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The sinking of MS Estonia: Case Reopened Part VII

JayUtah said:
You have demonstrated almost total ignorance of the sciences that pertain to your claims. You are almost entirely unable to admit error. None of that is consistent with being merely curious about the world. Your approach is worse than useless, and I am asking you to defend it if you can.
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I do not have to justify myself.


Any more than you have to justify your interests.
 
Vixen said:
Look. The accident happened locally to me. There are many people in this area who helped in the rescue effort. There are many people employed in the Meyer Werft shipyards. Werft built the recent Icon of the Seas...
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Irrelevant.

Vixen said:
...I know for a fact that the workmanship on the Werftt shipyard is first class...
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Really? I'm not saying it isn't: I'm not in any way qualified to judge that. Are you? If so please provide your relevant bona fides.

Vixen said:
...Therefore, I am not going to write off the Germans as 'insane cranks'...
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So, I've had a little play with the search function (hence the delayed response), and it would appear that the only person that has used the highlighted phrase in reference to the German Group of Experts is a poster by the name of Vixen.

Well, gosh.
 
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junkshop said:
Irrelevant.



Really? I'm not saying it isn't: I'm not in any way qualified to judge that. Are you? If so please provide your relevant bona fides.



So, I've had a little play with the search function (hence the delayed response), and it would appear that the only person that has used the highlighted phrase in reference to the German Group of Experts is a poster by the name of Vixen.

Well, gosh.
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I am amazed you had no idea that Rabe was a part of the German Group.

Perhaps revise what the issues are before jumping in and claiming to be an expert in the matter.
 
Vixen said:
She has brought out a book, a documentary and a fictionalized film based on fact.

She attended the shipwreck site (there is now a warrant out for her in Sweden). She retrieved some pieces from the hull and had them tested at independent metallurgists labs.
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Not an answer.

Lots of nutters write books. The question is does she have any evidence for what she wrote in the book?
 
Vixen said:
I am amazed you had no idea that Rabe was a part of the German Group.

Perhaps revise what the issues are before jumping in and claiming to be an expert in the matter.
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What?


The members of the German Group of Experts (according to one of your favoured sources - estoniaferry.net):

Appointment

The German 'Group of Experts' was formed in the beginning of February 1995 in accordance with a decision of the Managing Director of Jos. L. Meyer GmbH, in Papenburg - Dipl. Ing. Bernard Meyer.

Chairman

Dr. Peter Holtappels, marine lawyer and senior partner of the law firm Ahlers & Vogel, Hamburg.

Members

Captain Werner Hummel, marine consultant and managing director of Marine Claims Partner (Germany) GmbH, Hamburg. Captain Håkan Karlsson († February 1997), former master of MV VIKING SALLY, SILJA STAR and WASA KING from June 1980 - October 1992.
Prof.-Dr. mult. Eike Lehmann, Technical University of Hamburg-Harburg until 30.06.95 (at which time Prof. Dr. Lehmann was appointed CEO of the Board of Germanischer Lloyd, Hamburg and became thus unable to participate in the ongoing investigation). Dipl.-Ing. Tomas Wilkendorf, naval architect employed by Messrs. Jos. L. Meyer GmbH, Papenburg.

Experts

Prof. Dr.-Ing. Hans Hoffmeister, of the University of the Armed Forces, Hamburg.
Prof. Dr.-Ing. Walter Abicht, Institute for Shipbuilding of the University of Hamburg.
Prof. Dr.-Ing. Hansjörg Petershagen, Institute for Shipbuilding of the University of Hamburg.
Dr.-Ing. Zenon Hirsch, naval architect, Hamburg.
Captain Peter Jansson, Helsinki/Finland.
Veli-Matti Junnila, stability expert, Turku/Finland.
Swedish observer - Captain Erland von Hofsten, chairman of the Swedish
Sailor's Foundation, Gothenburg/Sweden.
Bryan E.W. Roberts - reconnaissance expert, Churchgate/UK.
Brian Braidwood - diving and explosives expert, Weymouth/UK.
Jonathon Bisson - video expert, Axminster/UK.
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"Perhaps revise what the issues are before jumping in and claiming to be an expert in the matter."


