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UFOs: The Research, the Evidence

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…since the evidence is the same as people who claim they saw pink unicorns, they require better evidence than what you have presented to be more compelling.
The evidence for UFOs is not the “same” as for pink unicorns: For UFOs we have multiple eyewitness, radar, verified film and photographic and physical trace evidence… I challenge you to produce any of that type of evidence for pink unicorns…

Snip…Snip….Snip
Snip…snip…snip…
Snip…Snip…Snip
More snipping.
…and you accuse me of avoiding other’s questions and arguments…

You have yet to provide any verifiable data that refutes that trajectory.
C&K’s direction was taken from a triangulation using the photos. However, as Rudiak noted, a mere +/- 0.6 degree error would be sufficient to change the trajectory toward kecksburg. All it would take would be for the assumed photo locations to be out by mere inches… other potential errors are also not accounted for - perhaps a small scaling error of the photos themselves, a small drift of the vapour trail, a small imprecision in the estimated time between photos… all that means is that C&K’s trajectory cannot be taken as accurate, especially as all the other evidence in the case seems to refute their trajectory.

Some of that other evidence is in the geographical locations where the object was sighted (southern Canada, Lapeer County (Mi), south-east Michigan, Indiana, Ohio and Pennsylvania). If C&K were correct, we should have expected reports instead from Kansas, Missouri, Iowa, Illinois and Indiana…

Only one document mentions it “landing in acme”.
And according to the Blue Book files, at least one military response team was sent from Oakland radar base to Acme to investigate…

Exactly, what maps are you using or is this some new form of geography? The end point by VDC and Krause was not over Lake Michigan (not even close).
Oops, yes, I got the end of the wrong lake… According to C&K the object would have landed off the southern end of Lake St Clair (point E in their diagram - (http://articles.adsabs.harvard.edu//full/1967JRASC..61..184C/0000184.000.html)
p.188) …which of course makes your statement…
It is over the north-western end of Lake Erie on the shores of Ontario.
…also completely erroneous! …see how easy it is to get mixed up AstroP…

Interestingly, although C&K state that Campine took his photos “from a point about two miles east of Pontiac” – the location they pinpoint on their diagram (2) is actually 3 miles east northeast of Pontiac (looks like Featherstone Road to the east of the Chrysler Freeway). Now there is a whole mile of error in their locations just for starters!

Oh and if you want more error, here’s a small tip for you …look up their latitudes and longitudes (p.189) in Google Earth and compare them with their diagram (p.188)…

Lake Michigan is almost two hundred miles to the west of Detroit and the area that the trajectory was computed.
Yes, I have conceded my error there… will you concede your own?

From Detroit (depending on what part of the greater Detroit area you are looking at), the bearing to the endpoint can be anywhere between ESE (about 100 deg) to South (about 180 deg). That is within the region of an observer from Detroit.
I am not sure on what you base those bearings, but if you take both C& K’s endpoint and the Kecksburg endpoint, from Detroit, they are both southeast (135 degrees)!

In reference to the memo here (http://www.footnote.com/image/#8693404):
Of course, we are also left with the fact that this may have been Compine since it mentions the photograph.
One might suppose it to be so, but if so, according to C&K, when he observed the object, he was “2 miles east” of Pontiac. This would mean his 105 degree bearing (in this memo) and his 110 degree bearing (in his letter - http://www.footnote.com/image/#8693545) does not support C&K either.

Campine seems to have contacted bluebook about the event and this may have been his phone call. He wrote his letter on 11 December so it seems likely he called them so he could discover where to send the photographs.
If this was Campine “calling it in”, then the memo would refer to “a” photo (that he took and is now informing us that he has for our information if we want). Instead the memo refers to “the” photo, as if the person who typed the memo already knew of the existence of a photo…

His estimate has been shown to be incorrect by the transit readings of VDC/Krause. He may have been a bit disoriented (he was driving at the time and may have overestimated the angular distance traveled) when he made his estimates.
He may have been, but equally, so may have C&K.

I stated:
According to that scenario the meteor would have to be heading directly away from you to allow such a mistake as to perceive it as coming toward you. However, if you took a photo of it, the vapour trail would be completely (or very near to) vertical. That is NOT what we observe in the photos that were taken. What we do see in those photos is the vapour trail heading across (and seemingly away from) the line of sight of the observer. An estimate of general direction is then most certainly possible.​
You fail to understand the concept. The observer can not make an accurate determination of direction based on observations from one point. All one can do is determine site lines.
Look up at the next airplane that flies over AstroP and then come back and tell me you cannot tell in which direction it is flying…

BTW, the fireball debris trail was not what the witness described in his statement. He described the observation of the fireball. As for the fireball train, the actual size of the terminal point was about a ½ degree based on the angles computed between A and B. The A point width was about the same. So how could the witness determine direction based on the width of the train at the key points was about the same apparent angular dimension? It seems to me they indicate a path parallel to the observer based on your logic.
…across the line of sight of the observer, heading generally away from the observer…

It ignores the other observations by many of the observers in Ohio and Pennsylvania stated it was to the north or northwest – see my collection of newspaper reports on my website.
This is the location of the observed “fireball train” (the debris or vapour trail). This does not tell us the direction. In fact, if a direction could have been determined from those observations, then C&K would have noted it – oh…they did not interview the pilots …and what about that Air Canada flight…

It also ignores the observations by all the observers interviewed by Douglas, Lee, Wetherhill, VDC, and Krause.
How so? Just because you say it does?

It seems to me that it was an observation an error but you seem to think such a data point is valid. Where is your error analysis with that?
It is merely one among the many eyewitness reports. I included it because at the point in time we were specifically discussing the Blue Book files. It is one contained in that file.

And I keep referring you to the collection of reports on my webpage.
…and you keep failing to provide the link (or links) when you reference it…! Which”reports”?

I also point you towards the actual scientific investigations conducted at the time. Sky and Telescope describes the efforts of Dr. G. W. Wetherhill, a geology professor from UCLA. He cites 23 pilot reports from the area. When he plotted their sighting lines on a map, he states:

“When all the bearings were plotted on a map, they intersected in approximately a 300 square-mile area between Toledo Ohio and Pelee island. This agreed with the sightings from the Cleveland area.
The next day, I drove further west to the cities of Fremont, Sandusky, and Port Clinton Ohio….several reports placed the fireball to the north. One observer at Port Clinton – on the south shore of Lake Erie -also saw the fireball to the north, indicating quite clearly that no impact occurred south of the lake.


