Belz...
Fiend God
Because two or more gospels mention something that makes it important?
Strawman.
You are still using the bible to prove the bible.
I think you're confused about what we're talking about.
Because two or more gospels mention something that makes it important?
You are still using the bible to prove the bible.
Why are you making the same fallacious claims when you have no evidence at all and know there is no evidence?
Why are you making the same fallacious claims when you have no evidence at all and know there is no evidence?
1. If Jesus did exist the Gospel MUST have come BEFORE Paul.
2. Jesus PREACHED the Gospel BEFORE Paul in the Bible.
3. Paul was a PERSECUTOR BEFORE he preached the Gospel in the Bible.
4. Paul PERSECUTED those who PREACHED the GOSPEL in the Bible.
5. PAUL wrote the Epistles AFTER Churches were ALREADY developed.
6. There are apologetics writer who knew the Gospel but NOT Paul.
7. ALL Apologetics that mentioned Paul ALWAYS know the Gospels.
8. No Pauline manuscripts have been dated to c 70 CE or earlier
The assumption that Jesus existed reduces the Pauline writings to rubble. The Gospel of Jesus himself MUST have PREDATED the Pauline Corpus and MUST have been the ORIGINAL Gospel.
Now, Paul, the monstrous LIAR claimed he got his Gospel from the resurrected DEAD.
WHAT NONSENSE!!
WHAT A PACK OF LIES!!
If Jesus did actually exist then it MUST be the Apostles of Jesus himself who KNEW the Gospel of Jesus--NOT Paul--he NEVER heard a word.
What happened to the Gospel of Jesus himself if he did exist??
Why are you making the same fallacious claims when you have no evidence at all and know there is no evidence?
1. If Jesus did exist the Gospel MUST have come BEFORE Paul.
2. Jesus PREACHED the Gospel BEFORE Paul in the Bible.
3. Paul was a PERSECUTOR BEFORE he preached the Gospel in the Bible.
4. Paul PERSECUTED those who PREACHED the GOSPEL in the Bible.
5. PAUL wrote the Epistles AFTER Churches were ALREADY developed.
6. There are apologetics writer who knew the Gospel but NOT Paul.
7. ALL Apologetics that mentioned Paul ALWAYS know the Gospels.
8. No Pauline manuscripts have been dated to c 70 CE or earlier
The assumption that Jesus existed reduces the Pauline writings to rubble. The Gospel of Jesus himself MUST have PREDATED the Pauline Corpus and MUST have been the ORIGINAL Gospel.
Now, Paul, the monstrous LIAR claimed he got his Gospel from the resurrected DEAD.
WHAT NONSENSE!!
WHAT A PACK OF LIES!!
If Jesus did actually exist then it MUST be the Apostles of Jesus himself who KNEW the Gospel of Jesus--NOT Paul--he NEVER heard a word.
What happened to the Gospel of Jesus himself if he did exist??
Strawman.
I think you're confused about what we're talking about.
I thought we were talking about an HJ. What are you discussing?
I thought we were talking about an HJ. What are you discussing?
For the record, I was listing the evidence usually put forth to support the existence of an HJ and explaining why I thought it was weak. I didn't mean my list to necessarily be in chronological order.
davefoc said:However, I do suspect that the standard view that Paul's writings predate the Gospels is correct. There is an issue with that, as you suggest, that Christianity seems to be in existence before Paul starts his letter writing. I wondered about this issue quite a bit when I was forming my guesses as to what went on. Who was Paul preaching to? And how were there Christians before the Gospels were written?
davefoc said:My HJ-existed view is that there was a small religious sect in which the HJ played a prominent role and Paul did play some sort of role in attempting to suppress that group. The group might have been either Jewish or Hellenistic Jewish. This group existed before the Gospels were written. Maybe Paul was involved in some of the ongoing disputes that had not completely faded away after the Jewish civil war.
davefoc said:My guess as to who Paul might have been preaching to is that he was preaching to God fearer groups that had already begun a transition from the-Messiah-is-coming believers to the-Messiah-has-come believers and Paul may have just been one of a few exploiting the demand for information about the recently dead and risen Messiah.
davefoc said:However, my view about all this is that for sure I don't know what went on in the first 100 years of Christianity and I suspect nobody else has a very good idea about that either even if they know a great deal more about the bits and pieces of evidence floating around about the origin of Christianity than I do. If definitive evidence existed about any of this it would be well known and it isn't so I think the details about the origin of Christianity will remain unknown forever.
