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Local Election Results 2018

How do you predict the local election results look?

  • Big swing to Labour

    Votes: 0 0.0%

  • Small swing to Labour

    Votes: 1 16.7%

  • Swing to Lib Dems from Conservatives

    Votes: 1 16.7%

  • Swing to Greens/other from Conservatives

    Votes: 0 0.0%

  • Conservatives to hold or see minor losses

    Votes: 0 0.0%

  • I couldn't give a monkeys

    Votes: 4 66.7%
  • Total voters
    6
  • Poll closed .
Here's a BBC article relating to the UK local elections.

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-43976539

The overnight election results will have come as a disappointment to Labour, a source of relief for the Conservatives, and as mildly encouraging for the Liberal Democrats, writes Prof John Curtice and colleagues on the BBC's local elections team.
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Sounds about right.....

It was a night in which big swings were rare on the ground - apart from a collapse in the UKIP vote, which lost all but two of the seats it was trying to defend
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Given that both the main parties are now strongly pro-Brexit, that's understandable.

Given what an absolute mess the Brexit process is, it must come as a real disappointment to Labour that they have failed to make much headway. The LibDems as the largest party in England that is anti-Brexit made significant headway, perhaps Labour made the wrong decision to be pro-Brexit (when the majority of their supporters aren't), I guess we'll never know.
 
Poll posted 11pm after the polling stations close. Results out first thing in the morning. How many people did you expect to be able to fit a prediction into that sort of time frame?
 
The Don said:
Here's a BBC article relating to the UK local elections.

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-43976539



Sounds about right.....



Given that both the main parties are now strongly pro-Brexit, that's understandable.

Given what an absolute mess the Brexit process is, it must come as a real disappointment to Labour that they have failed to make much headway. The LibDems as the largest party in England that is anti-Brexit made significant headway, perhaps Labour made the wrong decision to be pro-Brexit (when the majority of their supporters aren't), I guess we'll never know.
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One councillor in Labour is claiming they suffered over the anti-Semitism row. I never really understood what that was about.
 
Well it looks like the one person out canvasing out for the Tories in my bit of Wandsworth out performed the many Labour people doing the same. And as a reward we get a visit from T May to the borough :(
 
Vixen said:
One councillor in Labour is claiming they suffered over the anti-Semitism row. I never really understood what that was about.
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I think that it is/was multi-faceted.

Individual members of the party may be anti-Semitic and may have expressed anti-Semitic views. I think there are comparatively few of these but I wouldn't be shocked to find them expressed in some majority Muslim areas.

The Labour Party has tended to be very critical of Israel and sympathetic to the causes of the Palestinians. This draws claims of anti-Semitism.

By being supportive of anti-Israeli causes, Labour Party activists, especially left wing ones have shared platforms with groups who are openly anti-Semitic.
 
The Don said:
I think that it is/was multi-faceted.

Individual members of the party may be anti-Semitic and may have expressed anti-Semitic views. I think there are comparatively few of these but I wouldn't be shocked to find them expressed in some majority Muslim areas.

The Labour Party has tended to be very critical of Israel and sympathetic to the causes of the Palestinians. This draws claims of anti-Semitism.

By being supportive of anti-Israeli causes, Labour Party activists, especially left wing ones have shared platforms with groups who are openly anti-Semitic.
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I see. I tend to be pro-Israel. However, being pro-Palestine isn't necessarily anti-Semitic, because Palestine is of course, occupied territory and it is understandable it attracts sympathy, including from a large segment of Jews.

I don't see that being pro-Palestine is ipso facto anti-Semitic. Undoubtedly, some pro-Palestinians have a belief in some kind of Jewish world conspiracy, which is indeed offensive.
 
MikeG said:
Poll posted 11pm after the polling stations close. Results out first thing in the morning. How many people did you expect to be able to fit a prediction into that sort of time frame?
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Results do not come in until after the polls have closed.

There are still more results to come in.

What's the beef?
 
What's the beef? Why run a poll trying to predict the results in the very few hours between polls closing and results being declared? If you wanted a thread for predictions, you could have started it a few days before the elections. As you didn't, you presumably just want to discuss the results, and in that case, why bother with the poll?
 
MikeG said:
What's the beef? Why run a poll trying to predict the results in the very few hours between polls closing and results being declared? If you wanted a thread for predictions, you could have started it a few days before the elections. As you didn't, you presumably just want to discuss the results, and in that case, why bother with the poll?
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No, a day is a long time in politics. The correct time to do a forecast poll is after the polls have shut.
 
Theresa May in Barnet: "People of all faiths have rejected vile anti-Semitism which has gone unchallenged in Labour Party for too long"

Says the woman who leads a government actively trying to deport people based on their skin colour.
 
Information Analyst said:
Good to see UKIP councillors going down like nine pins. Cosnidering now the Greens have ten times the number of seats, the media will stop pandering to UKIP so much.
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I doubt it. Two of the tabloids align well with UKIP and will continue to pander to them IMO.
 
Vixen said:
She was really laying the gloating on thickly.
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Oh well a few of the Tory councilors are only just ahead of Labour so maybe next time they'll win, of course by then May will be gone
 
Regarding the anti-semitism issue:

“Despite pouring masses of resources into Barnet the Labour Party has failed to take the council which is now firmly Tory.

The message has been sent by the Jewish community loud and clear. Whether it’s a message Labour is capable of hearing is another matter entirely.”

And:

“Twitter of John Mann, Labour MP:
✔
@JohnMannMP
Those who called anti Semitism a smear cost Labour badly last night. A Jewish member for more than 60 years told me on the doorstep he couldn’t vote Labour in Barnet yesterday’s

http://hurryupharry.org/2018/05/04/labour-loses-big-in-barnet/#comments#disqus_thread
 
Captain_Swoop said:
.........Says the woman who leads a government actively trying to deport people based on their skin colour.
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I'm getting tired of baseless smears like this. The Don trotted out crap like this (see my signature). It's unworthy.
 
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