Merged Is a a Trump impeachment likely?

[MrFliop]

Well..... I have nothing to add, the title should be self explanatory.

 

[shemp]

You could have added a poll. I'd vote "yes."

Edited to add: I posted too soon, you DID post a poll, you sneaky little devil you!

 

[Noztradamus]

One option has reached 100%. Matter settled

 

[The Great Zaganza]

At the current stage, I see the investigation expose the entire administration plus Paul Ryan to be criminally tainted, forcing everyone with a shred to decency to resign.

So no, Trump will stay until the 2018 elections.

 

[Meadmaker]

Sadly, I had to vote my head instead of my heart. I voted no.

Although, I took it to mean "in the short term". I don't think we've seen anything worth impeaching him for....yet.

 

[Loss Leader]

I'm always wrong about Trump. He's basically admitted to the same thing that Nixon was almost impeached for. There's a special prosecutor now. He's getting nothing done.

Anyone with any sense of either patriotism or just plain access to his emotions would resign so the country can move on to important things like budgets and health care and stuff.

Still, with a Republican legislature that seems to only care that he's alive to sign legislation, and with some sort of disconnect between Republican morality and Trump amorality ... I can't tell anymore.

He should be impeached. Will he be? Maybe not until 2019? Maybe never?

I cant tell.

 

[Aepervius]

Well..... I have nothing to add, the title should be self explanatory.

IMO not only not likely, I would say very unlikely.

For all the noises, GOP don't seem to do much. So i expect Trump to continue with its antics for 3 years and a half and nothing to happen.

 

[Babbylonian]

It's a snowball of stupidity, incompetence, and evil that appears to be gaining speed. In the absence of an impeachment before summer's out (Congress will want to wrap it up with enough time to spin and campaign for 2018), I believe there will be resignation. It will be bittersweet given that Pence will come off the bench, but mostly sweet.

 

[skyeagle409]

You could have added a poll. I'd vote "yes."

I would vote yes as well.

 

[Skeptic Ginger]

You can't screw up this badly, day after day, bringing all the GOP legislators down with you and make it through 4 years. It's not just about firing Comey and trying to obstruct justice. If not this it will be the next incompetent self-absorbed action.

 

[Ranb]

I voted no as I don't think the House has enough votes to get rid of him for treason, bribery, high crimes blah blah blah. Would be nice to see him getting the boot though.

Ranb

 

[shemp]

He will get the boot when he becomes too much of a liability for the party. Nixon lost his GOP support because they had to get rid of him before the '74 mid-term elections and try to save their own skins.

 

[Civet]

Safe until the midterms. After that, no idea.

 

[Puppycow]

I'm more in the "not yet" camp, although it wouldn't surprise me if he doesn't make it 4 years.

Still, with a Republican legislature that seems to only care that he's alive to sign legislation, and with some sort of disconnect between Republican morality and Trump amorality ... I can't tell anymore.

He should be impeached. Will he be? Maybe not until 2019? Maybe never?

I cant tell.

I believe the Republican support depends on his poll numbers to a large extent. They won't impeach if his poll numbers stay around 40. If those start to go south though (and it looks like they have already started to move in that direction) then you will probably see his support in congress also start to evaporate.

 

[Brainster]

Based on past history, the odds are about 1/22. Of course, while both Andrew Johnson and Bill Clinton were impeached, they were not convicted and thus did not leave office.

You can make arguments for why Trump is more likely than other presidents to be impeached; here's an argument why he's less likely. Because the media are out to get him, have been from before he was elected. And yet they still haven't made anything stick.

 

[Craig4]

I think Trump takes his ball and goes home. He will resign before it gets that far.

 

[The Don]

IMO it's very likely that Trump will server at least one full term. Any attempt at impeachment will likely descend into partisan bickering "the Democrats are making a big deal of this because they're sore that they lost the election" and in any case it'll be years before the process grinds to a conclusion.

There may be some GOP reverses in the 2018 elections, but 2020 is a whole different story and by then GOP voters will be enjoying their tax cuts, and the deficit will not yet be out of control. I think that if he chooses to run then Trump still stands a better than even chance of winning the 2020 Presidential election.

 

[The Great Zaganza]

Impeachment is a slow process that can be slowed down - but once it looks like Trump is definitely going down, it might be in the GOP's interest to try to get the whole thing over as quickly as possible, hoping to present a clean slate for the 2018 elections.

 

[ponderingturtle]

He will get the boot when he becomes too much of a liability for the party. Nixon lost his GOP support because they had to get rid of him before the '74 mid-term elections and try to save their own skins.

Exactly my not yet has more to do with how republicans are hiding from commenting and making anything known until they get a better gauge how this plays to their base. Until the republican base buys into it, and all of their news sources are saying how unreliable it all is, nothing will move foward.

So really it is up to Fox News.

 

[marplots]

If Hillary can survive Benghazi and the e-mails, Trump can survive this.

Depending, of course, on just what "this" turns out to be. I don't think anyone really knows yet.