(Sky and Telescope February 1966 page 79)
Sure, but what about the direction it was travelling?
”The path of the fireball extended roughly from northwest to southeast, passing well south of Pontiac and Detroit, Michigan and ending in or near the western part of Lake Erie.”(p.78)​
This directly contradicts C&K’s assessment…

Then we have the comments by Dr. Douglas of the RASC:

“On-the-spot interviews of some seventy observers (now close to 100) were made by Mr. Henry Lee, President of the Windsor Centre of the RASC, and the writer during part of January. Reduction of this sighting data confirmed the general ground position of the end-point as was determined from the photographs by Mr. Chamberlain. Contacts with eyewitnesses were obtained through requests in a daily and four weekly newspapers, radio station CJSP, Leamington, and through area high schools.”

(Appendix 1 of the April 18, 1966 proceedings of the tenth meeting of the associate committee of Meteorites)
So who has made the correct assessment? All of them seem to be interviewing dozens of witnesses, yet coming to different conclusions…

VDC and Krause state they received detailed questionnaire forms back from 66 observers. All of these appeared to agree with the endpoint computed from the photographs.
…so they say…

I think that is more than adequate to back up the claim that the end point of the meteor was on the western end of Lake Erie near the endpoint computed by VDC and Krause.
You may think that.

No, it is not “nitpicking”. You claimed all these documents supported a “landfall” at Acme. Most just describe people seeing the fireball from the area of Acme. There is a significant difference. Of course, we also know that Bluebook concluded there was no landfall after receiving reports back from Oakdale, PA.
I made no such claim. I stated “ Clearly those at Blue Book were operating under the impression that Acme (just four miles south of Kecksburg) was the location of a potential landfall.”

…and Blue Book “concluded” nothing – it merely collated some of the reports and phone calls.

It is a FACT that the unit reported finding nothing.
So it is…

It is not a FACT that what these witnesses claim to have happened over a decade later actually occurred.
True enough…

Their stories were not told in 1965.
Their stories were not reported in 1965…

The news reporters made no mention of what their stories described in 1965.
The news reporters made only partial mention of what their stories described in 1965…

Additionally, we can not even prove that some of the key witnesses (like Bulebush, Romansky, Betters) with exotic stories were actually present at the scene or even in Kecksburg that day.
We cannot “prove” any of the witnesses were where they said they were – except for Gatty, Murphy and Mrs Kalp of course.

They are not mentioned as being present in the media, they did not make public statements, and they did not record anything in personal diaries.
… except for Gatty, Murphy and Mrs Kalp of course.

“all over the compass”??? That is quite the exaggeration don’t you think?
Have a look at your own citations above…

You have cherry picked a few points but ignored all the scientific investigations done at the time, which reveal that a majority of the witnesses state that your claim is not true.
No, the investigators examined the eyewitness reports and concluded a number of different things based on those reports…

Perhaps you can list all these observations that support your trajectory and refute the dozens (if not hundreds) of witnesses who were interviewed by VDC, Krause, Lee, Douglas, and Wetherhill.
I am only going on what witness statements we do have available indicate – I cannot make a determination about those that we do not have access to.

Mrs. Kalp reported seeing the fireball towards Kecksburg. That is a northwest direction (about 340 degrees azimuth). The same general direction of the end point computed by VDC and Krause (about 305-310 degrees).
Mrs Kalp saw it travelling in what direction?

You have repeatedly made the claim that I withhold information in order to deceive those reading what I wrote. That is stating that I am lying about what these sources state.
I have merely noted that you seem singularly unwilling to provide the links to your sources – what you (or others) make of that is up to you.

A. It is not a vapor trail like an airplane’s contrail. It is dust/debris trail. It is completely different and when you understand that, you will understand why your logic is flawed by trying to believe that it will be constant size.
Dust trail, debri trail, vapour trail, fireball train … a rose by any other name… and what is that about “constant size”? Who is saying anything about “constant size”? Certainly I have made no mention of any such thing…

B. The witness was reporting the location the meteor disappeared in and not the termination point of the debris/dust trail. Therefore, he was describing a point source.
What witness? You have lost me I am afraid…

How do you know they totally ignored any potential measurement error? Did you talk to VDC? Did you read the second part of this report? Did you read the supporting documentation that accompanied the finished document? Just because you and Rudiak make the uninformed opinion that they did not consider measurement error does not mean that was the case.
VDC&K’s direction was taken from a triangulation using the photos. However, as Rudiak noted, a mere +/- 0.6 degree error would be sufficient to change the trajectory toward kecksburg. All it would take would be for the assumed photo locations to be out by mere inches… other potential errors are also not accounted for - perhaps a small scaling error of the photos themselves, a small drift of the vapour trail, a small imprecision in the estimated time between photos… all that means is that VDC&K’s trajectory cannot be taken as accurate, especially as all the other evidence in the case seems to refute their trajectory.

Wrong. Absence of seismic data tells you that if the meteor was close or not. There were seismographs in Cleveland (John Carroll university) and Penn State college at the time. If they recorded nothing, it indicates the meteor did not have a seismic event in that area and the meteor was not close. The lack of such a record verifies that VDC/Krause were correct in that the meteors endpoint was near the seismograph and not over or near Kecksburg So, it can tell us something other than the time of the event no matter how much you want to make it appear unimportant.
A meteor enters the atmosphere travelling incredibly fast. Atmospheric pressure slows it down. At some point its speed will enable a seismic event and also at some point it will be too slow to create a seismic event. The fact that a seismic event was recorded at one station only tells us that at the time it passed over (near, in the vicinity of) that station it was travelling fast enough to create a seismic event. Critically, it does not tell us anything about direction (or whether it passed over, near or in the vicinity of other stations further along the trajectory).

How do you know they did not mention a measurement error in their supporting documentation?
You are not familiar with peer-review publication protocols are you…

What a bunch of nonsense. You don’t have the sighting data and have completely dismissed the data that was collected in favor of a few data points that you cherry picked to support your conclusion.
Nor do you … and I am only going on what witness statements we do have available indicate – I cannot make a determination about those that we do not have access to.

Wrong. You are referring to stories told by people who claimed they were there and did not start telling this story until a decade or more later.
According to those who were there at the time there was a military presence and some of those witnesses claim the military was there in some force. People were prevented from entering the cordoned off area and apparently a fence was cut so that access to the site could be gained. Some of those witnesses also claim that something that was conical or acorn-like in shape was found and carted away by the military.

You have to demonstrate there were units available at the time and that they could reach the location in the time required. As a result, you have them materializing out of and disappearing into thin air as if they waved a magic wand. The same could be said for the lack of any documentation or evidence of their passage in Kecksburg. The only evidence is that the radar squadron was involved.
I have noted numerous military bases in the vicinity. Are you claiming that none of them had the capability to supply men and equipment?

