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UFOs: The Research, the Evidence

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Garbage.

No UFO has ever shown itself to be an alien craft. This statement no more needs corroboration than a statement that there are no fairies at the bottom of my garden.


So there we go again. Mind you I'm pretty sure it was Akhenaten who said he's "no steenkin' skeptic" ... so such offhanded comments by him are to be expected. Time to move on.
 
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No argument there. It's also not the issue. It was concluded with certainty by a poster that no UFO has ever shown itself to be an alien craft. I countered by saying alien craft have shown themselves, just not to the poster. There is no evidence that I am wrong, only insufficent evidence for some people to believe I'm right. Therefore concluding I am wrong goes beyond logic and into personal bias.

You assume an equality that does not exist. There are a mass of UFO sightings, and I'm using that in the precise sense of Unidentified Flying Object, which have been demonstrated to be mundane misperceptions or outright hoaxes. Not one has ever been shown to be an alien spacecraft. Assuming you are wrong is simply a reasonable conclusion based on the evidence, and no saying 'but what I saw was definitely alien' is not evidence.
 
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It was the poster who claimed no UFO has ever shown itself to be an alien craft who has no coroboration. Indeed, if we take a poll, we find many people who say they have seen an alien craft. Oh but then suddenly we must now move the goalposts? Now only people who can provide evidence are telling the truth. So we find even more people with corroborating evidence of the same thing. Oh but then we must move the goalposts some more? So we find really credible people like pilots who have been vectored by radar to pursue such objects. Oh but then we move the goalposts some more ... now only scientific proof will do? OK fine, we civilians don't have that evidence yet, but what we do have is far from "no corroboration". On the other hand, offhandedly concluding in the face of so many witnesses, that no UFO has ever shown itself to be an alien craft, is itself an extraordinary claim. Furthermore it's impossible to prove. It's bias pure and simple.

Yes. A person who has been smitten by the idea of alien craft since he was a small child will indeed be biased in regard to the existence of same.
 
You assume an equality that does not exist. There are a mass of UFO sightings, and I'm using that in the precise sense of Unidentified Flying Object, which have been demonstrated to be mundane misperceptions or outright hoaxes. Not one has ever been shown to be an alien spacecraft. Assuming you are wrong is simply a reasonable conclusion based on the evidence, and no saying 'but what I saw was definitely alien' is not evidence.


Garrison:

There is no evidence to prove I'm wrong, and assumptions do not facilitate conclusions made with certainty. They are only assumptions. Your definition of UFO is also wrong as is easily evidenced through multiple official definitions posted earlier from the USAF, invetigative experts and dictionaries. Your choice to ignore these facts and your support for the irrational belief that it is a certainty that no UFOs have ever shown themselves to be alien craft only exposes your own bias. Feel free to doubt all you want until you have the proof you need to satisfy yourself, but thinking your personal doubt is the the same as the absolute truth is faulty logic.
 
Resume:

It was the poster who claimed no UFO has ever shown itself to be an alien craft who has no coroboration. Indeed, if we take a poll, we find many people who say they have seen an alien craft. Oh but then suddenly we must now move the goalposts? Now only people who can provide evidence are telling the truth. So we find even more people with corroborating evidence of the same thing. Oh but then we must move the goalposts some more? So we find really credible people like pilots who have been vectored by radar to pursue such objects. Oh but then we move the goalposts some more ... now only scientific proof will do? OK fine, we civilians don't have that evidence yet, but what we do have is far from "no corroboration". On the other hand, offhandedly concluding in the face of so many witnesses, that no UFO has ever shown itself to be an alien craft, is itself an extraordinary claim. Furthermore it's impossible to prove. It's bias pure and simple.
Ufology continues to pretend that the same flawed logic couldn't be used to defend a belief in ghosts, Jesus, bigfoot or intraspacial fish. He should demonstrate how his logic (note - his logic, not his particular belief) is different. This is why he pretends not to understand the null hypothesis and the burden of proof.

I have seen the Virgin of Guadalupe and the dragon in Aberhaten's garage. Nyah nyah nyah, prove I didn't, ya mean old skeep-ticks. Drivel.
 
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Garrison:

There is no evidence to prove I'm wrong, and assumptions do not facilitate conclusions made with certainty. They are only assumptions. Your definition of UFO is also wrong as is easily evidenced through multiple official definitions posted earlier from the USAF, invetigative experts and dictionaries. Your choice to ignore these facts and your support for the irrational belief that it is a certainty that no UFOs have ever shown themselves to be alien craft only exposes your own bias. Feel free to doubt all you want until you have the proof you need to satisfy yourself, but thinking your personal doubt is the the same as the absolute truth is faulty logic.

Please present any documented UFO case where it has been shown that the sighting was of an extraterrestrial craft? Of course I don't expect a proper answer, just more handwaving and attempts to rewrite the dictionary.
 
