Rolfe
Adult human female
Because it is very very unlikely. There are over 200 million Americans covered by private insurance. Note the three largest health insurers rescinded approximately 20,000 policies over a 5 year period. There is data missing there, and that's just three companies (though WellPoint and United alone account for 67+ million people), so let's say the real number is... 10 times that amount. Let's say there were 200,000. That's maybe .1% of all policies in the country. The vast majority of Americans will not face this issue.
I remember having this discussion once before. It may be 0.1% of all the policies in the country, but that's a very misleading statistic.
First, it doesn't seem to apply at all to people who have their health insurance through work - it's mostly just private policies they do this to. I think your figures there include employment-based policies, and if they do, that's a huge chunk of people the problem just doesn't apply to.
(I understand that a small employer who has an employee develop a very expensive condition may have their corporate policy revoked, or the premiums jacked up to unaffordable levels, but that's a slightly different situation. It's also very scary, but I don't think it would appear in these statistics.)
Second, the companies are being extremely selective in which policies they scrutinise. If you've never had more than a few small claims, you could have lied in your teeth all over your application and the chances are it won't be spotted. If your claims add up to less than you're paying in premiums, hey, they're cool with that! Get cancer, though, and see how well-covered you are.... er, no you're not.
So it's only a small percentage of people who are ever in the firing line to be hit with this. People with private insurance policies, who then develop a serious (expensive) illness. We had figures on this before, but I can't remember the exact percentage. It might have been about 18% of these that are actually rescinded.
These people are of course the most vulnerable people in the health insurance pool. They don't have an employer to fight their corner, and they've just been diagnosed with something life-threatening. These are the people being targeted, and if you're one of them, your chance of being rescinded is (correct me if I've got that wrong) about 18%.
Apart from the effect on these individuals, there's a big reason why everyone should be concerned about this. People lose their jobs. There's a recession. It's not always easy to find another one. What are you going to do in the mean time? Buy a private policy, probably.
Also, times are hard for companies. Some of them are cutting back. One of the areas cut back on in some places is health benefits. Some places are stopping cover for spouses and children. Some are even stopping it altogether. What are you going to do if that happens to you? Buy a private policy, probably.
It's fairly clear from the evidence that these policies are underwritten and their premiums calculated on the basis that about 18% (I think) of policyholders who develop the most serious illnesses will be cut loose. These are people who have plenty to worry about already, and who don't have a hope in hell of finding another insurer at that stage.
I think this is rather different from "picking out horror stories". It's a systematic feature of the set-up, and it's being vigorously pursued and defended by the companies involved.
It would be analogous to a casino being allowed to return a bet and not pay off on a long shot bet where the house loses.
That is exactly right. If you've played at that casino and never won, or only had small-ish wins, you'd never know there was any problem. After all, they only welsh on 18% of the punters who have really big wins! That's only 0.1% of people who play the tables altogether. Chances are you've never even met one of these people. Sure, where's the problem?
Rolfe.
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