Astrophotographer
Graduate Poster
- Joined
- Jun 3, 2004
- Messages
- 1,843
“Snipping” away sections of my argument that you cannot refute may be another way of looking at the same thing.
Nope. My argument stands. I just am not going waste space repeating it. It is convincing enough the first, second, or third time around. I don’t have to keep convincing myself by repeating it.
How did you refute the fact that no error analysis was conducted and that potential measurement errors could cast doubt on the calculated trajectory – especially as we note that in their diagram the location of Campine was out by about 1 mile and that they had mixed up their labelling of Points A & B… Further noting that Campine himself (who was “best qualified to judge”) stated that the trajectory was 110 degrees (as opposed to C&K’s 39 degrees) and that the Canadian Airlines passenger saw the object while looking east from a position south of Pittsburgh…
Now you have me pointing out the errors, which really isn’t too hard.
The azimuth value of 110 degrees does not point towards Kecksburg but much further east (towards the Pennsylvania/Ohio border near Erie). So, Campine’s observations can’t even support your trajectory. Additionally, you seem to be confusing an observation of azimuth from one location with true direction of travel but I am, once again, repeating myself that you have problems understanding all these concepts.
BTW, how do you know that the Canadian airlines plane was SOUTH of Pittsburgh? How far south? Can you give us a precise location? If it was 50 miles south of Pittsburgh, then it points away from Kecksburg. Additionally, the runway is east-west, which means the plane at final approach has to maneuver in that direction to line up on the runway. It could easily have been east or west of Pittsburgh. There is no reliable data to indicate the location, which makes your east direction basically worthless as an observation.
However, if (according to you) no single observer can tell which direction something is travelling, then collating a whole group of erroneous trajectory estimates will not (can not and never will) amount to an accurate estimate!
That is the beauty of using multiple observations. It is a case of "the more the merrier". The erroneous observations eventually drop out (Again see Frank Drake's article in UFOs: A scientific debate as well as the link below) and a reasonable trajectory can be determined. Your logic is underwhelming.
However, just to prove that I am not wrong on this concerning single station observations, I suggest you read the following web page from a meteorite impact/recovery group in Canada. The author is Jeremy Tatum, who is emeritus in the Department of Physics and Astronomy at the University of Victoria (he even has an asteroid named after him!):
http://miac.uqac.ca/MIAC/trajectory.htm
“I have hitherto described how to determine the atmospheric trajectory and related quantities from two witnesses, which is the absolute minimum number of witnesses necessary to determine the trajectory. (In a separate document in the MIAC archives I have explained in detail why it is impossible to determine, even approximately, the direction of motion of a fireball from observations made from a single station, in spite of regular claims to have done so).”
In another article http://articles.adsabs.harvard.edu//full/2005JRASC..99..177T/0000177.000.html he wrote on page 178:
"It is, however, a geometric fact that in general it is not possible, even in the roughest approximation, to determine the direction of motion of a fireball from observations from a single station." (he goes into detail about what he means by "in general" and it does not apply in your case)
So, I have some scientific support for my claim about trajectory determination. Where is yours?
However Okay, so people were contacting the local media (phoning in to radio stations and newspapers) and saying what? Obviously they must have been reporting that something came down near Acme… there must have been (indeed there was) the odd report of debris from other locations, but for the interest to centre on Acme, that is where the majority of reports (made at the time) must have placed it. Yet you maintain that no reports of anything coming down in the Kecksburg/Acme area were received in 1965…
Kalp thought she saw smoke coming from the direction of Kecksburg. This happened to be in the general direction that the debris trail (i.e. smoke) was visible. The 1965 sources make it clear how the story got started.
“they” cordoned the place off and later informed the media that nothing was found - and the media duly reported that nothing was found.
“They” included the state police, the fire department and the members of the radar squadron. It is also includes the next day’s check by the media, who could find no evidence of anything landing (I posted a quote from a local media previously and Bob Young writes the 11th December Greensberg paper stated this as well). Did the military make all the damage caused by their retrieval and the object's passage magically disappear in only a few hours?
And so over what is the distance can it no longer be heard?
I thought you were the scientist. It depends on the magnitude of the initial sound, the atmosphere, and distance among other things. I suggest you look it up. Dr. Tatum mentions it somewhat in one of the articles.
From your witnesses alone “The firehouse was open and people jammed the social club” – that apparently was unusual activity enough to comment on… the Millars observed a Police/Fire roadblock on the road outside their property …so there was plenty of unusual activity reported – there are no reports (from the time) of anything being found.
If you classify having some beers at the firehouse after tramping around the woods and the state police trying to organize a search as “unusual”, I guess it is. I see no mention of the Army arriving in force, threatening civilians, and using large military equipment to retrieve anything.
You speculate on the type and mobility of the necessary equipment – a couple of jeeps (or even cars) and a small flatbed truck would have been all that was necessary…
Really? How many people are you bringing to this party? A squad is not enough based on what the myth says. They describe a large force that equates to a company or platoon (30-100 men). For that you will need more than a few jeeps.
Additionally, list this “small flatbed truck” used by the military in 1965. Of course, Romansky et. al., among other things, describe a wrecker, a personnel carrier, and a huge flat bed trailer that would be pulled by a semi-tractor. All military vehicles of this type have very wide wheel bases that exceed the width limit set at the time (I believe it was 96 inches) for road use. Again, we need those permits.
More snipping so I don’t repeat myself.
Something unusual occurred… the reports of the time indicate that much at the very least. The eyewitnesses who were there at the time report unusual activity. All that remains is to decide whether the reports of an object being recovered are believable in the face of official denials. The bottom line is that most everything else is not actually in dispute.
So we are now just convinced something “unusual” occurred instead of an actual craft from space that was whisked away by the Army? Of course, it was not the usual routine for Kecksburg to have the fire department tramping through some local woods on a quiet Thursday night looking for something that supposedly landed there or was it? To make Kecksburg into something more than a search that found nothing is just wishful thinking based on a belief in the myth that was created by eager UFOlogists trying to cement themselves in UFO folklore.
