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AGW Denial - The New Creationism/Holocaust Denial Anti-Intellecual Meme?

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GreNME

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I don't pose the subject question lightly, especially considering the predictable assumption by some that I'm trying to equate skepticism about Global Warming to the Nazis (which I'm not) or that I'm implying that Global Warming skepticism is equal to Young-Earth Creationists (which I'm not). Instead, I'm asserting that the same rhetorical styles, structure, and in some cases almost verbatim arguments (with a few changed words) are used by the most staunch anti-AGW circles as have been used by both Creationism proponents and by Holocaust deniers. The clear and distinct anti-intellectualism rooted in the anti-AGW positions very clearly mimics the anti-intellectualism rooted in Creationist and Holocaust denier positions as well, even though the ideological boundaries between the three are exclusive from each other-- though not mutually exclusive, as a YEC believer can also be a Holocaust denier or hold the anti-AGW view-- they are simply distinct ideologies not pertinent to the position I'm putting forth.

To wit:

The similarities in structure and argument between the anti-AGW and Holocaust denial are as follows...
  1. Similar focus on a single person as a "spokesman" to be against - This one is a fairly obvious similarity because it's a fairly common ideological tactic to use. The anti-AGW groups constantly focus on Al Gore as a target, while the popular target to focus on for Holocaust denial groups tends to be Simon Wiesenthal for their vitriol. Obviously, neither individual is the nexus of knowledge or the crux of the proponent arguments for Global Warming or the Holocaust (respectively), but both have lots of political (and ideological) connection to the causes, as well as both having had conveniently clay feet on at least a few occasions (neither have led perfect lives). Naturally, the arguments using these two individuals tends toward implying that the hypocrisy being claimed in the assertion reduces legitimacy of the overarching argument, which incorrectly assumes that either of the two have anything at all to do with whether the thing being argued about is accurate or not. Naturally, in both cases, Gore and Wiesenthal could be completely discredited as individuals and neither would ultimately affect the accuracy of the Global Warming or Holocaust issues in anything but a political sense. Of course, this is a useful tactic for both the anti-AGW and the Holocaust denial crowds, since one of the goals of the ideological movements is to garner political sympathy, and pointing out flaws in the other side's political standing is one way to sway fence-sitters or undecideds (or the uninformed) regarding their ideological stance. It's worth noting that this isn't something that is done only by these two types of ideological arguments, and it's certainly prevalent throughout political argument, but the similarities in nature between these two in how this tactic is employed and how prevalent it is in the arguments makes it noteworthy as a comparison. A typical anti-AGW Al Gore rant as an example (I'm not linking Holocaust denial Wiesenthal rants because they tend to be unusually venomous and inappropriate).
  2. Arguments using dissenting exceptions - This happens to be one of those tactics that is shared between all three ideologies mentioned here, as well as with numerous political ideologies. The tactic includes taking a dissenting opinion that directly opposes or seems to contradict a consensus (whether it actually does or not) and claims that as support for their ideological argument. A common anti-AGW tactic is to use some local climate pattern reading as an example against the argued global pattern (example), while a common Holocaust denier tactic is to use any (perceived) flaw that could be found in survivor accounts (no human skin lamps or soap from the dead). Another example in the anti-AGW argument is to cite (supposed) non-consensus opinions from some researcher or scientist (example), regardless of any status of the peer opinions of the research or scientist statements as support against AGW being "conclusive" (more on this with the Creationists), while Holocaust deniers readily cite their own people who are admittedly studied in much of the WWII-era history but put forth conclusions dissenting against the historical consensus about the Holocaust, again regardless of the peer opinions about the dissent or the applicability of the research that went into the dissenting opinion. Sometimes, even, the dissenting opinion is using valid research to imply an air of deceit and/or fraud by claiming the scientists producing the work are either caught up in some type of god complex (example) or other personal attacks instead of presenting an accurate debunking of the science, which is similar to Holocaust denier tactics of dismissing any accumulated evidence stemming from the Nazi war crimes trials as being biased or made-up instead of providing any substantiation to dismissing such evidence.
  3. Present the view opposing theirs as being conspiracy-driven - The notability of the "Jewish conspiracy" theories prevalent in Holocaust denial should have to be highlighted much, since they're so loud and common as to have infiltrated a number of other conspiracy theories still floating about already. With the recent "climate-gate" incident, however, the conspiracy allegations against proponents of Global Warming by the anti-AGW crowd have grown more obvious than they were previously (example). Both ideological arguments present a firm case that the "truth" is being withheld from the public, and constantly present cases of what they allege are obvious examples of the hoax and fraud being perpetrated by the climatologists (another example). Like the personal attacks against Gore, the tactical benefit this rhetorical method has is in both reinforcing the outrage of the anti-AGW crowd-- or, in the Holocaust denial circles, those claiming the Holocaust was a hoax-- as well as influencing fence-sitters or those uninformed about the actual content being discussed. Now, a lot of what has driven the anti-AGW crowd into conspiracy theorizing is that the issue has become highly politicized between the political left and political right, with most common anti-AGW conspiracies implying a left-wing conspiracy to promote fraudulent science for some mixture of anti-right, anti-Capitalist, and/or anti-Christian campaign against the free world. Clearly this is part of where Al Gore comes into the picture, but the conspiracy theorizing from the anti-AGW crowd has gone way beyond Al Gore since the original release of Gore's books (and movie) on the subject.
  4. Present disagreements in the field as 'proof' against the conclusion - This is another one that Holocaust denial also shares with Creationism, and one taken as full advantage of as possible by the anti-AGW crowd. The tactic here is to inflate any disagreements or conflicting data (like this case) as if it were a series of silver bullets against the overarching argument, by claiming that even the experts in the field can't agree and thus the consensus is a sham. Intellectual investigation into any of the fields concerning three ideological arguments in question will find that there is no lockstep agreement on all of minute details on the subject-- which kind of shoots the conspiracy allegations in the foot, yet the conspiracy theories abound-- while the larger conclusions on the subject remain mostly the same almost across the board. Why is this? The answer is simple, and the same for all three: the subject matter itself is massive and prone to differences of opinion on implications and interpretations of data. However, as with any good scientific theory, the more data that is collected should continue to consistently support the overarching theory even if details are subject to change or alteration. This integral part of the Scientific Method is consistently disregarded by the anti-AGW, the Creationist, and the Holocaust denial crowds as a rhetorical tactic used to poke holes in the ideological argument they are disagreeing with. Science just doesn't work that way, and even with scientific principles that have withstood the test of time there are still discussions and debates ongoing about the permanence of their conclusions and the boundaries to which their conclusions are limited-- for a good example of this, take a primer on quantum physics and find out how it has affected our views on long-standing concepts like gravity, the separation of particles and waves, and other physical properties of the universe that had gone for centuries as being considered practically immutable. To assume that there should ever be a 100% completely finished debate on climate change science is to demand an unreasonable condition to a field of science where such things just don't happen (or don't last).

