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Moderated Global Warming Discussion

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As far as I know they are scientists and I have no reason to believe otherwise. I never said anything to the contrary.
I did however make a generalization that should be clarified. There are some scientific studies showing causation as a direct result of anthropogenic emissions. Unfortunately most claims, most of which are outlined in the list I cited, aren't.

that's a good start.
Of course there are no "climate science sources", as I said it isn't the science making outrageous claims it's the alarmists.

So, you accept Hansen, Mann, Archer, Pierrehumbert, Schimdt and the rest's assessments and evidences as reasonable and likely, given their understandings and expertise, it is merely the popular media slipshod mistakes and misspeaks that you take exception to?


Originally Posted by Trakar
Alarmist n. -
A person who needlessly alarms or attempts to alarm others, as by inventing or spreading false or exaggerated rumors of impending danger or catastrophe.
http://www.thefreedictionary.com/alarmist
please note and acknowledge the terms "needlessly," "inventing," "false," and "rumors" as the integral and essential elements of alarmist behavior.
Actually it's the exaggeration.

If there are no rumors being supported, how can exaggerated rumors be the issue?
 
Wow! Being there such many things -biological and human- that depends or are heavily influenced by climate; being reporters, newspeople, bloggers and spokespersons so prone to exaggerate or make a story or an argument up of any trifle; and being the people who compiled the list so full of animosity and eager to find, how did you call it? "inanities of GW"? and just an 879 grand total?! :rolleyes:

This is not meant to be a comprehensive list.

By the way, this is the first time the list is quoted or mentioned in this thread, isn't it?

I'm not sure, it's been recreated numerous times. It's probably the first time that particular link has graced this thread.
 
It's worth the electrons because it puts to rest the warmist meme that the science is settled. Here are 50 scientists with hundreds of years of scientific experience under their belts and they are tired of the unsubstantiated claims being made by the alarmists.

Please identify the scientists you see and deliniate which ones you percieve to have relevent climate science understandings. The only alarmists I percieve are those who are touting that the costs of addressing the problems are ruinously greater than the costs of addressing the consequences of failing to address the problems of Anthropogenic Climate Change.

Yours and the other warmists continuing belief that only climatologists are capable of understanding climatology is problematic.

I don't believe that anyone in this discussion has stated what you proclaim above. What is logical and reasonable, is that people who have devoted their lives to the study of ancient and modern planetary climate, and who are widely and deservedly recognized among their peers as leaders in the field, are arguably and demonstrably more credible and valid sources of information regarding the understanding of climate science and its portents for current and future climate trends, than those who lack the same academic and professional recognitions and acknowledgements.


Regardless of the religious overtones (think high priests being the only conduit of the Word of God here)...

Ahhh, assert an unevidenced proposition and then paint imagery rather then citation in support of your musings,...and this is reasonable and compelling how and where?

...there is the simple fact that climatology is not a hard science.

you appear to have the terms "fact" and "fantasy" confused. Please present some hard scientific evidence in support of this assertion.1
As an example, a geologist holding a doctorate, is capable of teaching ANY climatology class with the exception of perhaps the computer classes...

This assertion is simply inapropriately incorrect. Though many branches of climatology are appropriately under the general geology/earth science field of study, geology itself is a sub-specialty of plantery development and astrodynamics, ultimately resolving from cosmology and theoretical physics. Despite this, doctorates are about specific applications and areas of understanding, not broad-range detailed understandings of every sub-field within (yet alone along the line of) any hierarchy of scientific investigation and understanding. As an example, a cosmologist with a doctorates in obscurant stellar core nucleosynthesis processes might be perfectly capable of understanding some aspects of atmospheric radiative transfer mechanisms, he isn't going to have the associated paleoclimatic and historic record data accumulations of observations and understandings of these impacts in the specific application to our planet. Nor, is he going to appreciate the assorted other factors and complex interactions involved in routine but comprehensive climate considerations. This isn't to say that these people are incapable of developing these types of understandings, any more than any other intelligent
and capable human being, merely that without further qualification, no general geologist, meteorologist, computer science major, economist, business major, medical doctor, etc., is going to be as knowledgable or competent in the field of climatolgy as actively researching, publishing climatologists.

...(and that because the climatologists are using a fairly antiquated language that we no longer use)...

Cite and reference for "we"? and "antiquated" with example and compelling valid support.

...whereas a climatologist holding the same level of degree is not able to teach a single graduate level geology class I can think of.

this isn't about your musings, this is about evidences and compelling support for your assertions. Please support your assertion.