Like everybody else, hypocrisy is always a possible explanation for my views. I don't think we can ever be sure we've out thought our biases and when there is an equivocal nature to the available evidence the possibility that biases are driving our conclusions goes up significantly.
I will give you the reasons I think that I trust the conclusions of one group of experts more than another in this case. I don't expect my reasons to make a persuasive case to you that hypocrisy isn't the real driver.
The experts that I found most credible on the James Ossuary issue used hard science reasons to support their view that the Ossuary was forged. They tested the patina chemically on the inscription and the box and compared the results. They examined the sharpness of the inscription and compared that with sharpness of the image on the other side of the box that was believed to have been inscribed at roughly the time the box was made. The information they put forth in their separate writings could be viewed as independent data points about the possibility that the inscription was forged.
The findings that the inscription on the box was a hoax was consistent with the fact that the box was found to have passed through the hands of a dealer in antiquities who was believed to have forged other artifacts previously and when his house was searched tools that could have been used in the making of forgeries were found.
The experts that claim the inscription was not forged all were associated with the magazine, Biblical Archeology Review. I could not find where they had submitted articles for peer review (with one possible exception and I couldn't find where his paper had been published), but they had written articles for a magazine that was campaigning to promote the authenticity of the box and that was not publishing any of the articles by people that disputed the authenticity of the inscription.
I would contrast the above reasons that I believe the specialists that supported the conclusion the James Ossuary was a hoax with the reasons I am skeptical of the specialists that argue that the existence of an HJ is either a certainty or extremely likely.
Where is the evidence that they produce that can rise to the level of scientific analysis of an artifact? Of course, there is nothing like that available. What is available are writings by unknown people separated in time, distance, language and culture from the events they describe who were promoting a religion. Although there were numerous people that contributed to the writing of the early Christian documents it is most likely that none of the them ever had direct contact with the HJ and the most likely the situation is that either zero or one of them had direct contact with people that had known the HJ.
And despite the fact that there are numerous people that wrote the NT Gospels it is likely that only gMark represents an independent source of information about oral traditions that might have conveyed accurate information. I realize that some have suggested here that Q might be another possibility, and that idea can't be ruled out but the possibility that there was a Q document has been shown to be much less likely than it was thought to be previously.
But still, why not trust these experts Stone thinks make up this grand consensus about the extremely likely existence of an HJ? Because instead of pointing to solid data points for their arguments they almost always begin their arguments with a description of how unreliable the NT texts are as a source of history but then go on to argue that despite that, all reputable experts agree that an HJ existed. Why lead with that as your evidence? Relying on that kind of evidence is relying on a method that has done more to suppress truth than to reveal it. Galileo went to jail because a bunch of people claimed that the scientific consensus was more credible than actual facts. All sorts of scientific consensuses have eventually been shown to be wrong. If the scientific community relied on this circular everybody believes it approach to science there would be no science.
And what is the evidence when the HJ-existed-for-sure experts get around to describing it instead of trying to claim it exists because all reputable scholars agree it does?
It is damn slim. There are the writings of Paul believed to be genuine, but they exist completely without external corroboration and the possibilities that Paul lied, Paul was fooled, Paul's writings were forged and that Paul didn't exist can't be disproved.
After Paul there are the Gospels. John is usually discounted entirely because of its late date and contradictions with the other three Gospels. And Matthew and Luke seem to be completely dependent on Mark for the bulk of their story except when they make up stories like the birth narrative and the trial narrative. If there is truthful information in Matthew and Luke beyond what is in Mark, how could one determine what that is? One might make some guesses about plausibility and criteria of embarrassment but does any of that lead to evidence strong enough to support a conclusion that it is extremely likely that an HJ existed. I don't think so.
And after the Gospels there are the other NT books. Is there anything probative in them with regard to the existence of an HJ. I haven't seen those arguments if they exist. Although James is sometimes put forth as an example of a book that may have been derived from a Jesus oriented Palestinian sect. Maybe, the evidence seems speculative to me.