The similarities in structure and argument between the anti-AGW and Creationism are as follows...
  1. Arguments using dissenting exceptions - see above in the Holocaust denial comparison for the longer explanation. Creationism has groups like The Discovery Institute and similar organizations, while the anti-AGW crowd has organizations like the Center for the Study of Carbon Dioxide and Global Change and similar orgs. Both present themselves as scientific organizations with as much legitimacy in the debate as peer-reviewed research, yet the "scientific" data they produce is re-wording of core ideological positions into language resembling research papers.
  2. Present disagreements in the field as 'proof' against the conclusion - see above in the Holocaust denial comparison for the longer explanation of this, as this is shared between all three. Creationists use differences in discovery or interpretation of evolutionary science data to support their arguments, just as anti-AGW proponents do the same with the discovery and interpretation/prediction of climate science models.
  3. Injecting non-scientific debate into the scientific argument on a regular basis - this method is a signature tactic by the Creationism crowds, and has grown to be a common method in the anti-AGW arsenal as well. Again, this is at least partially related to the proselytizing on the issue by Al Gore, which as a result turned it into a partisan issue that has practically drawn a political line in the sand. It would be difficult to find an anti-AGW source out there that doesn't insert some form of politicizing of the issue along right-left political boundaries, despite climate change science (or any science, for that matter) having nothing to do with political affiliation on the fact and data side of things. While Creationism tends to go the way of politics and religion mixed into the arguments, the anti-AGW ideology tends to inject politics and nationalism, economics, and/or sometimes religion into the debate as a tactic to sway undecideds or preach to the proverbial choir.

