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Debunkers and cognitive dissonance

Dave Rogers

Bandaged ice that stampedes inexpensively through
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A chance remark I made to Scott Sommers some time ago in another thread has led me to wonder whether there isn't an element of cognitive dissonance to the behaviour of debunkers in this forum, not least myself. It's not what the truthers like to think it is; they have a typically half-formed belief that cognitive dissonance is responsible for the conclusion that 9/11 was not an inside job, even though that belief more or less contradicts any rational definition of cognitive dissonance. It's more to do with how we engage with truthers, and how that relates to our belief systems concerning evidence, rationality and human behaviour.

We're all familiar with the pattern of posting on a typical thread here. A truther makes a claim that appears on the face of it to support a 9/11 conspiracy theory. Several regulars point out internal inconsistencies within the claim, inconsistencies between the claim and other related claims made by the same truther, inconsistencies between the claim and the evidence, and inconsistencies between the claim and any possible rationally constructed narrative. As we can all predict, the truther will then handwave away any responses on the flimsiest of pretexts, will rapidly change the subject to a completely different claim, will misrepresent all the responses so as to construct spurious counter-refutations, or in some other way avoid addressing the objections raised to his claim. Having done so, at some point he will declare himself unconvinced by the objections, and imply that an inside job is proven. We all know it's going to happen, and it almost always does.

There are, as far as I can see, only three reasons why we do it. One is that "almost always"; every now and then a truther is intellectually honest enough to re-examine his claims in the light of counter-arguments, and finds them to be untenable. We have a few posting here who have made that leap, and no longer believe in the conspiracy theories. Another is the commonly voiced argument that we're only doing it for the lurkers. Again, now and then we see a post from someone who was initially swayed, whether completely or partially, by the conspiracy theories, but on seeing debunkers' responses was able to recognise the flaws in them. These are both rare occasions, though, and there is little reward to be had from either.

The third, then, is this: we are, in some sense, trying to reconcile the deeply held belief that all reasonably intelligent people are capable of rational analysis of evidence, with the obvious observation that some truthers, intelligent enough to frame grammatically correct sentences and post them on a discussion forum, are nevertheless completely unable to see beyond their prejudices, however glaringly obvious they may be to the rest of us. We are confronted with information that is inconsistent with our beliefs, and we respond by trying ever harder to convince truthers, who almost by definition cannot be convinced. For the most part, it's futile and unrewarding. There is little new material of interest available to debunkers, because there is little or nothing new from the truth movement (see R.Mackey's "Lost in Space" thread for a justification of this assertion). So we find ourselves repeating the same explanations to the same people who have repeatedly rejected them for inadequate reasons, and perhaps wondering why we bother.

If this is true, I'm not sure exactly what the solution is, other than simply ignoring the 9/11 truth movement, a solution most of the world has adopted quite successfully. But what it does explain, I think, is the ongoing fascination amongst people dedicated to critical thinking for the pointless act of trying to address those incapable of it through rational debate, despite more often than not failing. This is also consistent with the periodic debates on whether or not we should shut down this forum; we are conflicted on whether any of it is worthwhile or not, because we believe it should be worthwhile but observe that it tends not to be.

It's an explanation, of course, that's equally applicable to any other part of the forum, but I think I see it often here.

Thoughts? Not just from debunkers; I'd be interested to see what truthers think, if only because I expect an entertaining level of misrepresentation from them of everything I've tried to say. And, of course, there's always the chance that my cognitive dissonance will compel me to try to respond. ;)

Dave
 
I find I learn a great deal from the skeptics on this forum, and it's mainly out of interest in those discussions that I visit and revisit.

This subforum is primarily a gathering place for skeptics who are interested in 9/11 conspiracy myths. I'm less and less interested in what the hardcore trolls here have to say, and have a lot of them on ignore.

For example I have no interest in what Bill Smith or LGR write. Nothing of value there for me.

