Continuation Part 2 - Discussion of the Amanda Knox case

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As to you On topic argument see my post here.
You also appear confused over the reduction in RG's sentence.This is understandable as it has only been explained 627 times on this thread.

I understand this. The effect, however, is in this case very strange. I guess the system works well in other cases, but that's no excuse. The murderer is not made to take full responsibility for his crime. I'm not a believer in life sentences and I believe in rehabilitation, but this puts that to shame too, and it is certainly not true justice for Meredith Kercher. It's a side effect of trying this case separetely and at different paces, IMO. It's no good; it's a deal with the devil.

Yes, maybe people on the innocentisti side is more to blame for the pointing finger, your a crazy cult stuff, but that's no excuse, is it? At least I see London John and Co trying to discuss the case as well. You only seem to watch from the sidelines, making ironic remarks. I'm sorry; I realize this is a bit rude, but that's how I see it. And I'm sure you're a nice person, but what your trying to say is often a bit hard to understand too. But that's probably me not being a native speaker and missing the finer points of eloquence. :)

Now I,ve gone OT with this meta debating again. I'm sorry. I'm guess I'm just as bad as anyone else here. :)
 
Clearly that can't be a sufficient reason not to discuss a topic.

...heh, IMHO, it clearly is. This thread has, what is it, 13,000 replies? The next highest thread on the front page is the nuclear power one, at 2500 replies, followed by a thread about light bulbs (!??!?!?), with 800 replies, then everything else averages out to between 10 and 200 replies from there.

And this is the THIRD thread on this topic. And the only result of all these postings is that those who are convinced of her guilt remain convinced of her guilt, and those who think she is innocent will continue to think of her as innocent. People are entrenched in their views. And no amount of debate from either side will change things.

I know a couple of people have changed their minds: but I mean, seriously. In the rollercoaster that these threads have become, I am but a ripple. And as I mentioned in my last post, real life intervenes.
 
Do you suppose Guede or Raffaele and Amanda made a better impression on that jury?

The final paragraphs of the article by Nathaniel Rich in Rolling Stone may give some discomforting perspective on this question.

Here was a striking contrast. On one side, the airy pomposity of the country lawyers, adding delay upon bureaucratic delay, ensuring that the prisoners will stay in their concrete cells all summer (Italian courts don't meet in August, and often don't return until mid-September). And on the other side, an expression of raw human suffering. Everyone in court — even the tabloid reporters — seemed shaken.

Everyone except the jurors. They looked completely unmoved. It was as if they couldn't understand a single word that Amanda Knox was saying.
 
...and I believe I have answered that question. You've read the motivations report: I have no great disagreement with that.

Now: I understand you believe you've debunked that report, but I do not share that belief.

This suggests only two things to me, either you have not read the report or you are incapable of reading critically and analyzing rationally.

Doesn't the fact that those who translated the report and passionately believe in their guilt don't even attempt to defend the many ludicrous major contentions made in it, or the 'evidence' assembled, on a forum they don't moderate...suggest...something to you?

At any rate the Motivations Report is not evidence. It is a post-hoc rationalization for a verdict. What I asked about was evidence that Raffaele and Amanda were involved in the murder. That means you take some of the evidence presented in Massei out and expose it to scrutiny.

For example. What do you think about the contention that Meredith Kercher ate at 6:00-6:30 and then died at 11:40 having passed absolutely nothing from her stomach to her duodenum?

So we could do the whole sing and dance where we spend four or five pages dancing around the same debating points over and over, or you could acknowledge that I've looked at some of the same facts as you have and come to a completely different conclusion, and move on.

I have no reason to believe you have looked at any facts, outside reading the Cartwheels thread where many ludicrous propositions like that 'confession/accusation' was a rational reason for a police force to arrest two people they had no evidence against, mainly because they did so and a number of people with many posts on a skeptics forum that had no idea what they were talking about agreed they must have and ridiculed those who know better.

I remain unimpressed with this line of reasoning.