Throughout the above-listed similarities (which is by no means complete), there is an overwhelming anti-intellectual element underpinning the anti-AGW arguments, as if it were the fact that this issue is so immense and complex, requiring an intellectual examination of the issue to make an actual informed decision, were somehow part of the problem and not simply a statement on the size and complexity of the issue itself. I understand that the issue of AGW is in its implications that will require a huge restructuring of how we conduct our lives on a day-to-day basis, and will be costly. What makes it so frustratingly baffling is that even if the anti-AGW crowd somehow turns out to be correct about the man-made portion, unfortunately the science on the changing climate itself is pretty conclusive-- the world is getting warmer, and noticeably so, whether our current activities are contributing or not. Regardless of the outcome of the AGW debate in the political and media discourse, the fact still remains that our subsequent generations are going to be dealing with a set of factors that will require our civilizations to change regardless of the current debate being raged. This isn't in doubt except by the most fringe type of folk who are typically enamored of all sorts of conspiracy theories (like Jerome Corsi), so my suggestion to those who are ideologically opposed to the AGW theories on the grounds that it will mean costly and unsettling change is this: get used to it, because it's pretty much unavoidable regardless of what you think is causing it. The structural similarities I detail above are significant in that they tend to disconnect the arguer from the consequences, and the ideology which is driving the debate to its current epic proportions is not based in rational thinking. Debate the steps to take, argue about what changes should be made, and how quickly they should be made-- those are all valid and rational stances that are significant to the future of the US and all other nations. Let's move on to the logistical debate instead of staying locked in this anti-intellectual debate on the merits of science, which tends to be mostly useful only to wingnut authors and politicians anyway. Let's move it out of the realm of its similarities I've listed above and into the realm of applied critical thinking.

Amirite? :D
 
Creationists I can see, but I don't really compare them to holocaust deniers. From my own opinion, AGW deniers tend to either argue from incredulity, or take it up as a political position. The political deniers appear to have gotten it into their head that AGW theory = liberal, therefore is evil and must be smashed beneath their feet.

At least I can understand where the incredulity ones are coming from, sometimes it can be hard to imagine something that seems small, like someone's car, impacting something so big, like the earth. Like creationists they can't imagine it working like it does, so they find any excuse to claim it doesn't.

But that's just my opinion.
 
You certainly have a point here -- this is true of all conspiracy theorists (including holocaust denial, creationism, 9/11 truthers, moon-landing deniers, etc.)

But not everybody skeptical of anything said in favor of AGM is necessarily fits this description -- just like not everybody disagreeing with evolution as presented originally in Darwin are conspiracy theorists. In holocaust, evolution, and AGW heterodoxy, there are the serious scholars -- who are doing real revisionism of the fields -- and the deniers, who use the internal disagreement to claim evolution (or the holocaust) is a "lie".

To give obvious examples, historians looking at documents showing that the Nazis might not have actually settled on physical eradication of the Jews until relatively late (when the war on Russia started), as opposed to the "traditional" view that it was all part of the plan from the start, is holocaust revisionism. It might even be correct, though that is still not clear (or the truth might be more complicated and consist of various strains, as most historians think). Claiming this disagreement shows the holocaust never happened is holocaust denial.

Scientists noting that (as Darwin himself was well aware) the very gradualist view of evolution proposed by Darwin has significant problems and that evolution could not work only like that are evolution revisionists (a case can be made that most of modern biology is precisely "evolution revisionism", using tools Darwin could not have imagined). Those who claim this means "evolution is a lie" are deniers.

Similarly, scientists claiming the data for AGW is weak, or that if true it is much more reasonable to adapt than to try and ban the use of fossil fuels, or that we're-all-doomed global warming predictions are likely false (as most such predictions usually are), are revisionists. those claiming it proves AGW doesn't happen are deniers. But these are two distinct groups, for the most part.

Of course merely being a revisionist doesn't mean one is correct. The AGW revisionists, like the holocaust revisionist or evolution revisionists, may be wrong: e.g., the revisionist view that Germans from ancient times had the "seed" of the holocaust in their "national consciousness" is (almost certainly) wrong, or the "Darwin works just the same way with human societies" (social Darwinism), which certainly was a revision of Darwin (he never thought this way), is wrong. Perhaps, for example, the AGW revisionist are wrong on AGW's evidence but correct on the need to adapt instead of try to ban industries.

The problem is that the media had fallen into the "we're doomed due to global warming" hysteria. It will pass -- such hysterias usually just fade one day, when some new hysteria is in the offing -- but it makes the deniers look good because they treat deniers and revisionists in the same way, as heretics who are denying the revealed truth, thus letting the deniers cloak themselves with the unjustified mantle of the revisionists.
 
The problem is that the media had fallen into the "we're doomed due to global warming" hysteria.