However, give me a post by ozeco, TFK, good ole' Dave Rogers himself, Ryan Mackey, etc (sorry for not listing everyone who does great posting!) and I'm all ears!
Lately I've appreciated the exchanges with Ivan Kminek.

It comforts me to know that someone is willing to dig into the subjects and help a layman like me understand. Otherwise I'd be in the dark, frankly. And it matters to me what the truth is regarding the collapses - if I thought that the Bush admin did it, I'd be in a different frame of mind altogether.
 
The third, then, is this: we are, in some sense, trying to reconcile the deeply held belief that all reasonably intelligent people are capable of rational analysis of evidence, with the obvious observation that some truthers, intelligent enough to frame grammatically correct sentences and post them on a discussion forum, are nevertheless completely unable to see beyond their prejudices, however glaringly obvious they may be to the rest of us.


This is certainly a big part of it for me. As I've said for years, "I have an irrational belief in the power of rational argument".

That being said, the bigger motivation these days, rather than trying to convince them to change their mind, is trying to understand why it is they believe the crap, rather than the truth. The psychology and sociology behind it is more interesting than whatever particular bit on nonsense they're spouting on any given day.

As well, in some cases, it's just fun, particularly if they've come up with some new bit of nonsense to spout. If you've ever listened to the Skeptoid podcast, I pretty much agree with Brian Dunning, that doing the real research to find the real answers is fun. If they then reject those answers, it doesn't change the fact that I did good work, and enjoyed myself.


I find I learn a great deal from the skeptics on this forum, and it's mainly out of interest in those discussions that I visit and revisit.


And this. I was perusing the Holocaust Denial thread this morning, and read this post, which opined that the deniers were just boring. That's true, just like with a lot of the truthers, but that thread is still worth reading, just to see what Nick Terry has to say. He's very well educated in History in general, and the Holocaust in particular, and he's also quite good at explaining how historians go about doing research, such that those of us without his background can follow what he's saying. So even in a thread filled with some absolute idiots, you can still learn some really interesting stuff.
 
Funny, for a moment there I thought your thread title said "Bedunkers".

I agree with everything Dave says in his OP, except replace the word "truther" with "bedunker".
 
I recently came to notice that my 16-year-old daughter had taken to watching a number of the 9/11 specials and documentaries on tv. When I asked why, she just says it's the only thing on, but I think she has taken some interest in learning about it. She was young at the time and probably doesn't remember that much.

Anyways, a few days ago, she asked "don't some people think it didn't happen the way they said on the news?"

ME: Oh, yeah, people claim all kinds of bizarre things about it.

HER: Like what, for example?

ME: Well at the real extreme, some people claim there were no actual victims - that they are all computer generated people and that all these other people were hired to play their friends and relatives.

HER: Well that's just crap.

ME: Some people claim there were no planes, even though probably half a million people saw at least one of them live on the streets of Manhattan because they all ran outside to watch after the first plane hit.

HER: Got anything that isn't just crap?

ME: Most of them say there was no plane at the Pentagon either, or that it flew over the building and bombs were set off instead. And in Pennsylvania, they shot down the plane, or just dug a hole, set off a bomb, and threw some junk around. And of course, the towers were demolished by bombs after the planes hit.

HER: (rolls eyes)

[Later that night.]
ME: (popping into living room) Some people say there was a giant beam from space that turned the buildings to dust and then they just fell down.

HER: That's stupider than the first one.

[Still later.]
ME: (popping in again) Nuclear bomb?

HER: (more eye rolling).

Not sure what that has to do with the OP, but I was glad I could address her question :cool:
 
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Well, Dave, I'm the first to admit that a majority of our travellers through here are just socks or new but married to their beliefs. That said, is it really correct to treat them as a monolithic block? DC is an example of someone who finally comes around after a while.

Yes, I get as frustrated as anyone else to see the same old same old brought up. And on top of that, I've not been posting all that much lately. But still... the point is that writing anyone and everyone off as a block is sort of painting them with a broad brush. While the empirical measurements show a far greater proportion of truthers who don't change, the number of participants who aren't intellectually closed is nonzero. So if the purpose is to actually try to convince people, then the history here demonstrates that it's merely a high failure rate, but not a total one.

