Name for a fallacy?

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Oct 28, 2012
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Potholer54 talked about this in one of his videos. When something looks suspicious on the surface, a person concludes that a conspiracy happened instead of:

A. considering alternative explanations
B. using this as a jumping point to investigate further and find real hard evidence.
 
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I'm not sure that there is a convenient Latin name for it. I agree with arthwollipot that it is an example of jumping to a conclusion.


Psychologists usually attribute belief in conspiracy theories to a number of psychopathological conditions such as paranoia, schizotypy, narcissism, and insecure attachment,[9] or to a form of cognitive bias called "illusory pattern perception".[24][25] It has also been linked with the so-called Dark triad personality types, whose common feature is lack of empathy.[26] However, a 2020 review article found that most cognitive scientists view conspiracy theorizing as typically nonpathological, given that unfounded belief in conspiracy is common across both historical and contemporary cultures, and may arise from innate human tendencies towards gossip, group cohesion, and religion.[9] One historical review of conspiracy theories concluded that "Evidence suggests that the aversive feelings that people experience when in crisis—fear, uncertainty, and the feeling of being out of control—stimulate a motivation to make sense of the situation, increasing the likelihood of perceiving conspiracies in social situations."[27]

Historically, conspiracy theories have been closely linked to prejudice, propaganda, witch hunts, wars, and genocides.[12][28][29][30][31] They are often strongly believed by the perpetrators of terrorist attacks, and were used as justification by Timothy McVeigh and Anders Breivik, as well as by governments such as Nazi Germany, the Soviet Union,[28] and Turkey.[32] AIDS denialism by the government of South Africa, motivated by conspiracy theories, caused an estimated 330,000 deaths from AIDS.[33][34][35] QAnon and denialism about the 2020 United States presidential election results led to the January 6 United States Capitol attack,[36][37][38] and belief in conspiracy theories about genetically modified foods led the government of Zambia to reject food aid during a famine,[29] at a time when three million people in the country were suffering from hunger.[39] Conspiracy theories are a significant obstacle to improvements in public health,[29][40] encouraging opposition to such public health measures as vaccination and water fluoridation. They have been linked to outbreaks of vaccine-preventable diseases.[29][33][40][41] Other effects of conspiracy theories include reduced trust in scientific evidence,[12][29][42] radicalization and ideological reinforcement of extremist groups,[28][43] and negative consequences for the economy.[28]

I think it's somewhat similar to the tendency among some to invoke the plan of a divine being as a one-size-fits all explanation rather than to look for naturalistic (evidence-based) explanations for phenomena.
 
It's also a type of trained Apophenia:


"unmotivated seeing of connections [accompanied by] a specific feeling of abnormal meaningfulness"
only in the case of CT nuts, it is very much motivated seeing of connections.


It is an interesting feature of the CT community that they have no problem with people using each other's CT for their own pet issues, even if that would make the whole thing even less likely - it creates a false sense of community through (not actually) shared belief. Attaching your own issue with an established CT makes your problems seem more grandiose and yourself more important, since you are now a fighter in a struggle against Evil Powers instead of just arguing about your electric bill.
 

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