Ufology continues to pretend that the same flawed logic couldn't be used to defend a belief in ghosts, Jesus, bigfoot or intraspacial fish. He should demonstrate how his logic (note - his logic, not his particular belief) is different. This is why he pretends not to understand the null hypothesis and the burden of proof.


As the discussion progresses, ufology's arguments are looking more and more like those that the religious apologists come up with.

In fact, this:

Feel free to doubt all you want until you have the proof you need to satisfy yourself, but thinking your personal doubt is the the same as the absolute truth is faulty logic.

is indistinguishable from the arguments we see time and again from the religious faithful.


I have seen the Virgin of Guadalupe and the dragon in Aberhaten's garage. Nyah nyah nyah, prove I didn't, ya mean old skeep-ticks. Drivel.


Now that is an act that belongs in the Gay Rodeo. I'll just call my agent . . .
 
Let me fix this for you:
Resume:

It was the poster who claimed no UFO has ever shown itself to be an alien craft who has no coroboration. Indeed, if we take a poll, we find many people who say they have seen an alien craft. Oh but then suddenly we must now move the goalposts? Now only people who can provide evidence are telling the truth. So we find even more people with corroborating evidence stories of the same thing. Oh but then we must move the goalposts some more? So we find (my insert) some stories about really credible people like pilots who have been vectored by radar to pursue such objects. Oh but then we move the goalposts some more ... now only scientific proof will do? OK fine, we civilians don't have that evidence yet, but what we do have is far from "no corroboration". On the other hand, offhandedly concluding in the face of so many witnesses, that no UFO has ever shown itself to be an alien craft, is itself an extraordinary claim. Furthermore it's impossible to prove. It's bias pure and simple.
You still don't get this do you? Lots of stories is no better than one story. The plural of anecdote is not evidence.
 
Let me fix this for you:

You still don't get this do you? Lots of stories is no better than one story. The plural of anecdote is not evidence.


I'm sure he gets it since the only excuse for not doing so at this stage of the thread would be total blindness.

It seems that he's simply going to ignore the truth and pretend that the Lurker Army will do likewise.
 
Please present any documented UFO case where it has been shown that the sighting was of an extraterrestrial craft? Of course I don't expect a proper answer, just more handwaving and attempts to rewrite the dictionary.


Garrison:

The hand waving is being done by you and the others who support Ahenaten's position that it is a certainty that no UFO has shown itself to be an alien craft. I asked for the evidence of that and none has been given ... in fact none can be given. That was backed by my response to Robo when I pointed out that the null hypothesis cannot be proven. Why is it so hard to acknowledge the truth here? What kind of programming is at work that causes you fail to recognize it rather than dodge it or dismiss it?
 
Garrison:

There is no evidence to prove I'm wrong.<cut>

The evidence that you're wrong is that you have no evidence showing you're right.

When someone makes an extraordinary claim and then when questioned offers no support for that claim, the only plausible explanation is that they're lying.
 
Archer:

First off, before we apply the concept to ufology, let's examine your assertion that you can't give credence to something just because it's not something else.

Not only is your assertion illogical, it is also untrue. Logic dictates that if something is not a part of one set, then it cannot be something within that same set. Therefore it must be something else...[snipped a hilarious analogy]
You'll have to do better than that. Your affirmations carry no weight with me. If you want to label what I write as “illogical” then you'll have to stick to critiquing what I actually wrote, it had nothing to do with anything being confined to the same “set.” I'll give you the benefit of the doubt that I wasn't clear enough and get back to this in a minute. First I wanted to say that you cracked me up with that analogy of yours. While I appreciate the time and effort you invested to educate me about panning for gold (among other things) it was a fool's errand as far as this topic goes. You see, as Stray Cat already touched on, folks panning for gold know what gold looks like. Do you know what an ET craft looks like? See the difference? Anyway…

One can't give credence to something (ET craft) just because it's not something else (a plane), is that better?
The ‘U’ designation already establishes that what was supposedly witnessed didn't appear to be a familiar object to the observer(s) so telling me it's not a plane or whatever “mundane” alternative you can think of based on the literal acceptance of an anecdotal report is a waste of everyone's time. Obviously Joe Sixpack isn’t going to call MUFON if he thought he saw a plane, is he? You can't give credence to an object being something (ET craft) just because you decided to non-critically hitch your wagon to Mr. Sixpack’s anecdotal account and overlook the fact that he could have misinterpreted what he saw. Hell, maybe it wasn't a plane but what you fail to see is that the ‘U’ isn't confined to extraterrestrial possibilities only and actually includes the very real possibility that Joe is fibbing, delusional, or human enough to make any number of errors in observation. This failure to respect the ‘U’ and consider all possibilities is all that you and other saucer-enablers seem to do. What we get from you is a narrow 'addition by subtraction' approach not to speculate, which would be OK, but to affirm that the only logical conclusion would be accept that it had to be ET dickering around. That's not a genuinely logical approach at all. Neither is the folly of 'ruling in’ something you can't know anything about - like hypothetical ET.