Keep in mind that there are other reasons to continue to post, even if the goal is no longer to convince truthers. Making sure one's arguments are still sharp is one of them. Keeping responses in proximity with claims is another. Teaching yourself a nuance of a claim and the data is a third, and it's this that has had the most impact with me.

My point is that yes, if the idea is to openly engage and make high numbers of incoming truthers understand the fallacies and distortions, then we're definitely mired deep in blatant cognitive dissonance given the history of truther visitors (although rather than cognitive dissonance, I'd like to think of the mental issue as innocent, selective memory to maintain sanity ;):D). But if the idea is one of the other possibilities I've posted above, then it's not. Does that make sense?
 
I recently came to notice that my 16-year-old daughter had taken to watching a number of the 9/11 specials and documentaries on tv. When I asked why, she just says it's the only thing on, but I think she has taken some interest in learning about it. She was young at the time and probably doesn't remember that much.

Anyways, a few days ago, she asked "don't some people think it didn't happen the way they said on the news?"

ME: Oh, yeah, people claim all kinds of bizarre things about it.

HER: Like what, for example?

ME: Well at the real extreme, some people claim there were no actual victims - that they are all computer generated people and that all these other people were hired to play their friends and relatives.

HER: Well that's just crap.

ME: Some people claim there were no planes, even though probably half a million people saw at least one of them live on the streets of Manhattan because they all ran outside to watch after the first plane hit.

HER: Got anything that isn't just crap?

ME: Most of them say there was no plane at the Pentagon either, or that it flew over the building and bombs were set off instead. And in Pennsylvania, they shot down the plane, or just dug a hole, set off a bomb, and threw some junk around. And of course, the towers were demolished by bombs after the planes hit.

HER: (rolls eyes)

[Later that night.]
ME: (popping into living room) Some people say there was a giant beam from space that turned the buildings to dust and then they just fell down.

HER: That's stupider than the first one.

[Still later.]
ME: (popping in again) Nuclear bomb?

HER: (more eye rolling).

Not sure what that has to do with the OP, but I was glad I could address her question :cool:

Even though it's got nothing to do with 9/11, you ought to tell her about the "weaponized attack baboons". :D
 
I recently came to notice that my 16-year-old daughter had taken to watching a number of the 9/11 specials and documentaries on tv. When I asked why, she just says it's the only thing on, but I think she has taken some interest in learning about it. She was young at the time and probably doesn't remember that much.

<snip>

Not sure what that has to do with the OP, but I was glad I could address her question :cool:

Even though it's got nothing to do with 9/11, you ought to tell her about the "weaponized attack baboons". :D

Could have sworn I've read one about highly skilled midgets (possibly ninjas). :book:
 
To be honest, I think there might - in some cases - be a darker side to all this. These things, like being a "9/11 conspiracy debunker" can become a cherished hobby, just like believing in various conspiracies. It at least gives one something to do, nothing bad with that of course. But being a debunker, and spending his or hers days writing to these kind of forums with other same minded people can give one an arena to show off one's intelligence and overall superiority over other people. In a way one could say that debunking these people and their claims can be a form of "justified" bullying and showing off.

I know this applies to me in some level or another.

There's no doubt at all in my mind anymore that these big 9/11 conspiracy theories are all incorrect. I don't think I really have anything new to add to these theories, I can just gather available information from various sources and re-package it. And I'm not even that comfortable writing in english - and still I read and participate in these various forums, reading how stupid these theories are and knocking them down once in a while sometimes using unnecessary rude language. But of course this is NOT the whole story, but it is a glimpse to the dark side.

In a way, I think this sub-forum should just die although it's the sole reason I finally registered myself here. There's nothing *really* interesting happening anymore and slowly this whole thing will turn into a pissing contest and the only people left are those who just cant let go and do other things. Though who knows, maybe some day this will become relevant again.
 
