Just as an FYI, when we throw around the term "Statement Analysis" in this disucssion, we are usually referring to this
website, written by one Peter Hyatt, a/k/a Seamus O'Riley. He earned an online degree in seeing things that aren't there. I don't think you want to say that you do what he does.
The first of his columns that caught our eyes was the analysis of Amanda's e-mail home in the days after the murder. As Seamus wrote,
"note any inclusion of "shower" or "washing", "water" etc is an indication of sexual abuse." Oops! There was a lot of showering going on in those days -- proof positive of Amanda's guilt.
http://seamusoriley.blogspot.com/2010/08/amanda-knox-email-analysis.html
If you search the earlier threads of the JREF discussion for "statement analysis," I bet you can come up with some pretty funny stuff from Rose Montague and the like.
Here is where we got started.
http://www.internationalskeptics.com/forums/showpost.php?p=6311588&postcount=5486
LJ saw it on PMF and Katody linked us to the site. Some discussion ensued on JREF and on the Statement Analysis blog. halides1 made a Herculean effort to communicate with the guy (whom Rose characterized as having "read the book three times"). I got banned.
Yikes - there's a lot of banning going on these days. "Banning" for expressing an opinion!? Yikes. What's that about?
But you are correct, it is why I put "statement analysis" in quotes. I got my first info on the term from Wikipedia, which identifies Avinoam Sapir as the creator of "Scientific Content Analysis", which, while identifying correctly what a sentence does or doesn't say from a strict-logic point of view, makes the mistake of then claiming to be able to be able to turn this around and "read things into" what isn't there:
About Sapir Wikipedia said:
Sapir says that a fundamental principle of statement analysis is that "denying guilt is not the same as denying the act. When one says "I am not guilty" or "I am innocent," they are not denying the act; they are only denying guilt." Sapir claims that it is almost impossible for a guilty person to say "I didn't do it." He asserts that guilty people tend to speak in even greater circumlocutions by saying things like "I had nothing to do with it" or "I am not involved in that."
He offers an example which is strictly-logically quite correct, but it is very much a stretch to move from the simple, most immediate parsing of the sentence (and what it means using strict logic) to impugning meaning, or in a criminal context, guilt:
About Sapir Wikipedia said:
"I counted the money, put the bag on the counter, and proceeded to go home." Sapir says the statement was literally true: "He counted the money (when you steal you want to know how much you are stealing), and then the subject put the bag on the counter. The subject didn't say that he put the money back in the bag after counting it, because he didn't; he left the empty bag on the counter and walked away with the money."
The only use I can see of this method is to use a statement to compose further clarifying questions. Eg. "So, you counted the money, and put the bag on the counter... this does not answer where the money ended up."
Yes, you can say what this does not mean - but statement analysis CANNOT turn around and then conclude what it does mean. That attempt is what makes this junk.
I have done in my own work this when someone uses the passive tense of a verb in making a claim about something. Again, one has to be careful in impugning motive here for the use of the passive tense.
Eg. if you want to establish someone's authority for chairing an ad hoc meeting, someone can say, "I was asked to call you together and chair this meeting." The unanswered question when the passive tense is used is, "who did the asking?"
The danger comes when I have a suspicious mind about all this, and I suspect that the "asker" in turn has set up this meeting illegitimately. The my suspicion pollutes the analysis....
Statement analysis as used in relation to AK is junk science. To my eye it is used to simply confirm the bias of the person writing it. At best, AK's statements should be submitted to someone with no knowledge of this case who could write objectively.
At best, this sort of linguistic parsing only serves to create a list of further clarifying questions. I do not see how it can lead to the firm conclusions its proponents claim.
Strangely - mix this in with the Reid Technique of interrogation..... one of the goals of that method is to avoid ANY questions which lead to the suspect saying, "I did not do it!" ie. a statement of fact about the act of the crime.
Again, citing Wiki:
About the Reid Technique Wiki said:
Step 3 - Try to discourage the suspect from denying his guilt. Reid training video: "If you’ve let him talk and say the words ‘I didn’t do it’, and the more often a person says ‘I didn’t do it’, the more difficult it is to get a confession."
What statement analysis as presented by those using it here does not do, then, is assess of the context of the person's statement.
It also does not take into account culture, sub-culture or other larger socio-linguistic patterns, or the basic differences of language itself. Eg. some cultures are more comfortable with black humour.
I've wondered why AK is critiqued for rarely using MK's name in her statements, or seemed to be indifferent to MK's fate. Some cultures find it offensive or uncomfortable to talk of the dead.... and this is before assessing someone's personal comfort within whatever culture they are in. One would want copious amounts of one person's writing or statements before one could possibly make a judgment of only one statement (eg. AK's first e-mail home). You don't do it on one sample.
I'm rambling. I'm wanting to say that in case your "statement analysis" of this post didn't pick that up!
Anyway, statement analysis is basically juck. Esp. as used in this case.