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2020 Democratic Candidates Tracker

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Brainster

Penultimate Amazing
Brainster
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I don't see a dedicated thread on this yet, although obviously the topic has come up in other threads quite often.

For starters, I'm going to use Wikipedia's list and update where it seems appropriate.

There are four key criteria, the satisfaction of any of which qualifies a person for inclusion on the list: 1) Has held any federal or statewide elected office; 2) Has been on a presidential cabinet; 3) Has been the mayor of a large city; or 4) Is very famous/rich. Essentially, these criteria exist to weed out the crackpot candidates like Jeff Boss.

Declared Candidates:
John Delaney (US Congressman from Maryland)

Undeclared, But Has Expressed Interest:

Joe Biden
Jerry Brown
Julian Castro
Stephen Colbert
Mark Cuban
John Hickenlooper
Eric Holder
Dwayne (the Rock) Johnson
John Kerry
Martin O'Malley
Bernie Sanders

(I moved Kerry up from Wikipedia's Potentials based on this article.

Potentials:

Richard Blumenthal
Cory Booker
Steve Bullock
Lincoln Chafee
Jamie Dimon
John Bel Edwards
Tulsi Gabbard
Eric Garcetti
Kamala Harris
Jason Kander
Caroline Kennedy
Amy Klobuchar
Mitch Landrieu
Jeff Merkley
Deval Patrick
Tom Steyer

Currently Not Running:

Sherrod Brown
Chelsea Clinton
Hillary Clinton
George Clooney
Andrew Cuomo
Bill de Blasio
Al Franken
Kirsten Gillibrand
Al Gore
Bob Iger
Jay Inslee
Tim Kaine
Joe Kennedy III
Terry McAuliffe
Seth Moulton
Chris Murphy
Gavin Newsom
Michelle Obama
Tim Ryan
Sheryl Sandberg
Adam Schiff
Howard Schultz
Mark Warner
Elizabeth Warren
Maxine Waters
Oprah Winfrey
Mark Zuckerberg

A few of the "Currently Not Running" candidates will be moving up pretty soon. Warren, Kaine, Cuomo and Gillibrand are certainly considered potentially strong candidates (Warren would probably become the betting favorite).

I do think some of the "Currently Not Running" candidates really are out of it. It's possible to imagine Hillary or Chelsea throwing their hats in the ring, I suppose, but I'd put my money on it not happening.

Caroline Kennedy? Well, she's already got a great campaign song, complete with a cheer line for every policy proposal (So Good, So Good, So Good!) But aside from that I don't see it happening.

Some of the lesser-known candidates on that list (Sandberg, Iger, Steyer) are billionaires.

We can add more specific categories later; "Forming an Exploratory Committee" would be a pretty good one, although of course it's empty now and probably will be for another year or so.

Additions and or/movement suggestions?
 
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Prediction: DNC showdown will be Harris, Booker, and maybe Warren, with Harris finally taking the nomination.

The RNC will hem and haw, but no real challenge to Trump will develop because the Republicans can't figure out if they love him or hate him.

In the end, Trump wins, because as a country we're a bunch of idiots.
 
Cleon said:
Prediction: DNC showdown will be Harris, Booker, and maybe Warren, with Harris finally taking the nomination.

The RNC will hem and haw, but no real challenge to Trump will develop because the Republicans can't figure out if they love him or hate him.

In the end, Trump wins, because as a country we're a bunch of idiots.
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Assuming he's still in office.
 
It's almost not interesting. More of a newsworthy analysis will be the GOP and their candidate. It it is not Trump, Trump will spend his remaining months destroying that candidate.
 
Cleon said:
Prediction: DNC showdown will be Harris, Booker, and maybe Warren, with Harris finally taking the nomination.
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A lot will depend on how strong or weak Trump and the economy are looking around the beginning of 2019, when candidates will have to begin organizing seriously. People forget that Clinton was something of a dark horse candidate in 1992; most of the Democrat heavyweights had decided not to run in 1991 when Bush, Sr. was riding high on the results of the first Persian Gulf War.

Some of the younger folks can afford to keep their powder dry if Trump looks tough. Obviously for Warren and a few others (e.g., Biden, Kerry, and Sanders) it will be now or never.
 
Just so we're clear, I hereby state, and mean all that I say, that I never have been and never will be a candidate for President; that if nominated by either party, I should peremptorily decline; and even if unanimously elected I should decline to serve.

That being said, what's it pay?
 
C_Felix said:
Assuming he's still in office.
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Yeah, well, I've seen no indication that Republicans are willing to remove him no matter what he does. And unless 2018 goes to Democrats in a massive landslide*, the Republicans will have to be willing for anything to be done.


* This is not going to happen.
 
C_Felix said:
Assuming he's still in office.
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He will be so long as he wants to be. No matter what comes out of investigations or what he does as President, the current GOP are too spineless to impeach or do anything else to get him out of office and will block any attempts by the Democratic Party and/or the forces of law and order to do likewise.
 
I love the idea of Stephen Colbert running for President. Can't imagine how he would win, but stranger things have happened...
 
The Don said:
He will be so long as he wants to be. No matter what comes out of investigations or what he does as President, the current GOP are too spineless to impeach or do anything else to get him out of office and will block any attempts by the Democratic Party and/or the forces of law and order to do likewise.
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Trump is old. Trump is obese. Trump has anger issues, particularly when he is criticized. Trump has a stressful job that makes him the most criticized person on Earth.

He's 71. Average life expectancy for white American men is 76. Does he really seem likely to beat the average? Hate him or loathe him, he's probably not going to be around much longer.
 
TragicMonkey said:
Trump is old. Trump is obese. Trump has anger issues, particularly when he is criticized. Trump has a stressful job that makes him the most criticized person on Earth.

He's 71. Average life expectancy for white American men is 76. Does he really seem likely to beat the average? Hate him or loathe him, he's probably not going to be around much longer.
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Unlike the majority of Americans, he is rich enough to afford top-tier health care.
 
TragicMonkey said:
He's 71. Average life expectancy for white American men is 76. Does he really seem likely to beat the average? Hate him or loathe him, he's probably not going to be around much longer.
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Life expectancy at birth is 76. But if you reach 71, then you're in a subset of the total population (you haven't died already), with different characteristics. The life expectancy of a white male alive at 71 is no longer 76, but actually 85.
 
You know some of the people on your list aren't actually Democrats, right?
 
Brainster said:
It's possible to imagine Hillary or Chelsea throwing their hats in the ring, I suppose, but I'd put my money on it not happening.
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Hillary has stated in a number of interviews now that she won't be running for public office again.
 
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