This in no way impugns their intellectual capacity, just their levels of education which are of less rigor then the hard sciences.

your understandings seem quite distinct from reality, but please feel free to offer any substantive and compelling support of these impressions so that we can establish the veracity of them.

They would be completely lost in a optical crystalography class or even a beginning isotope geology class would be impossible for them to teach.

assertions and musings do not equate to compelling support, merely rhetorical flourish.

So, you see Trakar.

"Sentence fragment, consider revising."

Many sciences and scientists are quite capable of understanding anything the climatologists will present.

And the vast and overwhelming majority do.2
We have a much greater foundational understanding of the physical properties of how the world functions.

Please cite, reference and compellingly support "we."

1 Climatology [ˌklaɪməˈtɒlədʒɪ] n: (Earth Sciences / Physical Geography) the study of climate.

2 Scientific opinion on climate change http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Scientific_opinion_on_climate_change
note - wiki itself is a poor reference, in this instance, the references and supports provided are themselves reliable and accurate supports for the information presented, unless there is an assertion of national/global conspiracy, in which case there is a better venue for that discussion.
 
Perhaps most important of all, the few issues that I looked into further than the linked site, were neither serious exagerations nor without meritorious academic support and reference, they merely possessed headlines that those predisposed to dismiss and denigrate anything AGW felt were probably indicative of unsupported exaggerations. Apparently there was little or no, actual investigation or research into the facts supporting the stories that they chose to list.

Remember that people paint their hair, got lots of make-up, tatoos and pieces of clothes just to avoid anyone to see their real inners, physical or moral. The list is an assortment that resists classifying, and it's not much more than a propaganda stunt, as the list is long enough just to promote the quick drawing of conclusions: inanitas of GW (following the fashion of some of raising the bar on the vocabulary side, when regretfully, on the science side, the bar has long time ago sunk in the deep)

So I suggest you and others to stop analysing those poor references and let's devote to debate about all the deceitful means they use to support a false claim of not warming, like the assertion and graphics in this post (7Feb2012) at skepticalscience.org
 
I'm not sure, it's been recreated numerous times. It's probably the first time that particular link has graced this thread.

I knew that your assertion in post #4788 was not right:

The compiled list of inanities attributed to Global Warming have graced this thread no less than twice.

You're saying contradictory things.
 
I'll just pick on the national Security "study" in this post. It draws heavily on the IPCC report that has been shown to be primarily made up of reports from NGO's and non scientists and was found to have over 30% of it made up of reports that had never even come close to perr review...

The Defense Technical Information Center study draws upon the best available and most reliable information. Regarding your assessment of the IPCC reports, it appears to be erroneous, please provide reference and supporting links to the official or peer-reviewed scientific investigations and studies from which you are sourcing these understandings.
 
A not often heard perspective

Students urged to consider others when thinking of global warming
By George Henson, Staff Writer
Published: April 13, 2012
http://www.baptiststandard.com/index.php?option=com_content&task=view&id=13688&Itemid=53

(...)

The Bible does not directly address climate change or how Christians should address it, she acknowledged.

(...)

"The Bible does say choices have consequences, and that we can't live anyway we want."

She went on to say the Bible has quite a bit to say about love.

"We have two commandments—we are asked to love our God, and we are asked to love our neighbor. It's pretty simple.

"So what does love have to do with climate change? Rising sea levels, droughts and disappearing glaciers are threatening millions of people, especially the poor and the needy—the people who don't have the resources to adapt to future change,"?she said.
(...)

Climate change is too important an issue to allow disparate beliefs such as nuclear-paranoia or end-times fundementalism to form wedges in our understandings of fact or our policy decisions. In concert we all create the future; we cannot succeed in addressing these issues by driving people away instead of helping them to find perspectives that will partner them into our efforts.
 
Mann bites dog

GUEST EDITORIAL: Time for grown up debate on climate change
By MICHAEL E. MANN
Special to The Trentonian Posted: 04/13/12 12:53 pm
http://www.trentonian.com/article/2...al-time-for-grown-up-debate-on-climate-change

...A recent editorial selectively quoted the late Stephen Schneider, a friend and colleague of mine, to attack climate science and the scientists who study it. Steve was used to having people twist his words, especially when it came to his efforts to communicate the realities and risks of a changing climate.

