cognitive bias

Confirmation Bias, Dunning-Kruger effect, Anchoring, Ostrich effect, Exaggerated Pessimism, and more. This is a 14 minute video on the common cognitive biases we see, especially now during the COVID-19 pandemic. Good lessons in good thinking, and how to avoid cognitive shortcuts that don't...

Recently, someone linked to info on the Dunning–Kruger effect I hadn't seen a formal description before, but I think we see this a lot, and it gave me a new understanding of many posters, here and elsewhere. In my view, a synopsis of the D-K effect is: A person has an unrealistic...

How can you tell if your reasoning for something is a rationalization or not? For example, let's say someone arrives at a belief because most of the people he's been exposed to for a couple years hold that belief, then he thinks back to examples of his past that convince him he'd ALWAYS been...