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American astrologer Predicted Japan Earthquake

ynot said:
A specific earthquake claim provides a specific place, magnitue and date. White provides absolutely none of these. Astro T’s statement that White has provided a single specific claim is therefore totally incorrect regardless of how many “hits” he gets from his lolly scramble offering.
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I'm being extremely flexible and accommodating about what classes as specific on purpose. I have no doubt that even being so the results will be less than impressive.

What's notable about Astro Teacher's last few posts is that he obviously believes that my generous approach is insufficient to claim enough hits to make White's predictions seem impressive and, in fact, derides me for being a "false skeptic", not counting quakes which should have been counted, and for making "stupid comments". He is the person who purportedly believes in White's powers but he himself is saying that in order to make White's predictions seem significant you have to include earthquakes which happened on dates that White didn't predict earthquakes would happen on, and ones which happened in places White also didn't predict.
 
Pixel42 said:
This has been explained to Astro Teacher several times by several different people but he seems incapable of grasping it. Either he is one of those unfortunate people who can't understand simple maths no matter how clearly it is explained to them or he is deliberately closing his mind to the explanation so that he can maintain his irrational beliefs. In either case there seems little point in explaining it to him again.
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The only thing irrational are your words Pixel. It is your mind that is closed. And, you keep calling me a he. I am a she. But that didn't stop you from assuming otherwise now did it darling?:p
 
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Laton said:
He predicted earthquakes along the ring of fire http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pacific_Ring_of_Fire



Emphasis mine.

Predicting an earthquake there is about as impressive as predicting a car crash on a freeway.
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Wrong. Don't you just love it when everything you thought you were so right about turns out to be so very wrong?

But then again, we're not perfect now are we Laton?

Emile Okal: Scientists Did Not Expect 9.0 Mag. Earthquake in Japan:

"The March 11 undersea earthquake off the coast of Japan– which ultimately measured 9.0 on the Richter scale– was a more powerful earthquake than expected for that region, according to geophysicists.

That is why the Sendai area of Japan, near the earthquake’s epicenter, was not prepared for such a large quake and the subsequent tsunami. EarthSky’s Beth Lebwohl spoke to Emile Okal of Northwestern University in Evanston, Illinois. He is an expert in large earthquakes and their tsunamis.

He said:

Essentially, the feeling was that– if you had a very, very old ocean floor– when it was eventually recycled into the mantle of the Earth, you wouldn’t get these mega-earthquakes.

In other words, although it’s true the March 11 quake happened along the Ring of Fire around the Pacific Ocean, where earthquakes are common, such a large quake had not been anticipated.

The March 11 quake happened in a place where Earth’s crust is very old– 140 million years old according to scientists’ reckoning. Old crust is cooler and denser than younger crust. The older crust in this region was believed by geophysicists to dive more smoothly beneath the land plate that carries northern Japan."
 
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Astro Teacher said:
The only thing irrational are your words Pixel. It is your mind that is closed. And, you keep calling me a he. I am a she. But that didn't stop you from assuming otherwise now did it darling?:p
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No I know that you know that you've lost the argument. Any news about a specific prediction,i.e. not betting on every horse in the race?
 
Astro Teacher, do you understand the explanation as to why no one is impressed by the prediction you claim was made?
 
I'm gonna go ahead and try this, Astro, that guy makes it looks so easy.

If this prediction doesn't come true, I can't be blamed, because then it should be considered a joke. If it does, however, it proves that I am psychic.

Before the end of May, there will be another major earthquake on the ring of fire, possibly an aftershock in Japan, but also possibly in other areas of Asia, the Americas and perhaps Oceania.

It will be between 6,0 and 8,0 on the Richter scale, even though we don't even use that scale anymore. It will occur on a date that is prime, or evenly divisible by 2, 3 or 5.

It may happen more than once. It will damage people and/or property.

Do you agree that if these criteria are fulfilled, then I'm psychic?
 
Limbero said:
I'm gonna go ahead and try this, Astro, that guy makes it looks so easy.

If this prediction doesn't come true, I can't be blamed, because then it should be considered a joke. If it does, however, it proves that I am psychic.

Before the end of May, there will be another major earthquake on the ring of fire, possibly an aftershock in Japan, but also possibly in other areas of Asia, the Americas and perhaps Oceania.

It will be between 6,0 and 8,0 on the Richter scale, even though we don't even use that scale anymore. It will occur on a date that is prime, or evenly divisible by 2, 3 or 5.

It may happen more than once. It will damage people and/or property.

Do you agree that if these criteria are fulfilled, then I'm psychic?
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I was thinking of posting a scatter gun prediction of major bush fires in Australia next summer. One of them would happen. Would I be psychic too?
 