In 1989, he told Discover Magazine that scientists face a “double ethical bind” when talking about their work. It’s important to convey all the nuances involved in science, he said, and we scientists struggle to make ourselves understood in a media environment which often values sound bites over substance. Your editorial quoted him as saying, “Each of us has to decide what the right balance is between being effective and being honest.” But your editorial left out what he said next: “I hope that means being both.”

Lazily or purposefully misquoting a respected scientist on the subject of honesty is a perfect example of just how divorced our public discourse about climate change has become from scientific reality...

The evolving and always improving understandings of the science will always be fertile discussion ground, but it is time to shift the focus of public discourse to public policy plans and actions.
 
That seems to be a list of every news article that has mentioned a prediciton from GW.

Now you have to start do what a skeptic would do - analyse the sceince behind each claim and tell us which are "inane" :eye-poppi (and what the criteria for inane is)!

P.S. The list itself is inane because it includes the personal opinions of scientists rather than actual published predictions from climate science.
 
There are some scientific studies showing causation as a direct result of anthropogenic emissions.

By putting "some" in italics are you attempting to imply that there are only a few or that there are some that do not? If you are not attempting to infer either of these then what exactly do you intend the italics to mean.

At this point it's worth nothing that it's almost universally accepted by climate scientists that warming over the last 4 decades is almost entirely anthropogenic. There is no debate over this in the peer reviewed literature.
 
I'll just pick on the national Security "study" in this post. It draws heavily on the IPCC report that has been shown to be primarily made up of reports from NGO's and non scientists and was found to have over 30% of it made up of reports that had never even come close to perr review. It is an utter shambles. That particular IPCC report should be tossed in the bin and a new one worked on. One that doesn't draw from biased sources who's primary funding doesn't come from taxpayers.


Evidence please.

The IPCC is a literature review, and all the sections on climate science extensively site peer reviewed literature. I'm not sure where you get the idea this isn't the case but you should reconsider where you get your information from, you have been badly misinformed.
 
It's not science,...

Majority believe role of warming in weather
http://www.chicoer.com/news/ci_20419475/majority-believe-role-warming-weather

Majority believe role of warming in weather
By Justin Gillis New York Times San Jose Mercury News
Posted: Chicoer.com


Scientists may hesitate to link some of the weather extremes of recent years to global warming -- but the public, it seems, is already there.

A poll due for release Wednesday shows that a large majority of Americans believe that this year's unusually warm winter, last year's blistering summer, and some other weather disasters were likely made worse by global warming. And by a 2-1 margin, the public says the weather has been getting worse, rather than better, in recent years...

The poll opens a new window on public opinion about climate change.

A large majority of climate scientists say the climate is shifting in ways that could cause serious impacts, and they cite the human release of greenhouse gases as a principal cause. But a tiny, vocal minority of researchers contests that view and had seemed in the past few years to be winning the battle of public opinion despite slim scientific evidence for their position...

The poll suggests that a solid majority of the public feels that global warming is real, a result consistent with other polls that have asked the question in various ways. When invited to agree or disagree with the statement, "global warming is affecting the weather in the United States," 69 percent of respondents in the new poll said they agreed, while 30 percent disagreed...
 
...So I suggest you and others to stop analysing those poor references and let's devote to debate about all the deceitful means they use to support a false claim of not warming, like the assertion and graphics in this post (7Feb2012) at skepticalscience.org

I don't know about switching to that discussion, but I do see the point you make about the futility of spending my effort in any of these types of discussions. We would be better put looking to resolutions and options.
 
Greenhouse Gas Emissions Rise As U.S. Economy Recovers

http://www.ibtimes.com/articles/329432/20120417/greenhouse-gas-emissions-economic-recovery.htm?cid=2

By Amir Khan:

April 17, 2012 3:08 PM EDT

U.S. greenhouse gas emissions rose in 2010 as the economy began to recover from the 2008 recession, according to an annual report by the Environmental Protection Agency. The 3.2 percent increase in emissions ended a two-year decline but still lagged behind record-high levels set in 2007 before the recession hit.
Transportation remained the second-largest contributor of greenhouse gas emissions after electricity production, according to the report. Travel accounted for nearly a quarter of greenhouse gas emissions in 2010 and the economic recovery meant more people drive and fly...
 
RECENT SLOWDOWN IN WARMING; if any

Was there a cool period, say 1997- 2009? Answers to this question might be accessible to the lay mind.