And after the other NT books there are the alleged non-biblical corroborations of the NT. When one cuts out the crap here there are only two that are possibilities: Josephus and Tacitus. These sources have been argued endlessly. Neither individual could have been a witness to an HJ. Both at best might be a witness to Christians at a fairly early date. There is great dispute about the authenticity of the Josephus writings and my guess is that the arguments that dispute authenticity are correct. But regardless of my guess about this it is clear there are significant reasons to doubt the authenticity of Josephus on the HJ and as such Joshephus' alleged writings about the HJ don't contribute much support to a case that it is extremely likely that an HJ existed.
It is pure convenience based entirely on bias that peremptorily rejects the Ants. 20 ref. to brother James, a ref. from a direct contemporary of James in the same city where James died. There is no external textual history directly associated with this James ref. that points to any other version of this passage. That's what contrasts it with the TF in Ants. 18. The only reasons why fancy suppositions have been laid on top of Ants. 20 are entirely due to internal content that has merely proved too uncomfortable for those with an a priori agenda, regardless of Ants. 20 being a non-apologetic text. That is not a responsible professional textual analysis; it is a set of blatant "what-if"s stemming entirely from biased wishful thinking that is prone to entertain suppositions like this that violate Ockam's Razor, and that are not at all equivalent to professional paleographic analysis.
Stone
“But other of the Apostles saw I none, save James.” “I saw him merely, I did not learn from him,” he means. But observe how honorably he mentions him, he says not “James” merely, but adds this illustrious title, so free is he from all envy. Had he only wished to point out whom he meant, he might have shown this by another appellation, and called him the son of Cleophas, as the Evangelist does. But as he considered that he had a share in the august titles of the Apostles, he exalts himself by honoring James; and this he does by calling him “the Lord's brother,” although he was not by birth His brother, but only so reputed.
I don't have a lot of time atm, but in short; this all is the same as I was referring to.Jayson R
The Norseman's observation that there was no use of the idea of "null hypothesis" in the Bayesian book he is reading is the usual thing. "Null hypothesis" is used almost entirely in a competing kind of statistical inference, not in Bayes.
In the other kind of inference, "null hypothesis" isn't a "negative," but a specific situation. If the observed results would be sufficiently unlikely if the null hypothesis were true, then we acquire some confidence that the null hypothesis isn't true. We don't assume it's untrue, and in the particular approach to statistics that uses the technique, we never conclude that it is true. It is a hypothetical whose use furnishes a standard for comparison with other possible explanations of the observed data.
A fundamental part of Bayesian practice is to keep track of what information the posterior probability takes into account. If you are overlooking information, then this is not Bayes' problem, it is your problem. If you are cherrypicking or otherwise trimming the data, then I would be suspicious of your "answer" regardless of what method you used to analyze it.
No. The posterior probability is based on the information you have taken into account. Obviously, if additional evidence becomes available, then you will revise your estimates.
What about that impresses you as irrational? Or perhaps I should be asking what method do you propose that would get the right answer in 1930 based on evidence that won't be seen until 2020? Does that performance not impress you as magical?
You actually can write that sentence, and see no relationship between a literally geometrically linear representation and the linear narratives so beloved in the humanities departments?
There is one true timeline, but you don't know which of unboundedly many possible timelines actually occurred. There is no obligation to pick one and ignore the rest. Uncertainty means that, so far as the speaker knows, there is more than one serious possibility for what actually happened. There is nothing irrational about choosing knowledge representations that reflect that.
For example, someone could choose a distibution of confidence over the ensemble of seriously possible worlds (or if you prefer, timelines), which Bayes offers one way of managing.
http://www.ccel.org/j/josephus/works/ant-18.htmNow there was about this time Jesus, a wise man, if it be lawful to call him a man; for he was a doer of wonderful works, a teacher of such men as receive the truth with pleasure. He drew over to him both many of the Jews and many of the Gentiles. He was [the] Christ. And when Pilate, at the suggestion of the principal men amongst us, had condemned him to the cross, those that loved him at the first did not forsake him; for he appeared to them alive again the third day; as the divine prophets had foretold these and ten thousand other wonderful things concerning him. And the tribe of Christians, so named from him, are not extinct at this day.