I'd love to enter into a debate, but as I mentioned, I'm retired. ;) I am also tired, got many, many issues looming in my personal life, and every minute posting to this thread means I spend less time working on my business plan, figuring out ways for me to earn a living next month, help out my friend who is having a horrible time right now, and getting my affairs in order. I've just got to much to do at the moment and not enough time. But as I said to Mary_H, don't stop fighting for what you believe in, just don't fight me. :)

No need to fight, BB! :)

I 'retired' too, this debate brought me back to posting on subjects more serious than TV shows and movies, it is possible you will never see its like again. It's not just about Raffaele and Amanda being innocent, that's actually relatively easy to determine from an examination of the facts. What is more fascinating is how those who might otherwise have been considered rational ever believed it was possible they were guilty and can maintain it to this day. My instincts failed me initially just as yours did, as this is an issue where on the outset it would seem things were the other way around, however go to those two sites I linked and see if you can tell who is offering facts, and who's offering nothing but spin.

;)
 
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...I've posted, what, three times in this thread? I must have left a big impression on you in order for you to decide to insult me like this. I don't know the other posters from Adam.

I don't think I've been unfair with anything I've said. I've stated before that I believe that Amanda Knox is guilty, but that is entirely based on the way I read the evidence that is in the public domain. I understand where you are coming from: and sometimes I will read something and go..."huh." If Amanda was found not guilty, I would not be upset or surprised.

The big problem I have is I'm a big believer in evidence. And we can't critically examine the evidence in this case in this thread. Its impossible.

This thread moves much to rapidly for people to stop and take a breath. Cites are clouded with either a "pro-guilt" or "pro-innocent" bias. Links are old, no longer working or in another language. I can't trust what is posted at PMF or the Injustice site because everything is put through the "filter" of the people who are running the site. I don't know what has been missed out, added or omitted. You can't even trust the news: look at the "Sky News" events that have happened over the last couple of days. And everybody is too emotionally involved: and everybody has already made up their minds.

(I wrote all of this before Mary_H's latest post: I will let the post stand as it is, but appreciate the clarification made by Mary_H below)

These are all fair comments. It is entirely fair for you to call out The Central Scrutinizer for his behaviour in this thread: what I personally took umbrage at was the accusation that he was not a skeptic. I think its fine that you just take part in this thread, and your clarification have added perspective to me. :) I disagree with your position on this case. I do, however, admire you passion and conviction. Never stop fighting for what you believe in.

Thank you, banquetbear; I appreciate the encouragement. I apologize for lumping you in with the Three Stooges. It was a matter of timing -- you suddenly came on the scene a day after a couple of them suddenly came on the scene. I wrongly assumed it was no coincidence.
 
...heh, IMHO, it clearly is. This thread has, what is it, 13,000 replies? The next highest thread on the front page is the nuclear power one, at 2500 replies, followed by a thread about light bulbs (!??!?!?), with 800 replies, then everything else averages out to between 10 and 200 replies from there.

And this is the THIRD thread on this topic. And the only result of all these postings is that those who are convinced of her guilt remain convinced of her guilt, and those who think she is innocent will continue to think of her as innocent. People are entrenched in their views. And no amount of debate from either side will change things.

I know a couple of people have changed their minds: but I mean, seriously. In the rollercoaster that these threads have become, I am but a ripple. And as I mentioned in my last post, real life intervenes.

We're actually not discussing things exactly the same way over and over. A lot of knowledge has been gained. The very fact that most of the guilters who used to post here are no longer posting here is a sign that things have changed.
 
We're actually not discussing things exactly the same way over and over. A lot of knowledge has been gained. The very fact that most of the guilters who used to post here are no longer posting here is a sign that things have changed.

Of course to some it simply indicates we must be a bunch of meanies who deserved to be punished!

:p
 
...heh, IMHO, it clearly is. This thread has, what is it, 13,000 replies? The next highest thread on the front page is the nuclear power one, at 2500 replies, followed by a thread about light bulbs (!??!?!?), with 800 replies, then everything else averages out to between 10 and 200 replies from there.

And this is the THIRD thread on this topic. And the only result of all these postings is that those who are convinced of her guilt remain convinced of her guilt, and those who think she is innocent will continue to think of her as innocent. People are entrenched in their views. And no amount of debate from either side will change things.

