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If Psychics can see the future...

TheChadd

Critical Thinker
Joined
Jan 28, 2006
Messages
414
If Psychics can see the future... Does that mean we have, at the best, limited free will?

It's much like the Omniscient being freewill argument, except a little less grand. If a psychic can see the future and knows that in a weeks time I'm going to be fired, does that not impact on the free will of both me (to avoid getting fired) and my boss (to decide to fire me) ? Perhaps this should be more in the 'philosophy etc' section but I thought it related more to general skepticism as it could be a good argument to use against psychics.
 
I forget which book it was in, but I always liked Philip K. Dick's treatment of precognition. He described it as a group of possible outcomes of which the "precog" selects the one with the greatest probability of occurring. I always found that a pretty smooth way to keep free will alive... to a degree.
 
I remember Randi saying once that if psychics could see the future then we have no free will.

Psychics John Edward and Sylvia Browne have opinions which oppose each other:

KING: John, do you ever foresee tomorrow?

EDWARD: Sometimes, some of the information comes through during a session that will actually help somebody avoid something, that could be health care related. It might actually help somebody -- it actually will bring a family together.

KING: That means it's preordained or you can change it?

EDWARD: No, I actually believe that God gave us free will. So, for me I think...

(CROSSTALK)

KING: Well, than what -- if you see something you can prevent, what did you see if you prevent it?

EDWARD: It's likes the weather. You know, if somebody gives you the option of whether or not you want to take the umbrella, it's your choice. Do you want to get wet or not? To me, I feel like we are individuals. We have our individual belief systems. We either choose to have a belief system or we choose not to. It's a personal choice.

Link 1

KING: ... when a person who is sad, a person who is departed? What if they see something bad happen to their daughter or their son? Their son is hit by a car and you're in the next world, you're dead, and you're happy. Everything is nice but...

(CROSSTALK)

BROWNE: ... you know that they're going to be over to be with you.

KING: So nothing upsets you?

BROWNE: No, because you have the whole chart there. Down hear we're blindsided. They have the whole chart in front of them.

KING: You mean everything is prearranged?

BROWNE: Prearranged...

KING: Then there is no free will?

BROWNE: Not here. Over the other side there is.

KING: There's no free will here?

BROWNE: Not here.

KING: It's written when you're going to die?

BROWNE: You wrote your chart, Larry, to be on this show, even to be with me tonight. You wrote who you were going to marry, you wrote your children...

KING: All this is done?

BROWNE: You did it.

Link 2

So, according to Sylvia Browne, not only is everything pre-arranged, you are the one that pre-arranged it before you came here. :eek:

Any ill fate you suffer was chosen by you.

Not a new idea. I remember reading the same stuff in Richard Bach's Illusions.
 
Oh, by the way. That first link is a good one to save when you point out that no psychic anywhere saw 9/11 coming and someone replies that JE doesn't predict the future.
 
If Psychics can see the future... Does that mean we have, at the best, limited free will?

It's much like the Omniscient being freewill argument, except a little less grand. If a psychic can see the future and knows that in a weeks time I'm going to be fired, does that not impact on the free will of both me (to avoid getting fired) and my boss (to decide to fire me) ? Perhaps this should be more in the 'philosophy etc' section but I thought it related more to general skepticism as it could be a good argument to use against psychics.
If psychics could see the future perfectly, it would be true that there would be limited, if any, free will. However, even I (:))don't believe that any psychic is that gifted.

P.S. If you keep wasting time posting messages here on company time, you will be fired. ;)
 
I don't quite see why foreseeing the future means having no free will. We are granting this putative psychic purely woo-ish means of seeing, correct? Then how is their witnessing of a future event any more a contradiction of free will than my witnessing of a present event? Why aren't they just seeing "ahead of time" the outcomes of everybody's free choices?

