1 out of 1 (since it happened), or something like 1 out of 1 million (for the number of sperm), or something like 1 out of a trillion billion (for your parents meeting each other, having sex, then all the sperm and so on)
I mean assuming materialism is true. Did my parents need to be born and to form a sexual relationship? But that of course is absurd because each of them would need to have had their parents to have been born and to have met up; and the same going back to when first life appeared on Earth...
...are 909,000 to 1
http://story.news.yahoo.com/news?tmpl=story&u=/ap/20030902/ap_on_sc/britain_asteroid_watch_1
How do you calculate odd like that? It seems awfully exact.
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