Now, with that diversion addressed, do you have any comment on what I actually posted?

.
 
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Vixen said:
Your insults reflect on you, not me.
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What insult would that be? You can either justify your approach, or have people draw their own conclusions about it. Your willful ignorance and ongoing self-delusion of infallibility reflects on you, not me.
 
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All of the false claim of suspicious events come from a single source: Rabe. Her tactics over this case ended with having her press credentials revoked due to questionable ethics. She never seeks out independent sources, only other conspiracy loons to echo her baseless allegations.

This tragedy is straightforward:

Ro-Ro ferries have a long history of maritime disasters. Almost all of them involve a faulty ramp door failing in bad weather, and the rest involve mistakes made by the crew. Estonia was both.

MS Estonia was never designed for open ocean transit, and had only sailed in rough seas on time before.

The warning sensors on the bow ramp, and bow cover were inadequate. And the crew failed to properly inspect the car deck, and the bow.

The bridge crew improperly made calls for help before issuing a MAYDAY, and even then wasted time before giving GPS coordinates (although this may had been the result of the GPS being on the steep end of the bridge, and difficult to reach with the ships listing). The result was a confused and slow response by rescuing elements.

Bottom Line: Bad weather+ rogue wave + bad design for the conditions + poor crew performance = Sinking.

No bombs, no submarines, no Spetsnaz team, no MI-6/CIA/EIEIO, no Bill Clinton. Just the usual suspects found in every major maritime disaster: An experienced caption trying to keep to schedule regardless of the weather conditions, assumptions about the ship's seaworthiness under those harsh conditions. A half-assed crew from a country with notoriously low standards for everything for professionalism to safety. And fate/Murphy's Law.

The sinking of MS Estonia is not hard to understand at all.
 
MarkCorrigan said:
Nope, you frequently do exactly what Jay is saying you do.

When did you last beat your wife isn't actually a bad question to a proven and known wife beater.
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Also "When did you last beat your wife?" can be answered "Never", the famous illustration of begging the question is "When did you stop beating your wife?". But to quote Shakespeare, "Meh, close enough".
 
P.J. Denyer said:
Also "When did you last beat your wife?" can be answered "Never", the famous illustration of begging the question is "When did you stop beating your wife?". But to quote Shakespeare, "Meh, close enough".
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I think there's been some confusion with "When did you last see your father?", the title of the painting of a possibly fictional scene from the English Civil War, where a young boy faces the dilemma of whether to tell the truth (as he has been brought up to do) and put his father in danger, or lie to protect him.
 
MarkCorrigan said:
Not an answer.

Lots of nutters write books. The question is does she have any evidence for what she wrote in the book?
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Absolutely. She hired the skills of Gregg Bemis, a Harvard and Stanford Law and Economics graduate with a passion for marine issues, and held a 33% share in the wreck of the Lusitania. He accompanied her to the Estonia wreckage site. Likewise, she hired the skills of ex-Naval explosives expert, Brian Braidwood and naval bod Michael Fellowes MBE to write up a report on the three independent metallurgy labs she sent samples from the bow hull for expert independent analysis, including one in the USA and another used by the forensic police in Germany. Rabe also undertook extensive filming of the wreck and interviewed numerous people. She claims to have seen the pilot's logs and TV footage of Piht, which she now suspects has been completely deleted by the security forces.

It is not just Rabe, the Estonian head of JAIC also brought out a book called the Pilot's log book, or similar.
 
junkshop said:
What?


The members of the German Group of Experts (according to one of your favoured sources - estoniaferry.net):





"Perhaps revise what the issues are before jumping in and claiming to be an expert in the matter."


Now, with that diversion addressed, do you have any comment on what I actually posted?

.
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Sorry, my bad. Rabe is an independent journalist.

Your comments seem to include a lot of vulgar phrases which I shall not comment on.
 
JayUtah said:
What insult would that be? You can either justify your approach, or have people draw their own conclusions about it. Your willful ignorance and ongoing self-delusion of infallibility reflects on you, not me.
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This thread is about the sinking of the Estonia. I am not sure what it is you are so upset about.
 
