Rolfe - Instead of blindly believing everything your pro innocent Foaker crowd says, do a little research yourself and come up with your own conclusion. Yes, for the most part, they are telling the truth, but they are leaving out important aspects, they know about them, they researched them, but these aspects don't jive with what they are saying so they omit them. That deceitful and very telling.
That isn't very nice!
Just because many here don't accept your tortured-for-hours-without-evidence-for-it theory doesn't mean they're being
dishonest. Simply because someone can think up a theoretically
possible way it could have been a ToD of 11:40 doesn't mean that becomes a fact without anything to support it other than the imagination of the 'theorist.' That may well be common on other boards, which might well be why it's so easy for them to descend into delusion.
Going on the kind of 'evidence' those boards prefer, there is more reason to think a member of the
Polizia di Stata committed this crime than Raffaele and Amanda. Or for that matter that Meredith died at 11:40.
Think about it.
Search TOD and stomach contents, and not just one site, see what most are saying, and when they state that stomach contents are not reliable in determining TOD, find out why.
Stomach contents are
uniquely valuable in this case simply because of two conditions: we know just about when the meal was started, and nothing had passed to the duodenum. Being as the the meal started about 6:30 to be generous in the direction of guilt, by 9:30 there is only a small percentage chance that Meredith hadn't been stabbed already. That happens to be the earliest Raffaele and Amanda could have gotten there had they put Naruto in and raced like demons to the cottage and stabbed Meredith...for no reason at all.
Most cases aren't going to be like this one, Sherlock. This is just one of the ones it which stomach contents can determine the probability that Meredith was stabbed starting at about 8:56. That time correlates with her arriving home not having done anything, Rudy by his own admission already being there, her interrupted call attempt to her mother, and happens to be the
most likely time she was stabbed according to the fact she still hadn't passed anything to her duodenum. The curve is kinda like a ski slope from there, by the time it gets to 9:30, the absolute earliest Amanda and Raffaele could have gotten there, you're at the bottom of the slope all leveled off and gliding for a little while longer just above 0%. Going almost 2.5 hours with everything in the stomach is unusual, but nothing like over 3.5 hours.
Sherlock, no matter what time Meredith started eating, the
most likely time she was stabbed was right around 9:00. It's all downhill from there, and it's a quick journey to the bottom, even if she started as late as 7:00 which is suggested by none of the witnesses, and might have simply have been an error on Itrona's part. LondonJohn put it like this for a start time of 6:30
recently:
"Given that we know Meredith started her last meal at around 6.30pm, and GIVEN THAT WE KNOW SHE DID NOT DIE BEFORE 9.00PM, what are the relative probabilities now? They are as follows:
a) Prob that she died between 6.30pm and 9.00pm: 0%
b) Prob that she died between 9.00pm and 10.00pm: 96% (approx)
c) Prob that she died between 10.00pm and 11.00pm: 3.4% (approx)
d) Prob that she died later than 11.00pm: 0.6% (approx)"
Hint - look for what can slow down or stop digestion all together and see if it fits in with this case.
I've said for quite a while, stomach contents will probally show us when the attack stated, but not when it ended.
Then why are you arguing it anymore? The Massei theories are
dead now. No one is going to argue a 11:40 ToD, not even Mignini wanted to, he had to in order to incorporate Curatolo's testimony, that's a done issue. The whole point of the argument before was that 11:40 was simply fantasy, and being as there's no evidence of your extended torture theory, it remained basically impossible.
What's actually dishonest is looking solely for ways it was
possible Raffaele and Amanda did it, without looking at the ways it is
likely that they didn't. It is
likely they couldn't even have been there. It is
likely they couldn't have been in that murder room leaving no traces of their being there. It is
likely that if all three of them conspired together with a grand total of six days of cuddling and one introduction between all three of them that they'd have squealed each other out long ago. It is
likely that if you catch a known burglar and have a break-in there was no staging.
It is
extremely unlikely that a police force that arrested three people on no legitimate evidence but mistakes and misunderstandings happened upon a bizarre conspiracy basically unique in the history of human behavior.