Apparently, you did not read Kean’s IUR (Volume 30 No. 1 page 8) article on the subject. She states she talked to several members of the squadron and all stated they found nothing. So, this verifies what is stated in the official record. They also seemed not to notice any military force other than their own unit. I suppose you will now say they were lying to hide the truth?
“Several”? I thought you claimed there were only three? Indeed Keane notes there were only three. One of the unit members Keane cites as stating nothing was found, but also that he was not there… Indeed, Keane was only able to find one of the unit who was actually there - and that person denied all activity, including the presence of civilians! Interestingly that person claimed that “He and three other members of the 662nd searched the woods…” …but that would make four – contradicting official statements once again!

Keane also notes “Another officer told me that there was no search at all…”… and then goes on to note conflicting claims from the officers about who was the Blue Book Liaison Officer at the time… One even claimed he was – but has no memory of the event…

FGS RR I am not going to repost links for you every time. If you are not going to read them, I see no reason to post them. I suppose you are going to again claim that I am purposefully trying to hide information from everyone.
No, just seemingly unwilling to provide the full information for others to assess…

These reporters stated in 1965 that nothing was found. What they say today either demonstrates they lied or were incompetent in 1965 or are being influenced today by the popular myth. The eyewitnesses you are describing (and I notice you fail to identify them) never told this story in 1965 and did not start telling the tale until 1979 or so. Can you identify each witness, when they started telling their story, and what story they told?
Clearly many of the witnesses supporting the “Kecksburg crash” are identified – what about the witnesses for your side of the story?

And in the same article, you fail to mention that he states the state police had roped off the area and not the army.
I provided quotes form both of Gatty’s articles… and those quotes explicitly provide the information you say I “did not mention”…

Of course in the other article by Gatty for the city edition he mentions being only stopped by a volunteer fireman and not some massive military force where guns are drawn and lives threatened. More magic wand waving.
“Guns drawn and lives threatened”? Your hyperbole precedes you AstroP…

Young did not make a transcript. He only listened to the program and reported its contents. If the program was as convincing as you claim, then the transcript and entire recording would be readily available. For some reason nobody seems to present it. It is probably the same reason they don’t post the part of the December 10 edition and subsequent accounts describing the news paper's staff findings, which states nothing was ever found. When Young posted his comments on UFO updates, Gordon did not argue against these points. There must have been a reason.
Sure, it’s a grand conspiracy, involving both debunkers and proponents, to keep the transcripts (and other information) from the public… “For some reason nobody seems to present it”… “There must have been a reason” …it seems to me that everyone is trying to “point score” rather than expose all the information available…

We can continue this circular argument ad infinitum but I just don’t see any point as it now accomplishes very little. You bring so little to the table other than basically parroting what all these UFO websites tell you.
If you say so…
 
I stated:
“If you have any evidence of deception on my part then you will of course be able to produce it.”
Your own post with the links that DON'T mention the Johnson boy's other hoaxing attempts: http://www.internationalskeptics.com/forums/showthread.p...17#post6905917
So how exactly does the post your reference there… (that is…)
You mean this case?

The Delphos Kansas UFO Landing (11 Feb 1971)
(http://www.ufocasebook.com/Kansas.html)
(http://www.ufoevidence.org/cases/case192.htm)
(http://naturalplane.blogspot.com/2010/10/delphos-kansas-ufo-landing-ring.html)
(http://documents.theblackvault.com/documents/Budinger/UT001.pdf)

No …don’t tell me …let me use my psychic powers … a "hoax" and a "fairy ring" … right?
…provide evidence of “deception” on my part?

I stated:
“ If you have any evidence that “”the Johnson boy” perpetrated any hoaxes, you will of course be able to produce it”
…and I replied:
To further illustrate how the UFO debunkers like to obscure rather than illuminate and clarify, RoboT has cited that the Delphos case’s principle witness, Ronald Johnson, also claimed to have sighted a “Wolf Girl”.

Rremjet, why didn't you post any links to the Delphos case that discussed Johnson's later claim to being psychic? Or his later claim to seeing a wolf girl?
What RoboT fails to mention is that:
The following 'Wolf Girl' / UFO case was in the end proved to be simple hoax perpetrated by local kids… (http://www.mysteriouspeople.com/Delphosgirl.htm)​
So yes he might have sighted a “wolf girl” - but as it was later proved to be a hoax - and thus there was indeed a “wolf girl” to be sighted - then the mere sighting of the “wolf girl” should not be held against the poor guy.

As to his later claims of “psychic powers”? In consideration that:
“The glow of the objects bottom increased as it began to rise up into the sky. Ron would later state that he was temporarily blinded by the brightness of the craft as it ascended.” (http://www.ufocasebook.com/Kansas.html)​
“For days after the UFO sighting, Johnson complained of headaches and nightmares and he said his eyes hurt.” (http://perdurabo10.tripod.com/galleryg/id62.html)​
” The day after the incident, Ronald's eyes became red and watered as though from irritation. For a week after the incident he had nightmares from which he awoke screaming.” (http://www.ufoevidence.org/cases/case192.htm)​
Quite obviously the poor guy was somewhat affected by his UFO experience.

There is also the following to consider:
“Only if you're one of those debunkers who thinks that if you find an explanation for part of an incident, then you have "debunked" the entire incident. Remember, three witnesses saw a UFO, not just the ring, and their sighting was at least partly corroborated by a fourth witness eleven miles away in Minneapolis. The ring itself may not be directly related to the UFO sighting, and the presence of a fungus in the soil does not explain how the fluorescent material got onto the surrounding trees, nor how the branches got broken and the dead Chinese elm tree knocked down.

Both Thaddia Smith and Sheriff Enlow told Ted Phillips in 1972 that the Johnsons were well respected in the area and that they did not believe that it was possible that the family could be perpetrating a hoax.

The dog would furiously try to get into the house at nightfall.

The day after the incident, Ronald's eyes became red and watered as though from irritation. For a week after the incident he had nightmares from which he awoke screaming.

Even the animals were traumatized by the sighting. Vallee says:

For about two weeks, every evening at sunset, the sheep would jump out of the pen and run wildly. The dog would furiously try to get into the house at nightfall. He practically destroyed the screen door, and the only way to keep him outside was to replace it with a stronger metal door.” (http://www.ufoevidence.org/cases/case192.htm)​

Why did none of your links mention the $5000 from the National Enquirer paid to the Johnsons?
First you provide no evidence that this is actually true (none of the links you provide state this). However, HERE is the link you failed to provide (and we can see why when we examine it!) (http://www.chancy.org/family/Familyinfo/Kansas/delphos.html)

” The National Enquirer awarded the Johnsons a $5,000 award in 1973 for their UFO story because it "supplied the most scientifically valuable evidence of UFOs in 1972.”​

So, a full two years after the incident the National Enquirer sees fit to make an award to the Johnsons. Critically, the Johnsons did not solicit the payment, nor were they probably even aware that such a payment might be awarded to them. Just how is this supposed to detract from their story RoboT?