Funny, for a moment there I thought your thread title said "Bedunkers".

I agree with everything Dave says in his OP, except replace the word "truther" with "bedunker".

Given the choice between being a brainwashed 911 cult kook and being a "bedunker"... Being a "Bedunker" is far better... Because that's just a taunt from an upset juvenile mind because people doubt and disprove his cult's bunk...
 
Well, Dave, I'm the first to admit that a majority of our travellers through here are just socks or new but married to their beliefs. That said, is it really correct to treat them as a monolithic block? DC is an example of someone who finally comes around after a while.

Yes, I get as frustrated as anyone else to see the same old same old brought up. And on top of that, I've not been posting all that much lately. But still... the point is that writing anyone and everyone off as a block is sort of painting them with a broad brush. While the empirical measurements show a far greater proportion of truthers who don't change, the number of participants who aren't intellectually closed is nonzero. So if the purpose is to actually try to convince people, then the history here demonstrates that it's merely a high failure rate, but not a total one.

Keep in mind that there are other reasons to continue to post, even if the goal is no longer to convince truthers. Making sure one's arguments are still sharp is one of them. Keeping responses in proximity with claims is another. Teaching yourself a nuance of a claim and the data is a third, and it's this that has had the most impact with me.

My point is that yes, if the idea is to openly engage and make high numbers of incoming truthers understand the fallacies and distortions, then we're definitely mired deep in blatant cognitive dissonance given the history of truther visitors (although rather than cognitive dissonance, I'd like to think of the mental issue as innocent, selective memory to maintain sanity ;):D). But if the idea is one of the other possibilities I've posted above, then it's not. Does that make sense?


I learn a lot from others in area of knowledge outside of my own, from the pilots to the chemists.
 
I'll reply from the lurker point of view. I only rarely dip in when a new-posts search has a catchy title. When I do, it's almost like watching my favorite sports team in action. Here's how it usually plays out for me (not being an expert).

Some bit of truther stuff is posted. I read it and it seems to have some heft -- at least on a surface level. This is followed by rebuttals and counter-rebuttals. Eventually, the matter is worked out to my satisfaction and I quit reading the thread.

I think you guys perform a useful service, as do other posters who I am sure are tired of Creationism and other well-hashed-out topics. I still enjoy them, and I often feel like I've learned something after reading them. This is becoming a rarity on the Internet -- actual, fact-based discussions with real meat instead of repetitious opinion.

Stick with it.
 
...we are conflicted on whether any of it is worthwhile or not, because we believe it should be worthwhile but observe that it tends not to be.
This is where I am on a lot of skeptical topics at the moment. Any progress I make in any skeptical discussions is hard-won, and most of the time I feel I make no difference.

I spent a lot of time on this forum up to about four years ago, but then the prospect of seeing the same arguments pt forward over and over again became so tiring that I couldn't go on. I couldn't bear the thought of seeing "nanothermite" or "faster then free fall" one more time.

In the past couple of weeks I've started visiting again, and see the same arguments. But I have to admit - this is the first time I've seen the phrase "at last smelling". Good work Dusty!

I don't know if this forum should close up shop or not. I'm not one of those still trying to "fight the good fight". I do know that I'm glad there are still those who are ready to jump in if the triggers were to come up with something new. The argument unanswered is the one that's used on the fence-sitters.
 
I dont expect debunkers to change their minds because they have too much pride. And excessive pride can sometime blind you from the truth
 
I dont expect debunkers to change their minds because they have too much pride. And excessive pride can sometime blind you from the truth

Or........in this case........"da twoof".........

Oh hey quick question......

How's that 1% coming along?

:newlol
 
I dont expect debunkers to change their minds because they have too much pride. And excessive pride can sometime blind you from the truth

So says the cult recruiter who's pride has them so blind of the truth that they don't even see the irony of what they're saying.
 
Funny, for a moment there I thought your thread title said "Bedunkers".

I agree with everything Dave says in his OP, except replace the word "truther" with "bedunker".

Par for the course. You get everything backwards.
 

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