parapsychologists would probably be claiming those experiments were genuine today. Like I said above it seems to be skeptics doing most of the debunking (I gave examples in this thread of parapsychologists from the past who have done debunking) but I don't know of hardly any recent ones. The modern day parapsychology community seems to be beyond credulous.
 
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Caroline Watt and Betty Markwick (who has a new paper about Soal about to be published) are two others. Beloff, Palmer and Stanford have all written in depth about parapsychology, criticising whenever necessary.

I have read Caroline Watt's paper:

There is nothing paranormal about near-death
experiences: how neuroscience can explain seeing
bright lights, meeting the dead, or being convinced
you are one of them

http://www.koestler-parapsychology.psy.ed.ac.uk/Documents/MobbsWattNDE.pdf

It's good but it's no different than what the skeptics have been saying since the 1980s. See for example Ronald Siegel. (1980). The Psychology of Life after Death. American Psychologist 35: 911–31.

The skeptics have got everything correct on parapsychology, the parapsychologists sometimes just tag along ;)
 
Ersby,

I will give you some opposite examples.

We all known Samuel Soal was a fraud. But when skeptics such as D. H. Rawcliffe author of Illusions and Delusions of the Supernatural and the Occult (1959) and George Price author of the paper Science and the Supernatural (1955) accused Soal of fraud there was an uproar from the parapsychology community who quickly turned to defend Soal and attack Rawcliffe and Price.

This is true, and an excellent and fascinating example of how people react when faced with evidence that goes against their world view. But it is not a reaction unique to parapyschologists.

Let's not forget that the people who really kept digging into the Soal case were believers in psi: Christopher Scott (although he was so disillusioned by Soal's fruad, he became a skeptic and left parapsychology) and Betty Markwick.

How many parapsychology books mention Soal's fraud with Blanche Cooper? None.

Not many skeptic books do either, as far as I know. I found out about it by reading a book review in the Journal of the Society of Psychical Research. Hardly headline news.

For example Ray Hyman found all the flaws and issues of sensory leakage in the ganzfeld and autoganzfeld experiments

No, George Hansen found them. Ray Hyman included them in his paper.

Like I said above it seems to be skeptics doing most of the debunking (I give examples in this thread of parapsychologists from the past of have done debunking) but I don't know of hardly any recent ones.

Give me a few minutes: I'll put a list together.
 
George Hansen, too, even if he did come up with the “Trickster” argument (that states that psi may be actively evasive. Not a theory I have much time for) is still worth listening too. He was the guy who found the problem of sound from the target video leaking through to the subject’s headphones in the PRL Ganzfeld experiments.

I have had many email-exchanges with Hansen, was even going to attend a lecture he hosted once. It's hard to understand his position. I understand he has also pointed out flaws in remote viewing experiments, unfortunately he ruins his credibility by claiming fraudulent mediums such as Eusapia Palladino and Leonora Piper were genuine:

http://rationalwiki.org/wiki/George_P._Hansen

He's lectured with Shannon Taggart spiritualist who claims ectoplasm is real. He also misquotes people. Check out his quote-mining of the magician Julien Proskauer. :boggled:
 
No, George Hansen found them. Ray Hyman included them in his paper.

I have never heard this before. I would love to see a source for this.

Not many skeptic books do either, as far as I know. I found out about it by reading a book review in the Journal of the Society of Psychical Research. Hardly headline news.

I agree, not many do but at least some do. I learnt about it in the book by the magician Bob Couttie Forbidden Knowledge: The Paranormal Paradox published in 1988.

A mostly forgotten book, it also contains a chapter debunking the tricks of Uri Geller and fraudulent mediums. It's the only book to contain the quote in full of a séance sitter Frederick Merrifield who caught Daniel Dunglas Home in fraud. (It was originally published in an SPR journal, but they are hard to obtain).
 
It's the only book to contain the quote in full of a séance sitter Frederick Merrifield who caught Daniel Dunglas Home in fraud. (It was originally published in an SPR journal, but they are hard to obtain).

Do you have a reference? I can get hold of it.
 
I have never heard this before. I would love to see a source for this.

The sound leakage problem was mentioned in Psi Communication in the Ganzfeld by Honorton et al in the JoP in 1990. In later interviews, George said he was the one to find the problem.

As for parapsychologists’ honesty...

Markwick, Scott: found evidence for Soal changing the results in his experiments

Kennedy: criticises use of meta-analyses in parapsychology and helped uncover Levy’s fraud when working at the Rhine Centre.

Beirman: debunked Sheldrake’s remote staring experiment.

Hansen: discovered the sound leakage problem in the PRL autoganzfeld experiments

Moreman: debunked (or, at the very least, seriously weakened) the Cross Correspondences

Wiklund: has written on the ganzfeld and also, I think, on Bem’s precognitive habituation.

Stanford: wrote a lengthy piece on the ganzfeld (back in the 1980s) criticising some of the methods and statistics.

Beloff wrote Parapsychology: A Concise History, which is still the best introduction to parapsychology, whether you believe in psi or not.