--"Josephus (CE 37-c.100)," in William Harbury et al., ed.,We may remark here on the passage in Josephus which has occasioned by far more comment than any other, the so-called Testimonium Flavianum (Ant. XVIII. 63 - 4) concerning Jesus. The passage appears in all our manuscripts; but a considerable number of Christian writers - Pseudo-Justin and Theophilus in the second century, Minucius Felix, Irenaeus, Clement of Alexandria, Julius Africanus,
Tertullian, Hippolytus and Orgen in the third century, and Methodius and Pseudo-Eustathius in the early fourth century - who knew Josephus and cited from his works do not refer to this passage,
though one would imagine that it would be the first passage that a Christian apologist would cite. In particular, Origen (Contra Celsum 1.47 and Commentary on Matthew 10.17), who certainly knew Book 18 of the Antiquities and cites five passages from it, explicitly states that Josephus did not believe in Jesus as Christ. The first to cite the Testimonium is Eusebius (c. 324); and even after him, we may
note, there are eleven Christian writers who cite Josephus but not the Testimonium. In fact, it is not until Jerome in the early fifth century that we have another reference to it.
Eusebius of Caesarea Tradition and InnovationsThe term “maker of miraculous works” παραδόξων ἔργων ποιητής, contrary to what one frequently finds in the literature on the Testimonium, is far more characteristic of Eusebius than of Josephus. Josephus never elsewhere uses the word ποιητής in the sense of “maker” or “doer” rather than “poet.” Nor does he ever elsewhere combine a form of ποιέω with παράδοξος in the sense of wonderworking. The combination of παράδοξος and ποιέω to mean “wonder-working” is extremely common in Eusebius and occurs more than a hundred times. With the disputed exception of the Testimonium itself, the word ποιητής modified by παραδόξων ἔργων does not show up anywhere in the Thesaurus Linguae Graecae database of extant Greek literature before Eusebius, who uses this combination of words ten times outside the Testimonium,23 usually of Jesus, but also of God. ...
This isn't really a good way to go, as I've mentioned, as the exclusive method of working with history, as by large part, history is incapable of standing up to probability due to the incredibly small amount of information we have, and the nature of that information typically being heavily culturally idiomatic.
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By the way, the earliest paleographic dating of the Pauline Corpus c 200 CE is about 100 years after Antiquities of the Jews was believed to have been composed.
As is common with ancient texts, however, there are no surviving extant manuscripts of Josephus' works that can be dated before the 11th century, and the oldest of these are all Greek minuscules, copied by Christian monks.
I have focused on the TF because the arguments against the authenticity of the James reference are partially based on the inauthenticity of the TF.
Josephus identifies James's brother by citing the nickname "Christ" that was more familiar to most readers.
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I'm perfectly familiar with all those arguments against the TF, thank you. ...
I have only a guess as to how anybody would "run" a probability, and no idea at all what distinction you are getting at when you contrast "literally" with "conceptually" beginning to perform a physical act on a mathematical abstraction.Running a probability does actually, conceptually (not literally), begin at a negative.
Do you have evidence, argument or demonstrative proof that probability is inferior to other methods of uncertainty management when the amount of evidence is small?... due to the incredibly small amount of information we have ...
Meaning what? It is by definition a non-negative number. What, then, are you talking about?The probability may come out negative, ...
Good for you. But my problem is not to increase the output of history, but rather to estimate the truth about a focused question concerning what happened in the distant past, based upon information available to me now. As I have said repeatedly, the very fact that historians are solving a different problem than mine is ample warrant for me to look elsewhere for heuristic guidance in solving my problem.We have more history as a result of taking this position.
What is your view on TF authenticity?
Do these sources assert that he was in some way divine?
You'd think so, Craig B, and indeed, I thought so til I learned the embarrassment criterion is basically an method of bible study, not used in other historical research, correct me if I'm wrong, please.
Can the multiple attestation criterion be properly applied to the NT to determine any probability or plausibility to Jesus' historicity?
I have serious doubts it can, but I'm more than happy to change my mind.
It wouldn't be the first time I've changed my mind and I hope not the last, either.
Those two "tools" are widely used by Christian theologians and apologists, so it's interesting seeing them used by skeptics to quote mine an HJ out of the bible.