As I stated at the beginning of this post – clearly the express intent of the UFO debunkers is to obscure rather than to illuminate and clarify - that much at least, in my opinion, should be readily apparent to anyone reading this thread.


I stated:
“ If you have any evidence that my “research” has been in any way “substandard”, then of course you will be able to produce it.”
Your Venezuela case where you failed to do the barest bit of research into the purported letter, the Delphos case where you didn't post links to the evidence of his other hoaxes, and lately your dependence on UFO creduloid sites to foster your belief in an acorn landing at Kecksburg where Astrophotographer is giving you an education in proper research. Let me know if you need more. These were just the most recent three.
I requested the evidence to support your contentions RoboT – not more unfounded assertions from you (which can of course be dismissed on the basis that claims made without evidence can be dismissed without evidence…)

Actually, your difficulty in posting such a link is that such a link doesn't exist.
Sorry, you have lost me completely – what link does not exist?

I had no problem posting links showing either your deliberate deception or substandard ability to research. That was the question, which is it?
You seem to have had no problem in posting a couple of links – but your assessment of what they actually show (see above) seems to be somewhat off the mark…

Please answer the question or if you have already answered it, please post a link.
What question?

(I am probably going to regret that question for I can predict that questions of the form “Was your wife happy when you stopped beating her?” are going to be the only result – but if so you will forgive me if I then duly ignore them…).
 
cesarz stated:
“Of course most of photos, films and such are faked or easily explained (i would say 99%). But this 1% is not possible to explain at least as of today.”

I replied:
“ In the only major and substantial study of its kind ever officially conducted - The Battelle Study (Blue Book Special Report No. 14 - http://www.ufocasebook.com/pdf/specialreport14.pdf), it was found that more than 21% of the 2199 cases analysed could be categorised as “Unknown” (there was no knowledge in the “Free World” that could be found to explain the cases) and moreover, the more reliable the report, the greater the percentage of unknowns there were. For example, of the 213 reports judged to be of “Excellent” reliability, fully 33.3% of them were classified as unknown!

This official study demonstrates that the “common conception” - that only a very small percentage of reports (your “1%”) are “unknown” - is an absolutely erroneous conception. When the cases are scientifically analysed, a substantially significant percentage turn out to be unknown according to the best of our knowledge – and the more reliable the report – the greater the percentage of unknowns there is found to be among them.
”

Even if this were true SO WHAT.
The common conception that only a very few UFO reports turn out to be genuine unknowns is an erroneous conception is “so what” – according to the largest official and scientific study of its kind, a large and significant percentage of them turn out to be unknown…

When will you be providing evidence proving that these "unknowns" are alien spaceships?
When will you be providing evidence proving that these "unknowns" are pink unicorns?
 
I stated:
“If you have any evidence of deception on my part then you will of course be able to produce it.”

So how exactly does the post your reference there… (that is…)

…provide evidence of “deception” on my part?
Because the links that you provided left out any mention of the Johnson boy's other hoaxes - the alleged wolf girl and the alleged psychic powers he claimed he acquired. How is that NOT evidence of deception on your part?

I stated:
“ If you have any evidence that “”the Johnson boy” perpetrated any hoaxes, you will of course be able to produce it”

…and I replied:
To which I replied:

This makes no sense whatsoever. He claimed to have seen a wolf girl and then three years later some other local kids claim to have seen a wolf girl, probably based on his claim to an earlier sighting. Johnson's claimed sighting was in 1971, shortly after a similar claim in Mobile, AL. The other teens' claims began in 1974. From that you get that there was actually a wolf girl? No, Rramjet, this is evidence that the boy made up stories, likely from trigger events. Tell me again how you eliminated "HOAX" as a plausible mundane explanation?
So how did other local teens claim to see a wolf girl THREE YEARS LATER (which was shown to also be a hoax) affect Ron Johnson's hoax THREE YEARS EARLIER? How do you interpret their later hoax to mean that Ron Johnson's earlier alleged sighting was a real one?

Note that you failed to answer that when it was originally asked as well.

I stated:
“ If you have any evidence that my “research” has been in any way “substandard”, then of course you will be able to produce it.”

I requested the evidence to support your contentions RoboT – not more unfounded assertions from you (which can of course be dismissed on the basis that claims made without evidence can be dismissed without evidence…)
And it's evidence that you got, with links. That you want to handwave them away is your problem solely.

Sorry, you have lost me completely – what link does not exist?
It was in reference to this exchange that you quoted:
Rramjet said:
The difficulty with posting such a link is of course that it will (as has also occurred on a number of occasions) be met with the response: “I have answered that link in this link… and so you have still not answered the question.” Moreover the links so listed that purport to respond to the link I have posted - will on examination simply be found to be a reposting of the initial question! And so it goes…
Actually, your difficulty in posting such a link is that such a link doesn't exist.
I see why you have such difficulty keeping your stories straight.

Rramjet said:
You seem to have had no problem in posting a couple of links – but your assessment of what they actually show (see above) seems to be somewhat off the mark…
No, you are incorrect. I showed you with evidence where you were either being deliberately dishonest or showing your shoddy research "skills". Which is it? Why do you keep dodging the question?

What question?

(I am probably going to regret that question for I can predict that questions of the form “Was your wife happy when you stopped beating her?” are going to be the only result – but if so you will forgive me if I then duly ignore them…).
<sigh> It is perfectly appropriate to ask a wife beater if he has stopped beating his wife.

So, was it deliberate dishonesty on your part in selectively providing links which didn't show Ron Johnson's other hoaxing attempts or was it genuinely just a lack of basic research ability as also evidenced by your lack of research ability in the cases at Venezuela and Kecksburg?
 
The evidence for UFOs is not the “same” as for pink unicorns: For UFOs we have multiple eyewitness, radar, verified film and photographic and physical trace evidence… I challenge you to produce any of that type of evidence for pink unicorns…

And FLIR. Why do you keep forgetting FLIR?
 
If we use this logic, all unsolved murders were done by aliens.
A crime is committed. (A UFO is sighted)
Well trained investigators try to discover the truth. (Okay, it's not a perfect analogy)
Some crimes are solved (Some UFOs are unambiguously identified)
Some crimes result in suspicions without enough evidence to go to court. (Some UFOs are ambiguously identified)
Some crimes are never solved. (Some UFOs are never identified)
Therefore, aliens did it. (Therefore, aliens did it)
 
Still enjoying my vacation but have just a few minutes to respond here.

…and you accuse me of avoiding other’s questions and arguments…

Nah..I accuse you of ignoring their requests. I snip most of these arguments simply because I tire of beating a dead horse on these issues. You will remain unconvinced but the others reading the thread can see the lay of the land. I previously stated that if you want to go over anything I missed, feel free to bring it back up again. Anyway, here we go again as I desperately try not to repeat myself.