Axxman300 said:
All of the false claim of suspicious events come from a single source: Rabe. Her tactics over this case ended with having her press credentials revoked due to questionable ethics. She never seeks out independent sources, only other conspiracy loons to echo her baseless allegations.

This tragedy is straightforward:

Ro-Ro ferries have a long history of maritime disasters. Almost all of them involve a faulty ramp door failing in bad weather, and the rest involve mistakes made by the crew. Estonia was both.

MS Estonia was never designed for open ocean transit, and had only sailed in rough seas on time before.

The warning sensors on the bow ramp, and bow cover were inadequate. And the crew failed to properly inspect the car deck, and the bow.

The bridge crew improperly made calls for help before issuing a MAYDAY, and even then wasted time before giving GPS coordinates (although this may had been the result of the GPS being on the steep end of the bridge, and difficult to reach with the ships listing). The result was a confused and slow response by rescuing elements.

Bottom Line: Bad weather+ rogue wave + bad design for the conditions + poor crew performance = Sinking.

No bombs, no submarines, no Spetsnaz team, no MI-6/CIA/EIEIO, no Bill Clinton. Just the usual suspects found in every major maritime disaster: An experienced caption trying to keep to schedule regardless of the weather conditions, assumptions about the ship's seaworthiness under those harsh conditions. A half-assed crew from a country with notoriously low standards for everything for professionalism to safety. And fate/Murphy's Law.

The sinking of MS Estonia is not hard to understand at all.
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Whilst it is true the vessel was designed to cross between Finland and Sweden, which she did for many years, OTOH it is hardly true that she traversed across 'open ocean'. The journey from Tallinn to Helsinki for example is just 90km so not really different. I don't believe this is a factor in the accident.

As for the Mayday, this is very interesting because the Mayday was made by Tammes, the second or third officer. It should have been made by the Captain, yet this is not even mentioned in the JAIC report. According to the watchman* he was on the bridge as he had been behind him as he was ascending the stairs. The impression of the nearby Mariella captain was that Tammes or whoever, had been trying to communicate earlier ( ship near Sweden claims to have picked up an attempted message earlier). The fact Tammes was unable to give the coordinates immediately (it was NOT GPS) and his colleague could be heard calling them out in the second recorded attempt indicates he was unable to see them, no doubt clinging on for dear life at a severe list. He was using a hand held device which again raises the question of why not use the much better quality radio devices on the bridge.

As the captain of nearby Silja Europa told the press, the storm was no worse than usual for a September night.

And no, Estonia is not a crap country with a crap crew.

*This guy was jailed for drug smuggling later and was amongst the first off the ship, so who knows how reliable his testimony is.
 
JayUtah said:
What insult would that be? You can either justify your approach, or have people draw their own conclusions about it. Your willful ignorance and ongoing self-delusion of infallibility reflects on you, not me.
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Vixen said:
This thread is about the sinking of the Estonia. I am not sure what it is you are so upset about.
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There is nothing in JayUtah's post that even hints at upset. It is a logical and accurate statement. Perhaps you are projecting your own upset at being unable to provide a logical approach to the sinking of the Estonia without resorting to unevidenced speculation, and even outright lies, by both yourself and those whose opinions you see as supporting your own.
 
Vixen said:
... She claims to have seen the pilot's logs and TV footage of Piht, which she now suspects has been completely deleted by the security forces.
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We've all seen the TV footage of 'Piht'. It's on YouTube. It's not him. Conspiracy loons leap to conclude the bit with him in must have been edited out by Sinister Powers.

It shows survivors arriving at hospital in Finland, none of whom is Piht, but when the footage was shown on German TV news, someone mistakenly thought they saw him. So the police went to the TV station to get a full copy of the broadcast footage, which lovers of conspiracy theories rewrite in their heads as the Men In Black turning up to remove and destroy all copies of the footage, ignoring the illogic of thinking that doing so at one German TV station would erase what was recorded in Finland and sent to goodness knows how many places.

This is just as bonkers as people who watch footage of the moon landings while claiming NASA "lost all the tapes" of the very thing they're watching.

I'm feeling more than a little sorry for this dead horse. How many more floggings must it endure?
 
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