Also, Rolfe it might amuse you to know that back in 2009 Stilicho was happily arguing that the JREF forumites must all be wrong because you personally had not weighed in on the autopsy evidence.
Link, search for "Rolfe".
Oh well. So much for that argument. I wonder if Stilicho's professed respect for your professional opinion actually extends to respecting it? As opposed to ignoring it completely when it conflicts with his pre-existing views, I mean, which is what he currently seems to be doing.
Actually, one reason this confused me a bit was that as well as that approach from Stilicho I also had a couple of approaches from people on the innocence side, asking me to get involved. While Stilicho seems to have been impressed by my takedowns of our homoeopathic friends, these approaches were prompted by my work on the Pan Am 103 case.
As with Stilicho, I pleaded lack of time, and also that the Pan Am 103 case was unusual in that there simply wasn't a shred of evidence that the convicted man had had anything to do with it. While as I saw it the Amanda Knox case had reasonable advocates on both sides, and an ongoing judicial process which should presumably sort matters out.
The case was made to me that in fact the Knox case wasn't evenly balanced, but was again a situation of there being pretty much no credible evidence for guilt, but (as with Megrahi) there had been a lot of peripheral blackening of the accused's character and indeed monstering of her, to make it credible to pin the crime on her. I was linked to a couple of web pages making a decent case for this interpretation, but again I imagined there must be another side to the story (Fiona again....)
A lot has been said about the complexities of the Kercher murder case, and several people have refused to re-state their arguments on this account, or even said it's impossible to give a simple outline of the case for guilt because of this. This rung alarm bells for me.
The Lockerbie case is as complicated as it gets. However, once one has examined the detail, it is indeed possible to encapsulate it quite simply. Megrahi did not buy the clothes (in the bomb suitcase) from Tony Gauci, and there is no evidence at all that the bomb travelled on flight KM180, or was even within a thousand miles of the island of Malta. That's it. You can argue details if you like, but unless you can make Megrahi the clothes purchaser
and place the bomb suitcase on that flight, you have no case. (It's amazing the lengths some people will go to to avoid discussing these issues.)
With my relatively limited grasp of the details of the Knox case, I have a similar simplistic take, which I already explained.
Fact: Meredith had recognisable semi-digested pieces of pizza in her stomach at
post mortem, and her duodenum was empty.
Fact: Meredith ate her last meal somewhere around 6 to 6.30pm.
Fact: There does not appear to be a credible scenario which allows Knox (or Sollecito) to participate in a murder that occurred soon after nine o'clock.
Now you can argue about time stamps and DNA and mobile phones till you're blue in the face, but unless you can shift one of these facts, you're screwed.
It may be that these facts are not as immutable as they appear, which would give
a priori reason to doubt the syllogism. But so far I'm not seeing it. Or, possibly, there is compelling evidence from elsewhere that at least one of these facts
must be wrong, at which point you have to try again to see if you can find the weak point.
But it's not happening. The evidence relating to the time of death seems solid. So what's happening? People are trying to reach and stretch to place either Amanda or Raffaele at the scene of the crime at the earlier time. But why? Where is the evidence that demands that their albis
must have a hole in them?
I'm not seeing it. They can't even sustain the argument that Amanda was even in the room at the time of the murder (so much for her striking the fatal blow with the knife she was carrying). None of this makes any sense. There's no
reason to try to break these alibis, because there's no strong evidence that places either of them at the scene of the crime.
I imagine they'll argue a lot more in court, just as they argued about the timer fragment and the manual page and the computer printout and the mysterious brown suitcase and who Megrahi knew and who he was related to and so on. But just as you can't make a case against him if he didn't buy these damn clothes, you can't make a case against Knox or Sollecito unless you can get them at the scene at the time the crime actually happened. And you need POSITIVE reason for this, not just a hole in their activity when they
could have been there. You need some evidence they
were there.
So does anyone have any?
Rolfe.