Snip

Some of that other evidence is in the geographical locations where the object was sighted (southern Canada, Lapeer County (Mi), south-east Michigan, Indiana, Ohio and Pennsylvania). If C&K were correct, we should have expected reports instead from Kansas, Missouri, Iowa, Illinois and Indiana…

No. You are wrong again on this. The meteor appeared and descended over a small area. That area being South and SE of Detroit. If you draw a radius of about 250-300 miles around points A and B, you will see that it would include Michigan, eastern Illinois, Indiana, Ohio, Northern Kentucky, West Virginia, possibly Virginia and Maryland, Pennsylvania, western NY, and Ontario. I am not sure how you can get Kansas, Missouri, and Iowa. Anyway, according to the Meteorites of Michigan article previously described (and a link you found) and other media sources previously mentioned, reports were received as far west as Chicago (eastern Illinois) from Indiana, Ohio, Michigan, Ontario, Pennsylvania, western NY and Virginia. That pretty much covers the range of states I described. Of course, weather would play a role in determining which states could see what.

Oops, yes, I got the end of the wrong lake… According to C&K the object would have landed off the southern end of Lake St Clair (point E in their diagram - (http://articles.adsabs.harvard.edu//full/1967JRASC..61..184C/0000184.000.html)
p.188)

Actually it is south of Lake St. Clair. The E point is on dry land.

…which of course makes your statement…

“It is over the north-western end of Lake Erie on the shores of Ontario.”

…also completely erroneous! …see how easy it is to get mixed up AstroP…

Better to be 7 miles off rather than 200 miles. If you look closely however, you will see that point B is on dry land only 7 miles from the lake (essentially on the shores of Ontario as I described) but the meteor debris trail was before Point A and therefore was over the northwestern end of the lake. So, while I did erroneously state that the endpoint was at this location, I was not completely off base. Saying it is “completely erroneous” is something of an exaggeration. However, if you want to argue that the description I made of the meteors endpoint was not precise enough, I will concede it.

Interestingly, although C&K state that Campine took his photos “from a point about two miles east of Pontiac” – the location they pinpoint on their diagram (2) is actually 3 miles east northeast of Pontiac (looks like Featherstone Road to the east of the Chrysler Freeway). Now there is a whole mile of error in their locations just for starters!

Really? Are we going to argue over the point of where they defined the city center of Pontiac, Michigan? Their statement of “about two miles” was not really a precise measurement was it? BTW, I measure 2.77 miles using Google earth from the center of Pontiac (as defined by Google earth) so it is not really that much of an error was it. Are you now claiming that Campine took them to an entirely different location and they did not notice they were in the wrong location?

Oh and if you want more error, here’s a small tip for you …look up their latitudes and longitudes (p.189) in Google Earth and compare them with their diagram (p.188)…

And for the first time, Rramjet finds an actual error in the paper. However, it is not fatal. They mixed up their description of the two points. They describe point B (notice the altitude) but call it point A and describe Point A and call it point B. It appears to be an editorial error and possibly was corrected in the next issue of the journal.

I am not sure on what you base those bearings, but if you take both C& K’s endpoint and the Kecksburg endpoint, from Detroit, they are both southeast (135 degrees)!

So, are you now stating the difference of a few inches in placing the transit will not cause a significant change in bearing? Imagine that…
I had stated "the greater Detroit area", which is a large city. I was looking at a circular diameter of about 15 miles surrounding downtown for my measurements.
BTW, the endpoint marked by VDC and Krause is at a bearing of about 155 degrees from downtown Detroit. I am not sure where your Kecksburg endpoint is drawn but if you draw a line from Downtown Detroit on Google Earth, to Kecksburg, you get a bearing of about 128 degrees.

More snipping


Look up at the next airplane that flies over AstroP and then come back and tell me you cannot tell in which direction it is flying…

Hmmm…are you actually saying that a meteor debris trail is the exact same thing as an airplane contrail? If so, you really have not been paying attention. BTW, last fall there was a case of a misidentified airplane contrail by a television camera crew in LA, California. It made quite the news stir. They thought it was a missile launched in a WNW to NW direction. In reality it was an airplane contrail heading ENE. I guess people can get the direction wrong on these things even when it is something as simple as an airplane.


More snipping

Sure, but what about the direction it was travelling?
”The path of the fireball extended roughly from northwest to southeast, passing well south of Pontiac and Detroit, Michigan and ending in or near the western part of Lake Erie.”(p.78)​
This directly contradicts C&K’s assessment…

Sigh….You were not paying attention the first time I explained this. The direction was based solely on Dr. Wetherhill’s preliminary investigation and not based on the photographic data. He had arrived at an endpoint over the western end of lake Erie but it was only a ball park assessment. Look at what he wrote,”..they intersected in approximately a 300 square-mile area between Toledo Ohio and Pelee island.” A 300 square mile area is a reasonable size margin for error and many of these reports were basically estimates and not done with a transit and using photographs, which would be more precise. He does not describe an endpoint but the area described is only about 20-25 miles south-southwest of the actual endpoint. The key point in all of this is that nobody saw the meteor actually saw that the meteor passed overhead in Ohio and all the Ohio observers reported seeing the fireball descend to the north. If you want to claim that a preliminary finding mentioned by Sky and Telescope refutes VDC and Krause, go right ahead. However, as most people understand such things, it is possible for better and more complete information to become available and refine the trajectory.

So who has made the correct assessment? All of them seem to be interviewing dozens of witnesses, yet coming to different conclusions…

Not really. They all come up with the conclusion that VDC and Krause did. The meteor was over the western end of lake Erie/Ontario and it was seen to the north by observers in Ohio. This contradicts your interpretation of the bluebook files that state all observers from that small data set (a handful of reports is not really “all over the compass” is it?) pointed towards Kecksburg/Acme (even though you gave no precise locations of witnesses and the 105 bearing does not even point towards Kecksburg).


I made no such claim. I stated “ Clearly those at Blue Book were operating under the impression that Acme (just four miles south of Kecksburg) was the location of a potential landfall.”

Actually did. You previously stated that:

“Throughout the Blue Book files we see the Air Force convinced that it was a meteor and it came down in Acme (about four miles from Kecksburg as the crow flies – see pages 6-11, 13, 15 and 28 )…”

As I pointed out previously, only one of these clearly indicated they thought something came down at Acme. All the others refer to a sighting or meteor over Acme or sending people to investigate. The team found nothing and reported back early in the morning of the 10th. We have no idea when these “memos for the record” were actually typed up. Maybe around midnight on the 9/10th or maybe the next day based on reading the duty officer’s log. Who knows but considering it some sort of verification that something actually came down at Acme/Kecksburg is just wishful thinking.

BTW, Bluebook DID conclude it was a meteor no matter how much you want to deny it. Look at document number one.