I know a couple of people have changed their minds: but I mean, seriously. In the rollercoaster that these threads have become, I am but a ripple. And as I mentioned in my last post, real life intervenes.

A lot of the thread has been about the evidence, unfortunately that tends to get sidetracked by people jumping in with declarations of guilt, and when they get asked to explain why they believe that the pair are indeed guilty, they resort to hand waving, evasion, or claims of "but the court said they were guilty, so they must be."

Personally I'm still on the fence, which by default places me in the "Not Guilty" camp, because I have yet to see solid evidence that proves to me that they are guilty beyond all reasonable doubts. I don't think that the tales of Mignini, or those of Massei, are at all logical or compelling, and for me, not having a narrative and timeline of the events that actually makes sense, but rather than having to take giant leaps of faith and added wild speculation to try and make it sound actually feasible, just isn't enough to declare guilt beyond reasonable doubt.

Let's go for an example. I know Platonov hates it, but the Time of Death is the one that does keep coming back.

Three experts testified to Time of Death based on the lack of content in the Duodenum of the victim. Two, including the person who conducted the autopsy, stated that death had to have been between 2 and 3 hours after starting to eat, the third say it could be up to 4 hours after beginning to eat. That was the evidence before the court 2 to perhaps 4 hours from the start of the meal at a stretch.

The court also heard witnesses who were with Meredith when she last ate, and they put the start of the meal between 5:30pm at the earliest, and 6:30pm at the latest, two of the three agreeing that they started eating between 6pm and 6:30pm.

All three of these witnesses also agreed that they watched a movie, starting it after they had eaten the pizza and that they stopped it to prepare and eat an apple crumble about halfway through.

They also all agree that Meredith left at 8:45pm as soon as the movie finished.

These again are the facts as they were put before the court by the witnesses. To disagree with these facts means that either the experts are wrong (they aren't, their claims are consistent with the literature, more so the 2-3 hours claim than the 4, but let's leave that for now) or you have to accept that the witnesses to Meredith's last actions are all lying since they are in agreement with each other in most things (there is a minor discrepancy to the starting time of the meal but again it's not a huge thing.)

So... If the facts themselves are correct, and there is no reason to not believe them, and they are reported correctly in Massei's report, here's the stunner of a question, how can Massei claim that the time of death was 11:40pm?

Mathematically it simply can't work. Even if we accept the 4 hours max, then that would mean she couldn't have started her meal until 7:40pm, yet all three witnesses claim that they all ate before the movie. We know that the movie (The Notebook) is almost exactly two hours long. If they ate the pizza and then watched the movie and Meredith didn't start eating until 7:40pm, then she couldn't have left until at least 9:40pm, an hour after her friends all claim she left. As such, for Massei and the Experts to be correct, Meredith's friends must be lying. For Massei and Meredith's friends to be correct, the Experts and the scientific literature must be wrong.

So what if Massei is wrong?

If we take the friend's claim that the movie finished at 8:45pm and that they stopped it to make their dessert mid way through, then a movie starting time of around 6:30pm makes a lot of sense (giving them about 15 minutes to prepare and consume the apple crumble before re-starting the movie) and it would line up perfectly with their claims that the pizza was eaten between 6pm and 6:30pm with them then starting the movie right after. This all works, the friends' claims are consistent.

We know that Meredith was alive at 8:50pm when she was last seen, so we know that she was at the rare end of the time scale anyway, but let's give the 4 hour the benefit of the doubt. This would mean that 10:30pm would be the limit of when Meredith could have been alive. I know some want to claim that she was help prisoner in terror and panic for at least an hour to account for this major discrepancy, but unfortunately there is exactly zero evidence for her being so held, no ligature marks of any kind to indicate she was restrained, nothing. Such claims are pure speculation to get the timing to fit when quite blatantly doesn't.

What other evidence is there for an earlier time of death?