If you ask me "well, why can't they change anything then" the answer would be "if they could change it, then they weren't seeing the future." This would be the form of future-seeing that is common in sci-fi and horror--the very acts you take to avoid the predicted future are the ones that in fact lead you to that future. People see this as meaning that "fate has a particular plan in store for you and you can't run from it" but a more sensible way of understanding it is that you just saw the future that you were going to bring about by the string of perfectly free choices you happened to make after getting your vision of the future. You chose to take the train rather than fly, and somehow that choice lead you to dying in a fiery plane crash--but you could have chosen to fly in the first place...

ETA: God's omniscience has never seemed in itself a logical problem for free will to me. It is his omnipotence coupled with his omniscience that seems to me to drain our "free will" of any meaning. One can imagine a being doomed to foreknow all the dumb things that we will do, but powerless to stop us....
 
If Sylvia Browne & Richard Bach are right, then we don't have to do anything charitable or humanitarian any more. "You're sick and starving? Well, you picked it..."
 
Thanks for the links describing a bunch of people afterwards who claimed they had predicted it before. :rolleyes:
That's not the issue. Our esteemed colleague Luke asserted: "That first link is a good one to save when you point out that no psychic anywhere saw 9/11 coming . . ." Has Luke relentlessly scoured the world for all stories relating to 9/11 and come to this truth in his omniscience?

If memory serves, John Edward was on the Larry King show just HOURS before the 9/11 attacks, but evidently had seen nothing worth commenting on.
Can you document? I seem to recall Gary Condit's daughter being on Larry King the evening of September 10, 2001. Presuming you're right, though, that would simply prove that John Edward did not see the attacks coming.
 
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yoink said:
I don't quite see why foreseeing the future means having no free will. We are granting this putative psychic purely woo-ish means of seeing, correct? Then how is their witnessing of a future event any more a contradiction of free will than my witnessing of a present event? Why aren't they just seeing "ahead of time" the outcomes of everybody's free choices?

If you ask me "well, why can't they change anything then" the answer would be "if they could change it, then they weren't seeing the future." This would be the form of future-seeing that is common in sci-fi and horror--the very acts you take to avoid the predicted future are the ones that in fact lead you to that future. People see this as meaning that "fate has a particular plan in store for you and you can't run from it" but a more sensible way of understanding it is that you just saw the future that you were going to bring about by the string of perfectly free choices you happened to make after getting your vision of the future. You chose to take the train rather than fly, and somehow that choice lead you to dying in a fiery plane crash--but you could have chosen to fly in the first place...

ETA: God's omniscience has never seemed in itself a logical problem for free will to me. It is his omnipotence coupled with his omniscience that seems to me to drain our "free will" of any meaning. One can imagine a being doomed to foreknow all the dumb things that we will do, but powerless to stop us....

Allow me to explain the exact problem, if psychics consider that they can forsee the future in it's entirity, perfectly. If someone knows the future perfectly, then you MUST do what he has already forseen you will do. That negates the possibility of any free will...

Imagine the psychic having a book where he writes in it what is going to happen in the future. You then (If the psychic really is genuine) MUST do what he wrote down in that book, if you don't then he's not a perfect psychic, if you do then you don't have any free will because you COULD NOT do anything other than what he wrote. If you don't have choice, then you don't have free will.
 
And what is free will anyhow? Are our brains hardwired and our behavior so conditioned that the concept is meaningless?
 
And what is free will anyhow? Are our brains hardwired and our behavior so conditioned that the concept is meaningless?

Yea, personally I take free-will in a fairly relative sense.
 
If we argue from the point that a psychic could fortell the future, then we have to change all the precepts. For instance, they would have predicted every event, good or bad, for the last 10,000 years. Not to mention the weather, gender of newborns, and the outcome of every sporting event. Why gamble on an outcome of a game? Why even have a game when you know who will win? There could be no Randi Challenge because the psychics would know the outcome in advance. (hmm, maybe that's why Silvia hasen't been heard from?) Think of it, if psychics fortelling the future had been around this long, we'd be living in a boring world!
Our culture, our goverment, social structure, everything, would be different, because we would live according to what we knew in advance. The one thing I would be happy about: no insurance companies!
 