Parker criticised Sargent’s ganzfeld work and even Jessica Utts co-wrote a paper critical of PEAR’s remote viewing experiments.
 
Do you have a reference? I can get hold of it.

The reference is mentioned on Wikipedia. One of the guys (an ex-magician called Kazuba) who edited Wikipedia added that reference a few years ago. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Daniel_Dunglas_Home

Merrifield statement appears as A Sitting With D. D. Home, Journal of the Society for Psychical Research 11 (May 1903): pages 76-80.

Hansen in his book lists the reference as:

[Merrifield, F.]. (1903). A Sitting With D. D. Home. Journal of the Society for Psychical Research, 11: 76–80

As does Bob Couttie. So it is clearly the correct reference.

Couttie is the only writer to have included the statement in full. Elsewhere is just chopped-up quote mines.

It's mentioned in The Sorcerer of Kings by Gordon Stein.

Here's Joseph McCabe. (1920). Spiritualism: A Popular History from 1847. Dodd, Mead and Company. pp. 110-112.

A Mr. Merrifield was present at one of the sittings. Home's usual phenomena were messages, the moving of objects (presumably at a distance), and the playing of an accordion which he held with one hand under the shadow of the table. But from an early date in America he had been accustomed occasionally to "materialise" hands (as it was afterwards called). The sitters would, in the darkness, faintly see a ghostly hand and arm, or they might feel the touch of an icy limb. Mr. Merrifield and the other sitters saw a "spirit-hand" stretch across the faintly lit space of the window. But Mr. Merrifield says that Home sat, or crouched, low in a low chair, and that the "spirit-hand" was a false limb on the end of Home's arm. At other times, he says, he saw that Home was using his foot."

It's a definite case of fraud. Merrifield's wife also confirmed she witnessed deception. The exposure was not widely reported and only appears in skeptical books.
 
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The sound leakage problem was mentioned in Psi Communication in the Ganzfeld by Honorton et al in the JoP in 1990. In later interviews, George said he was the one to find the problem.

As for parapsychologists’ honesty...

Markwick, Scott: found evidence for Soal changing the results in his experiments

Kennedy: criticises use of meta-analyses in parapsychology and helped uncover Levy’s fraud when working at the Rhine Centre.

Beirman: debunked Sheldrake’s remote staring experiment.

Hansen: discovered the sound leakage problem in the PRL autoganzfeld experiments

Moreman: debunked (or, at the very least, seriously weakened) the Cross Correspondences

Wiklund: has written on the ganzfeld and also, I think, on Bem’s precognitive habituation.

Stanford: wrote a lengthy piece on the ganzfeld (back in the 1980s) criticising some of the methods and statistics.

Beloff wrote Parapsychology: A Concise History, which is still the best introduction to parapsychology, whether you believe in psi or not.

Parker criticised Sargent’s ganzfeld work and even Jessica Utts co-wrote a paper critical of PEAR’s remote viewing experiments.

Excellent thanks for this. I had not heard of some of these. I did a search on this forum for Moreman, It came up with an old post you did in 2011:

I know of only two attempts at examining the cross correspondences critically. Once was in 1911, with “The Element of Chance in Cross-Correspondences” by Helen de G. Verrall, JSPR 15 and in 2003 “A re-examination of the possibility of chance coincidence as an alternative explanation for mediumistic communication in the cross-correspondences” by Christopher M. Moreman, JSPR 67

I didn't know these sources existed, I am an expert at old skeptical literature. I don't know much about SPR journals. I am not a fan of the SPR.

Anyway, there are skeptics who have debunked the cross correspondences, this books have been ignored.

See the chapter Chapter Mrs. Leonard and Others in Edward Clodd. (1917). The Question: A Brief History and Examination of Modern Spiritualism. Grant Richards, London. pp. 215-241.

Online here: https://archive.org/stream/questionifmandie00clod#page/n5/mode/2up

There's also pp. 170 - 203 in Joseph McCabe. (1920). Spiritualism: A Popular History from 1847. Dodd, Mead and Company.

Online here: https://archive.org/stream/spiritualismpopu00mccarich#page/n5/mode/2up

There's also Dr. Charles Arthur Mercier's book Spirit Experiences (1919). It costs around $200 and I have only seen it on amazon once. Chances of getting hold of it are slim, but Mercier published Spiritualism and Sir Oliver Lodge printed by London: Mental Culture Enterprise in 1917.

The book is a debunking of the fraudulent medium Gladys Osborne Leonard, and the "Raymond" communications with the credulous spiritualist Oliver Lodge. Also has a chapter on Leonora Piper's errors.

It is online here: https://archive.org/stream/spiritualismsiro00mercuoft#page/n3/mode/2up

For something more recent, the magician John Booth gave an entirely naturalistic explanation for the cross correspondences in his book Psychic Paradoxes (1986). I have not read the book in a while, I believed he suggested unconscious fraud. The best evidence I have read against the cross correspondences was by Joseph McCabe. It amazes me how people have been duped by such nonsense.

Chris Carter claims they are the best evidence for an afterlife. :confused:
 

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