The sole proven witness to the murder who has given details of it says that Meredith was killed between 9:20pm and 9:30pm. True, he's a chronic lair, so why believe that part of his mostly fictional tale? Because he seems to have seeded it with the truth to account for any evidence that might be found against him. RG claims that Meredith screamed loud enough to be heard on the street, I suspect that he said this to make sure that if a witness had actually heard the scream and came forward, he'd be covered. It also seems unlikely that he'd include a time of death if it wasn't close to true as at the time he didn't know what the police had discovered.

There is also no evidence of activity by Meredith inside the cottage once she returned home. She failed to ring her mother which she always did, she didn't change, didn't even take off her jacket. The book she had borrowed was still in her bag, there was no heater on, despite it being cold that night, and the washing she put on before leaving was still in the machine. If Massei and Mignini are correct, what did Meredith do for those two and a half hours between arriving home and being killed? They claim she lounged about on her bed (without getting changed) reading a book that ended up back in her bag, and playing with her phones, though not re-ringing her ill mother like she always did. Does this make sense to you? It sure doesn't make sense to me.

So why does Mignini claim the ToD was 11:30pm and Massei claim it was 11:40pm? The simple answer is to account for two witnesses, one who claims to have seen RS and AK outside the cottage until around 11:30pm and the other who claims to have heard a scream and two pairs of running feet at about 11pm to 11:30pm.

The first of these has been re-questioned at the appeal and ended up being thoroughly discredited, stating firmly that the night he saw AK and RS people were in masks and that the Disco buses were running. He also admitted to being high on Heroin that night (quite obviously the night of Halloween, not the murder.) He had also claimed not to see anything when asked by police in the days right after the murder. The second witnesses claims are rather dodgy as well since she didn't come forward until late in the piece, she can't conclusively identify the night, the time, or who and what she actually heard, as well as tests seeming to confirm that she couldn't have heard what she claims anyway (further testing by the defence to be absolutely sure of that was denied during the first trial.)

So if both those witnesses are discredited, what's to stop an earlier time of death? Apparently nothing as the court in RG's trial determined that the time of death was before 10:30pm.

So what does it all mean?

The evidence points towards a ToD certainly before 10:30pm, most likely before 9:30pm, and yet Massei rejects the evidence of his own court and selects 11:40pm which was even later than the prosecution was arguing.

So why should anyone accept Massei's opinion over that of the evidence? Why should they believe Massei, who wasn't there, about the meal start time over Meredith's friends who were, and why should they believe Massei about the time taken for food to move into the Duodenum against the three experts who testified and all the scientific literature?

And if Massei and Mignini got the time of death so horribly wrong in spite of having all the evidence laid out for them at the trial, how can we possibly trust anything else they say?
 
I have watched several times (well, really more listened to) the video of Rudy's appearance in court but haven't been able to adequately identify all the voices, persons and conversation during the letter introduction and subsequent reading by Mignini.

The above starts sometime around 9:00 minutes or so and ends around 20:00 minutes or so with Mignini reading the letter. I believe I hear the voices of Rudy, Mignini, a female attorney (Rudy's?), Judge Hellmann(?), Rudy being shown the letter and identifying it (?) and is the woman(?) stepping down to peruse said letter Bongiorno?

There is much conversation/procedural arguments which appear to be riveting, however, there is some conversation I cannot understand during the 10 minute or so time frame and some identification of who is addressing the court.

http://www.umbria24.it/meredith-rudy-accusa-amanda-e-raffaele-ecco-il-video-integrale/47972.html

Did you get the impression that there was a successful contrast between Guede and Amanda in this case? Guede, perhaps, couldn't even read a letter he wrote in his own language and Amanda who was fluent in her second language (Italian)?

Perhaps the effort was to contrast Amanda with Guede. Do you think that was successful? A side by side comparison of the accused may have helped the defense. Maybe the defense team isn't so dumb....
 
Justinian2,

This is a case in which a putative semen stain was not tested and in which the owner of a store in which a defendant bought ordinary (if slightly pricey) undergarments was called as a witness. Personally I think it would have made more sense to skip the owner's testimony and spend the extra time on the stain, but maybe I am just being a contrarian.

I think the clean up with bleach falls into the same category.

The final paragraphs of the article by Nathaniel Rich in Rolling Stone may give some discomforting perspective on this question.

