JohnG
Pedantic Bore
Reliability predictions showed that two space shuttles would crash with the given number of missions implying only that engineers have a handle on predicting failure rates.
I'm saying the lunar landers were new and untried. They were in the high failure rate zone of new products (the steep part of the bathtub curve). They were likely to fail far from home. If they succeeded, then they were the most successful space product ever made - considering the complexity and lack of testing at 1/6 gravity in a vacuum with harsh temperature changes.
Sorry, just want to double-check something; you are the same guy who points to your ineptitude at playing an ancient computer game as evidence that the moon landings were faked, right? Fair enough, I've always maintained that my low "Pong" scores totally disprove Newton's Laws of Motion.