The problem with trump is the way the presidential vote is tabulated in the U.S. Remember, he
won in 2016 despite losing the popular vote by almost 3 million votes. He lost in 2020 by 7 million votes but came within about 120,000 votes of winning in the electoral college. Reason why trump was/is so frustrated.
In 2020 with a swing of about 120,000 votes in four states -- Arizona, Georgia, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin -- trump would have won the Electoral College vote which is based on the number of states the candidate wins, not the total popular vote. With those 120,000 votes in those four states trump could still have lost the popular vote by almost 7 million yet he'd be president right now.
trump doesn't need to win the overall vote -- and the GOP knows this -- if he wins all the red states and the key battleground states. Those are the places where, after news of him being indicted came out, he seems to be picking up strength. Behind the scenes the GOP knows how vindictive trump is. If he runs for the Republican nomination and loses he is almsot certain to retaliate against the Republican Party any way he can. And as Tucker Carlson once wrote, trump "is the undisputed world champion [for] destroying things."
This is almost certain to keep getting more crazy not less.