Lastly, we have the process of Deductive Reasoning:[snipped another definition link]...Consequently your assertion that such thinking does not represent critical thought is in error. The process is widely used and recognized. It may or may not provide proof, but that isn't rellevant to the point you had made. It is still most certainly a form of critical thinking. Therefore when it is being used, regardless of the subject matter, it cannot be maintained that mere "non-critical acceptance" is taking place.

If you don't agree, please state your reasons.

I have no problem with 'Deductive Reasoning per se and knew what the term meant just like I knew what “unidentified” meant before you showed up. My problems aren't with the meanings of various words, they are with your various arguments here. Notice how I underlined your and here? Think you can stick to the topic and make your own argument without a dictionary and/or definition link, or is that asking too much?

You can never sell the notion that your posting here reflects critical thinking when your own words betray you time and again ufology. It’s that simple. You can’t “deductively reason” ET into existence in our skies with certainty, yet that is what you're trying to sell me here. You accept anecdote, more often than not in an uncritical manner, as sufficient “evidence” for your beliefs and naively think that flawed approach should work for everyone. You also appear to confuse self-rationalization with “reasoning,” that explains why you seem to think your lame affirmations here (UFOs are alien craft, so and so is “illogical,” this word really means that, etc) are sufficient for whatever it is you are proposing. I almost fell out of my chair the first time I read what works for you regarding the premise that some UFOs are alien craft. Yesterday I even gave you a hint on how to snap out of rushing to judgment on that score when I brought up how you and other saucer-believers couldn’t tell us what planet they come from. I wanted you to really think about the ramifications of that. Guess that good-intentioned seed didn’t take root, did it?
 
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Garrison:

The hand waving is being done by you and the others who support Ahenaten's position that it is a certainty that no UFO has shown itself to be an alien craft. I asked for the evidence of that and none has been given ... in fact none can be given.


Ahenaten? How many cousins does Aberhaten have?

Anyway, as one of them has previously asked - what would evidence of no aliens look like?


That was backed by my response to Robo when I pointed out that the null hypothesis cannot be proven.


Ufology, the null hypothesis exists solely for the purpose of being disproven. You've been told this more times than I've had hot breakfasts but it's still not getting in there, is it?


Why is it so hard to acknowledge the truth here? What kind of programming is at work that causes you fail to recognize it rather than dodge it or dismiss it?


The truth is that there are no alien flying saucers. Only one person is having trouble acknowledging it.
 
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Garrison:

The hand waving is being done by you and the others who support Ahenaten's position that it is a certainty that no UFO has shown itself to be an alien craft. I asked for the evidence of that and none has been given ... in fact none can be given. That was backed by my response to Robo when I pointed out that the null hypothesis cannot be proven. Why is it so hard to acknowledge the truth here? What kind of programming is at work that causes you fail to recognize it rather than dodge it or dismiss it?

That post couldn't be more backwards if it was in mirror writing. You are making the affirmative claim that some UFOs(and I am not going to use your ridiculous definition so live with it) are alien spacecraft, you need to back that up with affirmative evidence, not simply saying, "you can't prove me wrong!" If you can't understand or accept that position well then don't be surprised that no one takes your claims seriously.
 
Garrison:

The hand waving is being done by you and the others who support Ahenaten's position that it is a certainty that no UFO has shown itself to be an alien craft. I asked for the evidence of that and none has been given ... in fact none can be given. That was backed by my response to Robo when I pointed out that the null hypothesis cannot be proven. Why is it so hard to acknowledge the truth here? What kind of programming is at work that causes you fail to recognize it rather than dodge it or dismiss it?
That is because it is impossible to disprove a negative. One could just as easily say "there are no fairies at the bottom of gardens". We can't prove this to be true because we can't search all the gardens in all the world (and even then, those pesky little fairies might hide when they hear us coming).

This is why the burden of proof is yours, not ours. That is why the null hypothesis is:

All UFOs are of mundane origin.

and it's your job, as a UFO believer, to prove it's wrong aka to falsify it. But we've all explained this to you until we're blue in the face and you still don't geddit. So me saying it one more time is unlikely to make any difference.

ETA: just read Aberhaten's Ahenaten's Atinhonken's Akhenaten's post. Hot breakfasts and blue in the face. My what do we look like!? :eye-poppi
 
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Apparently we need to add 'logical', 'incorrect' and 'reasonable' to the list of redfined words because this post makes absolutely no sense if you're using those words with their conventional meanings.

Don't forget 'confirmed'.
 
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