a_unique_person said:A category 5 storm headed straight for a low lying coastal city. That seems to be a scenario right out of the predictions of the scientists investigating the possible effects of AGW.
Category 5 storms are not new, but the number of named storms so early in the hurricane season is.
AUP playnig the troll again. Making unsubtantiated claims [AUPspeak]expressing opinions[/AUPspeak] and then obfuscating in the face of requests for evidence or conflicting evidence provided by others.
AUPs claims?
Hurricane activity and force is visibly increasing beyond naturally occurring variation and that this is what AGW theory awould suggest.
The evidence that screams out that his claims (about which he still stands behind) are glaringly false and misleading is perhapd strongest here:
Hurricanes and Global Warming, August 2005
The key conclusions:
claims of linkages between global warming and hurricane impacts are premature for three reasons.
...no connection has been established between greenhouse gas emissions and the observed behavior of hurricanes...
Second, the peer-reviewed literature reflects a scientific consensus exists that any future changes in hurricane intensities will likely be small in the context of observed variability...
And third, under the assumptions of the IPCC, expected future damages to society of its projected changes in the behavior of hurricanes are dwarfed by the influence of its own projections of growing wealth and population
Let's just look more closely.
1. No connection has been established between GHGs and observed behaviour of hurricanes,
2. There is no expectation that any future change will be large enough to even be measurable against natural variation.
3. It is not expected that any future change will be possible by observing societal impact, because again that relative effects will be minor compared with other natural contributing factors.
So AUP, in this thread you can't hide. And I would cordially request that everybody else leave this thread clear for AUP to respond on his own behalf - the reason that I started a new thread is because he is hiding amongst the noise in the origianl thread.