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Jobs That AI Will Replace. Very Soon!

"Tasks" and "jobs" aren't quite the same, are they? There are a lot of "tasks" that I used to perform in the course of doing my job that I no longer need to perform, or that have been made orders of magnitude easier thanks to technology.

I've probably mentioned this before but back in the early years of my career in the 1870s, I would get assigned to run what-ifs on large commercial real estate transactions. What if inflation was 7% and 65% of the tenants renewed? No kidding back then it was an afternoon to run the new scenario (with the door to my office closed). Of course within a few years it was just pressing a key (and waiting for the recalc). And then the whole recalc thing went away.
 
I would not worry too much about AI doing us all out of a job. This would lead to higher living standards and thus jobs to replace lost jobs. However different people may be required to do the new jobs. Or a few highly paid people could replace heaps of unskilled workers.

The biggest risk is that a few people will have highly-paid jobs. A few other people have investments that create a good income. The rest of the population lives in poverty.
 
I would not worry too much about AI doing us all out of a job. This would lead to higher living standards and thus jobs to replace lost jobs. However different people may be required to do the new jobs. Or a few highly paid people could replace heaps of unskilled workers.

The biggest risk is that a few people will have highly-paid jobs. A few other people have investments that create a good income. The rest of the population lives in poverty.

In that latter scenario we would need universal income.

But I hasten to add that real-world evidence still seems to be lacking. While some jobs may indeed be going obsolete, new ones seem to be appearing fast enough to replace them.
 
... back in the early years of my career in the 1870s...

You really should think about retiring.

In that latter scenario we would need universal income.

But I hasten to add that real-world evidence still seems to be lacking. While some jobs may indeed be going obsolete, new ones seem to be appearing fast enough to replace them.

I think a big part of the issue is the newness of the technology.

Someone probably needs to get AI to tell them how and where to implement AI to gain the biggest increase in profits.

Or, it could be like nuclear fusion - always something that's going to happen soon, but never actually does.
 
"Tasks" and "jobs" aren't quite the same, are they? There are a lot of "tasks" that I used to perform in the course of doing my job that I no longer need to perform, or that have been made orders of magnitude easier thanks to technology.

Exactly this. I started in IT in 1984 and been continually told my job would vanish because <thing> would render me obsolete. Nope, the tasks kept being automated (often by me), I'd move to other jobs that needed my skillset etc.
The idea that AI can replace programmers is partly valid. I may have mentioned the departments at a certain bank that just knew how to translate specs to code. Think of formal specs like Z etc where it's possible to have the code derived exactly from the spec. What worries me is that some of those in other departments were entry level jobs where they could develop into strong developers. If you take away the entry level jobs where do your new good staff come from? Abroad? We were struggling to retain staff in India as the market got competitive.
 
Someone should put the McKinsey handbook into ChatGPT and replace about 80% of the C Suite in this country.
 
My job is starting to migrate from checking human translators to checking machine translations. And they do need to be checked. It’s already pretty good but definitely not perfect yet. Humans have never been perfect. They all have their blind spots. Myself included of course.

But I sort of feel like the pressure is a little bit higher if you are checking a computer. You had better find something to edit. There were some translators who I came to trust enough to give minimal attention to checking their output. But if you take that approach to the job with a computer you might just lazy yourself out of a job eventually. They can compare the before and after to see how many changes you make. And of course see if you made necessary changes too with a little extra attention.
 
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Agree with both of these. Not sure I would be trusting an AI to check my prostate.

I am not sure I trust my GP, nor even any given urlogogist, with my prostate.
It takes experience to more accurately detect conditions outside of the normal and/or obvious states of that region down there.
An AI with sufficiently sensitive sensors can generate vastly more experience by pooling the data from many prostate-examining robots, and store and retrieve it in a much more standardized, unbiased, reliable way.
As research and knowledge about urology expands and evolves, AIs can systematically recall and re-asses old examinations and perhaps alert patients to an updated diagnosis.
 
CEOs.

could be instantly replaced but for the problem that A.I.s don't know how to award themselves stock options.
 
I am not sure I trust my GP, nor even any given urlogogist, with my prostate.
It takes experience to more accurately detect conditions outside of the normal and/or obvious states of that region down there.
My GP refers me to specialists in nearby hospitals.
An AI with sufficiently sensitive sensors can generate vastly more experience by pooling the data from many prostate-examining robots, and store and retrieve it in a much more standardized, unbiased, reliable way.
As research and knowledge about urology expands and evolves, AIs can systematically recall and re-asses old examinations and perhaps alert patients to an updated diagnosis.

The problem is it still needs human oversight. Where are humans going to develop the expertise on basis diagnosis in such areas if AI tools do it all? The NHS in some areas is worried that too many simple treatments are outsourced to private medical companies. Those companies like to pick the simpler more profitable ones and leave the more complicated ones to experts in the NHS. But newer doctors can struggle to develop expertise as the simpler cases they would train on are outsourced. Short term solutions causing long term problems.
The same is already true in many fields of IT here as lower "entry-level" jobs go to cheaper countries but the seasoned PMs, architect roles remain here. But where do the next generation develop?
 
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