The news reporters made only partial mention of what their stories described in 1965…

So you and the legend/myth say. I see no proof of this. In fact, the proof is in what the editorial staff concluded for the paper (after actually investigating the case themselves) on December 11th (again you don’t see that published at your UFO websites). They concluded nothing had actually come down!

Snip…snip….snip

Mrs Kalp saw it travelling in what direction?

She only saw the debris trail hovering in the direction of Kecksburg.

Who is saying anything about “constant size”? Certainly I have made no mention of any such thing…

In order to determine direction of travel using the technique you claim (the narrowing/thinning of the ‘vapor trail’) requires a constant size trail. If the trail is not constant in size, then the visual cue you rely upon to determine direction fails.

A meteor enters the atmosphere travelling incredibly fast. Atmospheric pressure slows it down. At some point its speed will enable a seismic event and also at some point it will be too slow to create a seismic event. The fact that a seismic event was recorded at one station only tells us that at the time it passed over (near, in the vicinity of) that station it was travelling fast enough to create a seismic event. Critically, it does not tell us anything about direction (or whether it passed over, near or in the vicinity of other stations further along the trajectory).

You obviously are not following. The terminal point is what created the seismic event. If it was not heard in any of the stations in Ohio or Pennsyvania, then that terminal point did not occur near them.
I guess you are trying to claim that the device slowed down at this point and no longer created a sonic event and then traveled through the air over 200 miles at subsonic speeds without being seen. However, the reported sighting by Kalp (4:45PM) is the same basic time frame reported by others elsewhere. The precise time was computed to be 4:43 PM. How could the object suddenly go over 200 miles in two minutes without creating a sonic boom? Even if we give a generous time frame of 10 minutes between Detroit and Kecksburg, we are describing a ground speed of over 1200 mph! Surely, a sonic boom would have resulted.


According to those who were there at the time there was a military presence and some of those witnesses claim the military was there in some force. People were prevented from entering the cordoned off area and apparently a fence was cut so that access to the site could be gained. Some of those witnesses also claim that something that was conical or acorn-like in shape was found and carted away by the military.

All stories told over a decade after the event at the prompting of UFO investigators. Of course, we have the testimony of others (the real fire chief and the owners of the properties where the UFO and military takeover took place) who we know were there that say nothing happened like that at all. Therefore, we look at what was recorded in 1965 and not 1980 or beyond. The 1965 documentation makes no such mention of these things as far as the military is concerned.

I have noted numerous military bases in the vicinity. Are you claiming that none of them had the capability to supply men and equipment?

I have yet to see any evidence they have had such equipment and manpower available. It ignores everything we know about what the bases you identified actually do and have available. There is no record of such activity and nobody mentions a massive convoy moving over Pittsburgh roads that evening clogging up traffic. As I have stated, in order to fit the bill provided by the myth, you have to wave that magic wand for them to appear and disappear into thin air.

another snip

“Guns drawn and lives threatened”? Your hyperbole precedes you AstroP…

This is your myth. If you are going to buy into it, you have to accept all the stories:
“He pointed his rifle at me and said get out,” Newhouse said before the meeting. “So, something was definitely there. I don’t have any idea what it was, but the Army doesn’t come out to guard a patch of woods.”
http://www.pittsburghlive.com/x/pittsburghtrib/s_147868.html
“Betters will never forget the tone of voice of a military officer ordering servicemen to get him and his friends out of there. Jerry became quite upset when the soldiers aimed their guns at them.”http://ufoupdateslist.com/2001/jan/m29-002.shtml
When you point a gun, you are threatening somebody's life. BTW, this act is illegal (unless martial law was declared) and charges should have been filed at the time.
I am not the one making this stuff up. However, if you think they are exaggerating about this, then, for once, I agree with you. Of course, if you agree they may be exaggerating, doesn’t that call into question a lot of the other stories?
 
If we use this logic, all unsolved murders were done by aliens.
A crime is committed. (A UFO is sighted)
Well trained investigators try to discover the truth. (Okay, it's not a perfect analogy)
Some crimes are solved (Some UFOs are unambiguously identified)
Some crimes result in suspicions without enough evidence to go to court. (Some UFOs are ambiguously identified)
Some crimes are never solved. (Some UFOs are never identified)
Therefore, aliens did it. (Therefore, aliens did it)

Let us look at the situation logically and without the confusing analogy:

An observation of a UFO is made.
Well trained researchers investigate.
Some observations turn out to have a plausible mundane explanation.
Some observations turn out not to have a plausible mundane explanation.

However, that does not mean that “ET did it”.
That is, there is no logical connection between “inexplicable” and “ET”.
All it really means is that we don’t have a plausible mundane explanation.
Nothing more, nothing less.

Now of course we are free to speculate about alternative explanations - and ET just happens to be one of a number of potentially plausible alternate explanations.

ET is a plausible explanation because there is nothing in our knowledge of physics or the natural world that would prevent it being the explanation – and there seems to be circumstantial evidence to support it as an explanation (ostensible technological craft, ostensible intelligent control of those craft, observed “beings” associated with those craft).

That is not to say that it is the explanation - looks can be deceiving after all – and that is why I have never put it forward as an explanation.
 
Let us look at the situation logically and without the confusing analogy:
Confusing...? I followed it perfectly well and it explained the situation exactly.

An observation of a UFO is made.
Well trained researchers investigate.
Some observations turn out to have a plausible mundane explanation.
Some observations turn out not to have a plausible mundane explanation.

However, that does not mean that “ET did it”.
That is, there is no logical connection between “inexplicable” and “ET”.
All it really means is that we don’t have a plausible mundane explanation.
Nothing more, nothing less.
Well, no. :) It means that we don't have an explanation. Nothing more, nothing less.

Now of course we are free to speculate about alternative explanations - and ET just happens to be one of a number of potentially plausible alternate explanations.

ET is a plausible explanation because there is nothing in our knowledge of physics or the natural world that would prevent it being the explanation – and there seems to be circumstantial evidence to support it as an explanation (ostensible technological craft, ostensible intelligent control of those craft, observed “beings” associated with those craft).

That is not to say that it is the explanation - looks can be deceiving after all – and that is why I have never put it forward as an explanation.

And now let's look at it without the erroneous wording you've added.

An observation of a UFO is made.
Well trained researchers investigate along with some credulous ones.
Some observations turn out to have a plausible mundane explanation.
Some observations remain unexplained.
To date, none have turned out to be "aliens".

By your declarations of cases to have no mundane explanation when they, in fact, did, you've shown your version of a process of elimination to be fatally flawed.

For all of the cases that you've presented, I've used the process of elimination to eliminate plausible non-mundane explanations and I've never been wrong. For all the cases you've presented, the only remaining answer would be "mundane". Note that when I say "mundane" that I don't mean mundane. However, it is well within our common range of experience and perfectly ordinary.

