chance

I need to prove that something exists... how can i do it? Somebody told me i need to get more than 50% if there is two posible options... like when you throw a coin but... does a coin "more lucky" than the "coin itself" if i throw it enough times to get a 100% of the same result?

American al Qaeda: U.S. should convert to Islam POSTED: 8:35 p.m. EDT, September 2, 2006 ISLAMABAD, Pakistan (CNN) -- A new videotape has surfaced featuring Osama bin Laden's second-in-command, Ayman al-Zawahiri, and an American member of al Qaeda wanted by the FBI, according to a...

(spun off from thread "Statistical Scandals") Hans, do you mean that one gets a straight for no reason, that it just happens by itself? Or that we just can't predict when or if you'll get a straight?

Bumped into something interesting a couple weeks ago. Since the blog topic wasn't getting a lot of traffic, I suppose here would be a good place to start looking for comments. Direct link so that you don't have to read my bad writing: Here I'm more experienced at calling a woo's bluffs...

I wonder. She is manipulative and about as secretive as GW and presents herself sort of shrilly. She has a real "I know best for you, you idiot" attitude, I think. She also has a high "hate her" number (which might change, granted). Her demeanor is off putting to me. All that said, if the...

I'm sure there are several people who scored higher than the chance when they did something. For example, I was able to guess whether a playing card not known to me was red or black, and I was right for 48 cards. Now, mind you, I was about 11 years old, so I wasn't thinking probabilities, or...

So, if we could postulate that we somehow got here by chance, what's the "chance" of the whole ball of wax, replete with every single last "ordered detail," to just up and disappear? Anytime soon? If it's by chance that we got here, why couldn't it all just disappear on a "whim" as well? Because...

This would have made a really good test. The Huygen's probe (from the Cassini spacecraft) is due to land on Titan and beam back pictures of the surface today. Wouldn't it have been interesting if someone could have predicted what we would find (you could Remote View it, or psychically read the...

One of these days someone is going to get a statistically significant score by random chance. Can you imagine the horror this would unleash on the world? Headlines: "World renowned skeptic proves dowsing!" (ignoring all the other claims) Paranormal boards: "Un-Amazing Randi's karma catches up...

The pdf file and subsequent reasonably intelligent discussion is here: http://www.dailykos.com/story/2004/11/11/192031/96 This is a rushed but serious academic paper, which concludes that given the historical accuracy of exit polls the odds of the discrepancy between the exit polls and the...

The big day is here. Currently I am leaning towards Kerry becuase of his parties' attempts to recruit voters from the Daily Show demographic. I think think polling hits college dorms that well and I am not convinced that pollers like Zogby have adequately compensated for it. I think that...

and they'll sing to you too! What's up with this? Flowers

Ok, here's the chance of a life time... We should put it to all "psychics"...the dire warnings about an Al Qeda attack should have all of the "crime-solvers" focused on foiling the attack and exposing the men wanted by the FBI for operating cells in the US and other countries. Ok, "psychics"...

to be hurt in a car accident without a seat belt than if you wore a seat belt, or to get lung cancer if you smoke than if you don't smoke??? This is not a real statement but just an example--but---- What does it actually mean---4 times as likely? or 70% chance of? You hear people refer to...

Any chance, as threatened, that bigfig showed up...with or sans Hog? Dulled minds want to know...:p