ehbowen said:
So your position is that any natural explanation is to be preferred over any supernatural explanation, regardless of whether or not we have any specific evidence in this specific case which points to it?
Perhaps it would be instructive at this point to review what "
supernatural" actually means. In the link I provided, there are two definitions. The first relates to the supernatural realm. The second relates to events that occur in the natural realm that are of non-natural origins. Since we are potentially talking about non-natural events occuring in the natural world, it is the second definition that is of interest to us. Specifically:
From the above link
2 a : departing from what is usual or normal especially so as to appear to transcend the laws of nature b : attributed to an invisible agent (as a ghost or spirit)
In deference to your assumptions, I would amend 2 a to read "... so as to transcend or appear to transcend the laws of nature", so as to account for the possibility that angels do exist and can, in fact, transcend the laws of nature, rather than mearly appearing to.
Given that a supernatural events trancend the laws of nature, there is no way to objectively measure the event, since measuring requires abiding by a consistant pattern of behavior. If an event does not follow the laws of nature, it may not have a consistant pattern of behavior and, thus, may not be measurable. (I'm reiterating the point in another way, not providing justification.)
So, lets assume that a true supernatural event occurs. For instance, an angel visits an old woman. But, since the event is unmeasurable and unrepeatable, we can not be certain that the supernatural entity involved is, in fact, an angel. It could, with equal probability, be a devil, demon, fairie, ghost, phantom or any other supernatural entity. Because supernatural entities transcend the laws of nature, we have no way of knowing what their properties are.
So, yes, natural explinations are preferable to supernatural explinations because they can be verified. However, not just
any natural explination is preferable. The natural explination must account for all aspects of the event.
However, I must make a correction. The specific evidence in this specific case (I'm taking to be Mrs. Howard) does not explicitly indicate a supernatural event. It is consistant with a number of natural psychological phenomenon, as I've shown in previous posts. To be honest, the evidence in this specific case does not explicitly indicate
anything other than Mrs. Howard remembers seeing what she believes to be an angel.
No, I never said that a natural explanation wasn't possible. I simply said that in these particular cases I had no reason to believe that these particular individuals were the victims of hallucinations, false memories, and so forth. And neither do you.
I didn't say you never said it wasn't possible. I said that you haven't been willing to consider it. There is a difference. The very difference you accuse skeptics of, in fact. (I am attempted to say it's the very difference you project onto skeptics.)
Ask yourself, while there is no reason to believe that Mrs. Howard was the victim of a psychological phenomenon, is there any reason to believe that she wasn't? The thing is, a psychological study of Mrs. Howard might be able to give us an indication if the latter has occured. Then, we might have a reason to consider one way or the other.
Originally posted by Upchurch
ehbowen, please. There is nothing more annoying than someone putting words in my mouth.
Sorry. But you do it too:
... I'm sorry. You are correct. You haven't said that natural possibilities aren't possible.
And that in the absence of a reason to believe otherwise, I choose to believe that Mrs. Howard and Rev. Cathey are competent to observe and to recount the facts of their own life experiences.
Then you must recognize that choice is based on your own assumptions. You must further recognize that a skeptic's decision to withold judgement based on lack of information is not tantamount to an assumption that angels don't exist. This is has been your original claim and this is what I'm telling you that you are mistaken about.
You overlooked a very important detail; I said: Provided that these are the only two possibilities, I would have to conclude that the first conclusion is most likely correct: It's all bunk. As I went on to discuss, I do not believe that those are the only two possibilities.
It doesn't matter if there are two or two thousand possibilites, my point was that you have two standards by which judge andecdotal evidence. For those who remember seeing supernatural enitities that are angels, they're 100% competient given no reason to think otherwise. For those who remember seeing supernatural entities that are not angels, they're probably mistaken given no reason to think otherwise.
When considering a situation with an open mind, free of preceptions, why should anecdotal claims about angels have any more credibility than anecdotal claims of fairies, aliens, or running a one minute mile?
And I would further note that you are making global generalizations whereas I have, from the beginning, carefully limited myself to two specific cases.
I disagree. As you've pointed out on a number of occasions, this is not about the specific cases of angel sightings. This is about the general approach that skeptics take vs. the approach that beleivers take. I quote:
I would submit to you that I, being a believer, am better able to impartially assess and judge these stories than are you, the skeptics.
snip]
I simply ask you to be aware that you have them, that you attempt to remain aware of the ways in which they influence your actions, and that you keep open in the back of your mind the possibility that, on that most fundamental level, you could be wrong.
My purpose in this thread it to dispute these statements. When it comes down to it, ehbowen, it is the believer, not the skeptic, who has trouble remembering that, on that most fundamental level, that they could be wrong. Further, I think your arguments on this thread support my counter-argument.
But if we must argue specifics...
There are any number of so-called angel sightings where I would agree that the natural explanation is most likely. I chose to bring up Mrs. Howard's case because in that case I have direct personal knowledge of the principal and I know that there is no element of financial reward or recognition;
Very well. Now, what relevence does your involvement with Mrs. Howard or the fact that no fame or fortune is involved have to do with how Mrs. Howard percieved the event she remembers? It's immaterial to the event itself. It's still anecdotal evidence and it is still unverifiable.
I chose Rev. Cathey's case because I considered the elements of his case, particularly that of his daughter's medical experiences, to be especially compelling.
But then, you have picked the anecdotes that supports your preconceptions. How many anecdotes are there that don't support that angels exist? Assuming there even is a Rev. Cathey or that the story was reported accurately, it is still
only anecdotal evidence.
You put me at a disadvantage by pressing me to respond in a general sense to the UFO question. If you wish to continue this line of questioning, I ask that you limit it to a specific case, preferably one in which the credibility of the witness and the facts of the case do not break down upon initial examination.
I have put you at a disadvantage not because I'm not presenting specific anecdotes, but because I'm forcing you to apply your confidence in anecdotal evidence to a subject where you don't necessarily believe the premise is true. When the person is telling you something you don't already believe is true, suddenly the recounted stories of others don't seem to carry as much weight, do they?
If you insist on a specific case, let us reconsider a case I brought up earlier,
the Cottingly Fairies. Before the photographic evidence was fully debunked, many people thought as you do: There is no reason to doubt the girls story. Further, they had actual pictures! So, why did, or should, people continue to question the anecdotal and, in this case, physical evidence the girls provided?
Originally posted by Upchurch
Let me counter, how likely are you to seriously consider the possibility that neither aliens nor angels exist? So far, you've given no indication that you would be, or am I mistaken?
You would first have to convince me that the Bible is not the Word of God. I am convinced that it is, and it is the Bible which tells me that there are angels. In order to do that, you would have to wipe out my memory of the previous thirty-three years and re-play that time span with no answered prayer, no comfort, consolation, insight, and illumination from the Holy Spirit, no instances of providential care and concern, and no evidence of divine guidance and plan. I do not think that you can do this. But you are free to try.
This, ehbowen, is known as an
Appeal to Authority and it is a logical fallacy. It occurs when a debater can't make an argument stand by its own merits and is reduced to saying their argument is correct because an authority says it is correct. By appealing to the Christian Bible as the ultimate authority on the nature of reality, by saying that angels exist because the Bible tells you that they do, you are commiting this logical fallacy.
Further, it tells me, once again, that you cannot "keep open in the back of your mind the possibility that, on that most fundamental level, you could be wrong," because you are not likely to seriously consider the possibility that angels don't exist.