You've still not answered whether it was your lack of research skill or outright dishonesty that caused you to not post links showing the Johnson boy's other hoaxing attempts in the Delphos case. You remember, the one that defied plausible mundane explanation. LOL.
 
Let us look at the situation logically and without the confusing analogy:

An observation of a UFO is made.
Well trained researchers investigate.
Some observations turn out to have a plausible mundane explanation.
Some observations turn out not to have a plausible mundane explanation.

However, that does not mean that “ET did it”.
That is, there is no logical connection between “inexplicable” and “ET”.
All it really means is that we don’t have a plausible mundane explanation.
Nothing more, nothing less.

Now of course we are free to speculate about alternative explanations - and ET just happens to be one of a number of potentially plausible alternate explanations.

ET is a plausible explanation because there is nothing in our knowledge of physics or the natural world that would prevent it being the explanation – and there seems to be circumstantial evidence to support it as an explanation (ostensible technological craft, ostensible intelligent control of those craft, observed “beings” associated with those craft).

That is not to say that it is the explanation - looks can be deceiving after all – and that is why I have never put it forward as an explanation.

Au contraire. The trained investigators have exhaustively eliminated any human suspects. Therefore, aliens.
 
At Rramjet's "evidence" thread, more than once I stated that if UFO lore is true, then it should not be hard to get reliable experimental data. And no, the costs of such a project are not stratospheric, its within the reach of what advanced amateurs spend with their hobbies (astrophotography, wildlife photography, etc.). Budget constraints can be diminished even further. Just use some of the money top UFOlogy authors get from selling books, or money made from UFO meetings. I bet a very good project could be built from UFO Hunters' budget. And yes, it could be conducted by amateurs, as long as they keep the methodology within the scientific methodology (something thats really not hard). The contributions of amateurs to astronomy and paleontology prove that.

Its almost as if they feared they would not obtain extraordinary evidence to back their extraordinary claims...

One last (for this post) thing-

Its really useless, as it can be inferred from Access Denied's post, to follow the "explain this as anything other than aliens, you skeptics" line if the "this" is an anecdote. If all you've got are tales about aliens, tales are all you've got.

You make some really good points here. I've noticed them in other threads. Cool avatar too.

The strategy you mention makes a lot of sense but I once learned the hard way that even sensible easy to implement low-cost strategies require agreement, and having been in ufology for over 40 years it's a lot like herding cats. The other thing is that capturing UFO evidence isn't easy. A butterfly net isn't going to do the job. These things outmaneuver fighter jets and are elusive. Still, you are right. So far as civilians getting their hands on any good evidence, it is going to take coordination and a lot of luck. I'm at least trying to do my part.

j.r.
 
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You make some really good points here. I've noticed them in other threads. Cool avatar too.

The strategy you mention makes a lot of sense but I once learned the hard way that even sensible easy to implement low-cost strategies require agreement, and having been in ufology for over 40 years it's a lot like herding cats. The other thing is that capturing UFO evidence isn't easy. A butterfly net isn't going to do the job. These things outmaneuver fighter jets and are elusive. Still, you are right. So far as civilians getting their hands on any good evidence, it is going to take coordination and a lot of luck. I'm at least trying to do my part.

j.r.

Really?
 
And so it appears the deliberate deception and cover-up at the hands of UFOlogy continues…


From when, the 50s, and from who, the former head who went on to make a career out of selling UFO books after only two years on the job?

Please tell us in the interest of full disclosure what year Project Blue Book started, what year those figures were compiled and by who and what the conclusion was, and what year Project Blue Book ended.

You appear to be from the Stanton Friedman school of UFOlogy…

“What the public doesn’t know, we certainly won’t tell them.”

Do you know who that “rule” of his was directed at?

Anyway, here’s the final figures directly from the Air Force…

Factsheets : Unidentified Flying Objects and Air Force Project Blue Book
http://www.af.mil/information/factsheets/factsheet.asp?id=188


I trust you can perform the calculation yourself?

Extra credit: Who accomplished the majority of these identifications and what did he go on to do after the project was terminated?

Hint: This would be the person you’re accusing of producing “white washed spin doctored innaccurate numbers”.

The chart spans about 5 years ( 1947-1952 ) and takes into account 1,593 of the best cases. By best cases, we mean that for a case to be included in the statistics, it had to pass an initial screening to determine if closer study was warranted. This was typical procedure for all Project Blue Book reports. To quote Edward Ruppelt, "Since June 1947, when the first UFO report had been made, ATIC had analyzed 1,593 UFO reports. About 4,400 had actually been received, but all except 1,593 had been immediately rejected for analysis." This alone indicates a high level of skepticism.

Then there were those reports ( over 20% ), which although worthy of follow-up proved too vague to be included in any category other than insufficient data. The chart also takes into account hoaxes and manmade or natural phenomenon all the way down to bits of blowing paper.

Finally, an additional layer of skeptical bias was added by arbitrarily placing uncertain sightings into categories other than Unknown based on the mere probability of them being identified if more information had been available. Yet even with this level of bias against UFOs, analysis by both military and civilian experts still pegged the amount of Unknowns at nearly 27%.

Sighting reports came from pilots, air crews, scientists, engineers, radar operators, military and civilian observers in general. The UFOs they described were often spherical or disk shaped and could perform maneuvers impossible for any terrestrial aircraft then or now.

Perhaps some twenty-first century technology might yet be invented that can duplicate the performance characteristics of UFOs, but certainly there was nothing that came close back in the 1950s. Even the legendary YF-12A and X-15, regardless of their phenomenal speed, were incapable of making instantaneous high-speed turns.

As for the source being Ruppelt, you cannot dismiss him because he was the Head of Bluebook at one time, if anything that makes him more credible. I've also looked the through the actual microfilms of Bluebook documents to see how well the numbers stand up, and even if we add in later years, the number of unknowns is still much higher than the so-called USAF "Fact Sheet". You can find Ruppelt's numbers in his classic book ( not books - he only wrote one and didn't go on to "make a living" at it. ), and you can find the rest of the numbers in the Bluebook archives. It's all too lengthy to post here, but anyone can do it.

On the other hand, the so-called USAF fact sheet doesn't show an author ( he or she certainly wasn't part of the actual Project ), or where the numbers used came from. If they are even remotely accurate, they had to include every irrellevant trash report that came in in any way shape or form to water down the statistics. This makes sense because there were standing orderes not to disclose any information to the public about UFOs that could not be explained as something natural or manmade, and all the relly good reports were diverted away from Bluebook. So for years after Ruppelt left the statistics just kept getting watered down. The so-called USAF "Fact Sheet" isn't worth the paper it isn't printed on.

j.r.
 
