The obvious question is "Evidence?" You have Amanda walking/running between Raff's and the Cottage a total of four times, and yet the ILE went through the security footage of the cameras between the two places and never found any sign of them. How did they manage to travel back and forth four times, likely running at least twice, and no-one saw them and no cameras captured them doing this?
That camera only takes pictures when the car park let's in a car or one exits, it's highly unlikely late at night it would record much, it didn't record Rudi's trips to and fro, neither Meredith's, not where you could say for sure who it was. Where are the pictures showing when Amanda and Raff left in the afternoon of the 1st.
How do they talk? Let's assume that Rudy comes up to Amanda wanting the bathroom, she speaks poor faltering Italian, he doesn't speak English at all. How do they manage to communicate so well?
I believe he does speak a little English, didn't talk with Meredith about that football game, England vs Ivory Coast? Amanda speaks better Italian than you want to admit, no she is not fluent, but she can pick up boys with little trouble. She can get by just fine, language is not a problem here.
There is a lot going on here. Firstly, we know that Rudy drank from a carton of Orange Juice. When did he do this in your timeline? I find it hard to believe he did it after the attack and not even someone with terrible manners is going to grab a carton and drink from it in someone else's home when the owners are right there. For me this would only happen if the owners were not there, so done when Rudy was alone, but the only time you have him alone is during the attack.
Rudi said that yes, but I thought it was said that there was no orange juice in the fridge, find a quote other than Rudi's that supports this because if we have to believe everything Rudi and Amanda say, then she is guilty.
Next we have Amanda and Meredith arguing. The only evidence for this is from Rudy, not exactly a reliable source. He also claims that the two were arguing in Italian, which is how he knew what they were saying. Trouble is again, Amanda's Italian was extremely poor and if she and Meredith were arguing it would be far more logical that they would do so in the language that was native to them both, English.
Again, who said they argued in Italian for one, and secondly, it's 'he said she said', some of which I'm sure will be true and some for sure will be lies. If you wish to believe he heard them argue in Italian, fine, again she's guilty.
Then you have Rudy jumping off the toilet and attacking Meredith because..... Well really there is no reason, the action is totally irrational. Rudy has zero reason to intervene even if Amanda and Meredith were arguing. There is also no evidence of an attack in the lounge, so Rudy would have had to jump off the loo in the other wing, run through the lounge, down the hallway passed Amanda and into Meredith's room to attack her. This makes zero sense no matter how you slice it.
Why does any man ever intervene between two girls fighting, and why would that guy pick a side?, this is Rudi were talking about, maybe you hold him in some higher regards than I do, but this Rudi, and we both know what he does next.
So rather then telling Rudy to stop, or attacking him for attacking her friend, or calling the police and telling them a visitor has gone loco (which he'd have to do to attack Meredith in the first place in this scenario) she walks/runs back to the Kitchen, puts her hands over her ears, and prays that Rudy doesn't come after her next?
She's stoned remember, so stoned apparently that she can't remember almost everything that happens that night, these are her own words and yes, I find them highly unlikely unless there booze and harder drugs involved, but she does state this, she is almost completely out of it.
So suddenly getting a rush of courage, instead of running back to help her friend and tell Rudy to get out, or grab the phone and call the police all while yelling that she is calling the police, Amanda flees and rather then getting help from a nearby home, she runs all the way back to Raff's.
No phone to grab, remember, the phone in the cottage is not hooked up, her phone she has testifies that she has turned it off, it likely still at Raff's, and where is a Newby home, Raff's is only 5min or less away, running, I believe anyone would head there. Again, she does not think this is to be a murder or a rape, she thinks Rudi is only beating up Meredith and they are not that close, look how Amanda acts after Meredith's death, not exactly grieving.
Raff, instead of getting one of his many combat style knives, gets a kitchen knife and then instead of calling the police asking them to meet them back at the Cottage, they just run back to try and do....
Yes, two young drugged up kids made a bad choice, this was the one and only chance to do the right thing and they make a bad decision, now, later on the part when they talk about calling the police they will know that is no longer an option because they should have done it here.
Apparently nothing, well from Amanda's part because she's so scared that she ran all the way back to the Cottage with Raff, but won't go in. Really? If she was too scared to go back in with Raff, why would she be willing to go back to the Cottage at all? Make a little bit of sense, please.
Raff's her 'HERO', didn't you hear her say that and of course she's going back with Raff, what is she suppose to do, it's her house, her not going back is what would make no sense.
So brave enough to go in to confront Rudi, that courage dissolves when he actually confronts him, despite being armed. And why would he say "black man found, black man guilty" if he had no idea what had happened at this point, and clearly Rudy was guilty of whatever had happened?
Rudi said he said that, how am I or anyone going to know what was said? I suspect Raff was scared ******** when he went in there, this lock boxing champ that can't kick in a door is not going to stay and confront anyone, he's not the hero you or Amanda think he is.
And again they fail to get help, and worse, Rudy knows that they know he just killed someone and both can identify him, but rather than dealing with them, or running, he stays, and then when he does leave he goes dancing before finally fleeing. How does this make any sense?
I believe they really had one chance to call the police and they blew it, had they called after, the police are going to ask why they didn't call sooner and then Amanda herself will be implicated, Raff is trying to save his new love. Good luck with that.
The problem here is that you are trying to incorporate Toto's testimony which has been pretty well destroyed. The man was high on Heroin and clearly couldn't tell what was going on or even which night was which. Building your theory on testimony that is as stable as a jello in an earthquake is not a sane idea.
His testimony is not destroyed, only in the eye's of the PIP. A year after the fact he say's disco buses were there means nothing, he's there every night, he did not mix up the nights because Amanda and Raff were not there the night before. If he was on heroin, good for him, he can remember what happened that night while both Amanda and Raff smoke a joint and all memory fails them.... but PIP's believe them, why do you get it both ways?
Sure, have you got anything that actually makes some sort of sense to anyone except those desperate to make a story fit or those that are insane? You know, like one that real rational humans might actually follow and not poorly scripted puppets?
No PIP will understand, I realise that, you can only see it from one angle like I've said before. What really is unbelievable here is in order for PIP's to be correct, at least 50 plus people, the likes of police, layers, judges, hobo's, store owners, the CSI team and so on, have to be liars, dishonest, stupid, and inept in their jobs, willing to plant evidence and contamination not once but at least twice. They also have to believe a young girl who admits to being so stoned that she herself does not know exactly what happened that night. Yes, if you can believe all this, and more, you can be a PIP as well, I'm sorry, but I have a little more sense than that, so do a great many others. The problem I have is deciding what is a fair sentence for them. I did say earlier, time served but with her and her book, making money from this, I going to go with more time, she needs to come clean and quit her lying first.