Astro Teacher said:
The only thing irrational are your words Pixel. It is your mind that is closed. And, you keep calling me a he. I am a she. But that didn't stop you from assuming otherwise now did it darling?:p
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[FONT=Verdana, sans-serif]You have very week argument if the best reposnse is to rubbish a whole post as being irrational just because it contains a gender mistake. I (and I thnk others) have also called you a “he” in this thread. That you haven't corrected this mistake before is ample justification to have assumed you were not a “she”.[/FONT]


[FONT=Verdana, sans-serif]Still claiming White has "accurately" predicted a 6-6 or higher quake somewhere in California on some day this month? Great that you were able to give a single month but a month isn't being very specific.[/FONT]
 
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Astro Teacher said:
Wrong. Don't you just love it when everything you thought you were so right about turns out to be so very wrong?

But then again, we're not perfect now are we Laton?

Emile Okal: Scientists Did Not Expect 9.0 Mag. Earthquake in Japan:

"The March 11 undersea earthquake off the coast of Japan– which ultimately measured 9.0 on the Richter scale– was a more powerful earthquake than expected for that region, according to geophysicists.

That is why the Sendai area of Japan, near the earthquake’s epicenter, was not prepared for such a large quake and the subsequent tsunami. EarthSky’s Beth Lebwohl spoke to Emile Okal of Northwestern University in Evanston, Illinois. He is an expert in large earthquakes and their tsunamis.

He said:

Essentially, the feeling was that– if you had a very, very old ocean floor– when it was eventually recycled into the mantle of the Earth, you wouldn’t get these mega-earthquakes.

In other words, although it’s true the March 11 quake happened along the Ring of Fire around the Pacific Ocean, where earthquakes are common, such a large quake had not been anticipated.

The March 11 quake happened in a place where Earth’s crust is very old– 140 million years old according to scientists’ reckoning. Old crust is cooler and denser than younger crust. The older crust in this region was believed by geophysicists to dive more smoothly beneath the land plate that carries northern Japan."
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Wonder why White's "prediction" didn't say there would be an 9 earthquake off Japan in an area where it wasn't expected then?

ETA - Oh sorry! I forgot in your mind he did say exactly that.
 
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dafydd said:
I was thinking of posting a scatter gun prediction of major bush fires in Australia next summer. One of them would happen. Would I be psychic too?
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Well of course, you're going out on a limb here, I'm even going to go ahead and say you're a magician if that proves to be an accurate prediction.
 
Limbero said:
Well of course, you're going out on a limb here, I'm even going to go ahead and say you're a magician if that proves to be an accurate prediction.
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All would I have to do is compile a list of cities and towns where such fires occur. I would give myself a margin of error in the dates. Don't forget that I would be making an astrological prediction so a minor fire would count as a fire. Failing that I would send my mate in Perth out with a box of matches.
 
dafydd said:
All would I have to do is compile a list of cities and towns where such fires occur. I would give myself a margin of error in the dates. Don't forget that I would be making an astrological prediction so a minor fire would count as a fire. Failing that I would send my mate in Perth out with a box of matches.
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I'd say Australia is specific enough. And if you mean the Australian summer months by summer, there's no need to specify any more.
 
Astro Teacher said:
Wrong. Don't you just love it when everything you thought you were so right about turns out to be so very wrong?

But then again, we're not perfect now are we Laton?
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Ahh, the arrogance of the uninformed is a wondrous thing to behold, cupcake you really need learn to read for comprehension - I was commenting on the scatter-gun approach that your chart-gazing buddy was using.
 
Limbero said:
I'd say Australia is specific enough. And if you mean the Australian summer months by summer, there's no need to specify any more.
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Plus if you look at some of the bushfire monitoring systems like Sentinel you'll find major fires burning somewhere in Australia at most times of the year. Win-win situation :D
 
dafydd said:
All would I have to do is compile a list of cities and towns where such fires occur. I would give myself a margin of error in the dates. Don't forget that I would be making an astrological prediction so a minor fire would count as a fire. Failing that I would send my mate in Perth out with a box of matches.
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Okay, note this for posterity:

"I, the great Eager (perhaps I should capitalise the G in "great") predict that in Sydney in the month of January 2012 there will be a bushfire in an adjacent national park that will threaten houses."

Stick that in your astral passage...
 
Laton said:
Plus if you look at some of the bushfire monitoring systems like Sentinel you'll find major fires burning somewhere in Australia at most times of the year. Win-win situation :D
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Just like forecasting earthquakes using the astrological bet on every horse in the-race system.
 
Astro Teacher said:
The only thing irrational are your words Pixel.
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I have a degree in Mathematics and have a good understanding of maths in general and probability in particular. The explanations I and others have given you can be found in any maths textbook. So is every mathematician in the world irrational?

It is your mind that is closed.
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Closed to what? Nonsensical claims? Only after I've proved them to be nonsensical.

And, you keep calling me a he. I am a she. But that didn't stop you from assuming otherwise now did it darling?
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Apologies. I am also a she, and also find it a little annoying when people online assume otherwise (as they nearly always do).

Please don't call me darling, I'm not a lesbian.
 
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