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As far as I know, this has been tried in Hessdelen though not with three cameras.

So far nothing to report. :rolleyes:

Christopher O'Brien has a camera set up here:

http://www.tmv.us/


For all the good it will do. Even if we get a video it will prove nothing other than we have a video of something. But I'm not knocking the effort. Maybe something will come of it.

j.r.
 
The strategy you mention makes a lot of sense but I once learned the hard way that even sensible easy to implement low-cost strategies require agreement, and having been in ufology for over 40 years it's a lot like herding cats. The other thing is that capturing UFO evidence isn't easy. A butterfly net isn't going to do the job. These things outmaneuver fighter jets and are elusive. Still, you are right. So far as civilians getting their hands on any good evidence, it is going to take coordination and a lot of luck. I'm at least trying to do my part.


There's your pseudoscience right there. :D
 
Christopher O'Brien has a camera set up here:

http://www.tmv.us/


For all the good it will do. Even if we get a video it will prove nothing other than we have a video of something. But I'm not knocking the effort. Maybe something will come of it.

j.r.

Yes, the only time to my knowledge that something like putting a camera at a 'hot spot' has been tried over any sort of extended period... so far, nothing to report and no 'help' from the wider UFOlogy community to expand on a project that has already been started by one dedicated person. Despite the countless stories of lights over Hessdalen and despite the myths surrounding the lights to be still a common thing to come across on UFO sites across the web, usually accompanied by the same old photos of campsite lights, car headlights etc.
 
Sighting reports came from pilots, air crews, scientists, engineers, radar operators, military and civilian observers in general. The UFOs they described were often spherical or disk shaped and could perform maneuvers impossible for any terrestrial aircraft then or now.
Assuming those descriptions were accurate, which, again, we can’t because those alleged performance characteristics were “measured” by humans who’s observational abilities are demonstrably unreliable.

Anyway, I noticed you neglected to report the conclusion of that naïve study you cited (and has been discussed extensively in another thread here) as requested….

Project Blue Book Special Report #14 (May 1955)
http://www.bluebookarchive.org/

It is emphasized that there was a complete lack of any valid evidence consisting of physical matter in any case of a reported unidentified aerial object.

Thus, the probability that any of the UNKNOWNS considered in this study are "flying saucers" is concluded to be extremely small, since the most complete and reliable reports from the present data, when isolated and studied, conclusively failed to reveal even a rough model, and since the data as a whole failed to reveal any marked patterns or trends.

Therefore, on the basis of this evaluation of the information, it is considered to be highly improbable that any of the reports of unidentified aerial objects examined in this study represent observations of technological developments outside the range of present-day scientific knowledge.
Why is that?

I've also looked the through the actual microfilms of Bluebook documents to see how well the numbers stand up, and even if we add in later years…
You mean the later two and a half decades (some 25 years!) and you neglect to account for the vast improvements made in radar technology and coverage since then.

…the number of unknowns is still much higher than the so-called USAF "Fact Sheet".
Prove it.

You can find Ruppelt's numbers in his classic book ( not books - he only wrote one and didn't go on to "make a living" at it. )…
Those aren’t Ruppelt's numbers (they’re the Battelle Memorial Institute’s) and to which edition do your refer? It should be noted…

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Edward_J._Ruppelt

In 1960 the expanded edition of Ruppelt's book (20 Chapters) was published by Doubleday & Co.. The only change from earlier editions came in three more chapters which largely echoed the Air Force's position that there was nothing unusual about UFOs. Ruppelt seemed to have abandoned his early views that some UFO reports seemed mysterious and unexplained, and he declared UFOs a "space age myth". In an unusual manner, the date of the publication was omitted. The book, with the 1956 copyright note and the 1955 date of Ruppelt's Foreword, made the new edition appear to be the original edition. Only the dust jacket gives any hint that this is the second edition of the previous book.
Of course he couldn’t continue to make a living from books because he died of a heart attack after his first one.

…all the relly good reports were diverted away from Bluebook.
Prove it.

Help me out here guys, what is this called, “the dog ate my homework” fallacy?
 
There's your pseudoscience right there. :D

Dude ... you're making no sense. Simply highlighting something and putting a label on it doesn't make it so. I haven't presented it as "science" or made any "scientific claim". I've simply reported what has been said by military jet pilots who have tried to chase UFOs.

j.r.
 
The chart spans about 5 years ( 1947-1952 ) and takes into account 1,593 of the best cases. By best cases, we mean that for a case to be included in the statistics, it had to pass an initial screening to determine if closer study was warranted. This was typical procedure for all Project Blue Book reports. To quote Edward Ruppelt, "Since June 1947, when the first UFO report had been made, ATIC had analyzed 1,593 UFO reports. About 4,400 had actually been received, but all except 1,593 had been immediately rejected for analysis."
So in the words of the head of Project Blue Book the cases were cherry picked, and don't represent the full number of reports. That's strange, because someone else on another thread has been trying to argue that Blus Book shows that 20% of all UFO reports are unidentified.

This alone indicates a high level of skepticism.
No it doesn't, it represents poor skepticism. Removing two thirds of all cases before you even start is very poor skepticism, and very poor science, unless you're going to at least include them in some statistical way later in the study. Was that done?

Snipped a few paragraphs....

As for the source being Ruppelt, you cannot dismiss him because he was the Head of Bluebook at one time, if anything that makes him more credible. I've also looked the through the actual microfilms of Bluebook documents to see how well the numbers stand up, and even if we add in later years, the number of unknowns is still much higher than the so-called USAF "Fact Sheet". You can find Ruppelt's numbers in his classic book ( not books - he only wrote one and didn't go on to "make a living" at it. ), and you can find the rest of the numbers in the Bluebook archives. It's all too lengthy to post here, but anyone can do it.
All of Blue Book's numbers are irrelevant and misleading if two thirds of all cases were rejected before they even started.

On the other hand, the so-called USAF fact sheet doesn't show an author ( he or she certainly wasn't part of the actual Project ), or where the numbers used came from. If they are even remotely accurate, they had to include every irrellevant trash report that came in in any way shape or form to water down the statistics. This makes sense because there were standing orderes not to disclose any information to the public about UFOs that could not be explained as something natural or manmade, and all the relly good reports were diverted away from Bluebook. So for years after Ruppelt left the statistics just kept getting watered down. The so-called USAF "Fact Sheet" isn't worth the paper it isn't printed on.

j.r.
We know, from Ruppelt's quote, that Blue Book's cases don't represent all reports, and that from the numbers he gives the percentage of objects left in the "unidentified" category for Blue Book should be about 7% (1/3rd of 20%) assuming that all of the pre-rejected cases were either obvious to identify or fall into the "insufficient data" category.

The USAF data gives about 5.5%, so the difference between the two is pretty small.
 
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