Does everyone just forget that hysteria is one of the media's favorite topics? The media can hardly be an unbiased word on any topic that they can overblow for increased ratings.
 
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The problem is that the media had fallen into the "we're doomed due to global warming" hysteria. It will pass -- such hysterias usually just fade one day, when some new hysteria is in the offing -- but it makes the deniers look good because they treat deniers and revisionists in the same way, as heretics who are denying the revealed truth, thus letting the deniers cloak themselves with the unjustified mantle of the revisionists.

Actually, what you're bringing up is another similarity that AGW denial has in common with Holocaust denial: a regular attempt to portray themselves as moderates on the subject and the conventional view as extremists. Thanks for pointing that out, since I did mention that I didn't list everything in my OP.

While I might agree that the media is a huge megaphone for hyperbole and histrionics, I'm going to have to disagree that they've jumped on the "Earth is doomed" bandwagon at this point. The whole tempest in a teapot surrounding the "climate-gate" issue that was played and re-played-- and not just by FOX News-- shows that media outlets are drawn to controversy, not just doom-saying. They're drawn to perpetuate this politicizing the issue around Global Warming, just like they're drawn to perpetrating the fight between evolution and Creationism, because it reflects a huge political fight that's regularly taking place outside of the media currently-- Holocaust denial tends to not get such attention because, despite what deniers try to put forth, the argument is predominately settled on the grand scale.

My point is that the moderate and rational stuff surrounding the issues gets blocked out specifically because the more extreme voices, particularly in the anti-AGW crowd, are shouting down the ones who are moving past the "is there Global Warming" question-- which has been pretty thoroughly answered, and the answer is "yes"-- and not allowing the conversations to move on to the next step, which should be "what should we be doing about things right now?" The loudest of the anti-AGW crowd are so intent on discrediting and personal attack that critical examination of the next steps isn't even on the table in the general public view on the issue, and this leaves an unbalanced view on what our options are as the available list of possible next steps. Egypt & the Mid-East, India, parts of SouthEast Asia, parts of Mexico & Central America-- all of these are parts of the world where demonstrable changes in the climate are turning the land more arid and less hospitable right now, and the lack of changes in human behavior are making survival even harder for those who live there. This isn't a theoretical argument over what might happen to our children or our children's children, it's a clear and present issue that needs to be addressed and we can't even get past the point of acknowledging that there is an issue because the anti-AGW crowd (on the whole) is more concerned with presenting a "nothing to see here, folks" mentality. That's the anti-intellectualism to the point of being anti-realist, and is what makes the argument so frustrating and debilitating from the anti-AGW side of things.
 
The problem is that the media had fallen into the "we're doomed due to global warming" hysteria.
"The media" also regularly buys into the global warming denial tripe, just look at the whole hacked emails mess.

Judging from the lack of action on global warming, I'd say there's way too little hysteria.
 
GreNME, I think you're right, there are similarities in the arguments put forward by disparate groups who are trying to argue against reality. I suspect it's inevitable; when evidence is against you, you have to resort to other means of argument, and it's not hard to believe people might converge independently on those same methods. Not least because those methods of arguing are effective on some people. They work to varying degrees.

Perhaps methods of arguing against AGW deniers can be learned from other areas of scepticism.
 
I don't pose the subject question lightly, especially considering the predictable assumption by some that I'm trying to equate skepticism about Global Warming to the Nazis (which I'm not) or that I'm implying that Global Warming skepticism is equal to Young-Earth Creationists (which I'm not).

Clearly you are not equating skepticism regarding AGW to holocaust denial or creationism...wait, what was the title of the thread again? Oh yeah:

AGW Denial - The New Creationism/Holocaust Denial Anti-Intellecual Meme?

And of course, you then follow with a postattempting to show that AGW skepticism and holocaust denial/creationism are similar.

[sarcasm]
But clearly, you aren't equating them.
[/sarcasm]
 
And of course, you then follow with a postattempting to show that AGW skepticism and holocaust denial/creationism are similar.

[sarcasm]
But clearly, you aren't equating them.
[/sarcasm]

Right. Because things that are similar are not equal. And comparing one thing to another also does not mean they are equal.

So yes, Virginia, you can compare them and show how they are similar without equating them.
 
And its also possible, Cleon, that people learn what techniques of disinformation worked in the past, and then apply them to less evil pursuits...

I seriously think that the lessons of history are not lost, even those that show how to lie more effectively.
 