Here was a striking contrast. On one side, the airy pomposity of the country lawyers, adding delay upon bureaucratic delay, ensuring that the prisoners will stay in their concrete cells all summer (Italian courts don't meet in August, and often don't return until mid-September). And on the other side, an expression of raw human suffering. Everyone in court — even the tabloid reporters — seemed shaken.

Everyone except the jurors. They looked completely unmoved. It was as if they couldn't understand a single word that Amanda Knox was saying.

I had to plead guilty to a traffic infraction that I didn't do (going through a red light) before leaving New York State to return home. It's the way they reduce speeding violations in NY - get someone to confess to a crime they didn't do (I was caught in a speeding trap at the base of a large hill at one AM).

Before my issue was heard, I spent two hours watching people wearing handcuffs and orange suits paraded in front of the judge for the crimes of DWI, stealing $13 dollars from a variety store, and domestic abuses that were nothing but arguments over the girlfriend's use of her prescription medication.

I looked at the pain of the defendants and the indifference/callousness of the government employees that were punishing them. The thought crossed my mind that maybe the 'good guys' weren't the goodie-goodies working for government. The audacious self righteousness of the judge, police and other employees of wonderful government made me question my old ideas of right and wrong, good and bad.
 
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You ask a lot of questions.

Yes, I do.

You don't have to answer them if you feel you're unable to do so. Just wanted to point out that it's clear they're innocent, but I get it that some guilters may have some hard times trying to admit it, so let's just take little steps.

These questions that I brought suggest that there is a huge doubt about their guilt and I can't see them being convicted again.
 
a challenge to the pro-guilters, should there be any left

Rudy Guede’s testimony on Monday was so strongly favorable to Amanda Knox’s defense that I am surprised today to find a single pro-guilt post on this or any other blog.

Rudy Guede’s testimony allows a choice between only three meaningful implications:
1) Guede is telling the truth. He was there, not involved in the crime, and he knows Knox/Sollecito are complicit in the murder.
2) Guede is lying. He was there, he was involved in the crime, and he knows Knox/Sollecito are not complicit in the murder.
3) Guede is lying. He was there, he participated in the murder alongside of Knox/Sollecito.

I challenge the pro-guilt community to defend either 1 or 3, or come up with another implication worth discussing.

To avoid accepting #2 you must show Guede’s tale to be true (good luck) or explain why Guede needed to lie, knowing full well that the truth would surely convict Knox/Sollecito, if of course Knox/Sollecito really had a hand in the killing, and most certainly redound to Guede’s great benefit.

Silence = capitulation.

Welcome to the innocenti all ye pmf’ers.
 
I had to plead guilty to a traffic infraction that I didn't do (going through a red light) before leaving New York State to return home. It's the way they reduce speeding violations in NY - get someone to confess to a crime they didn't do (I was caught in a speeding trap at the base of a large hill at one AM).


Justinian, I understand from experience exactly what you are going through. You have to get over it and get on with your life. These laws were created by politicians who for the most part don't understand the concept of an honest person. One set of laws specify the penalties for various infractions and another set of laws allows for plea bargains to a lesser offense. They can't just find you guilty of the actual offense and wave half the penalty because that isn't what the law says.

Honesty is a concept thet the guilters probably don't understand either. Would they correct the cashier that gave back too much change? If they stepped into a shuttle bus and spotted an overstuffed wallet lost in a crack, would they immediately report it to the driver? This world rarely rewards honesty. That's probably why they say honesty is it's own reward.

There is something about both Amanda Knox and Raffaele Sollecito that causes me believe they are honest people too. It's a shame that they had to get entangled with that nest of dishonesty in Italian law enforcement. I really hope they are strengthened by this experience and not broken.
 
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I'm mortally wounded I wasn't included in this conspiracy of aggravation.;)

Did you want to be Beavis or Butthead? I think the 'conspiracy' was expanded to include Larry, Moe and Curley if that's more to your liking...

:p

Seriously though, you once claimed you'd read two books on the case, being as that was the Cartwheels thread my guess is those musta been "Darkness Descending" and "Angel Face." Thus you must have some basic knowledge of the case.