Taht was Ubik I think

I forget which book it was in, but I always liked Philip K. Dick's treatment of precognition. He described it as a group of possible outcomes of which the "precog" selects the one with the greatest probability of occurring. I always found that a pretty smooth way to keep free will alive... to a degree.

Take Ubik coffee with you, and you will be fresh during the whole day ! Warning : do not give to kids under 15. No more than 2 cup a day. In case of loss of teeth and hair consult a doctor.

I love Ubik the book :)
 
Thanks for the links describing a bunch of people afterwards who claimed they had predicted it before. :rolleyes:

There were some interesting stories there. One person had a panic attack on September 10th (apparently nobody else in the world had a panic attack that day). One dreamed about earthquakes and fires in Seattle, another dreamed about an nuclear bomb, another dreamed about an explosion a week before 9-11.

Guess they're having a hard time finding anyone who predicted airplanes flying into the twin towers on that day and. I can put them in touch with several friends who predicted 9-11 on 9-12.

Perhaps I should send my story in. About 6:00 on the morning of Sep 11th I woke up with a headache. If only I'd know that some people in the WTC would also get headaches when the planes hit I could have warned them.
 
More tp the point, if psychics predict the future, why can't they prove it? ;)
 
Allow me to explain the exact problem, if psychics consider that they can forsee the future in it's entirity, perfectly. If someone knows the future perfectly, then you MUST do what he has already forseen you will do. That negates the possibility of any free will...

Imagine the psychic having a book where he writes in it what is going to happen in the future. You then (If the psychic really is genuine) MUST do what he wrote down in that book, if you don't then he's not a perfect psychic, if you do then you don't have any free will because you COULD NOT do anything other than what he wrote. If you don't have choice, then you don't have free will.

Um, no, you didn't explain the problem, you restated it. Let me stress that I don't for a moment believe that anybody can in fact foresee the future. My argument is simply that there is no logical objection to somebody being able to see the future and the people involved in that future having free will. I'm not quite sure what you think bringing "writing things down in a book" adds to the argument, but let us go with it.

Let us say that I "see into the future" that in one hour's time you will leave the house to take a plane trip to England, even though you currently have no plans to do so. I "write this down in a book" and then I tell you my prediction. "Ha! Ha!" you say, "I am a creature of free will!!!!!! I will not do this, to prove to you that I am a creature of free will!!!!!" Then, the phone rings, you just won some competition (or hear about a sick relative, or inherited the crown of England--it really doesn't matter) that will give you a million dollars if you drop everything and fly to England right now.

"Oh noes!" you cry, "now I either have to forego one million dollars or show that I am a mere puppet in the hands of fate. Alas and alack!" But, in the end, you say--screw it; if fate wants me to have a million dollars, who am I to argue?

So, did you have free will? Who is to say? I don't see what the "psychic vision" has to say in the matter. Let us postulate that yes, you "freely chose" that you preferred the million bucks to "proving the psychic wrong"--then all that we are saying is that the psychic accurately saw what you would eventually freely choose to do. We are not saying that you are in any sense "bound" by what the psychic tells you you are going to do.

Let me put this another way, that might make it clearer for you: if we assume that there could be both free will and psychic "foreseeing" then there would be certain kinds of visions of the future that the psychics would not be able to receive. For example, no psychic would be able to get a vision of the following exchange:
A: "I know what word you're going to say next."
B: quizzical look
A: "The next word you say will be...asparagus"
B: "Asparagus--damn you cursed fate!!!!"

But a psychic in a free-will world would be able to get a vision of the following exchange:

A: "I know what word you're going to say next."
B: "Bollocks"
A: "Yes, see--I wrote it down in this handy book."

Clear enough?

Now remember, no objections from FTL physics or what have you are to be entertained here: we're assuming pure Woo foretelling. The psychic simply "sees" what will happen to happen in the future. Explain to me why this is in any meaningful sense incompatible with free will?
 

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