You know it's funny. When all the "scientists said there was no such thing as plate tectonics or Continental drift, every 3rd grader looked at south America and Africa and said, " but it looks like they fit together". Common sense counts for a lot. Now the Earth is cooling and common sense says Global Warming might not be correct.People are seeing record breaking cold. How can this fit with warming? Now we get stuff like this

According to the US National Snow and Ice Data Centre in Colorado, Arctic summer sea ice has increased by 409,000 square miles, or 26 per cent, since 2007

It counters everything Gore said and most, if not all, Global Warming people. GreNME, when you dismiss others who differ with you as Nazis, you will win no one over. Nor do you make yourself look "open minded". It is in fact the opposite. BTW cut and paste doesn't suit you. Use your own words.
 
some people do simply wave away AGW like any good conspiracy theorists would. but I think some deniers are motivated by some healthy skepticism of politicians and celebrities, an understanding of the fad/trend that has become environmental awareness, and a huge lack of thorough explanation of the science behind AGW.

i.e....the effect on our climate that our ocean currents have, how their changes make the climate get hotter and cooler, has not been thoroughly explained to the average Joe, IMHO.
 
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You know it's funny. When all the "scientists said there was no such thing as plate tectonics or Continental drift, every 3rd grader looked at south America and Africa and said, " but it looks like they fit together".

I remember when I learned about continental drift and pangaea I looked at the america's and africa and thought 'yeah, I can see that' but I never thought it obvious. That shapes don't actually match all that well, just a general concave to convex relationship. But that's just me.
 
Common sense counts for a lot. Now the Earth is cooling.
No, it's not.

akbpcn.gif
 
You know it's funny. When all the "scientists said there was no such thing as plate tectonics or Continental drift, every 3rd grader looked at south America and Africa and said, " but it looks like they fit together". Common sense counts for a lot. Now the Earth is cooling and common sense says Global Warming might not be correct.People are seeing record breaking cold. How can this fit with warming? Now we get stuff like this

According to the US National Snow and Ice Data Centre in Colorado, Arctic summer sea ice has increased by 409,000 square miles, or 26 per cent, since 2007
this new ice is very weak and thin. it is not good and strong pack ice.
 
It counters everything Gore said and most, if not all, Global Warming people.
No, it doesn't. No one has said arctic sea ice will not fluctuate as it has done in the past. The general trend is just that it's decreasing.

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Considering at least two reactions that seem to have completely ignored several sentences explaining where I'm pointing out similarities in rhetoric and not ideology, I'm somewhat concerned that a very serious examination will take place of the tactics used (The Painter even used one of the tactics I listed, for crying out loud), and my entire point might get lost.

However, Matilda hit the nail very concisely on the head with the following summarization of my comparison in tactics:

Perhaps methods of arguing against AGW deniers can be learned from other areas of scepticism.

Precisely. I tend to take the Michael Shermer approach to skepticism more and more often nowadays, because I find that it's a very healthy balance that avoids letting skepticism fall into incredulity, which I tend to find in abundance in the 'skepticism' presented by AGW deniers. The rational way to approach the debate is to progress it past the part that science can already demonstrate-- the planet is getting warmer, no doubt about it-- and move on to the more important part of the debate: what should we do about it right now? This is a real and demonstrable issue of immediate concern-- even in the US, where the SouthWest (and increasingly the SouthEast) are quickly running out of potable water and usable farming real estate-- so the fact that we're still mired in accepting that it's an issue that requires facing has hamstrung our industrial and social progress, much like Holocaust denial has poisoned the well in scholars being capable of critically examining the WWII crimes for decades. It's blocking the ability for the next generations currently in school to be properly informed on the subject due to political sensitivities, much like Creationism proponents keep attempting to insert religion into our science classes and leave our biological sciences (in the US) lagging compared to the rest of the world. The negative effects of the tactics I listed aren't tied to the ideologies of those who use them, nor the political affiliations or personal foibles. It's the tactics themselves which deserve the critical examination, because the ideologies who use them so predominately use them because they're effective, not because the ideologies lead people to use such tactics. The reason they're so effective is because too many people try to spend time attempting to defuse what are otherwise unbalanced tactics to begin with.

In short, intellectualism doesn't defeat anti-intellectualism on its own merits, it does so by moving the argument past the validity of intellectualism and into the realm where the intellectualism shines-- solving problems.
 
i think its fair to say that pretty much everything on Earth, is cyclical.

AGW deniers do not like this idea one bit.
 
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