So what is it--specifically--that suggests to you that Amanda and Raffaele had anything to do with the murder of Meredith Kercher? Forget the cops, forget the courts, forget what anyone else thinks, what evidence convinced you they had to have played a role in the murder?
 
Justinian, I understand from experience exactly what you are going through. You have to get over it and get on with your life. These laws were created by politicians who for the most part don't understand the concept of an honest person. One set of laws specify the penalties for various infractions and another set of laws allows for plea bargains to a lesser offense. They can't just find you guilty of the actual offense and wave half the penalty because that isn't what the law says.

Honesty is a concept thet the guilters probably don't understand either. Would they correct the cashier that gave back too much change? If they stepped into a shuttle bus and spotted an overstuffed wallet lost in a crack, would they immediately report it to the driver? This world rarely rewards honesty. That's probably why they say honesty is it's own reward.

There is something about both Amanda Knox and Raffaele Sollecito that causes me believe they are honest people too. It's a shame that they had to get entangled with that nest of dishonesty in Italian law enforcement. I really hope they are strengthened by this experience and not broken.

I agree Dan O Amanda Raffaele and their families are honest honourable people and faith has dealt them a terrible hand,I hope that in time that all of those involved in this case from the prosecution side in Perugia will eventually face the derision of their own community when they find the name of there city is forever tarnished by this framing of two innocent honourable people,I read a post after an article yesterday from a man who claims to have being in Perugia lots of times who says he teaches foreign students in Italy according to him there are now 12000 fewer students in the university for foreigners in Perugia than before Meredith was murdered and Amanda and Raffaele were framed,what sensible parents would not use the Internet or other means to check out the destination their children were interested in moving too to attend university, and that they will turn away in huge numbers from the city with the most corrupt the most incompetent police force in Europe,foreign students is huge business in Italy as is tourism,I think every article every news report on this case is making people somewhere change their minds about visiting this police state and look at some of the alternatives
 
Rudy Guede’s testimony on Monday was so strongly favorable to Amanda Knox’s defense that I am surprised today to find a single pro-guilt post on this or any other blog.

Rudy Guede’s testimony allows a choice between only three meaningful implications:
1) Guede is telling the truth. He was there, not involved in the crime, and he knows Knox/Sollecito are complicit in the murder.
2) Guede is lying. He was there, he was involved in the crime, and he knows Knox/Sollecito are not complicit in the murder.
3) Guede is lying. He was there, he participated in the murder alongside of Knox/Sollecito.

I challenge the pro-guilt community to defend either 1 or 3, or come up with another implication worth discussing.

To avoid accepting #2 you must show Guede’s tale to be true (good luck) or explain why Guede needed to lie, knowing full well that the truth would surely convict Knox/Sollecito, if of course Knox/Sollecito really had a hand in the killing, and most certainly redound to Guede’s great benefit.

Silence = capitulation.

Welcome to the innocenti all ye pmf’ers.

Your argument is similar to that of LJ. If one were to look at this from the standpoint of reason and logic, the conclusion is the defense may have benefited ever so slightly from all this theater with the convicts.

Personally, I am reminded of how the court viewed the defense expert presenting the reconstruction of the rock thrown from the outside breaking the window. It doesn't matter to the court that the man just proved the defense theory and no proof was presented of the prosecution's fantasy. The expert was made to look silly in court so his arguments are ignored and the prosecution's case is given even more credibility.

I also see three choices here with the understanding that the court's perception is what is important and in the context of the court's reasoning it has to be considered the reality of the situation.

1. The defense team came out of this looking like complete idiots.
2. There has been no change to the court's opinion on Guede and Amanda's and Raffaele's involvement and all of this with the lying liars in prison was just a big waste of time.
3. There has been a change in the court's opinion on Guede and Amanda's and Raffaele's involvement and all of this with the lying liars in prison was just a big mistake on the part of the defense team.
 
Rose what do you make of the breaking news that Amanda Knox's DNA is not on the knife

Kevad has posted that it is being leaked from the DNA independent review

It makes me wonder what the real reason the bra clasp had to be destroyed to prevent it being retested was
 
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