On page 118, Trakar usefully cited the study by Foster and Rahmstorf
http://iopscience.iop.org/1748-9326/6/4/044022/pdf/1748-9326_6_4_044022.pdf


Anyone who clicks to page 3 will find “raw data” on five different measures of average global temperature during their common period 1979 -2010. To my untutored eye , these series hardly suggest there has been an absence of further warming this century. The five series are all highly consistent with each other. A least-squares line cutting through the data points would give us five parallel lines with the same upward slope. The mean temperature for each of the three calendar decades looks higher than for the previous decade. On two of the data sets, which are surface measures, the two hottest recorded years occur in this century, around 2005 and in 2010. It is true that on the other three series 1997/8 shows as the hottest year on record. Anyone who chose that as a base year could find a declining or levelling trend on those series. But that would be statistically illiterate. However, I do not believe that an MIT Professor of meteorology can be statistically illiterate. In a polemical op ed in the Wall Street Journal in 2009 Richard Lindzen wrote of the “absence of warming” during the last dozen years. The data he quotes are GATA, global average temperature anomoly. I can only deduce that these GATA show a radically different trendline from the five series used by F and R. How so, and why? Is there any way of adjudicating between the series?

F and R adjusted their raw data to remove from the time trend the estimated impact short term year-by year variation ( solar and volcanic activity and, above, all El Nino). They have had to rely on estimates of these derived from other scholars in other peer-reviewed journals. But that is how science has to proceed. An F and R graph combining all five adjusted series implies that, if these adjustments are right, the hottest years on record were 2009 and 2010. Their purpose is simply to establish the long term-time trend, whatever its long-term causes. Supposing that F and R have not chosen the “wrong” raw data sets to begin with, then I imagine that any serious peer-reviewed criticism will have centred on their allowance for the El Nino effect.


--------
Lindzen’s article was published in what is arguably the world’s most influential journal, and I remember hearing of it at the time. Along with the musings of Freeman Dyson, it tended to persuade me at that time that man-made global warming was still an open question among the experts. It is worth noting that the lay public tends to hear more from critics who regard IPCC report as “alarmist” than it does from critics who find it too conservative. In 2009, the very same year that MIT professor Lindzen published his Wall Street op ed, the MIT Joint Policy on Science and of Climate Change published disturbing findings which did not reach my ears .
 
I'll just pick on the national Security "study" in this post. It draws heavily on the IPCC report that has been shown to be primarily made up of reports from NGO's and non scientists and was found to have over 30% of it made up of reports that had never even come close to perr review. It is an utter shambles. That particular IPCC report should be tossed in the bin and a new one worked on. One that doesn't draw from biased sources who's primary funding doesn't come from taxpayers.

The IPCC report referred to is the Fourth Assesment Report of 2007, which most certainly was not based on unreviewed papers. Whatever you might have heard, however much faith you have in your source, it really ain't so. The IPCC Assesment Reports are literature reviews of peer-reviewed science, presented to, and signed off by, all the governments of the UN. It is not remotely credible that those governments didn't notice what seems so very obvious to you.

On the National Security Study http://www.dtic.mil/cgi-bin/GetTRDoc?AD=ADA480984, check out "About the Contributors" (page 440 on) and you'll see that it's equally incredible that said contributors leant heavily on a single source which doesn't address National Security at all. (Nor, obviously, would they have failed to notice if the AR4 was as you characterise it.) Something anodyne about "potential for destabilisation" in Advice to Policymakers isn't much to work from.

The research reviewed in the IPCC reporting process includes research carried out without tapayer-funding, and it doesn't differ from the mainstream. Your "biased sources" are, in fact, all the scientists around the world doing any climate-related research, be they climate scientists, oceanographers, glaciologists, sedimentologists (?), pollen sexers, or whatever. I find this, frankly, beyond hard to credit. You apparently don't.

You'll have to keep leaning on the transparently biased "studies" of Lindzen, Christy, Singer and the rest of that ageing cadre, I'm afraid. The Koch brothers and their ilk aren't going to fund any more independent research after the BEST fiasco, depend on that, so the same old institutions will be producing all the future reports with the same mix of gumment and philanthropic funding.
 
I knew that your assertion in post #4788 was not right:

Incorrect. As I said the list has been cited numerous times in this thread now. It's just different links.

You're saying contradictory things.

Incorrect. The list ridiculous inanities attributed to global warming has been cited in this thread at least 3 times now. It's not contradictory. The fact that the exact links change is irrelevant.
If you insist on being pedantic I suppose it's not the same list. People are adding to it as the claims are being made so it does change from time to time.
 
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